Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   WIN (7/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $29.40 $21.40 268%
    EXA (7/8/3/9)-(7/8/4/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-7 $53.00 $37.00 231%
    TRI (7/8/3/9)-(7/8/4/3/9)-(7/8/4/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-7-4 $87.37 $63.37 264%
    SFT (7/8/3/9)-(7/8/4/3/9)-(7/8/4/3/9)-(7/8/4/3/9) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-7-4-8 $48.55 $38.95 406%
SAR-3   WIN (1/2/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $21.60 $11.60 116%
SAR-4   WIN (9/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $16.60 $8.60 108%
    DD (1/2/5/9/7)-(9/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  9-2 $115.25 $95.25 476%
SAR-5   DD (9/4/2/6)-(7/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-7 $23.00 $7.00 44%
    PK3 (1/2/5/9/7)-(9/4/2/6)-(7/5/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00  9-2-7 $305.50 $225.50 282%
SAR-7   TRI (7/5/8/1/4)-(7/5/8/1/4)-(7/5/8/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-7-8 $86.50 $56.50 188%
SAR-10   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $13.00 $7.00 117%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN AWAY   (ferraro anth)COA J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70 W
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of LA RIGNANA by GALILEO (ARG))
MISCHIEF JOKE   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 2.00 65% 0.50 2.25 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHESABITDISTORTED by DISTORTED HUMOR)
AGGELOS THE GREAT   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 1.60 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPRITELY by TOUCH GOLD)
SPLIT STRIKE   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 10% 9.20 4.20  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPLIT TIME by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
JAKE'S ORCHARD   (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 119 15.00 42.25  
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
EZ ROLL   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.90  
  (by ENTICED out of DADDYSNEVERREADY by SCAT DADDY)
ERIC FROM MIAMI   (de h)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 7.30  
  (by ALTERNATION out of BERNADINE by BLASE)
MITHRIDATES   (chichakly am)TORRES A 114 50.00 67.75  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of GOIAS by HARD SPUN)
LOVE THAT BIRD   (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 20.00 5% 19.00 18.90  
  (by STEPHANOATSEE out of ASPREE by FREUD)
 
SAR-2   07/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTO THE SUNRISE   (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 9.10  
FAUCI   (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 4.00 2.65  
FLUID SITUATION   (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 25% 3.00 4.70 S
COMEDY TOWN   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00 4.40  
KING ANGELO   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 26% 2.90 1.65  
SOUPER SUCCESS   (abreu fern)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 15% 5.60 10.40  
SCR  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
SCR  GUNTOWN   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
SCR  LOOMS BOLDLY   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM   (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
SCR  SCOCCIATORE   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 4.00    
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS   (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
 
SAR-3   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIVER TAY (IRE)   (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.80 W
CATSKILL HUMOR   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 3.80  
1A  LOOKINFORBARGAINS   (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 38% 1.70 2.20 S
VOLATILITY   (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 2.50  
ST. BENEDICTS PREP   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 2.20  
KATIE'S CHECKRIDE   (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 12.50  
DREAM FLY   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 32% 2.10 9.00  
WONDER GIRL   (klesaris rob)TORRES A 113 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
NURSEKRINGLEDANCES   (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
SCR  GRACEFUL   (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00    
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR)   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  PARTY AT GRANTS   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
SCR  TROPE   (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
SAR-4   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HYDRA   (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 7% 12.60 7.30 W
EVERYONELOVESLINDA   (barker edwar)TORRES A 115 10.00 14.50  
AWESOME INDRA   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 30% 2.40 13.00 S
QUICK MUNNY   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40 32% 2.20 0.95  
I'M BUZZY   (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 3.55  
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE   (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 10.00  
TRIPLE P   (jones edua)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00 58.75  
ICY STARE DOWN   (ferraro )SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SCR  MY SWEET WIFE   (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
 
SAR-5   07/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLOQUY   (morley thoma)TORRES A 120 1.40 40% 1.50 1.30 W
JACKSON HEIGHTS   (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 15% 5.50 2.25 P
BETA   (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 125 3.50 21% 3.90 4.60 S
KAZ PALACE   (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 7.00  
SOUNDS SPOOKY   (jones edua)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00 52.00  
ACH DU LIEBER   (breed jr)DAVIS KATIE 125 15.00 30.25  
SON OF AN EX   (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 125 8.00 14.70  
DR. MARBOOZ   (davis ro)DAVIS A 125 10.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
 
SAR-6   07/28/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FARADAY   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 7.00  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
SMART UNCLE   (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 7% 13.80 4.70 DQ↓3
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
SWORE   (motion g)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 32% 2.10 2.05 P
  (by BROKEN VOW out of CARA BELLA by EQUATION)
10  TOOFAREASTISWEST   (trombetta michael)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 5.70  
  (by STREET SENSE out of EMPRESS MAKER by EMPIRE MAKER)
TYPHOON LAGOON   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14.00  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SACRED RHYME   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 32% 2.10 3.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLIRT by HALOS AND HORNS)
ASTHROS   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 5% 18.30 15.40  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of PACHATTACK by PULPIT)
WILD GUESS   (lewis lisa )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 54.25  
  (by JUSTIFY out of CONQUEST by GALILEO (ARG))
PILKINGTON   (diodoro r)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 44.00  
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
BEE WELL   (sisterson j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00 34.00  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BERNARDETTE by A.P. INDY)
 
SAR-7   07/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISARMED   (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 36% 1.70 2.75 W
CITY MISCHIEF   (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 38% 1.60 2.05 P
HONOR AMONG MEN   (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00 19.60 S
KREESA   (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 6.20  
COURAGEOOUS OH LA   (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.00  
10  FEATHERS ROAD   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5.70  
11  NOBLE HUNTSMAN   (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11.20  
BRENNAN'S WAR   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 26.75  
LITTLE MADDY BROWN   (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 30.00 5% 19.00 42.25  
DR. SETTLE'S DREAM   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 11.10  
SCR  BURN JAKEY BURN   (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE   (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00    
 
SAR-8   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROVE RIGHT   (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 14% 6.10 0.90 W
WARRIOR RICHARD   (falcone )SANTANA JR 118 10.00 10.80  
STREET SWAGG   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 46% 1.20 3.00 S
DANGEROUS RIDE   (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50 8% 11.30 6.10  
DEVIL'S CAY   (miceli micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6% 16.30 11.60  
I RUN   (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00 23.90  
SOUND DOCTRINE   (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 10.60  
SCR  JOKING WAY   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE   (walder pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
 
SAR-9   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREDO   (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 8.00 4.50  
10  SKI PATROL   (thomas jonath)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.50 P
HARRY HOOD   (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 8% 12.00 3.95 S
MISTER ABARRIO   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 6% 15.60 19.80  
ARUBA (IRE)   (abreu r)ORTIZ L 125 8.00 5.90  
TIZ A GIANT   (trombetta m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
GAMER   (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 22% 3.50 4.30  
STJAMES   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 125 30.00 37.25  
ACAMAR   (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 30.00 59.25  
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE   (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 24.25  
SCR  MODERN MIDAS   (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY   (brown c)RIDER TBA 123 1.20    
SCR  MORNING CUP   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
 
SAR-10   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Amsterdam Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW YORK THUNDER   (delgado jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 11% 8.00 5.50 W
  (by NYQUIST out of START OVER by MIDSHIPMAN)
DEER DISTRICT   (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 8.40  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of EAGLE SOUND by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
DREW'S GOLD   (chapman james )ORTIZ L 122 1.80 46% 1.20 1.00 S
  (by VIOLENCE out of FROLIC'S REVENGE by VINDICATION)
GILMORE   (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 12% 7.10 3.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MY SURFER GIRL by HENNY HUGHES)
RYVIT   (asmussen)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 3.50  
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of SHE IS BEDAZZLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  JOEY FRESHWATER   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAKE TURKANA by MORE THAN READY)
 
SAR-11   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
URGENT FURY   (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00 7.00  
SIXWILLBERICH   (morley thoma)TORRES A 113 30.00 58.75  
10  VARIABLE COST (GB)   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 20% 4.10 3.35 S
NOSTALGIC ONE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00 7.20 DH
TIMO   (thomas jonath)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 34% 2.00 3.95  
11  HIGHEST RATED (IRE)   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
FAST BOAT TO SKYE   (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 4.50  
TWIRLING EXPRESS   (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 14% 6.00 9.60  
LASTLY   (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00 23.30  
BAD LARRY   (maker michae)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 10% 8.80 10.40  
12  FIRE BARON   (paragallo j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 40.50  
MISTER MOORE   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 31.00  
SCR  FIGHTING BACK   (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80    
SCR  VIGANO   (zito nicho)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.