Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $11.02 $5.02 84%
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-3 $28.38 $16.38 137%
ELP-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.52 $3.52 59%
    DD (3/4/6)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-1 $27.99 $18.99 211%
ELP-4   WIN (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $9.90 $1.90 24%
ELP-9   WIN (5/6/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $14.18 $4.18 42%
    EXA (5/6/8/9/1)-(5/6/8/9/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00  8-1 $150.64 $110.64 277%
    TRI (5/6/8/9/1)-(5/6/8/9/1)-(5/6/8/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-1-5 $216.78 $186.78 623%
    SFT (5/6/8/9/1)-(5/6/8/9/1)-(5/6/8/9/1)-(5/6/8/9/1) 120 $0.10 $12.00  8-1-5-9 $415.49 $403.49 3362%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHOW ME GRACE 4 2 1½ 13   15 17¼ (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 24% 3.20 4.51 W
3  TAP N SWAY 3 5 52 23   25 27¼ (shirer ma)TORRES A 120 0.80 24% 3.20 1.03 P
1  DUPLICITOUS 1 3 41½ 54   36½ 39¼ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 2.55  
6  PRINCESS NINA 6 1 31½ 33   49½ 417½ (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11% 8.00 12.45  
5  HIGH SPEED 5 4 2½ 43½   511½ 519½ (delacruz joe)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 18.24  
2  SHE DAZZLE 2 6 65½ 68   614 623 (o'connor robe)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 6.64  
 
ELP-2   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RABBIT HOUND 1 1 1½ 12 12 13½ 12½ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 26% 2.80 3.76 W
6  FIGHTING BACK 6 6 54 54½ 44 45 22½ (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 8.51  
5  MY UNCLE FRANK 5 4 43 32½ 22 23½ 32½ (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 3.50 20% 3.90 5.05 S
2  CREPE YARNS 2 5 64½ 64¾ 55½ 34½ 43¾ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 23.19  
3  GUCCI BOY 3 2 2½ 22 32 55 59 (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 4.27  
4  ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 3 31½ 42½ 67½ 613 622¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 33% 2.10 0.99  
 
ELP-3   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:141 1:262   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BEAUTIFUL DANCER 7 7 78 711½ 62 41 1nk (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 9.85  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of DREAM DANCING by TAPIT)
3  KESSEL 3 6 67½ 611 72½ 62½ 2nk (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 12.42  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of CHEEKY CHERUB by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6  BACKSTRETCH ROSE 5 5 56 510 3.2 2½ 3.15 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 15% 5.70 1.86 S
  (by ARMY MULE out of CHOLENA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
10  URBAN DREAMER 9 4 34 38½ 2nk 1½ 4½ (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 14.38  
  (by WAR FRONT out of AWESOME DIAMOND (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
1  KRICKLE 1 1 21½ 26½ 1nk 31 54¼ (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00 8.35  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of FRISCO GIRL by QUALITY ROAD)
11  ISLE OF HOPE 10 10 99½ 913½ 84 74½ 64¾ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 38% 1.60 3.47  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
4  WHIMSICALLY 4 2 45½ 49 51¾ 52 75¾ (devaux ch)TORRES A 119 8.00 5.83  
  (by UNCLE MO out of COMING ATTRACTION by TAPIT)
2  GLOSSY LIFE 2 11 89½ 813 94½ 84¾ 87¼ (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00 28.96 DH
  (by GET STORMY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  DOOBLAY 8 12 1111¾ 1015 105½ 96¾ 87¼ (desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 52.42 DH
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of BRIDGE GAME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
12  OUR GIRL FLINT 11 9 109¾ 1115 115½ 107¼ 109¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 12.00 24.16  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of SUGARANDICE by DIXIE UNION)
13  HER BEST FRIEND 12 8 1212¾ 1216½ 1211½ 1117¼ 1121¼ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 20.35  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SWEET PISTOL by SMART STRIKE)
7  NEXT DOT 6 3 11½ 16½ 41¾ 1219¼ 1243½ (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00 60.75  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TWO BELOW by HAT TRICK (JPN))
SCR  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN               (sims matthew )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MISS GRIDLEY by STREET BOSS)
SCR  YELLOW SUN DRESS               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of FRIPPERY by CITY ZIP)
 
ELP-4   07/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:094     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAC DADDY TOO 7 1 11 1nk   1½ 1¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.95 W
5  SPEND BENJAMINS 5 5 63½ 62¼   52¼ 2¼ (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 31.45  
3  OSCAR ECLIPSE 3 3 21 2nk   2½ 3¼ (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 2.00 28% 2.50 2.00 S
1  OVERBORE 1 6 52½ 51¼   32 42 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 24.61  
4  PAGE ONE 4 4 41½ 4¼   62¼ 57¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.95  
6  PLAUSIBLE DENILE 6 2 31 3.2   42 68½ (divito ja)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 8.97  
2  GREENER PASTURES 2 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 16% 5.40 4.92  
 
ELP-5   07/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:121 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIGHWAY ROBBER 4 3 65 64½ 62½ 31½ 1¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 7.21  
8  TALL BOY 8 6 31 2½ 2½ 1nk 2¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 9% 9.70 2.90 P
3  MIRANDA RIGHTS 3 4 52½ 53½ 52 42 31½ (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 67% 0.50 2.07 S
6  PROMISE ME A RIDE 6 7 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 43 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5.54  
7  INTERLOCK EMPIRE 7 8 87¼ 86 84¼ 53½ 53½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 10.21  
1  QUATERNION 1 1 42 32 42 63¾ 64 (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 7.57  
5  WINNEMAC AVENUE 5 5 21 42½ 31 73¾ 74¾ (divito ja)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 23.97  
2  WINSTON WOLF 2 2 75¼ 75 74 85¼ 85¾ (oliver )DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.06  
 
ELP-6   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:132 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHARLIE WHISKEY 3 1 32 33 2nk 12 11 (vanden br)ROCCO S 118 2.50 28% 2.60 2.45 W
2  SHORTLY 2 3 53¼ 44 31 22 21 (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 4.27  
1  ROYAL DECADENCE 1 8 87¼ 75¾ 44½ 45½ 35¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 9.27  
7  MY FAVORITE UNCLE 7 6 109¾ 99¼ 66½ 57 45½ (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00 18% 4.50 6.45  
5  VALUABLE CARGO 5 2 2nk 22½ 1nk 32 55½ (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 9% 10.50 29.42  
8  LOCO 8 10 97¼ 86¾ 78½ 68½ 68½ (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 21.86  
6  I NINETY FIVE 6 5 1nk 12½ 55½ 720½ 730¾ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.54  
10  NORTHWIND 10 4 65¼ 109¼ 1013¾ 922½ 833¼ (hartman c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 22% 3.50 6.52  
4  MOON OVER DUBAI 4 9 76¾ 65½ 88¾ 821 934½ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 24.70  
9  AIRBIZ 9 7 43 55½ 912¼ 1030½ 1060 (maker j)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5.00  
 
ELP-7   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HIGH CLASS 1 2 1½ 1½   12½ 13¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.19 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EUROBOSS by STREET BOSS)
6  RED RIVER MAGIC 5 3 2½ 2½   22½ 23¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 1.56  
  (by JUSTIFY out of LEMHILL BASR by QUALITY ROAD)
11  FLAG FLYING 10 9 86½ 64   35 39¾ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 20% 4.10 7.42 S
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of HONEY RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
8  EMPIRICAL VIEW 7 10 109 86½   58½ 414 (divito james )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 8.23  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNOBSTRUCTED VIEW by YES IT'S TRUE)
3  PHAT CHANCE FANCY 2 4 31 32½   47 514 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 27.49  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of SPARKLING CITY by CAPE TOWN)
10  ROSARIO'S PRAYER 9 1 97½ 98   810 615¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 9% 10.10 18.98  
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of DESK JOB by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
5  ROYAL BLOOD 4 6 64½ 75½   69 716¾ (vaccarezz)TORRES A 119 4.50 10% 8.80 14.12  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of LE SANG ROYALE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
4  BADGELAND 3 5 53 53½   79 817¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 23.51  
  (by PAYNTER out of SCONNIE by TIZNOW)
7  A LOTTA WILD 6 8 75½ 109½   912 921 (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.67  
  (by ARROGATE out of SHE BE WILD by OFFLEE WILD)
9  CANDY BAR 8 7 42 43½   1014 1025½ (calhoun w)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 17.41  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SUGAR BABE by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  QUEEN OF MISSOULA               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SERENE QUEEN by EXPLICIT)
 
ELP-8   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:12 1:242   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GUNTON ROE 6 4 11½ 12½ 11 11 1¾ (lobo paul)TORRES A 122 15.00 15.89  
3  MAHAAMEL (IRE) 2 1 21½ 22½ 21 21 2¾ (londono g)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 36% 1.80 3.42 P
5  POINT ME BY 4 7 55½ 55 52¼ 42 31¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 2.00 41% 1.40 1.99 S
8  GREY STREAK 7 6 65½ 66 62¼ 53½ 42½ (rodriguez hugo)ROCCO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.52  
1  STOLEN BASE 1 2 33½ 33½ 32 32 52½ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 1.77  
6  GREYS THE BOY 5 5 77 77 73¾ 74½ 63¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 15.95  
4  LIFE IS HARD 3 3 44 44 42 64 75¼ (divito james )TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.21  
SCR  BOISE               (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  INTREPID HEART               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HOLY FOLEY 7 8 87¼ 96¼ 77 32½ 12¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 17.70 6.09 W
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of BELISSIMO by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  JENNIFER MY LOVE 1 1 1nk 22½ 22½ 21½ 22¼ (davis christ)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.13 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CRESPANO by MINESHAFT)
5  MAKE THE BOYS WINK 4 6 74¼ 85¾ 88½ 74¾ 32½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 47% 1.10 3.59 S
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PACIFIC PINK by PRIVATE VOW)
9  PREEMPT 8 2 2nk 12½ 12½ 11½ 43¼ (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.32  
  (by ARROGATE out of CENTRE COURT by SMART STRIKE)
6  TIGER TAP 5 7 53½ 64¾ 45 42½ 53¼ (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 22% 3.60 4.23  
  (by TAPIT out of TIGER RIDE by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10  MINDFUL 9 4 42 53¾ 66½ 53 64½ (devaux ch)TORRES A 124 6.00 5.57  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of TAPLESS by TAPIT)
3  CALM COOL 3 5 64 43½ 34½ 63¼ 77¼ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 27.89  
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
2  CATHERINE BLAZE 2 9 99¼ 75¾ 910 98¼ 87¾ (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 35.70  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CARRIE by GONE ASTRAY)
7  SNOW PRINCESS 6 3 31 33½ 56½ 87¼ 99½ (mott willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 3.39  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CANDY DRAWER by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  LETTER OF GOLD               (medina rober)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of CARTA DE ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.