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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-3			WIN	(5/2/4)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$17.78			$11.78				196%
			EXA	(5/2/4)-(5/2/4)						6	$2.00	$12.00	4-5		$39.80			$27.80				232%
			TRI	(5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4)						6	$0.50	$3.00	4-5-2		$31.00			$28.00				933%
ELP-4			WIN	(5/9/6/1/4)						5	$2.00	$10.00	1		$14.14			$4.14				41%
			DD	(5/2/4)-(5/9/6/1/4)						15	$1.00	$15.00	4-1		$60.48			$45.48				303%
ELP-5			DD	(5/9/6/1/4)-(6/2/1/5)						20	$1.00	$20.00	1-2		$28.96			$8.96				45%
			PK3	(5/2/4)-(5/9/6/1/4)-(6/2/1/5)						60	$0.50	$30.00	4-1-2		$105.94			$75.94				253%
ELP-9			WIN	(11/8/9/10/7)						5	$2.00	$10.00	11		$12.70			$2.70				27%
			EXA	(11/8/9/10/7)-(11/8/9/10/7)						20	$2.00	$40.00	11-7		$155.80			$115.80				290%
			TRI	(11/8/9/10/7)-(11/8/9/10/7)-(11/8/9/10/7)						60	$0.50	$30.00	11-7-8		$170.56			$140.56				469%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			06/22/2023		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($10K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		ALL		PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	SWAGGISH									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.00		25%		3.10		1.87	W
1	KING OF KENTUCKY									(combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 118						1.80		26%		2.90		1.26	P
4	SCOTCH NO ROCKS									(roberson )HERNANDEZ J 124						5.00		25%		3.00		9.05	S
3	VALUABLE CARGO									(miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						6.00						9.35
2	CAMP GRAY									(foley greg)CHUAN MARTIN 118						8.00						20.77
7	LOCO									(cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 117						12.00		5%		19.00		6.62
5	COUSIN ODELL									(wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118						8.00						18.72
SCR	DAVID'S TUITION									(baker jam)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						12.00

ELP-2			06/22/2023		3630ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			2		ALL		PT- 1:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	FIFTH AVENUE									(mott riley)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.50						2.44
		(by STREET SENSE out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8	LAMBO									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119						2.50		35%		1.80		0.98	P
		(by UNCLE MO out of SUNSHINY DAY by BERNARDINI)
5	HEY JOE JOE									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						6.00		5%		19.00		2.40	S
		(by CONSTITUTION out of PEACH BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
6	EL PELIGRO									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119						6.00		34%		1.90		8.14
		(by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SYMPATHY by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
1	TECHNE									(guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 112						30.00						63.52
		(by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
SCR	BERNIN HOT									(davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119						4.00
		(by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
SCR	DAILY GRIND									(lukas w)TORRES A 119						6.00
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of WALK CLOSE by TAPIT)
SCR	GOLDEN SYMPHONY									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						8.00
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)

ELP-3			06/22/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($127K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:43
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	HEARTBREAKER									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 126						8.00		5%		19.00		7.89	W
5	EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						1.20		55%		0.80		0.53	P
2	TEPEU									(walsh br)SANTANA JR 126						10.00		14%		6.10		6.55	S
3	GRAPHIC DETAIL									(lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 124						3.50						3.12
6	COMMUNICATION MEMO									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						4.00						12.60
SCR	FAMILY MAN									(medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124						5.00

ELP-4			06/22/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	HARRY HOOD									(brown ch)SANTANA JR 118						3.50		5%		19.00		6.07	W
		(by FIRST SAMURAI out of DESTINY UNBOUND by GALILEO (ARG))
8	BABA VOSS									(walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						5.00						2.25
		(by EMPIRE MAKER out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
7	BRIGADE COMMANDER									(stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						8.00						16.25
		(by HARD SPUN out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5	NOISES OFF									(lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118						4.00		55%		0.80		3.93
		(by CANDY RIDE out of UZZIEL by HARLINGTON)
10	MO SATURDAYS									(stall m)LANERIE J 118						5.00						3.98
		(by MO TOWN out of MIGHTY KATHERINE by SEEKING THE DIA)
9	NOW THAT ICAN ROCK									(michael brian)COURT K 118						8.00		14%		6.30		17.65
		(by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
4	BOONE'S PATH									(young ter)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125						20.00		5%		19.00		32.58
		(by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INDIAN CARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2	CREATIVE WAY									(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118						12.00						11.67
		(by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PROUD AND FEARLESS by PROUD CITIZEN)
3	TESTIMONY TIME									(brumley william )NAVAS YOEL 118						30.00						70.75
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)
6	DAI VERNON									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118						4.50		5%		19.00		6.94
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of CHARLADORA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR	COACH PETRO									(estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118						15.00
		(by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
SCR	REAL NAUGHTY									(hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						15.00
		(by CONGRATS out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR	SMOKEY MANDATE									(maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118						4.00
		(by STRONG MANDATE out of EVEN FOREST by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR	SURFACE TO AIR									(miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						6.00
		(by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)

ELP-5			06/22/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($50K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	SUMMERTIME ROSE									(sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						2.50		21%		3.80		1.60	W
4	PADDY GAL									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118						8.00						8.74
3	CATHERINE BLAZE									(leonard i)BEJARANO R 118						12.00						14.20
5	TRUISM									(drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118						8.00		5%		19.00		8.59
1	MIKITA									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						4.00		11%		7.70		4.30
6	AUTISM COMMUNITY									(wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118						3.00		42%		1.40		4.54
7	MALIBU SMART									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118						3.50						4.31

ELP-6			06/22/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC9	FAST	Starter Allowance ($30K)					Purse ($54K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	GROUP EIGHTEEN									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						12.00						7.15
2	MASTER GAME									(forster t)GRAHAM J 124						2.50		18%		4.50		2.60	P
5	JAY VEE BEE									(van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124						3.50						4.28
3	LONGSHADOW									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124						10.00		8%		11.20		16.13
6	CIRCLE BACK JACK									(garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 124						1.20		53%		0.90		0.94
4	BERNIE LOMAX									(childers)RODRIGUEZ A 119						8.00						18.37

ELP-7			06/22/2023		3630ft	TURF	RC3	FIRM	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	LINGUISTIC									(foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						2.50		18%		4.70		1.42	W
4	LAURA'S CHARM									(kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 121						20.00						30.45
1	AMERICAN STARLET									(ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116						1.80		54%		0.80		1.87	S
3	BOUDOIR BURLESQUE									(decker anna)MOJICA JR 121						10.00		5%		19.00		28.65
6	FROZEN SOLID									(lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121						6.00						7.07
7	ABOUKIR BAY									(barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121						5.00						11.48
8	FANNIE AND FREDDIE									(stall m)LANERIE J 121						12.00						9.49
5	ALTERED SHOT									(foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121						10.00		7%		12.90		18.59
9	ALARM CLOCK									(lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121						15.00		5%		19.00		26.98
SCR	HEADLAND									(asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121						4.50
SCR	LOVE OF MY HEART									(forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121						3.00
SCR	ROCK STAR PARKING									(contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121						4.00

ELP-8			06/22/2023		5280ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($80K)					Purse ($134K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MINNESOTA READY									(pessin l)LANERIE J 122						6.00						9.07
9	ROMAN CENTURIAN									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						15.00		5%		19.00		16.46	P
6	BOURBON HEIST									(wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115						4.00		14%		6.10		4.65	S
2	COMMANDPERFORMANCE									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122						5.00		12%		7.40		11.51
1	ICARUS									(van berg )TORRES A 122						20.00						16.82
4	GILDED AGE									(mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 122						5.00		13%		6.60		13.32
8	MAJOR FED									(foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122						12.00						12.67
7	KING OTTOMAN									(asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122						2.00		33%		2.00		1.55
3	BRIGADIER GENERAL									(stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122						12.00						4.71
10	COASTAL DEFENSE									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122						15.00						29.62

ELP-9			06/22/2023		5610ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($120K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:55
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	BERRETTINI									(mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118						3.50		38%		1.60		5.35	W
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7	ORBI ONE									(ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118						10.00		5%		19.00		10.74	P
		(by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
8	ROYAL SALUTE									(lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118						3.50		20%		4.10		4.53	S
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELOQUENTLY by DANSILI)
5	ATLANTIC DANCER									(zito p)BEJARANO R 125						10.00						16.41
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
2	SIX MISSIONS									(brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118						8.00						9.77
		(by RANSOM THE MOON out of UNCOMPLICATED by HALF OURS)
3	BRAGGADOCIOUS									(arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 125						6.00						18.68
		(by GUN RUNNER out of TIZ O' GOLD by CEE'S TIZZY)
10	CURLINS INCHARGE									(romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118						4.50		9%		10.40		10.48
		(by CURLIN out of SWEEPING PADDY by PADDY O'PRADO)
9	ST. NEOTS									(oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118						2.50		11%		7.80		1.25
		(by FLINTSHIRE out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
6	UNWRAPPED									(wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00						24.65
		(by UNCLE MO out of BELLEOFTHEBEACH by MASTER COMMAND)
4	CALL ME CASSIUS									(warpool shane)CANNON DECLAN 125						20.00						53.51
		(by VANCOUVER out of QUALITY PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR	PILKINGTON									(diodoro r)TORRES A 118						12.00
		(by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
SCR	SELF RULE									(preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 115						30.00
		(by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
SCR	TIZ WICKED STRONG									(baker james)GRAHAM J 118						12.00
		(by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
SCR	WE WILL CONQUER									(medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118						12.00
		(by ACCELERATE out of ASPIRING by SEEKING THE GOLD)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.