Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(3/6)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(5/7/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3)-(5/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/3)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/3)-(5/2/4)-(3/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/5/1)-(6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/10) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1/10)-(3/5/1/10) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(6)-(2/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(2/5/7) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
PEN-7   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/7)-(2/5/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHRIS AND DAVE Mar29 Mar16 Feb08 Jan27 Dec29 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
2  COPPERHEAD CREEK Mar22 Mar10 May27 May06 Apr07 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  KUMAR Mar26 Mar18 Mar05 Feb19 Jan29 (maroun dougl)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
4  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan13 Dec20 (kreiser timot)ROJAS MARTINA 110 8.00 ★    
6  HASHTAG WINNING Mar17 Feb24 Jan11 Dec27 Dec06 (synnefias)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00    
7  WILL E SUTTON Mar25 Mar15 Mar03 Feb14 Jan07 (jacobson )RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.80 20% 4.00    
SCR  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar24 Mar11 Mar04 Feb16 Oct28 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL null      
 
PEN-2   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MILLBANK MAN Mar31 Mar10 Feb25     (pickett cr)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 121 3.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAURIE'S CHOICE by CONGRATS)
2  ZOPPI FISCHBEIN Mar28 Feb27 Feb08 Jan02 Nov07 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 2.00    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of GUMDROP by ICY GROOM)
3  CIRCLE ME MADDEN Mar28 Feb27       (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 121 2.50 32% 2.20    
  (by TONALIST out of BAI BAI BABY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BOOK RUNNER Mar31 Feb24 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  ABBY'S SPIRIT         (stites flint )ROJAS MARTINA 111 12.00    
  (by GOLDDIGGER'S BOY out of ABIGAIL S by LITE THE FUSE)
6  DOUBLE O OTTO Mar29 Aug20 Jul21 Jun25   (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 124 10.00 17% 4.90    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of RAIDERS FAN by FASTNESS (IRE))
 
PEN-3   04/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL TIME CLASSIC Mar30 Mar16 Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00 15% 5.60    
2  SASSY KING Apr06 Mar16 Feb19 Jan02 Dec18 (davis samue)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 12.00    
3  SCARY LARRY Mar16 Mar08 Feb15 Jan20 Dec09 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 3.50 15% 5.70    
4  POCOPSON STATION Mar17 Feb15 Aug11 Jul28 May26 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00    
5  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Mar29 Mar02 Feb01 Nov29 Nov04 (shuchman )HERNANDEZ A 120 4.50 27% 2.80    
6  LTL BEAR SALOON Mar15 Feb22 Jan13 Dec28 Dec02 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 5.00    
7  VISHNU Mar17 Mar01 Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 16% 5.50    
8  WILD UNION Mar22 Mar06 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 (santaella-cal)PEREZ M 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SYLVIA I AM Mar24         (shea lydee)CORA D 122 30.00    
2  JUSTFORSPEIGHTOFIT Mar15 Feb20 Feb02 Jan08 Apr22 (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  REIGNING CHAMPION Mar08         (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 15.00    
4  SYNONYM         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
5  MOSES WATER Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Feb10 Jan20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  TORRID Mar24 Feb08       (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 ★    
7  CITY OF GOD Feb02         (stidham michae)CONNER TYLER 121 5.00    
8  NECCO Mar24 Feb08 Dec21 Dec06 Nov15 (murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 124 4.50    
 
PEN-5   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS CONVEYOR Mar29 Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec20 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MARVELLA NASTY Apr20 Mar24 Mar04 Feb10 Jan18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 10.00 7% 13.00    
3  KNICKERSINATWIST Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
4  SHATTER ME Mar31 Mar09 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
5  BOWL OF CHERRIES Mar26 Mar12 Feb20 Jan22 Jan06 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 27% 2.80    
6  SASSY MARTINI Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 Sep01 Aug18 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00    
7  NAIL POLISH Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Oct14 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
8  KAREN'S WAY Aug17 Jul07 Jun29 May13 Apr27 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
9  TIZ MICHELLE'S WAY Mar30 Feb11 Jan21 Oct29 Sep24 (brown a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00    
10  POSITIVE FORCE Mar31 Mar09 Feb09 Jan19 Dec28 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 124 8.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   04/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HINDENBURG Dec24 Nov12 Oct26 Oct08 Sep23 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 112 6.00    
2  GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Mar22 Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 ★    
3  SON OF A BEAST Feb13 Jan31 Jan10     (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 ★    
4  BRODY'S WAR Apr04 Mar01 Jan25 Nov18 Sep10 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 119 8.00    
5  LUCKY LEWIS Mar24 Mar09 Feb02     (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00    
6  CHEERS FOR KITTEN Mar19 Feb04 Dec18     (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  I ONCE STOOD ALONE Apr07 Apr01 Mar16 Jan08 Dec11 (brooks ge)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 8% 11.70    
 
PEN-7   04/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO MO Mar30 Mar17 Feb17 Feb01 Jan13 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00    
2  LONDON LADY Apr10 Feb24 Feb01 Apr14 Mar25 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 124 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  SGT RECKLESS USMC Feb17 Dec27       (schoenthal phil)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00    
SCR  MAKE A SPLASH Mar10         (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 121 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  QUEENPIN Mar21 Feb18 Nov18 Sep15   (taylor joseph)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00 7% 12.50    
6  DUST BUNNY Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Feb01 Jan13 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 4.00    
7  FOREVER FIFI Mar30 Mar08 Feb10 Dec02   (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 121 6.00 7% 12.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.