Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-5   WIN (11/9/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (11/9/3)-(11/9/3/4/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $26.00 $2.00 8%
PEN-6   DD (11/9/3)-(6/5/9/8/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00  3-5 $49.80 $19.80 66%
PEN-7   EXA (4/8/9/6)-(4/8/9/6/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-9 $50.00 $18.00 56%
    PK3 (11/9/3)-(6/5/9/8/3)-(4/8/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  3-5-4 $30.95 $0.95 3%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:233 :473 :593     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND WISER 4 3 31 1½   11 1 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 9% 10.00 1.30 W
ZILLION 5 1 42 2½   21 2 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 34% 1.90 1.10 P
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER 2 4 5 3   35 3 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 4.80  
SNEAKINESS 1 5 21 53   4 4 (perez flore)RAMOS C 115 8.00 8.40  
LAST MINUTE MARIO 3 2 11 4   5 519¼ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00 28.10  
SCR  CASH IN A FLASH               (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-2   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
1:133         1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. PETE 8 3 4 21   11 1 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 3.40  
CARGO SHIP 9 1 12 11   21 2 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 11% 8.40 3.30 P
YES IT'S ROO 5 7 8 55   35 3 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 120 12.00 9% 10.50 50.20 S
DYNAMITE KARMA 4 6 5 6   7 49 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 23% 3.40 8.30  
MUSICAL HEART 6 4 32 44   4 5 (jacobson da)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00 2.00  
STRIKING MOON 3 5 7 7   6 611¼ (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 15% 5.90 10.90  
TURNPIKE BOB 1 2 22 3   5 711½ (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 31.60  
FEDERAL CASE 7 9 6 8   8 815½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 17.90  
RILEYS DUDE 2 8 9100 9100   9100 9100 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 11% 8.10 6.60  
 
PEN-3   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:23 :47 :60     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING THE PEACE 5 6 75 5   2nk 1 (velazquez d)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 4.50 20% 3.90 3.70 W
VOUCH 7 2 31 2nk   1nk 2 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 17% 4.80 0.90 P
TRUE GOLD 1 7 4 4   4¾ 3 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 11% 7.80 6.90 S
SPIN CYCLE 3 4 2½ 1nk   3½ 4 (mcclellan eri)ROJAS MARTINA 112 8.00 9.30  
E T'S SUPER STAR 6 1 6 7   6 54 (fields kevin)CORA D 122 15.00 12.80  
AGAINST THE ODDS 4 5 5 6   5 6 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 9% 9.80 35.50  
BERHANU 2 3 1½ 31   7 718½ (albright geo)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00 5.10  
SCR  KIKKERLAND               (brooks ge)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00    
SCR  ROCKET BLAST               (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
 
PEN-4   04/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:14 1:272   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST GOT STARTED 4 6 3½ 1½ 12 13 13 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 50% 1.00 0.50 W
SKIMBLE SHANKS 2 5 54 44 3 23 23 (beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 34.00  
ORASHI 6 3 2½ 3 22 3 3 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 4.00 10.20  
ON THE EDGE 1 1 6 5 510½ 415 422 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 12% 7.20 5.90  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 3 7 7 710½ 712 616½ 525½ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00 30.50  
SPELLED WELL 7 4 1½ 2½ 4 516½ 635 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 10.00 38.40  
KAZ MUNNINGS 5 2 4 6 612 719½ 739¾ (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 15% 5.60 3.40  
 
PEN-5   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDWARD MADDEN 3 1 1 11   1nk 1¼ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 4.00 5% 19.00 3.00 W
HORSE DADDY 6 7 810 7   5 2¼ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00 2.00 P
GERONIMO (CHI) 5 5 2 21   2nk 3½ (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00 6.70  
10  BUCK WILD 8 6 5 5   6 4 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 10.00 31.30  
SHADOW CHASER 4 4 65 65   34 5 (flores-co)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.50 6.80  
KNOCKDOWN KID 1 2 4 43   4 6 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 5.20  
ADY'S MUNNY 2 8 78 8   8 7 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 7.60  
BAILEY COFFEE 7 3 32 32   7 8 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 14.90  
SCR  ABHAR               (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 15.00    
SCR  SON OF A BEAST               (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 35% 1.80    
SCR  T C GREELEY               (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 114 2.50 34% 2.00    
 
PEN-6   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:15 1:43   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONG THE WAY 5 6 35 3 32 13 1 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 112 4.00 22% 3.50 2.90 W
MIKEY'S JEWEL 3 9 911¼ 711 612 38 2 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 7% 12.40 3.20 P
GREAT BARONESS 4 3 21 2 2nk 23 3 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 5.30  
LAUGH IT OFF 6 2 57 5 59 49 4 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 24% 3.20 7.70  
ARCTICA 2 8 811 914 915¼ 917½ 516¾ (flores wa)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 40.20  
WICKED T 1 5 7 813 712¼ 613½ 623¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00 14.40  
MISS MORENO 9 7 6 49 4 513 724¼ (allen a )BUTTERFLY L 120 3.50 14% 6.10 3.00  
HAY BUCK 8 1 11 1 1nk 714 824¾ (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 11% 8.30 10.60  
RIDGELYSREDHOT 7 4 47 610 814¼ 816 931½ (johnson carlos )RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00 57.90  
 
PEN-7   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:162 1:444   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR GREENTHUMB 4 1 5 5 4 11 12 (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10 W
HE'S FANCY FREE 9 6 7 6 7 3 22 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 6.00 6% 15.00 7.40 P
DON'T QUESTION ME 2 8 8 8 6 5 3 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 6.00 3.40  
BEFRIENDTHEENEMY 1 9 911¼ 9 8 6 48 (flores-coba)RAMOS C 118 10.00 10.40  
WHISKIED UP 5 4 1½ 2nk 2½ 21 5 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 10.00 19.80  
QUINCY ADAMS 7 7 6 7 9 8 613¾ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 12.00 52.90  
BARN SWALLOW 3 3 32 3½ 3½ 7 715½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00 36.00  
HERE COMES LUCKY 6 2 2½ 1nk 1½ 4 817 (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 5% 19.00 2.80  
TAKING WHAT'S MINE 8 5 4 4¾ 53 911¾ 929½ (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 24% 3.20 8.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.