Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/4)-(1/3/2)-(4/7/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/7/2)-(6/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/2/5)-(4/7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/7/2)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2)-(6/7/5)-(6/9/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5/2)-(6/7/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/5)-(6/9/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(6/9/8/7)-(3/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/9/8/7)-(6/9/8/7/2)-(6/9/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/9/8/7)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/9/8/7)-(3/4/6)-(4/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BLUE EYES Mar29 Feb15 Jan21 Dec16 Nov23 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 117 5.00    
2  MOON WARRIOR Mar22 Mar13 Feb17 Jan18 Dec18 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  LILTONYTWOPHONES Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Jan19 Dec21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  STEELY DANZA Apr03 Jan31 Jan10 Dec19 Nov19 (aristone)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.50 11% 8.00    
5  CRITICAL THINKING Dec28 Nov25 Nov08 Sep14 Aug24 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 10.00    
6  MAINE Jul27 Jun25 Jun16 May30 Apr11 (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 110 15.00    
7  ON THE MARK Mar31 Mar04 Feb12 Jan21 Jan01 (shankle jo)RIVERA R 110 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
PEN-2   05/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTO DE TIGRE Apr20 Apr01 Mar25 Feb03 Dec30 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.40 28% 2.60    
2  SHANGHAI CANDY Mar29 Mar01 Feb11 Jan25 Jan07 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 12% 7.60    
3  MEAN MACHINE Mar15 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec16 (dimitriou e)AGUILAR M 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Apr21 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan13 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
5  LAKE NAKURU Mar24 Mar03 Feb15 Jan27 Dec20 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00    
6  SAMARONTI Mar17 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 (kulp brando)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMY SPELL Mar31 Mar17 Mar01 Jan26 Jul21 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
2  SOUTH HOUSE Mar31 Mar03 Feb09 Jan25 Dec20 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 9% 10.50    
3  GOLD TIME VIXEN Apr15 Mar26 Mar03 Feb23 Feb17 (kee willie )WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
4  PEAK OF CHIC Mar27 Mar07 Feb15 Jan03 Dec14 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 1.50 48% 1.10    
5  MY JUBA Apr01 Mar12 Feb01 Jan21 Jan05 (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 115 2.50 ★    
6  FIVE DAYS IN MAY Feb23 Dec10 Nov24 Oct28 Oct06 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.50    
7  SERENE WARRIOR Mar31 Mar09 Feb02 Jan11 Dec13 (jacklin theodora )CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-4   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLEEPY N JOYFUL Mar22 Feb09 Jan26 Dec16 Oct05 (harigeorg)VARGAS L 120 15.00    
2  PRINCESS KAIRA Mar24 Mar07 Feb01 Jan02 Nov29 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  HEY IT'S TATI Apr19 Apr10 Feb07 Jan30 Jan10 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00    
4  CALL THE PO PO Apr24 Feb28 Feb09 Feb01 Jan11 (perez rupert)ROLDAN FELISHA 113 5.00    
5  GREAT BARONESS Apr19 Mar22 Mar01 Feb02 Dec30 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 11% 8.00    
6  IMAGISM Mar31 Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Feb08 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 2.00 40% 1.50    
7  JET FORCE Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 120 4.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-5   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Aug25 Jul18 May09 Apr12 Feb16 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
2  KNOCKDOWN KID Apr19 Apr01 Mar08 Feb23 Feb01 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 ★    
3  COUNTRY CHARLIE Apr14 Mar16 Dec11 Nov14 Oct29 (deiter kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 119 15.00    
4  BRODY'S WAR Apr21 Apr04 Mar01 Jan25 Nov18 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 119 12.00    
5  SCYNTZ Mar08 Feb23 Feb02 Dec30 Nov29 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 20.00    
6  SON OF A BEAST Apr21 Feb13 Jan31 Jan10   (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 2.00 42% 1.40    
7  LIONESQUE Feb23 Jan20 Dec13 Oct23 Oct13 (cooper stacey)CORA D 122 15.00 7% 13.60    
8  HORSE DADDY Apr19 Mar01 Feb04 Dec31 Nov10 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
9  SUMMER ASH Mar17 Mar01 Feb02 Jan20 Dec14 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 20% 4.00    
10  BUCK WILD Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 Jan26 Jan01 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 12.00    
 
PEN-6   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TILTED TIARA Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50    
2  LIL H Mar22 Dec16 Nov18 Oct19 Sep16 (cifarelli f)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
3  SHOYYOOKH Mar22 Mar01 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 120 4.50 30% 2.30    
4  SAKARI Mar31 Mar15 Mar03 Feb22 Feb09 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 120 3.50 25% 2.90    
5  HIDDEN SPRINGS Mar15 Feb10 Jan19 Nov25 Nov04 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.00    
6  HIGHWAY QUEEN Apr08 Mar31 Mar22 Feb10 Feb02 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 110 5.00 16% 5.10    
7  FALSE RULING Mar15 Mar01 Feb02 Jan18 Sep16 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
 
PEN-7   05/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO U GONNA CALL Nov02 Sep02       (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 114 1.40 29% 2.50    
2  ARCTICA Apr19 Mar22 Mar02 Nov15 Oct28 (flores wa)HERNANDEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  WICKED T Apr19 Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 12.00 ★    
4  FLOWER'S FORTUNE Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 Dec27 Dec07 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.60 44% 1.20    
5  JUSTIN TIME Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 Dec27 Dec07 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 6.00    
6  TEACHER DRAMA Mar17 Mar08 Feb02 Jan11 Nov21 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 12.00    
7  ESTA CHUCK Mar15 Feb02 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 124 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.