Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (4/3/2/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-3   Win (7/9/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00
PEN-6   Win (6/5/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-7   Win (4/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKINESS Mar15 Feb28 Feb13 Jan30 Nov28 (perez flores )RAMOS C 115 8.00    
SCR  CASH IN A FLASH Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 Jan01 Nov19 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Mar15 Feb24 Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
LAST MINUTE MARIO Jan12 Dec18 Nov02 Oct15 Sep19 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 10.00    
GRAND WISER Mar16 Feb22 Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
ZILLION Mar15 Feb17 Feb06 Dec28 Dec13 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 1.60 34% 1.90    
 
PEN-2   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURNPIKE BOB Mar31 Mar10 Jan11 Nov15 Oct27 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00    
RILEYS DUDE Apr04 Mar16 Nov15 Oct29 Oct19 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
STRIKING MOON Mar23 Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 Oct24 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 15% 5.90    
DYNAMITE KARMA Mar23 Mar16 Feb17 Oct24 Oct04 (fields kevin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 23% 3.40    
YES IT'S ROO Mar22 Feb13 Jan27 Dec12 Nov28 (jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 9% 10.50    
MUSICAL HEART Mar19 Feb10 Jan07     (jacobson davi)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 3.00    
FEDERAL CASE Mar23 Feb28 Feb20 Jan25 Jan16 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
MR. PETE Mar23 Mar03 Jan20 Jan12 Dec09 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
CARGO SHIP Mar16 Feb01 Jan18 Dec30 Dec21 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
 
PEN-3   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROCKET BLAST Mar16 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 15% 5.70    
TRUE GOLD Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan18 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 5.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  KIKKERLAND Mar30 Mar03 Feb02 Dec19 Nov28 (brooks gera)RODRIGUEZ R 122 15.00    
BERHANU Apr07 Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 (albright georg)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 10.00    
SPIN CYCLE Mar16 Feb15 Jan25 Dec13 Nov30 (mcclellan erin )ROJAS MARTINA 112 8.00    
AGAINST THE ODDS Mar23 Mar03 Feb02 Jan20 Dec13 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 9% 9.80    
KEEPING THE PEACE Apr11 Mar03 Feb08 Jan19 Jan09 (velazquez dan)OCASIO JONATHAN 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
E T'S SUPER STAR Mar16 Feb14 Jan25 Jan13 Jan02 (fields kevin)CORA D 122 15.00    
VOUCH Mar16 Mar02 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 (lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
PEN-4   04/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE EDGE Mar24 Mar01 Feb16 Jan11 Dec07 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 119 3.50 12% 7.20    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Mar23 Feb16 Feb08 Jan19 Dec09 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Mar31 Mar15 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
JUST GOT STARTED Mar17 Feb23 Feb08 Dec21 Jul08 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
KAZ MUNNINGS Mar23 Feb15 Jan19 Dec21 Oct18 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 2.00 15% 5.60    
ORASHI Mar23 Mar10 Feb08 Nov02 Aug24 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 4.00    
SPELLED WELL Mar17 Mar01 Dec13 Nov23 Oct07 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 10.00    
 
PEN-5   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOCKDOWN KID Apr01 Mar08 Feb23 Feb01 Jan20 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 12.00    
ADY'S MUNNY Mar01 Jan11 Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 (kravets m)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00    
EDWARD MADDEN Mar29 Dec07 Nov14 Sep22   (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 4.00 5% 19.00    
SHADOW CHASER Mar24 Mar01 Feb14 Jan23 Jan11 (flores-coba)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.50    
GERONIMO (CHI) Mar15 Feb16 Feb02 Jan13 Dec09 (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
HORSE DADDY Mar01 Feb04 Dec31 Nov10 Aug27 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 10.00    
BAILEY COFFEE Feb23 Feb15 Dec09 Nov08 Oct14 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
SCR  ABHAR Mar08 Feb23 Jan20 Dec14 Jun18 (bobadilla f)CORA D 122 15.00    
SCR  T C GREELEY Mar24 Mar08 Dec13 Nov15 Jul27 (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 114 2.50 34% 2.00    
10  BUCK WILD Mar24 Mar01 Jan26 Jan01 Nov25 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 119 10.00    
SCR  SON OF A BEAST Feb13 Jan31 Jan10     (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 35% 1.80    
 
PEN-6   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WICKED T Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00    
ARCTICA Mar22 Mar02 Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 (flores wand)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Mar17 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 7% 12.40    
GREAT BARONESS Mar22 Mar01 Feb02 Dec30 Dec07 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00    
ALONG THE WAY Mar15 Feb10 Dec30 Nov29 Nov05 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 112 4.00 22% 3.50    
LAUGH IT OFF Mar22 Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec13 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
RIDGELYSREDHOT Dec07 Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 Aug11 (johnson m)RODRIGUEZ E 120 30.00    
HAY BUCK Mar02 Feb17 Dec16 Sep09 Aug05 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 11% 8.30    
MISS MORENO Apr07 Mar12 Feb04 Sep21 Sep03 (allen ferris)ALVELO C 120 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
PEN-7   04/19/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEFRIENDTHEENEMY Mar22 Jan31 Jan23 Jan01 Oct29 (flores-coba f)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 118 10.00    
DON'T QUESTION ME Mar29 Mar02 Feb02 Jan25 Dec21 (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 6.00    
BARN SWALLOW Mar29 Mar09 Feb02 Dec02   (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00    
DR GREENTHUMB Mar29 Mar02 Feb16 Jan11 Dec07 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
WHISKIED UP Feb16 Jan26 Dec21 Oct27   (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 10.00    
HERE COMES LUCKY Mar24         (mcclellan c)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUINCY ADAMS Mar29 Mar09 Feb24 Feb02   (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 12.00    
TAKING WHAT'S MINE Mar29 Mar02 Feb17 Feb01 Jan06 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
HE'S FANCY FREE Mar24 Mar09       (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 6.00 6% 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.