Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Friday - July 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/8/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (1/2/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-4   Win (9/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-5   Win (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (3/1/2/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (7/5/8/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (7/9/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (10/6/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (1/10/6/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MITHRIDATES Jul15         (chichakly amir)TORRES A 114 50.00    
2  ERIC FROM MIAMI         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 6.00    
3  BUSTIN AWAY         (ferraro anthon)COA J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AGGELOS THE GREAT         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 ★    
5  JAKE'S ORCHARD Jul16         (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 119 15.00    
6  EZ ROLL         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
7  MISCHIEF JOKE Jun23 May12 Apr07     (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 65% 0.50    
8  SPLIT STRIKE Jun23         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50 10% 9.20    
9  LOVE THAT BIRD         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-2   07/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING ANGELO May20 Mar30 Feb18 Jan13 Dec17 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  SURPRISE BOSS Jun10 May06 Apr23 Mar19 Oct23 (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
3  FLUID SITUATION May04 Feb18 Jan20 Dec17 Oct16 (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 25% 3.00    
4  COMEDY TOWN Jun01 Apr13 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Jun21 May20 Apr08 Nov05 Oct08 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 122 1.80    
6  SOUPER SUCCESS Jun15 Jun01 Apr29 Mar12 Feb03 (abreu fernan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 15% 5.60    
7  INTO THE SUNRISE Jun15 Apr13 Jan28 Jan01 Oct08 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
8  FAUCI Oct27 Sep02 Jul29 Jul04 Jun09 (antonacci )SANTANA JR 122 4.00    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM Jun25 Apr21 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
SCR  LOOMS BOLDLY Jun26 May29 Apr15 Mar19 Feb20 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50    
SCR  SCOCCIATORE Jun09 May20 Apr30 Mar30 Feb10 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 122 4.00    
SCR  GUNTOWN May13 Apr22 Mar26 Feb25 Jan29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 2.00    
 
SAR-3   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ST. BENEDICTS PREP Jun23 May12 Sep04 Jul31   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00    
1A  LOOKINFORBARGAINS Oct14         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  DREAM FLY Sep08 Aug25 Jul14 May27   (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 124 5.00 32% 2.10    
3  CATSKILL HUMOR Oct22         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00    
4  KATIE'S CHECKRIDE Jul07 Mar31       (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
5  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Jun11 May18 Apr15 Nov10 Sep22 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  VOLATILITY Jul07 Jun02 May07 Mar11 Feb04 (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 118 3.50    
7  WONDER GIRL Jul03 Jun02 May12 Apr16 Mar10 (klesaris rober)TORRES A 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TROPE Aug23         (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
9  RIVER TAY (IRE) Jun24 Jun02       (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL Jun02 May26 Apr28 Mar17 Jan13 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 50.00    
SCR  PARIS STYLE (FR) Jul15 Apr07       (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
SCR  PARTY AT GRANTS May02 Mar16       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
 
SAR-4   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($72K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MY SWEET WIFE Mar25 Feb10 Jan28 Dec16 Nov10 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
2  HYDRA Jun24 May12 Apr07 Feb10 Jan27 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 7% 12.60    
3  EVERYONELOVESLINDA May28 Dec02 Oct14 Jun19 May07 (barker edward )TORRES A 115 10.00    
4  AWESOME INDRA Jul04 May27 Feb17 Dec26 Oct14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 30% 2.40    
5  CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Jul04 Jun02 May12 Apr06 Mar18 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
6  ICY STARE DOWN Jul04 May04 Mar12 Feb20 Jan01 (ferraro ja)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  I'M BUZZY Jul04 Jun18 May07 Apr16 Mar11 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
8  TRIPLE P Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 May07 Apr13 (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00    
9  QUICK MUNNY Jun23 May28 Apr29 Jan14 Dec17 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.40 32% 2.20    
 
SAR-5   07/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SON OF AN EX Jul03 Jun02 May06 Mar18 Mar10 (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 125 8.00    
2  KAZ PALACE Jul05 Jun03 May19 Mar29 Mar17 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
3  DR. MARBOOZ Jun17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec09 Nov15 (davis robb)DAVIS A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JACKSON HEIGHTS May29 Dec17 Oct30 Sep29 Aug26 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.00 15% 5.50    
5  BETA Jul12 Jun26 Jun13 Nov16 Oct24 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 125 3.50 21% 3.90    
6  SOUNDS SPOOKY Mar31 Mar11 Mar05 Feb17 Dec30 (jones eduard)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 50.00    
7  COLLOQUY Jul03 May13 Apr13 Mar24 Feb19 (morley thomas)TORRES A 120 1.40 40% 1.50    
8  ACH DU LIEBER Jul18 Jun28 May31 May15 Nov21 (breed jr)GOMEZ O 125 15.00    
 
SAR-6   07/28/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWORE Jul07 May25       (motion gra)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  SMART UNCLE Jun11 May25       (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 118 3.50 7% 13.80    
3  SACRED RHYME May14         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  BEE WELL May17 Apr27 Mar18 Dec10 Nov05 (sisterson jac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
5  TYPHOON LAGOON Jun02 Mar22 Feb08 Jan22 Jun11 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
6  PILKINGTON         (diodoro rob)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
7  ASTHROS Jul01 Jun09       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 5% 18.30    
8  WILD GUESS May20 Dec03 Oct12     (lewis l)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  FARADAY Oct23         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
10  TOOFAREASTISWEST Jun16 May20 Apr15     (trombetta j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
 
SAR-7   07/28/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOOUS OH LA Apr25 Nov08 Oct30 Oct01 Sep04 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DR. SETTLE'S DREAM Jul04 Jun09 Nov26 Sep23   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00    
3  BRENNAN'S WAR Jun18 May19 Jan08 Nov18 Oct07 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00    
4  LITTLE MADDY BROWN Jul12 Jun20 Oct24 Aug24 Jul26 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  DISARMED Jun24 May28 May05 Apr07 Mar04 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00 36% 1.70    
6  KREESA Jul04 Jun09 May29 May05 Sep25 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
7  CITY MISCHIEF Dec22 Nov27 Jan27     (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 38% 1.60    
8  HONOR AMONG MEN Jul03 Jun05 Jul13 Jun20 May16 (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BURN JAKEY BURN Jul08 Jul17       (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
10  FEATHERS ROAD Jul04 Jun09 May13 Apr15 Aug27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
11  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Jul02 Jun09 May19 Apr13 Nov26 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
SCR  ZEEBEAR Jul15 May29 May06 Apr15 Mar26 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.00    
SCR  CAMM' DUKE Jun09 Mar31 Mar05 Feb11 Jan21 (ryerson t)RIDER TBA 118 12.00    
 
SAR-8   07/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3 ALL PT- 5:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL'S CAY Jul07 May18 Mar24 Mar02 Dec22 (miceli michael)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Jun04 Dec30 Dec03 Oct15 Sep29 (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
3  I RUN Jun29 May26       (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 20.00    
4  WARRIOR RICHARD Jul04 May27 Apr23 Mar31 Mar12 (falcone ro)SANTANA JR 118 10.00    
5  DANGEROUS RIDE Jun05 May06 Mar26 Mar04 Jan29 (david a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.50 8% 11.30    
6  SOUND DOCTRINE Jun24 May25 Mar17     (d'angelo jose )CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
7  STREET SWAGG Jun11 Apr12 Mar16 Nov03 Sep21 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  JOKING WAY Jun15 Apr29 Mar05 Jan20 Nov26 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.50    
9  PROVE RIGHT Jul01 May20 Apr08 Mar31 Mar06 (chapman k)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 14% 6.10    
 
SAR-9   07/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARUBA (IRE) Jul08 May05 Mar25 Jan22 Nov10 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 125 8.00    
2  STJAMES Jun04 May11 Mar24 Feb02 Dec29 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 125 30.00    
3  FREDO Jun09 May14 Apr22 Mar19 Feb17 (sano antonio)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00    
4  MISTER ABARRIO Jun25 Jun04 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 6% 15.60    
5  TIZ A GIANT May19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep02 Aug10 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GAMER Jun24 Jun01 Apr26 Mar25 Mar02 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
7  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Jul03 Jun18 May06 Mar26 Feb26 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00    
8  HARRY HOOD Jun22 May21 Mar12     (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 8% 12.00    
9  ACAMAR Jun25 May20 May05 Apr22 Mar30 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 125 30.00    
10  SKI PATROL May06 Mar17 Jan29 Dec03 Jan13 (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  MONEY SUPPLY Apr01 Jan14 Dec18 Oct29 Aug06 (brown c)RIDER TBA 123 1.20    
SCR  MORNING CUP Jul01 May04 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
SCR  MODERN MIDAS Jul01 May14 Apr16 Mar19 Feb12 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
 
SAR-10   07/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC13 FAST Amsterdam Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREW'S GOLD Jun10 May12 Feb11 Jan28 May12 (chapman k)ORTIZ L 122 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  JOEY FRESHWATER Jul16 Jul01 May20 May12 Apr08 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
3  DEER DISTRICT May28 May06 Apr08 Nov26 Oct09 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
4  GILMORE Jun10 May06 Apr08 Mar04 Feb11 (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 12% 7.10    
5  RYVIT Jul02 May20 Apr29 Apr14 Mar25 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 124 3.00    
6  NEW YORK THUNDER Apr30 Dec30 Nov27     (delgado jorg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
SAR-11   07/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMO Jan04 Nov30 Oct22 Sep06 Aug19 (thomas jonathan)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
2  FAST BOAT TO SKYE Jul01 Jun17 May05 Apr13 Feb11 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
3  URGENT FURY Aug28 Jul30       (ortiz alexa)ROSARIO JOEL 118 10.00    
4  BAD LARRY Jun03 May14 Mar25     (maker michael )CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 10% 8.80    
5  SIXWILLBERICH Jun18 Feb24 Dec10 Nov06   (morley thomas)TORRES A 113 30.00    
6  TWIRLING EXPRESS Jun30 May20 Apr23     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 14% 6.00    
7  NOSTALGIC ONE Jul07 Dec10       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
8  LASTLY Jul16         (lerman s)GEROUX FLORENT 124 15.00    
9  MISTER MOORE Jun18 May27 Apr16 Mar10   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
10  VARIABLE COST (GB) May27 May11       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
11  HIGHEST RATED (IRE) Jul07 May21 Apr20     (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  FIRE BARON Jul09 Jun15 May27 Apr01 Mar12 (paragallo jen)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  VIGANO Apr08 Mar03 Apr16 Mar13 Jan28 (zito nichola)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00    
SCR  FIGHTING BACK Jul09 Jun10       (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.