The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Thursday - April 20, 2023
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PEN-1   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:22 :454 :59     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COULD BE A COUGAR 1 4 11 12   13½ 15½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00 6.00  
8  SO STEADY 6 6 710¼ 79   48½ 25½ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00 20.50  
10  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL 7 1 41¼ 22   23½ 36 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 ★ 1.40 S
5  OUT OF AMMO 4 5 53¼ 56   37 46½ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 5.00 3.10  
7  RUSTY MY BROTHER 5 7 67¾ 67   59 58 (girten tim)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00 6.20  
2  WEST ABBOTT 2 3 21 35½   610½ 615¼ (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 9.80  
4  UPTOWN SERAPHINA 3 2 31 45½   710½ 716 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 ★ 5.80  
SCR  BRODY'S CODE               (lawrence jam)SANCHEZ J 124 2.00 64% 0.60    
SCR  CHOOSELOV               (o'callahan carl)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00    
SCR  FREYDIS               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 ★    
SCR  I'M HEADING EAST               (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 111 4.00 11% 7.90    
 
PEN-2   04/20/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:242 :483 1:142 1:28   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WHATA GUY 4 4 3.2 2½ 2½ 21 1¾ (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 ★ 1.80  
6  ANTE UP ALEX 5 2 2nk 1½ 1½ 11 2¾ (simone michae)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.00 42% 1.40 4.10 P
7  HE CAME TRUE 6 1 1nk 31 42 33½ 35¼ (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
3  PEAKY BLINKERS 2 3 42¼ 41½ 32 44 45½ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00 5.40  
9  INSTANT CHAOS 7 6 66¾ 65 53½ 66 58¾ (hayes kirst)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 21% 3.70 3.90  
1  BOSSY CAT 1 5 56¼ 55 65 56 68¾ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 9.40  
4  LONG TOM 3 7 711¼ 79½ 78½ 79½ 718 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00 8.20  
SCR  INNUENDO               (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  PRINCIPALITY               (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
 
PEN-3   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:222 :462 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 1 1 11 1nk   1nk 1hd (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 25% 3.00 2.10 W
9  CANDY ARCADE 6 4 31½ 2nk   2nk 2hd (nixon justin)CRUZ ANGEL 115 4.50 52% 0.90 2.30 P
2  SWEET MESA 2 6 66 45½   37 35½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 10.00 13.00  
8  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 5 3 54 56   47½ 47½ (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 ★ 1.50  
5  DESI'S REWARD 4 5 43½ 66¼   57¾ 58½ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 119 8.00 ★ 11.00  
3  MY LADY'S AUNT MA 3 2 21 35   69¼ 623¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 19.70  
SCR  BAY AND GOLD               (dunn john)ADORNO ABNER 119 10.00    
SCR  LIZZIES RED VELVET               (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY               (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
 
PEN-4   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:231 :471 1:121 1:394   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIDNIGHT ACT 3 4 33 31 22½ 2½ 1¾ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 22.80  
7  TATE 7 6 43½ 41½ 33 3½ 2¾ (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 ★ 3.40 P
6  TRENDING UP 6 5 65½ 54½ 56½ 43½ 31 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 9% 10.10 7.70 S
1  DR. STEVE 1 2 12 1½ 12½ 1½ 43¾ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 63% 0.60 0.40  
2  P JS SILVER DUKE 2 7 78 710½ 714½ 516 516¾ (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00 49.60  
4  HERE'S WALDO 4 1 22 2½ 46 616½ 631 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★ 10.10  
5  COOL COMEDIAN 5 3 54 67½ 611½ 717½ 737 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 15.00 39.70  
 
PEN-5   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
:223 :454 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  QUARTERFLASH 5 8 810½ 810½   66 1¼ (girten tim)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 14% 6.30 7.40 W
6  PHANCY PHILLY 3 1 54½ 45½   33½ 2¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 10.00 43.30  
12  SCHNUER WILL 8 3 21½ 21   21½ 3¾ (dunham ber)FLORES JR 120 5.00 18% 4.70 4.20 S
7  ORGANIZED CHAOS 4 2 11½ 11   11½ 43 (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 3.00 15% 5.70 0.40  
9  HELLO GRACIE 6 6 66 66½   45½ 53¾ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 11.20  
4  I CAME TO DANCE 2 4 42 56   56 66½ (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 117 12.00 15.70  
10  ARROGANTE 7 7 79 710½   88½ 77¾ (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 117 15.00 40.30  
3  COSMOLOGICAL 1 5 32 33   76½ 89¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 26.10  
SCR  ALWAYS MIA               (gonzalez claudi)ALVELO C 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
SCR  ARUMA               (padilla-precia)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
SCR  DWELLER               (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  IMAGISM               (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
 
PEN-6   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 8:26
:234 :482 1:153 1:433   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OMIKAMI 2 1 42½ 55½ 34 12½ 111¼ (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 123 5.00 8% 11.20 6.10 W
1  BABKA 1 5 76 77½ 75¼ 34½ 211¼ (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 23% 3.30 5.60 P
7  DON'T ANNOY ME 6 3 21 1nk 1nk 22½ 313 (dunham ber)FLORES JR 123 6.00 21% 3.70 2.00 S
4  RACE N RETURN 4 7 65½ 66 65¼ 57½ 413¾ (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 123 20.00 53.80  
3  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN 3 4 11 2nk 2nk 44½ 515½ (farrior anthony)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 22% 3.60 1.60  
8  WILD N' SASSY 7 8 812 814½ 810¾ 610½ 615¾ (cooper stev)RODRIGUEZ R 123 15.00 18.00  
9  KIRRABON 8 6 53 45 55 711½ 722¾ (hodsdon dani)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 20.00 47.60  
6  MISS MIA LIA 5 2 31 3½ 44½ 813½ 823½ (kulp l)ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
SCR  APRILS LUCK               (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00    
SCR  SUSANAS LUCKYCHARM               (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00    
 
PEN-7   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:24 :48 1:143 1:424   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND 1 2 21½ 34½ 32½ 2½ 14 (geist w)BAKER J 124 8.00 3.40  
4  PAL CAL 2 3 32 24 21 1½ 24 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00 1.00  
7  PECOS BILL 4 1 42½ 46 44½ 34 36½ (bartoni p)LLOYD W 124 15.00 12.10  
6  COAST TO COAST 3 4 11½ 14 11 48 432¾ (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 13% 6.80 1.40  
SCR  JOJOMAR               (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.80 14% 5.90    
SCR  MARCO ISLAND               (romero rafael)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES               (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.