Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Thursday - June 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $17.78 $11.78 196%
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $39.80 $27.80 232%
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-5-2 $31.00 $28.00 933%
ELP-4   WIN (5/9/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $14.14 $4.14 41%
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/9/6/1/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-1 $60.48 $45.48 303%
ELP-5   DD (5/9/6/1/4)-(6/2/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  1-2 $28.96 $8.96 45%
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/9/6/1/4)-(6/2/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-1-2 $105.94 $75.94 253%
ELP-9   WIN (11/8/9/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $12.70 $2.70 27%
    EXA (11/8/9/10/7)-(11/8/9/10/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00  11-7 $155.80 $115.80 290%
    TRI (11/8/9/10/7)-(11/8/9/10/7)-(11/8/9/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  11-7-8 $170.56 $140.56 469%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   06/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SWAGGISH 7 2 1½ 12½   15½ 111¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 25% 3.10 1.87 W
1  KING OF KENTUCKY 1 4 2½ 22½   25½ 211¼ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 118 1.80 26% 2.90 1.26 P
4  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 4 1 56 610   512 317¾ (roberson )HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 25% 3.00 9.05 S
3  VALUABLE CARGO 3 7 44½ 47   410½ 417¾ (miller jer)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 9.35  
2  CAMP GRAY 2 3 32½ 32½   37½ 518¼ (foley greg)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 20.77  
7  LOCO 6 6 66 59½   612½ 622 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 117 12.00 5% 19.00 6.62  
5  COUSIN ODELL 5 5 76¼ 713   719½ 736¼ (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 118 8.00 18.72  
SCR  DAVID'S TUITION               (baker jam)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
 
ELP-2   06/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:23 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIFTH AVENUE 2 1 11 1½   14 15¼ (mott riley)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50 2.44  
  (by STREET SENSE out of PRINCESINHA JULIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  LAMBO 5 5 21 2½   24 25¼ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 35% 1.80 0.98 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUNSHINY DAY by BERNARDINI)
5  HEY JOE JOE 3 4 45 46½   410½ 314¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 19.00 2.40 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACH BREW by MILWAUKEE BREW)
6  EL PELIGRO 4 2 33 34½   39½ 415¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 6.00 34% 1.90 8.14  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of SYMPATHY by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
1  TECHNE 1 3 57½ 512½   516½ 525¼ (guerrero sal)NAVAS YOEL 112 30.00 63.52  
  (by KLIMT out of CTIMENE by CONSOLIDATOR)
SCR  BERNIN HOT               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 119 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LAVENDER BABY by RUBIANO)
SCR  DAILY GRIND               (lukas w)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of WALK CLOSE by TAPIT)
SCR  GOLDEN SYMPHONY               (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
 
ELP-3   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:114 1:233   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEARTBREAKER 3 3 12 11 1nk 1½ 1nk (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 7.89 W
5  EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 4 2 22 21 2nk 2½ 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.20 55% 0.80 0.53 P
2  TEPEU 1 4 53½ 31½ 44 44½ 36 (walsh br)SANTANA JR 126 10.00 14% 6.10 6.55 S
3  GRAPHIC DETAIL 2 1 43½ 52 33 34½ 47½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 124 3.50 3.12  
6  COMMUNICATION MEMO 5 5 33 42 57 58 512 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.00 12.60  
SCR  FAMILY MAN               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 124 5.00    
 
ELP-4   06/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:134 1:374   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARRY HOOD 1 1 11 11 1½ 12 11 (brown ch)SANTANA JR 118 3.50 5% 19.00 6.07 W
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of DESTINY UNBOUND by GALILEO (ARG))
8  BABA VOSS 8 9 75¾ 74 53 33 21 (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 2.25  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SIEMPRE MIA by SCAT DADDY)
7  BRIGADE COMMANDER 7 6 54 42½ 31½ 22 31¼ (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 16.25  
  (by HARD SPUN out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
5  NOISES OFF 5 5 44 53 73½ 85 42¼ (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 55% 0.80 3.93  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UZZIEL by HARLINGTON)
10  MO SATURDAYS 10 8 97¾ 95 85 64 52½ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 5.00 3.98  
  (by MO TOWN out of MIGHTY KATHERINE by SEEKING THE DIA)
9  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 9 3 85¾ 63½ 63½ 74½ 63 (michael brian)COURT K 118 8.00 14% 6.30 17.65  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
4  BOONE'S PATH 4 4 21 21 2½ 43½ 73½ (young ter)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 125 20.00 5% 19.00 32.58  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of INDIAN CARLIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  CREATIVE WAY 2 2 32½ 32 42 53½ 85¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 11.67  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PROUD AND FEARLESS by PROUD CITIZEN)
3  TESTIMONY TIME 3 7 65½ 84½ 107¼ 96 95¾ (brumley william )NAVAS YOEL 118 30.00 70.75  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SILVEREST by CONGRATS)
6  DAI VERNON 6 10 109¾ 107 97 106½ 106 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 5% 19.00 6.94  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of CHARLADORA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  COACH PETRO               (estvanko r)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
SCR  REAL NAUGHTY               (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  SMOKEY MANDATE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of EVEN FOREST by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  SURFACE TO AIR               (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of SHEMAZON by CONGRATS)
 
ELP-5   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:122 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SUMMERTIME ROSE 2 2 13 17½ 12½ 11½ 11½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.60 W
4  PADDY GAL 4 5 35 38 32½ 21½ 21½ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 8.74  
3  CATHERINE BLAZE 3 3 58 510 54¾ 45½ 36¼ (leonard i)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 14.20  
5  TRUISM 5 4 23 27½ 22½ 34 47 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.59  
1  MIKITA 1 1 69½ 611 67¼ 57 510¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00 11% 7.70 4.30  
6  AUTISM COMMUNITY 6 6 45 49 44½ 68½ 612¾ (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 42% 1.40 4.54  
7  MALIBU SMART 7 7 79¾ 726 742¼ 7100 7100 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 4.31  
 
ELP-6   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:11 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GROUP EIGHTEEN 1 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 13 18¼ (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 7.15  
2  MASTER GAME 2 4 67 69½ 43 34½ 28¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 124 2.50 18% 4.50 2.60 P
5  JAY VEE BEE 5 5 43 33 2½ 23 311½ (van t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.50 4.28  
3  LONGSHADOW 3 3 2½ 2½ 31 45 413 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 8% 11.20 16.13  
6  CIRCLE BACK JACK 6 6 55½ 45½ 57 58½ 514½ (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 124 1.20 53% 0.90 0.94  
4  BERNIE LOMAX 4 1 31 56 69½ 614½ 630 (childers)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 18.37  
 
ELP-7   06/22/2023 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :453 :57     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LINGUISTIC 2 5 41¾ 32   32½ 1¼ (foster eri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 18% 4.70 1.42 W
4  LAURA'S CHARM 4 7 74¼ 53¾   53½ 2¼ (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 30.45  
1  AMERICAN STARLET 1 2 1nk 2nk   11½ 31¼ (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116 1.80 54% 0.80 1.87 S
3  BOUDOIR BURLESQUE 3 1 31½ 42¼   43 42¼ (decker anna)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00 28.65  
6  FROZEN SOLID 6 4 2nk 1nk   21½ 53¾ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 7.07  
7  ABOUKIR BAY 7 8 88¾ 89¾   88½ 65¼ (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 11.48  
8  FANNIE AND FREDDIE 8 9 910¼ 99¾   66½ 75½ (stall m)LANERIE J 121 12.00 9.49  
5  ALTERED SHOT 5 3 52¾ 64¾   78½ 87¾ (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 7% 12.90 18.59  
9  ALARM CLOCK 9 6 63¼ 75¼   914½ 924½ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 121 15.00 5% 19.00 26.98  
SCR  HEADLAND               (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.50    
SCR  LOVE OF MY HEART               (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00    
SCR  ROCK STAR PARKING               (contreras)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 4.00    
 
ELP-8   06/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:233   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MINNESOTA READY 5 1 2nk 2½ 11 13 16 (pessin l)LANERIE J 122 6.00 9.07  
9  ROMAN CENTURIAN 9 9 84¾ 95¾ 73½ 54¾ 26 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.46 P
6  BOURBON HEIST 6 4 51¾ 63½ 31 23 36¾ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 115 4.00 14% 6.10 4.65 S
2  COMMANDPERFORMANCE 2 3 72¾ 52 52 44½ 47½ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 12% 7.40 11.51  
1  ICARUS 1 8 107½ 107¼ 104¾ 78¼ 511½ (van berg )TORRES A 122 20.00 16.82  
4  GILDED AGE 4 7 95 85½ 94½ 67¼ 611½ (mott william )GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 13% 6.60 13.32  
8  MAJOR FED 8 6 4¾ 41½ 21 34½ 711¾ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 12.00 12.67  
7  KING OTTOMAN 7 5 3.2 31½ 62½ 88¾ 816 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 33% 2.00 1.55  
3  BRIGADIER GENERAL 3 2 1nk 1½ 41½ 99¼ 925¾ (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 12.00 4.71  
10  COASTAL DEFENSE 10 10 62¾ 74½ 84 1012¼ 1026¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 122 15.00 29.62  
 
ELP-9   06/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BERRETTINI 10 8 63 62¾ 41¼ 3½ 1¾ (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 3.50 38% 1.60 5.35 W
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  ORBI ONE 6 5 21 2nk 1nk 1nk 2¾ (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.74 P
  (by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
8  ROYAL SALUTE 7 10 107½ 97¼ 104½ 73¾ 31½ (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 20% 4.10 4.53 S
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELOQUENTLY by DANSILI)
5  ATLANTIC DANCER 4 9 85½ 85¼ 73¼ 42½ 41½ (zito p)BEJARANO R 125 10.00 16.41  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SLOW SAND by DIXIELAND BAND)
2  SIX MISSIONS 1 1 11 1nk 3.2 2nk 52 (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 9.77  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of UNCOMPLICATED by HALF OURS)
3  BRAGGADOCIOUS 2 3 74 74¾ 84¼ 63¾ 62¾ (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 125 6.00 18.68  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TIZ O' GOLD by CEE'S TIZZY)
10  CURLINS INCHARGE 9 7 53 52½ 61¾ 96 76¼ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.50 9% 10.40 10.48  
  (by CURLIN out of SWEEPING PADDY by PADDY O'PRADO)
9  ST. NEOTS 8 6 31½ 3½ 2nk 52¾ 86¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 11% 7.80 1.25  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of ALLIE by BAYOU HEBERT)
6  UNWRAPPED 5 4 42 42 51¾ 84 98 (wong jonathan)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 24.65  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BELLEOFTHEBEACH by MASTER COMMAND)
4  CALL ME CASSIUS 3 2 97 107¼ 94½ 108 1012¼ (warpool shane)CANNON DECLAN 125 20.00 53.51  
  (by VANCOUVER out of QUALITY PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  PILKINGTON               (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
SCR  SELF RULE               (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 30.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of TEMPERENCE GIFT by KINGMAMBO)
SCR  TIZ WICKED STRONG               (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of TIZ KISMET by TIZNOW)
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER               (medina robert)GARCIA MARTIN 118 12.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of ASPIRING by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.