Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $4.60  
PEN-2   Win (9/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
PEN-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $23.60 $23.60 19.60
PEN-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $2.80  
PEN-5   Win (8/6/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $12.20  
PEN-6   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
PEN-7   Win (7/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.20  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   04/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:132 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOCTOR ABBIE 6 4 2 27 2 1nk 14 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50 1.30  
SHUTUP AND HANG ON 7 6 5 610¼ 67 32 24 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 19% 4.20 4.60 P
SPECTACULLARI 5 1 69 712¼ 78 5 37 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 8% 12.10 11.60 S
GINGERS WISH 4 7 7 4 4 43 4 (smith donovan)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 11.20  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 3 8 810½ 815¾ 810½ 8 59 (ferreira fe)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 25.60  
DWELLER 2 2 1 17 1 2nk 610¾ (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.90  
TROPICALDEPRESSION 1 3 47 5 5 76 711½ (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 10.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
HELLO GRACIE 8 5 3 3 36 6 812½ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 8.60  
 
PEN-2   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:253 :50 1:144 1:272   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARISTA VIXEN 6 4 21 2 21 1½ 1 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 49% 1.10 0.10 W
CUENCA 1 1 11 1 11 2½ 2 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50 6.20  
KATY THE CAT 4 3 32 5 34 3 3 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 10.30 S
TERPEYE 3 5 6 6 57 47 4 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 11% 7.90 14.90  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 2 6 53 43 69 612 514¾ (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 22.90  
FAVORITE DOLL 5 2 43 33 4 59 618 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 12.00 25.80  
SCR  CAR LADY               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
SCR  LEAN ON E               (pattershall ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
 
PEN-3   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET DOWN BROWN 2 1 11 1   13 14 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 35% 1.90 10.80 W
MIZZEN MONEY 7 2 21 2   23 24 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00 5.00  
FREEDOM'S START 3 5 7 7   5 3 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 8.90  
SUNSHINE JACK 1 6 3 45   3 4 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 41% 1.50 1.30  
JUMP FOR THE WIN 5 3 4 6   6 5 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 4.00  
ECLIPTICALS BEAR 6 4 5 34   4 611 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50 4.80  
ON THE RIM 4 7 6 55   7 713 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00 17.80  
SCR  BRODIX               (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50    
 
PEN-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLONEL BOWMAN 5 3 2 1nk   11 1 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00 0.40  
MARTINKELLY 1 4 42 3   31 2 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 16% 5.30 5.20 P
DON'T LOSEMYMONEY 2 2 1 2nk   21 3 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 19% 4.40 5.70 S
PRACTICAL WAY 3 5 5 42   43 4 (avila ca)RAMOS C 115 10.00 9.70  
GRAB THE GOLD 4 1 3 5   55 5 (kravets bruce )VILLEGAS JERRY 120 4.50 8.90  
SCR  ALFATEI               (noble f)ROJAS MARTINA 110 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
PEN-5   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONGTAIL 2 5 1nk 2nk   1 13 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 8.00 5.10  
C C'S WARRIOR 6 1 2nk 1nk   2 23 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 11% 8.10 5.00 P
BEYOND THE BEND 1 8 6 5   3 3 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 1.30 S
WOLFINBARGER 5 3 32 3   46 4 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 12% 7.20 14.00  
DROSSELMOON 7 4 4 4   58 5 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 6% 15.00 3.00  
MR. SKITTLES 3 6 811¼ 810¾   714½ 613¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00 55.50  
11  COAST TO COAST 8 2 5 6   614 716 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 9.70  
OBROTHER ITSYLVIA 4 7 7 7   817½ 819¾ (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 10.00 34.30  
SCR  CUNEO               (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00    
SCR  KICK KICK HUSTLE               (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM               (smith r)CORA D 124 30.00    
 
PEN-6   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIS NAME IS SUE 3 1 11 1½   1½ 1 (mcmahon demel)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 53% 0.90 3.60 W
CALCULATED THINKIN 5 4 42 2½   3½ 2 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 13% 6.90 1.00 P
I SEE THE STARS 1 2 21 3½   2½ 3 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 12% 7.60 3.00 S
SCREEN STAR 2 6 5 4   43 4 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 15.00 32.10  
LEAVE 'EM LOADED 6 5 6 6   610 514 (kravets bruce)INIRIO J 120 12.00 48.70  
MAD GENIUS 4 3 31 5   58 615 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 4.10  
SCR  FUTILE               (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
SCR  REMEMBERING WILBUR               (sanchez-salo)RIVERA R 115 3.50    
 
PEN-7   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SYNONYM 4 5 34 12   1 1 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 4.10  
QUINCY ADAMS 2 4 5 58   4 2 (kravets bruce)INIRIO J 123 12.00 9.70  
ROUND ROBIN 1 6 4 44   34 3 (hendriks rich)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 9% 9.60 3.40 S
BARN SWALLOW 6 3 2½ 32   2 49 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00 5.60  
NEVER TOO MUCH 3 1 1½ 22   58 518¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00 17.00  
DANNY'S WINKSTER 5 2 6100 6100   6100 6100 (jones michael )VILLEGAS JERRY 123 2.00 23% 3.30 1.00  
SCR  BAR DOWN EXPRESS               (sanchez-salom)CONCEPCION AXEL 116 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  GREATEST WARRIOR               (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.