Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - April 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/9/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/7)-(6/9/7/5)-(6/9/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/7)-(9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/9/7)-(9/1)-(1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-3   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/1/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1)-(9/1/8/5)-(9/1/8/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (9/1)-(1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (9/1)-(1/6)-(12/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/6)-(12/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(12/7/8)-(1/3/7/2/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
PEN-5   WIN (12/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/7/8)-(12/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/7/8)-(12/7/8)-(12/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (12/7/8)-(1/3/7/2/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (12/7/8)-(1/3/7/2/6)-(6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/3/7/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/3/7/2/6)-(1/3/7/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/3/7/2/6)-(1/3/7/2/6)-(1/3/7/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/3/7/2/6)-(6) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COULD BE A COUGAR Mar10         (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 121 15.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of ANIMALISTIC by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
2  WEST ABBOTT Feb23         (stites w)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00    
  (by HIGHLAND REEL out of KORTOBA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  CHOOSELOV Apr04         (o'callahan carl)CHIAPPE R 121 15.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of KAISER'S D'LIGHT by THE KAISER)
4  UPTOWN SERAPHINA Mar10 Jan27       (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 8.00 ★    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of RUTTZY TUTTZY by LION HEARTED)
5  OUT OF AMMO Mar10 Feb23       (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 5.00    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of FINALE RACK by LITE THE FUSE)
SCR  I'M HEADING EAST Apr06 Mar10 Feb23 Jan20   (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 111 4.00 11% 7.90    
  (by EASTWOOD out of I'M JUST SAYIN by SEMORAN)
7  RUSTY MY BROTHER         (girten tim)CRUZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of ESTAPRIMO by PRIMAL STORM)
8  SO STEADY         (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 15.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of SUCH SPIRIT by MONTBROOK)
SCR  FREYDIS Feb23 Jan20 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.00 ★    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
10  INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.50 ★    
  (by MINESHAFT out of FIX YOU by FLYING CHEVRON)
SCR  BRODY'S CODE Mar22 Feb20 Jan24 Dec20   (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 124 2.00 64% 0.60    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of CODE VARIANCE by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
PEN-2   04/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSSY CAT Mar25 Mar02 Feb17 Jan18 Jan06 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00    
SCR  INNUENDO (IRE) Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 Dec28 Nov29 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 ★    
3  PEAKY BLINKERS Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 Nov23 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 15.00    
4  LONG TOM Mar16 Mar02 Feb17 Jan18 Dec28 (salinas jose)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 20.00    
5  WHATA GUY Apr05 Mar17 Feb20 Jan13 Jan02 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 ★    
6  ANTE UP ALEX Mar29 Mar06 Feb22 Jan31 Jan23 (simone mich)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
7  HE CAME TRUE Mar25 Mar01 Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCIPALITY Mar09 Feb17 Jan18 Dec20 Dec06 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
9  INSTANT CHAOS Mar30 Mar02 Jan31 Jan16 Dec05 (hayes kir)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-3   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Mar30 Mar10 Nov08 Oct14 Sep01 (o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  SWEET MESA Mar10 Apr29 Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 (stites flin)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
3  MY LADY'S AUNT MA Jun16 May20 May06     (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
SCR  BAY AND GOLD Apr19 Mar13 Jul27 May23   (dunn john)ADORNO ABNER 119 10.00    
5  DESI'S REWARD Mar29 Mar08 Jan20 Dec02 Nov15 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  LIZZIES RED VELVET Mar09         (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  SCOREBOARD LILY Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 Jan13 Oct05 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 124 6.00    
8  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Mar23 Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 Dec20 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 ★    
9  CANDY ARCADE Nov30 Nov05 Oct14     (nixon just)RIVERA R 115 4.50 52% 0.90    
 
PEN-4   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR. STEVE Mar22 Feb17 Jan26 Jan10 Oct25 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
2  P JS SILVER DUKE Mar22 Feb17 Dec28 Nov25 Nov02 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 15.00    
3  MIDNIGHT ACT Apr01 Mar22 Mar13 Feb17 Jan20 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00    
4  HERE'S WALDO Mar22 Jan26 Dec16 Nov25 Oct05 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★    
5  COOL COMEDIAN Mar15 Feb17 Dec28 Nov25 Oct25 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120 15.00    
6  TRENDING UP Mar22 Mar10 Feb16 Jan27 Dec27 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 9% 10.10    
7  TATE Mar31 Mar10 Feb17 Jan27 Jan06 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-5   04/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DWELLER Mar16 Feb24 Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
SCR  IMAGISM Mar31 Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Feb08 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
3  COSMOLOGICAL Apr10 Mar16 Mar10 Mar01 Feb08 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
4  I CAME TO DANCE Mar30 Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 117 12.00    
SCR  ALWAYS MIA Mar16 Feb24 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 (gonzalez clau)ALVELO C 120 4.50 14% 6.20    
6  PHANCY PHILLY Mar16 Feb08 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 10.00    
7  ORGANIZED CHAOS Mar29 Jan20 Dec14 Oct24 Sep15 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 117 3.00 15% 5.70    
8  QUARTERFLASH Mar31 Feb16 Feb03 Jan20 Dec28 (girten tim)CRUZ ANGEL 120 12.00 14% 6.30    
9  HELLO GRACIE Feb24 Feb15 Jan25 Nov29 Nov08 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
10  ARROGANTE Mar31 Mar13 Jan16 Dec12 Dec02 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 117 15.00    
SCR  ARUMA Apr10 Mar21 Feb15 Nov28 Oct25 (padilla-prec)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
12  SCHNUER WILL Jan02 Nov30 Nov01 Oct10 Sep21 (dunham b)FLORES JR 120 5.00 18% 4.70    
 
PEN-6   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABKA Apr06 Mar02 Feb15 Dec29 Oct30 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  OMIKAMI Feb12 Jan22 Dec11 Oct24   (schoenthal phil)BEATO INOEL 123 5.00 8% 11.20    
3  ME DARLIN KATHLEEN Mar30 Feb18 Jan27 Jan15 Dec29 (farrior antho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 22% 3.60    
4  RACE N RETURN Apr06 Nov16 Oct29 Aug04   (harigeorgiou konstan)CORA D 123 20.00    
SCR  APRILS LUCK Mar02 Feb09 Jan27 Dec27 Dec02 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 123 6.00    
6  MISS MIA LIA Mar08 Jan12 Oct16     (kulp brandon )ROJAS MARTINA 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DON'T ANNOY ME Mar01 Jan27 Jul15     (dunham b)FLORES JR 123 6.00 21% 3.70    
8  WILD N' SASSY Mar21 Feb18 Jan22 Dec29   (cooper st)RODRIGUEZ R 123 15.00    
9  KIRRABON Mar10         (hodsdon da)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 20.00    
SCR  SUSANAS LUCKYCHARM Jan22 Dec16 Dec04     (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00    
 
PEN-7   04/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARCO ISLAND Mar18 Dec21 Nov23 Oct26 Sep14 (romero rafae)HADDOCK DEXTER 124 10.00 11% 7.90    
2  DIGGERS DIAMOND Mar24 Mar01 Feb15 Jan12 Dec14 (geist w)BAKER J 124 8.00    
SCR  JOJOMAR Mar17 Feb15 Jan27 Dec30 Nov22 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 1.80 14% 5.90    
4  PAL CAL Mar24 Mar01 Feb15 Nov18 Oct21 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 4.00    
SCR  MIAMI MUMBLES Mar17 Feb02 Jun24 Jun15 May19 (johnston rob)CORA D 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
6  COAST TO COAST Mar29 Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec09 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 13% 6.80    
7  PECOS BILL Mar29 Mar09 Feb08 Dec27 Aug31 (bartoni p)LLOYD W 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.