Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/6/2)-(1/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(1/5/7)-(2/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/7)-(1/5/7/6)-(1/5/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/7)-(2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/7)-(2/4)-(7/8/10) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(7/8/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(7/8/10)-(4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-5   WIN (7/8/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/10)-(7/8/10/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/10)-(7/8/10/6/5)-(7/8/10/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/8/10)-(4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/8/10)-(4/2)-(6/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/7)-(4/2/7) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANTE Apr20 Mar31 Mar13 Jan16 Dec12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 4.50    
2  FINISHING TOUCH Apr27 Mar29 Mar10 Feb09 Dec14 (houghton thomas)CORA D 121 5.00    
3  NEWSDLEY Mar10 Feb23       (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 119 2.50 20% 3.90    
4  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Apr27 Mar31 Mar10 Feb15 Jan29 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 119 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  SCOREBOARD LILY Mar30 Mar09 Feb01 Jan13 Oct05 (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  DESI'S REWARD Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 Jan20 Dec02 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 119 3.50    
 
PEN-2   05/06/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERKEO Mar08 Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 Nov15 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
2  EARLY FROST Mar31 Mar23 Feb24 Dec14 Nov22 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
3  ESPERANNNA Apr14 Mar17 Feb26 Feb10 Jan06 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  PSYCHE Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 Dec28 Dec10 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
5  ALONG THE WAY Apr19 Mar15 Feb10 Dec30 Nov29 (johnston rob)ROJAS MARTINA 110 8.00    
6  WILL TAKE ROSES Mar31 Feb23 Feb02 Dec28 Oct19 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.50 14% 6.00    
7  GAMESTONKS Mar18 Mar10 Jan13 Jan07 Dec18 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 2.00    
 
PEN-3   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEONIDS Apr20 Mar11 Feb19 Jan20   (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  Z'S SO GOOD Mar01 Jan11 Dec13 Nov23 Nov04 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 8.00    
3  MEAN TWEETS Apr07 Feb03 Dec31 Oct15 Sep22 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 2.50    
4  FOXY JUNIOR Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 Oct14   (houghton th)INIRIO J 114 8.00    
5  SIMPLY STATED Aug11         (houghton thomas)CORA D 114 6.00 15% 5.60    
6  MOBEER Mar29 Mar02 Feb15 Jan12   (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 6.00 ★    
7  NEON SIGN Mar29 Mar01 Jan25 Dec16 Nov09 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 119 6.00 7% 13.70    
 
PEN-4   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALWAYS FORGIVEN Dec30 Nov04 Sep22 Sep01 Aug10 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 6.00    
2  PATTY'S BOY         (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 3.50 51% 0.90    
3  LONG TOM Apr20 Mar16 Mar02 Feb17 Jan18 (salinas jose)CORA D 124 10.00    
4  PAL CAL Apr20 Mar24 Mar01 Feb15 Nov18 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00 20% 4.10    
5  THE ANGRY MAN Apr12 Mar24 Feb06 Jan10 Dec21 (gallimore trevo)RUIZ ELISEO 114 2.50 ★    
6  PECOS BILL Apr20 Mar29 Mar09 Feb08 Dec27 (bartoni w)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50    
 
PEN-5   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA PRIMA Aug19 Aug03 Jul01 Apr20 Mar04 (rodriguez frankli)AGUILAR M 120 12.00    
2  KILIMANJARA Jun30 Jun18 May26     (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 12.00    
3  NO EASY ANSWER Mar16 Feb24 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 (mcclellan e)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
4  ECLIPTICALS SARAH Mar24 Feb08 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 (stites flin)INIRIO J 120 8.00    
5  STAND BY YOU Apr02 Mar11 Jan27 Jan01 Nov15 (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 ★    
6  KNICKERSINATWIST Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 8.00 ★    
7  SEEKING THE DREAM Mar24 Mar02 Feb07 Jan02 Nov29 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
8  MOONSAFE Mar02 Feb17 Jan13 Dec14 Nov15 (salvaggio mich)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  QUEEN'S DREAM Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00    
10  LANFRANKOPHILE Apr03 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  MY LOVELY GIRL Mar01 Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Nov26 (farrior ant)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 6.00    
 
PEN-6   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.4K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) Mar24 Mar11 Mar04 Feb16 Oct28 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY null      
2  UPSTATE AND BACK Mar29 Mar06 Jan25 Dec16 Nov02 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  SPELLED WELL Apr19 Mar17 Mar01 Dec13 Nov23 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 30.00    
4  RECRUITER Mar04 Jan03 Nov12 Oct02 Aug27 (lynch cath)SANCHEZ J 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
SCR  MOVISITOR Apr28 Apr07 Oct25 Oct02 Sep13 (vaughan edw)CORUJO LEONARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  I CAME TO DANCE Apr20 Mar30 Mar08 Feb10 Jan20 (zalalas michael)CHIAPPE R 114 20.00    
7  SPINNING MUSICIAN Mar31 Mar02 Dec10 Nov12   (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  LOVE ME NOT Mar24 Feb04 Jan08 Dec03 Nov04 (sacco d)ROSE J 121 1.60    
 
PEN-7   05/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET BLAST Mar16 Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50    
2  EQUAL JUSTICE Feb23 Nov04 Oct18 Sep23 Sep08 (johnston ro)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00    
3  HASHTAG WINNING Apr21 Mar17 Feb24 Jan11 Dec27 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
4  CHARGING LION Mar17 Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec21 (mcclellan c)CORA D 122 6.00    
5  TRIPLE A. PLUS Mar29 Mar15 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 122 3.50 8% 11.10    
6  WILD CARAMELO Jan18 May26 May02     (graci a)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.