Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Penn National
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $8.40 $4.40 110%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2-4 $33.00 $25.00 313%
PEN-5   WIN (7/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    EXA (7/8/10)-(7/8/10/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-6 $35.00 $11.00 46%
    TRI (7/8/10)-(7/8/10/6/5)-(7/8/10/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00  7-6-5 $67.40 $31.40 87%
    DD (2/4)-(7/8/10) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-7 $61.80 $49.80 415%
PEN-6   PK3 (2/4)-(7/8/10)-(4/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00  2-7-4/5/6/8 $20.60 $14.60 243%
PEN-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-5 $38.80 $26.80 223%
    PK3 (7/8/10)-(4/2)-(6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  7-4/5/6/8-6 $14.55 $5.55 62%
    PK4 (2/4)-(7/8/10)-(4/2)-(6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-7-4/5/6/8-6 $91.25 $73.25 407%

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:223 :46 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROGANTE 1 5 66 46   3 11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50 2.20  
NEWSDLEY 3 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 21 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 119 2.50 20% 3.90 1.10 P
SCOREBOARD LILY 5 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 3 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 37% 1.70 5.20 S
FINISHING TOUCH 2 6 44 3   4 4 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00 22.20  
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 4 2 54 68   5 57 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 119 6.00 15% 5.60 16.50  
DESI'S REWARD 6 4 32 5   6 6 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 119 3.50 4.70  
 
PEN-2   05/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112 1:381   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMESTONKS 6 5 43 3 2½ 1½ 13 (russell t)ROSE J 120 2.00 0.80  
WILL TAKE ROSES 5 2 2½ 2½ 1½ 2½ 23 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 14% 6.00 9.20 P
EARLY FROST 2 6 6 67 46 3 311¼ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 9% 9.80 4.50 S
PERKEO 1 4 5 5 56 410 416 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 27.30  
ALONG THE WAY 4 1 3 4 68 514 520¼ (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 8.00 20.30  
ESPERANNNA 3 3 1½ 1½ 32 614 627¼ (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 115 3.00 40% 1.50 2.10  
SCR  PSYCHE               (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:221 :45 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBEER 6 1 11 12   13 1 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00 7.60  
SIMPLY STATED 5 2 4 4   23 2 (houghton thomas)CORA D 114 6.00 15% 5.60 7.40 P
Z'S SO GOOD 2 5 5 5   4 3 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00 16.90  
FOXY JUNIOR 4 6 65 65   5 4 (houghton th)INIRIO J 114 8.00 29.20  
MEAN TWEETS 3 7 7 77   7 57 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 2.50 7.10  
NEON SIGN 7 3 21 22   3 6 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 119 6.00 7% 13.70 6.60  
LEONIDS 1 4 31 3   6 7 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.50  
 
PEN-4   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:13 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATTY'S BOY 2 1 53 4 3 22 1¼ (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 3.50 51% 0.90 3.20 W
PAL CAL 4 3 1½ 12 1 12 2¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00 20% 4.10 1.60 P
PECOS BILL 6 4 31 22 2 3 33 (bartoni way)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 8.70  
THE ANGRY MAN 5 2 2½ 3 5 510½ 4 (gallimore tre)PEREZ M 114 2.50 2.40  
LONG TOM 3 6 64 6 4 4 5 (salinas jose)CORA D 124 10.00 9.30  
ALWAYS FORGIVEN 1 5 4 5 610½ 615½ 617¾ (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00 8.70  
 
PEN-5   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEKING THE DREAM 7 1 21 2½   12 13 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 51% 1.00 4.20 W
KNICKERSINATWIST 6 3 5 41   22 23 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 124 8.00 2.70 P
STAND BY YOU 5 9 9 7   5 3 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 5.50 S
KILIMANJARA 2 8 6 5   67 4 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00 39.60  
NO EASY ANSWER 3 2 11 1½   45 59 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 16.60  
MOONSAFE 8 4 4 31   3 6 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 14% 6.00 2.00  
10  LANFRANKOPHILE 9 6 8 9   810½ 712¼ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 10% 8.80 7.30  
ECLIPTICALS SARAH 4 7 7 65   710½ 816¼ (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00 40.30  
BELLA PRIMA 1 5 31 8   911 916¼ (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 20.10  
SCR  MY LOVELY GIRL               (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S DREAM               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
 
PEN-6   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:12 1:243   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECRUITER 4 1 1½ 1nk 1 19 110¼ (lynch catha)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 1.80 62% 0.60 0.10 W
UPSTATE AND BACK 2 2 2½ 2nk 2 29 210¼ (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00 14% 6.00 5.80 P
SPINNING MUSICIAN 5 5 41 3 33 39 310¾ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 9.10 S
SPELLED WELL 3 3 31 4 4 415 421½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 30.00 37.70  
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) 1 4 52 5 5 517 525 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY null   21.90  
SCR  I CAME TO DANCE               (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 114 20.00    
SCR  LOVE ME NOT               (sacco d)ROSE J 121 1.60    
SCR  MOVISITOR               (vaughan edw)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 6.00    
 
PEN-7   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD CARAMELO 6 1 1 13   1 12 (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 38% 1.60 4.30 W
TRIPLE A. PLUS 5 4 42 33   2 22 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 8% 11.10 2.80 P
ROCKET BLAST 1 3 32 23   3 3 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 1.80  
CHARGING LION 4 5 64 5   4 4 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 6.00 14.40  
HASHTAG WINNING 3 6 5 6   56 5 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
EQUAL JUSTICE 2 2 2 4   68 611¾ (johnston ro)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 8.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.