Handicappers' Racing Form
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Penn National
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (2/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-2   Win (9/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-3   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-4   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-5   Win (6/7/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
PEN-1   04/28/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TROPICALDEPRESSION Mar29 Mar01 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DWELLER Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 42% 1.40    
3  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Mar31 Mar10 Feb24 Jan12 Dec30 (ferreira fe)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
4  GINGERS WISH Mar10 Jan10 Dec20 Nov28 Nov08 (smith donovan)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 8.00    
5  SPECTACULLARI Mar10 Feb09 Dec07 Oct25 Sep14 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 8% 12.10    
6  DOCTOR ABBIE Apr12 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec27 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 2.50    
7  SHUTUP AND HANG ON Mar22 Mar06 Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
8  HELLO GRACIE Apr20 Feb24 Feb15 Jan25 Nov29 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
 
PEN-2   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LEAN ON E Mar29 Mar18 Feb07 Dec05 Nov16 (pattershall ma)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
2  CUENCA Mar23 Mar10 Feb24 Jan26 Dec07 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.50    
3  MIKEY'S JEWEL Apr19 Mar17 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
4  TERPEYE Mar31 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Dec28 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 11% 7.90    
5  KATY THE CAT Mar31 Mar03 Feb09 Jan25 Dec14 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  CAR LADY Apr14 Mar23 Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
SCR  EARLY FROST Mar31 Mar23 Feb24 Dec14 Nov22 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
8  FAVORITE DOLL Mar31 Mar23 Mar03 Jan26 Dec14 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 12.00    
9  BARISTA VIXEN Apr14 Mar23 Mar03 Feb22 Dec07 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 49% 1.10    
 
PEN-3   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRODIX Mar30 Feb23 Jan31     (hendriks mc)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 ★    
2  SUNSHINE JACK Mar17 Mar08 Feb08 Dec06 Oct21 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 41% 1.50    
3  GET DOWN BROWN May11 Apr08 Feb18     (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 8.00 35% 1.90    
4  FREEDOM'S START Mar22 Feb23 Feb15 Dec30 Dec09 (albright r)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
5  ON THE RIM Mar17 Feb23 Jan19 Dec30 Dec09 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 12.00    
6  JUMP FOR THE WIN Mar23 Feb23 Feb15 Dec19 Dec09 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★    
7  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Mar30 Jan25 Dec28 Dec07 Nov09 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 4.50    
8  MIZZEN MONEY Mar30 Feb16 Jan25 Dec28 Aug11 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINKELLY Mar23 Feb24 Jan17 Dec06 Nov08 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
2  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY May19 Apr27 Mar25 Mar08 Feb15 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 19% 4.40    
3  PRACTICAL WAY Mar28 Mar18 Feb27 Jan23 Mar19 (avila ca)RAMOS C 115 10.00    
SCR  ALFATEI Jul19 Jun28 May24 Apr20 Mar15 (noble f)ROJAS MARTINA 110 3.50 27% 2.70    
5  GRAB THE GOLD Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 Dec13 Nov25 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 4.50    
6  COLONEL BOWMAN Apr07 Mar23 Feb20 Nov06 Oct10 (jacobson david)CRUZ ANGEL 124 2.00    
 
PEN-5   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUNEO Apr04 Feb21 Feb14 Dec19 Oct11 (o'callahan carl)ROJAS MARTINA 114 6.00    
2  BEYOND THE BEND Apr01 Mar16 Mar03 Jan09 Oct18 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LONGTAIL Mar17 Mar03 Dec30 Dec14 Sep26 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 8.00    
4  MR. SKITTLES Mar29 Mar09 Feb23 Feb08 Dec21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 50.00    
5  OBROTHER ITSYLVIA Dec21 Oct21 Aug31 Aug04 Jul06 (shea lydee)INIRIO J 124 10.00    
6  WOLFINBARGER Mar23 Jan19 Dec27 Dec09 Nov16 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
7  C C'S WARRIOR Oct04 Sep07 Aug17 Jul20 Jun22 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  KICK KICK HUSTLE         (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
9  DROSSELMOON Mar29 Mar09 Feb08 Jan19 Dec13 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  WHO YOU SAY I AM Mar09 Feb23 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 (smith r)CORA D 124 30.00    
11  COAST TO COAST Apr20 Mar29 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 (sinnefia paulina)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
 
PEN-6   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REMEMBERING WILBUR Apr13 Mar12 Mar04 Feb22 Feb10 (sanchez-salo)RIVERA R 115 3.50 ★    
2  I SEE THE STARS Mar30 Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 Jan07 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 12% 7.60    
3  SCREEN STAR Mar03 Feb02 Dec30 Dec13 Nov23 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 15.00    
4  HIS NAME IS SUE Aug31 Aug11 Jun15 May11 Apr06 (mcmahon demel)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 4.00 53% 0.90    
5  MAD GENIUS Mar30 Jan21 Jan01 Dec10 Nov24 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00    
6  CALCULATED THINKIN Mar16 Feb23 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 13% 6.90    
7  LEAVE 'EM LOADED Dec21 Nov22 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (kravets bruce)INIRIO J 120 12.00    
SCR  FUTILE Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 Feb08 Jan27 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
 
PEN-7   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREATEST WARRIOR Mar31 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25   (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 12.00 ★    
2  ROUND ROBIN Mar31 Mar09 Jan11 Dec07 Nov18 (hendriks rich)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 4.00 9% 9.60    
3  QUINCY ADAMS Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 Feb24 Feb02 (kravets bruce)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
4  NEVER TOO MUCH Mar31 Feb16 Sep24 Sep15   (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 10.00    
5  SYNONYM Apr21         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00    
6  DANNY'S WINKSTER Mar02 Feb11 Feb01 Jan11 Dec03 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 123 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  BAR DOWN EXPRESS Sep04         (sanchez-salo)RIVERA R 116 2.50 45% 1.20    
8  BARN SWALLOW Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 Feb02 Dec02 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.