The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Friday - April 21, 2023

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PEN-1   04/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
:234 :48 1:133 1:401   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COPPERHEAD CREEK 2 3 4 4 1½ 115 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.90 W
WILL E SUTTON 6 6 3½ 3.2 2½ 225 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 20% 4.00 1.10 P
HASHTAG WINNING 5 5 54 5 3 33(synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 5.40  
KUMAR 3 4 66 6 5 4411½ (maroun douglas)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 20.10  
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 4 1 2nk 1nk 42 59 516¾ (kreiser timothy)ROJAS MARTINA 110 8.00 9.00  
CHRIS AND DAVE 1 2 1nk 2nk 6 610½ 624 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 55% 0.80 2.00  
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL               (graci a)BEATO INOEL 117 12.00    
 
PEN-2   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:243 :491 1:144 1:281   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIRCLE ME MADDEN 3 2 2nk 1½ 1 18 112½ (servis c)OCASIO JONATHAN 121 2.50 32% 2.20 3.20 W
DOUBLE O OTTO 4 3 3 31 2 28 212½ (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 17% 4.90 4.80 P
MILLBANK MAN 1 1 1nk 2½ 35 310 314¾ (pickett g)CRUZ ANGEL 121 3.00 3.90  
ZOPPI FISCHBEIN 2 4 4 411 419 432 445 (shaw j)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.00 0.60  
SCR  ABBY'S SPIRIT               (stites w)ROJAS MARTINA 111 12.00    
SCR  BOOK RUNNER               (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-3   04/21/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
:231 :474 1:134 1:411   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAHOOWA WAHOOWA 5 5 3 31 3.2 11(shuchman al)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 27% 2.80 2.30 W
SASSY KING 2 6 67 5 4 22(davis samuel )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00 3.70  
ALL TIME CLASSIC 1 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 34 310 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 15% 5.60 4.20 S
LTL BEAR SALOON 6 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 44 410½ (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 6.10  
POCOPSON STATION 4 7 78 7 5 59 514¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 25.40  
VISHNU 7 4 55 4 6 611 616 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 16% 5.50 4.60  
SCARY LARRY 3 2 4 6 7 712½ 717¾ (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 120 3.50 15% 5.70 6.70  
WILD UNION 8 8 810 8 810¼ 813½ 817¾ (santaella-calde)PEREZ M 120 12.00 38.50  
 
PEN-4   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:223 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TORRID 6 2 1nk 1nk   13 17 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 2.70  
NECCO 8 3 2nk 2nk   23 27 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 124 4.50 7.50  
CITY OF GOD 7 6 7 5   437 (stidham michael)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00 3.50  
JUSTFORSPEIGHTOFIT 2 4 4 4   349 (rubley kell)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 32% 2.10 3.70  
SYLVIA I AM 1 5 6 6   610 512 (shea lydee)CORA D 122 30.00 39.70  
MOSES WATER 5 1 3½ 33   56 612¼ (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.50 34% 1.90 2.20  
SYNONYM 4 8 54 8   813¾ 716¾ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 7% 12.40 18.40  
REIGNING CHAMPION 3 7 8 7   713½ 820¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00 62.80  
 
PEN-5   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:221 :454 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNICKERSINATWIST 2 2 2nk 2½   11(stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 38% 1.60 3.50 W
10  POSITIVE FORCE 9 3 1nk 1½   22(rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00 16.10 P
MISS CONVEYOR 1 4 42 5   43(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40 S
TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY 8 7 6 4   57 4(brown a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 19.20  
KAREN'S WAY 7 1 3 3   35(stites flint )INIRIO J 120 10.00 22.50  
BOWL OF CHERRIES 4 6 7 75   667 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 27% 2.80 0.70  
SHATTER ME 3 5 5 6   77(beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 12.60  
SASSY MARTINI 5 8 8 88   811½ 810½ (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 32.10  
NAIL POLISH 6 9 9 9   918 919¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 25.10  
SCR  MARVELLA NASTY               (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
 
PEN-6   04/21/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:224 :47 :594     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEERS FOR KITTEN 5 2 3½ 1nk   11 12 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.00 W
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 1 3 5 4   21 22 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 3.50 P
SON OF A BEAST 2 5 4¾ 5   35 3(graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 1.60 S
BRODY'S WAR 3 4 1nk 2nk   48 412½ (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 119 8.00 15.80  
LUCKY LEWIS 4 1 2nk 3.2   59 518¾ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 13.10  
SCR  HINDENBURG               (brooks e)ROJAS MARTINA 112 6.00    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE               (brooks gera)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 8% 11.70    
 
PEN-7   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
:244 :492 1:153 1:292   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SGT RECKLESS USMC 3 2 1nk 11 1 11 1½ (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 12.40  
FOREVER FIFI 6 5 4 31 2 21 2½ (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 7% 12.70 16.10 P
LET'S GO MO 1 4 6 67 55 53(miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00 8.20  
DUST BUNNY 5 3 3 4 3 34(stites flint )INIRIO J 124 4.00 4.50  
LONDON LADY 2 1 2nk 21 43 44 5(lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 37% 1.70 0.40  
QUEENPIN 4 6 5 52 6 610 616¼ (taylor joseph)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 7% 12.50 8.60  
SCR  MAKE A SPLASH               (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.