The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
    Exacta (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-5 2 0 $33.80 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 7-5-4 3 0 $38.80 $0.00 -24.00
PEN-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
    Exacta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-4 2 0 $25.00 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-4-2 3 0 $43.40 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/3/4/7)-(1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-1 2 1 $7.40 $7.40 -16.60
PEN-3   Win (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
    Exacta (2/4/7)-(2/4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 4-1 2 0 $22.60 $0.00 -18.00
    Trifecta (2/4/7)-(2/4/5/7)-(2/4/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 4-1-5 3 0 $33.70 $0.00 -18.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3)-(2/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-4 2 1 $3.40 $3.40 -14.60
    Pick Three (2/3/4/7)-(1/2/3)-(2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 7-1-4 3 1 $2.80 $2.80 -15.20
PEN-4   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
    Exacta (5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 7-6 2 1 $24.60 $24.60 6.60
    Trifecta (5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 7-6-5 3 1 $31.50 $31.50 13.50
    Daily Double (2/4/7)-(5/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 4-7 2 1 $10.40 $10.40 -7.60
    Pick Three (1/2/3)-(2/4/7)-(5/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 1-4-3/7 3 1 $2.50 $2.50 -11.00
PEN-5   Win (6/7/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (6/7/8/9)-(2/6/7/8/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 6-9 2 1 $13.60 $13.60 -18.40
    Trifecta (6/7/8/9)-(2/6/7/8/9)-(2/6/7/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 6-9-7 3 1 $62.30 $62.30 14.30
    Daily Double (5/6/7)-(6/7/8/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 7-6 2 1 $17.00 $17.00 -7.00
    Pick Three (2/4/7)-(5/6/7)-(6/7/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 4-3/7-1/6 3 1 $6.25 $6.25 -11.75
PEN-6   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.80 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-3 2 0 $46.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-3-7 3 0 $233.40 $0.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (6/7/8/9)-(3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-5 2 0 $21.00 $0.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (5/6/7)-(6/7/8/9)-(3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 3/7-1/6-5 3 0 $35.85 $0.00 -18.00
PEN-7   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.60 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-5 2 0 $87.40 $0.00 -18.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/3/4)-(1/2/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 6-5-4 3 0 $150.50 $0.00 -18.00
    Daily Double (3/4/6)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 5-6 2 0 $80.80 $0.00 -18.00
    Pick Three (6/7/8/9)-(3/4/6)-(1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 1/6-5-6 3 0 $41.35 $0.00 -18.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:22 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE MARK 7 4 2½ 12   15 1(shankle joann)CONCEPCION AXEL 110 3.00 24% 3.10 1.90 W
CRITICAL THINKING 5 5 43 54   32(shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00 6.30  
STEELY DANZA 4 7 53 44   25 3(aristone p)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 11% 8.00 3.10 S
MOON WARRIOR 2 6 76 7   79 4(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 22% 3.50 3.10  
MY BLUE EYES 1 1 1½ 3   46 5(kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 5.00 7.80  
MAINE 6 2 6 6   66(o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 110 15.00 21.30  
LILTONYTWOPHONES 3 3 31 22   5713¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 21% 3.80 9.30  
 
PEN-2   05/04/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:24 :48 1:13 1:39   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTO DE TIGRE 1 6 2 22 2½ 11 1(jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.40 28% 2.60 0.10 W
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 4 2 1 12 1½ 21 2(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 21.00  
SHANGHAI CANDY 2 5 6 67 57 334 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 12% 7.60 21.80 S
LAKE NAKURU 5 3 3 35 3 44(ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 14.80  
SAMARONTI 6 1 4 4 44 57 511¼ (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 120 4.00 12.30  
MEAN MACHINE 3 4 5 5 6 69 613½ (dimitriou e)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 27% 2.70 7.00  
 
PEN-3   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:223 :453 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEAK OF CHIC 4 2 1½ 1nk   11 1(moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 1.50 48% 1.10 0.30 W
STORMY SPELL 1 4 42 3   34 2(zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 23.20  
MY JUBA 5 1 2½ 2nk   21 3(sanchez-salom)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 5.60 S
SOUTH HOUSE 2 5 3 4   44(stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 9% 10.50 50.50  
FIVE DAYS IN MAY 6 7 7 5   58 5(beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 5.00  
GOLD TIME VIXEN 3 6 6 6   69 6(kee j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 15.30  
SERENE WARRIOR 7 3 5 7   715 727¼ (jacklin s)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 18% 4.60 55.90  
 
PEN-4   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
:221 :452 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JET FORCE 6 1 1 1   15 14 (hogan wi)GONZALEZ JR 120 4.00 21% 3.70 2.00 W
IMAGISM 5 2 3 3   25 24 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 40% 1.50 3.00 P
GREAT BARONESS 4 3 2 2   35 35 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 11% 8.00 4.90 S
PRINCESS KAIRA 2 6 612 610¾   44(graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 2.60  
CALL THE PO PO 3 5 511½ 510½   59 56 (perez ruperto )ROLDAN FELISHA 113 5.00 5.90  
SLEEPY N JOYFUL 1 4 4 48   611 615¾ (harigeorgiou ko)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 22.70  
SCR  HEY IT'S TATI               (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00    
 
PEN-5   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:221 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SON OF A BEAST 5 1 1 12   13 1(graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.00 42% 1.40 1.40 W
SUMMER ASH 8 8 79 6   35 2(lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 20% 4.00 2.20 P
LIONESQUE 6 4 2 22   23 3(cooper stacey)CORA D 122 15.00 7% 13.60 22.00 S
10  BUCK WILD 9 6 5 36   5410¼ (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 12.00 23.90  
SCYNTZ 4 5 66 5   49 511½ (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00 54.10  
BRODY'S WAR 3 3 3 46   611 615¾ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00 10.80  
COUNTRY CHARLIE 2 7 810½ 810¾   714 716¾ (deiter kelly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 15.00 32.00  
HORSE DADDY 7 9 916½ 913¾   917½ 818 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 11% 8.30 4.00  
KNOCKDOWN KID 1 2 44 7   816 918¾ (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 13.40  
 
PEN-6   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
:23 :471 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN SPRINGS 4 1 1 1nk   11 13 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.00 4.40  
SHOYYOOKH 2 2 2 2nk   21 23 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 30% 2.30 1.70 P
FALSE RULING 6 6 54 32   338 (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 23.20  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 5 5 6 54   449 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 110 5.00 16% 5.10 2.50  
SAKARI 3 4 3 4   5510¾ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.50 25% 2.90 2.70  
LIL H 1 3 44 6   6613½ (cifarelli fra)INIRIO J 120 10.00 13.30  
 
PEN-7   05/04/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:233 :482 1:141 1:412   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEACHER DRAMA 6 2 1 13 1 11 1(o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00 2.80  
JUSTIN TIME 5 4 4 3 2 21 2(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00 16.10  
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 4 1 3 23 3 33(kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.60 44% 1.20 3.60 S
ESTA CHUCK 7 6 5 55 47 48 4(jacavone j)LLOYD W 124 12.00 21.30  
ARCTICA 2 5 67 67 57 5510¼ (flores wand)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.80  
WHO U GONNA CALL 1 3 2 4 612 623½ 633¾ (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 114 1.40 29% 2.50 0.90  
WICKED T 3 7 712 713 720 728½ 733¾ (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 15.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.