Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.

Ellis Park
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (11/6/2/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (4/3/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (3/8/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (3/10/7/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (2/11/5/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (5/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (5/6/8/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($29K) 4UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUPLICITOUS May28 May10 Apr08 Jan28 Nov03 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
SHE DAZZLE Dec23 Dec07 Oct17 Aug27 Jul15 (o'connor robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 5.00    
TAP N SWAY May23 Jan20 Nov21 Sep28 Sep01 (shirer matt)TORRES A 120 0.80 24% 3.20    
SHOW ME GRACE Jun16 Apr15 Mar24 Feb18 Jan16 (shorter aar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 5.00 24% 3.20    
HIGH SPEED May26 May14 Apr22 Mar26 Feb04 (delacruz joel)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
PRINCESS NINA Apr12 Mar17 Feb16 Jan04 Dec07 (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11% 8.00    
 
ELP-2   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RABBIT HOUND Jun16 Sep13 Aug20     (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
CREPE YARNS Jun17 Jun01 Nov26 Oct30 Sep29 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 111 8.00    
GUCCI BOY Jun15 Apr08 Feb24 Jan28 Oct15 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00    
ABSOLUTE COURAGE Jun23 May26 May14 Jan27 Dec18 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.80 33% 2.10    
MY UNCLE FRANK Jun17         (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 3.50 20% 3.90    
FIGHTING BACK Jun10         (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
 
ELP-3   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRICKLE May26 May11 Apr19     (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 6.00    
GLOSSY LIFE         (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
KESSEL Jun15         (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
WHIMSICALLY         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SCR  YELLOW SUN DRESS Apr28         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50    
BACKSTRETCH ROSE Jun16         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 15% 5.70    
NEXT DOT Apr28 Apr12       (hancock a)NAVAS YOEL 112 20.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTIFUL DANCER Jun16         (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
DOOBLAY         (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  URBAN DREAMER         (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 119 15.00    
11  ISLE OF HOPE         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 38% 1.60    
12  OUR GIRL FLINT         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
13  HER BEST FRIEND         (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
SCR  STAIRSTEP TOHEAVEN Jun10 Apr26       (sims p)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 12.00    
 
ELP-4   07/09/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERBORE Jun17 Apr28 Aug24 Aug13 Apr13 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
GREENER PASTURES Jun04 May21 Apr22 Mar10 Jan27 (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
OSCAR ECLIPSE Jun04 Aug27 Jul24     (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 2.00 28% 2.50    
PAGE ONE May21 Apr13 Feb24 Jan27 Nov04 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
SPEND BENJAMINS Jun10 May06 Apr22 Mar26 Mar10 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
PLAUSIBLE DENILE Jun01 Mar03 Feb10 Jan13 Dec16 (divito jame)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
MAC DADDY TOO Jun18 May19 Apr16 Feb18 Jan08 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   07/09/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($74K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUATERNION Jun10 May06 Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 120 4.50    
WINSTON WOLF Jun17 May17 Aug28     (oliver vi)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
MIRANDA RIGHTS Jun17 Mar04 Feb11 Jan05 Dec02 (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 67% 0.50    
HIGHWAY ROBBER May28 Nov26 Sep23     (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
WINNEMAC AVENUE May04 Apr22 Feb03 Dec31 Oct30 (divito jame)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
PROMISE ME A RIDE May06 Mar19       (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
INTERLOCK EMPIRE Apr22 Apr01 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
TALL BOY Jun10 May06 Dec17 Nov26 Sep05 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 3.50 9% 9.70    
 
ELP-6   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL DECADENCE Jun21 May25 May06 Jan28 Dec31 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SHORTLY Mar04 Feb04 Jan28 Dec02 Nov11 (hancock dana)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
CHARLIE WHISKEY Jun17 May21 Apr29 Apr08 Mar09 (vanden brit)ROCCO S 118 2.50 28% 2.60    
MOON OVER DUBAI May29 Apr30 Mar19 Feb17 Dec31 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
VALUABLE CARGO Jun22 Apr27 Jan06     (miller jerom)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 9% 10.50    
I NINETY FIVE Jun15 Oct05 Sep11     (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00    
MY FAVORITE UNCLE May29 Apr29 Mar11 Feb25 Feb10 (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 117 8.00 18% 4.50    
LOCO Jun22 Nov09 Oct12 Sep17 Jun22 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
AIRBIZ Aug21         (maker j)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
10  NORTHWIND Jun16 May29 Apr14 Feb03   (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.00 22% 3.50    
 
ELP-7   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEEN OF MISSOULA         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
HIGH CLASS Nov23 Oct30 Sep25 Jul31   (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
PHAT CHANCE FANCY Jun17         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
BADGELAND Mar08 Dec31 Nov24     (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
ROYAL BLOOD Jun02 May14 Apr23 Apr07 Mar18 (vaccarezza )TORRES A 119 4.50 10% 8.80    
RED RIVER MAGIC         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
A LOTTA WILD         (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
EMPIRICAL VIEW         (divito p)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 8.00    
CANDY BAR         (calhoun wil)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
10  ROSARIO'S PRAYER May22 Mar11 Feb11 Dec18   (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 15.00 9% 10.10    
11  FLAG FLYING         (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 20% 4.10    
 
ELP-8   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOLEN BASE May19 Dec26 Nov27 Oct29 Aug05 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50    
SCR  BOISE Jun04 May19 May04 Feb24 Jan28 (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
MAHAAMEL (IRE) Jun11 May19 Feb24 Feb11 Jan08 (londono gen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
LIFE IS HARD Apr22 Mar17 Feb05 Jun05 May07 (divito p)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
POINT ME BY May05 Apr13 Nov18 Oct09 Sep05 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
GREYS THE BOY Jun04 May03 Mar22 Jan26 Dec19 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
GUNTON ROE Jan21 Dec28 Sep14 Aug14 Jul12 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 15.00    
GREY STREAK Jun17 May21 Mar10 Feb17 Jan18 (rodriguez hugo)ROCCO S 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TIWANAKU Jun10 May11 Mar26 Nov02 Oct01 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00    
SCR  INTREPID HEART Jun11 May18 Feb20 Jan21 Dec26 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 122 8.00    
SCR  KING'S OVATION Jun11 May18 Apr23 Feb02 Nov23 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/09/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JENNIFER MY LOVE Jun25         (davis christop)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
CATHERINE BLAZE Jun22 Jun10 Apr28 Apr13 Mar24 (leonard georg)PETERSON FERRIN 118 20.00    
CALM COOL Feb26 Feb09       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
SCR  LETTER OF GOLD Dec11 Oct22 Sep14 Aug21   (medina robert)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
MAKE THE BOYS WINK Apr19 Mar16 Feb05 Jan08   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.00 47% 1.10    
TIGER TAP May20 Apr01 Feb11 Dec26 Sep08 (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
SNOW PRINCESS Jun03 Apr23 Mar16     (mott william)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.50    
HOLY FOLEY May29 May03 Apr01 Feb16 Nov10 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 17.70    
PREEMPT Jun17 Apr12       (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  MINDFUL Mar23         (devaux cher)TORRES A 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.