Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $11.02 $11.02 5.02
ELP-2   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.52 $9.52 3.52
ELP-3   Win (11/6/7/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $21.70  
ELP-4   Win (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.90 $9.90 1.90
ELP-5   Win (3/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $16.42  
ELP-6   Win (3/10/7/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.90 $6.90  
ELP-7   Win (2/11/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $6.38 $6.38  
ELP-8   Win (5/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $33.78  
ELP-9   Win (5/6/8/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $14.18 $14.18 4.18

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :462 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW ME GRACE 4 2 1½ 13   15 1 (shorter aar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 24% 3.20 4.51 W
TAP N SWAY 3 5 52 23   25 2 (shirer matt)TORRES A 120 0.80 24% 3.20 1.03 P
DUPLICITOUS 1 3 4 54   3 3 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 2.55  
PRINCESS NINA 6 1 3 33   4 417½ (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11% 8.00 12.45  
HIGH SPEED 5 4 2½ 4   511½ 519½ (delacruz joel)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 18.24  
SHE DAZZLE 2 6 6 68   614 623 (o'connor robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00 6.64  
 
ELP-2   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RABBIT HOUND 1 1 1½ 12 12 1 1 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 26% 2.80 3.76 W
FIGHTING BACK 6 6 54 5 44 45 2 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 8.51  
MY UNCLE FRANK 5 4 43 3 22 2 3 (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 3.50 20% 3.90 5.05 S
CREPE YARNS 2 5 6 6 5 3 4 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00 23.19  
GUCCI BOY 3 2 2½ 22 32 55 59 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 4.27  
ABSOLUTE COURAGE 4 3 3 4 6 613 622¼ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 33% 2.10 0.99  
 
ELP-3   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:141 1:262   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTIFUL DANCER 7 7 78 711½ 62 41 1nk (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 9.85  
KESSEL 3 6 6 611 7 6 2nk (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 12.42  
BACKSTRETCH ROSE 5 5 56 510 3.2 2½ 3.15 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 15% 5.70 1.86 S
10  URBAN DREAMER 9 4 34 3 2nk 1½ 4½ (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 119 15.00 14.38  
KRICKLE 1 1 2 2 1nk 31 5 (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00 8.35  
11  ISLE OF HOPE 10 10 9 913½ 84 7 6 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 38% 1.60 3.47  
WHIMSICALLY 4 2 4 49 5 52 7 (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00 5.83  
GLOSSY LIFE 2 11 8 813 9 8 8 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00 28.96 DH
DOOBLAY 8 12 1111¾ 1015 10 9 8 (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 52.42 DH
12  OUR GIRL FLINT 11 9 10 1115 11 10 10 (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 12.00 24.16  
13  HER BEST FRIEND 12 8 1212¾ 1216½ 1211½ 1117¼ 1121¼ (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 20.35  
NEXT DOT 6 3 1 1 4 1219¼ 1243½ (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00 60.75  
SCR  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN               (sims p)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
SCR  YELLOW SUN DRESS               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
 
ELP-4   07/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:094     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAC DADDY TOO 7 1 11 1nk   1½ 1¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 5% 19.00 3.95 W
SPEND BENJAMINS 5 5 6 6   5 2¼ (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 31.45  
OSCAR ECLIPSE 3 3 21 2nk   2½ 3¼ (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 2.00 28% 2.50 2.00 S
OVERBORE 1 6 5 5   32 42 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 24.61  
PAGE ONE 4 4 4 4¼   6 5 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.95  
PLAUSIBLE DENILE 6 2 31 3.2   42 6 (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 8.97  
GREENER PASTURES 2 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 16% 5.40 4.92  
 
ELP-5   07/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:121 1:354   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBER 4 3 65 6 6 3 1¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 7.21  
TALL BOY 8 6 31 2½ 2½ 1nk 2¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 9% 9.70 2.90 P
MIRANDA RIGHTS 3 4 5 5 52 42 3 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 67% 0.50 2.07 S
PROMISE ME A RIDE 6 7 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 43 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5.54  
INTERLOCK EMPIRE 7 8 8 86 8 5 5 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 10.21  
QUATERNION 1 1 42 32 42 6 64 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50 7.57  
WINNEMAC AVENUE 5 5 21 4 31 7 7 (divito jame)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00 23.97  
WINSTON WOLF 2 2 7 75 74 8 8 (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.06  
 
ELP-6   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:132 1:261   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE WHISKEY 3 1 32 33 2nk 12 11 (vanden brit)ROCCO S 118 2.50 28% 2.60 2.45 W
SHORTLY 2 3 5 44 31 22 21 (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 4.27  
ROYAL DECADENCE 1 8 8 7 4 4 3 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 9.27  
MY FAVORITE UNCLE 7 6 10 9 6 57 4 (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00 18% 4.50 6.45  
VALUABLE CARGO 5 2 2nk 2 1nk 32 5 (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 9% 10.50 29.42  
LOCO 8 10 9 8 7 6 6 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00 21.86  
I NINETY FIVE 6 5 1nk 1 5 720½ 730¾ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.54  
10  NORTHWIND 10 4 6 10 1013¾ 922½ 833¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 22% 3.50 6.52  
MOON OVER DUBAI 4 9 7 6 8 821 934½ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 24.70  
AIRBIZ 9 7 43 5 912¼ 1030½ 1060 (maker j)LANERIE J 118 12.00 5.00  
 
ELP-7   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH CLASS 1 2 1½ 1½   1 1 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 39% 1.60 2.19 W
RED RIVER MAGIC 5 3 2½ 2½   2 2 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 1.56  
11  FLAG FLYING 10 9 8 64   35 3 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 20% 4.10 7.42 S
EMPIRICAL VIEW 7 10 109 8   5 414 (divito p)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00 8.23  
PHAT CHANCE FANCY 2 4 31 3   47 514 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 27.49  
10  ROSARIO'S PRAYER 9 1 9 98   810 615¾ (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 9% 10.10 18.98  
ROYAL BLOOD 4 6 6 7   69 716¾ (vaccarezza )TORRES A 119 4.50 10% 8.80 14.12  
BADGELAND 3 5 53 5   79 817¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 23.51  
A LOTTA WILD 6 8 7 10   912 921 (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 26.67  
CANDY BAR 8 7 42 4   1014 1025½ (calhoun wil)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 17.41  
SCR  QUEEN OF MISSOULA               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
 
ELP-8   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:12 1:242   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUNTON ROE 6 4 1 1 11 11 1¾ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 15.00 15.89  
MAHAAMEL (IRE) 2 1 2 2 21 21 2¾ (londono gen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 36% 1.80 3.42 P
POINT ME BY 4 7 5 55 5 42 3 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 2.00 41% 1.40 1.99 S
GREY STREAK 7 6 6 66 6 5 4 (rodriguez hugo)ROCCO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00 18.52  
STOLEN BASE 1 2 3 3 32 32 5 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 1.77  
GREYS THE BOY 5 5 77 77 7 7 6 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00 15.95  
LIFE IS HARD 3 3 44 44 42 64 7 (divito p)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.21  
SCR  BOISE               (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
SCR  INTREPID HEART               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION               (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
SCR  TIWANAKU               (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:121 1:241   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLY FOLEY 7 8 8 9 77 3 1 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 17.70 6.09 W
JENNIFER MY LOVE 1 1 1nk 2 2 2 2 (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 6.13 P
MAKE THE BOYS WINK 4 6 7 8 8 7 3 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 47% 1.10 3.59 S
PREEMPT 8 2 2nk 1 1 1 4 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00 11.32  
TIGER TAP 5 7 5 6 45 4 5 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 22% 3.60 4.23  
10  MINDFUL 9 4 42 5 6 53 6 (devaux cher)TORRES A 124 6.00 5.57  
CALM COOL 3 5 64 4 3 6 7 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00 27.89  
CATHERINE BLAZE 2 9 9 7 910 9 8 (leonard iii)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 35.70  
SNOW PRINCESS 6 3 31 3 5 8 9 (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50 3.39  
SCR  LETTER OF GOLD               (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.