Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $23.60 $19.60 490%
    DD (9/1/4)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  9-3 $18.00 $6.00 50%
PEN-4   PK3 (9/1/4)-(2/3)-(4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  1/6/7/9-3-4/6 $20.00 $11.00 122%
PEN-6   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  4-6 $26.60 $8.60 48%
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00  4-6-2 $23.60 $5.60 31%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   04/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:132 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOCTOR ABBIE 6 4 23½ 27 22½ 1nk 14 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 1.30  
7  SHUTUP AND HANG ON 7 6 57½ 610¼ 67 32 24 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 19% 4.20 4.60 P
5  SPECTACULLARI 5 1 69 712¼ 78 53½ 37 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 8% 12.10 11.60 S
4  GINGERS WISH 4 7 79½ 49½ 46½ 43 47½ (smith donovan)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 11.20  
3  DANCE A LITTLE JIG 3 8 810½ 815¾ 810½ 86½ 59 (ferreira )RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 25.60  
2  DWELLER 2 2 13½ 17 12½ 2nk 610¾ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.90  
1  TROPICALDEPRESSION 1 3 47 59¾ 56½ 76 711½ (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 10.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
8  HELLO GRACIE 8 5 36½ 39½ 36 64½ 812½ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 8.60  
 
PEN-2   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:253 :50 1:144 1:272   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BARISTA VIXEN 6 4 21 21½ 21 1½ 12½ (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 49% 1.10 0.10 W
2  CUENCA 1 1 11 11½ 11 2½ 22½ (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 6.20  
5  KATY THE CAT 4 3 32 53¼ 34 33½ 36¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 ★ 10.30 S
4  TERPEYE 3 5 64½ 65¼ 57 47 46¼ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 11% 7.90 14.90  
3  MIKEY'S JEWEL 2 6 53 43 69 612 514¾ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 22.90  
8  FAVORITE DOLL 5 2 43 33 45½ 59 618 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 12.00 25.80  
SCR  CAR LADY               (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  LEAN ON E               (pattershall )HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
PEN-3   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GET DOWN BROWN 2 1 11 12½   13 14 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 35% 1.90 10.80 W
8  MIZZEN MONEY 7 2 21 22½   23 24 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00 5.00  
4  FREEDOM'S START 3 5 74¾ 76¾   56¾ 34¼ (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 8.90  
2  SUNSHINE JACK 1 6 31½ 45   36½ 48¼ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 41% 1.50 1.30  
6  JUMP FOR THE WIN 5 3 42½ 65¼   68¼ 58¾ (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★ 4.00  
7  ECLIPTICALS BEAR 6 4 52½ 34   46½ 611 (stites flin)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 4.80  
5  ON THE RIM 4 7 64½ 55   78¼ 713 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 17.80  
SCR  BRODIX               (hendriks )HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
 
PEN-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLONEL BOWMAN 5 3 21½ 1nk   11 13¼ (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 0.40  
1  MARTINKELLY 1 4 42 31½   31 23¼ (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 16% 5.30 5.20 P
2  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 2 11½ 2nk   21 33¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 19% 4.40 5.70 S
3  PRACTICAL WAY 3 5 53½ 42   43 45¾ (avila juan )RAMOS C 115 10.00 9.70  
5  GRAB THE GOLD 4 1 31½ 54½   55 58¼ (kravets bruc)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 8.90  
SCR  ALFATEI               (noble f)ROJAS MARTINA 110 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-5   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LONGTAIL 2 5 1nk 2nk   11½ 13 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 5.10  
7  C C'S WARRIOR 6 1 2nk 1nk   21½ 23 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 11% 8.10 5.00 P
2  BEYOND THE BEND 1 8 65¾ 53¾   32½ 33½ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 1.30 S
6  WOLFINBARGER 5 3 32 32½   46 46½ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 12% 7.20 14.00  
9  DROSSELMOON 7 4 42¼ 42¾   58 57½ (rathman e)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 6% 15.00 3.00  
4  MR. SKITTLES 3 6 811¼ 810¾   714½ 613¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00 55.50  
11  COAST TO COAST 8 2 52¾ 66¾   614 716 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 9.70  
5  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 4 7 77¾ 79¾   817½ 819¾ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 10.00 34.30  
SCR  CUNEO               (o'callahan ca)ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00    
SCR  KICK KICK HUSTLE               (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM               (smith r)CORA D 124 30.00    
 
PEN-6   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIS NAME IS SUE 3 1 11 1½   1½ 12¼ (mcmahon dem)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 53% 0.90 3.60 W
6  CALCULATED THINKIN 5 4 42 2½   3½ 22¼ (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 13% 6.90 1.00 P
2  I SEE THE STARS 1 2 21 3½   2½ 32½ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 12% 7.60 3.00 S
3  SCREEN STAR 2 6 52¼ 42½   43 43¼ (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 15.00 32.10  
7  LEAVE 'EM LOADED 6 5 64¼ 67½   610 514 (kravets bru)INIRIO J 120 12.00 48.70  
5  MAD GENIUS 4 3 31 53½   58 615 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 4.10  
SCR  FUTILE               (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  REMEMBERING WILBUR               (sanchez-sa)RIVERA R 115 3.50 ★    
 
PEN-7   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SYNONYM 4 5 34 12   13½ 15½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 4.10  
3  QUINCY ADAMS 2 4 58½ 58   46½ 25½ (kravets bru)INIRIO J 123 12.00 9.70  
2  ROUND ROBIN 1 6 47½ 44   34 37¾ (hendriks ri)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 9% 9.60 3.40 S
8  BARN SWALLOW 6 3 2½ 32   23½ 49 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00 5.60  
4  NEVER TOO MUCH 3 1 1½ 22   58 518¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00 17.00  
6  DANNY'S WINKSTER 5 2 6100 6100   6100 6100 (jones michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 2.00 23% 3.30 1.00  
SCR  BAR DOWN EXPRESS               (sanchez-sal)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  GREATEST WARRIOR               (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.