Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $3.26  
ELP-2   Win (11/3/5/12/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $5.66  
ELP-3   Win (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $6.56  
ELP-4   Win (8/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.96 $10.96 4.96
ELP-5   Win (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.44 $6.44 0.44
ELP-6   Win (10/3/11/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $11.28  
ELP-7   Win (6/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $9.36 $9.36 3.36
ELP-8   Win (11/6/10/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
ELP-9   Win (1/9/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.62 $3.62  
ELP-10   Win (11/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  COMEDY ACT 5 3 312 2nk   1½ 1¼ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 123 2.50 0.63  
3  GOLDBLOODED 3 1 111 1nk   2½ 2¼ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 3.06 P
4  COEXIST 4 2 211 31   33 31½ (miller kenny)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00 5% 19.00 16.10 S
2  FAST GAL 2 4 514½ 43½   45 46¾ (porter michael)COURT K 118 15.00 11.90  
1  HOAX (IRE) 1 5 414½ 53¾   56 511¼ (forster t)LANERIE J 118 6.00 69% 0.50 3.47  
SCR  EMPIRE OF MY OWN               (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.00    
SCR  SPARKLE OF HOPE               (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00    
SCR  YOU'RE AVOIDING ME               (tomlinson m)HERNANDEZ J 123 15.00    
 
ELP-2   07/02/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:112 1:362   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRIDENT HIT 1 1 11 1½ 11 11 1¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 1.83  
10  TAPAGE 8 9 52¼ 52 42½ 21 2¼ (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 55.12  
7  DIGITAL 5 2 42 41½ 32 41½ 34¼ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 15.00 30.08  
3  HE'S GOT THIS 2 5 21 2½ 21 31½ 45¼ (rankin michae)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 5.00 9% 10.00 4.61  
11  BEAR OAK 9 3 62¼ 63 64 55 59 (bahena ismael)GARCIA MARTIN 118 6.00 61% 0.60 6.34  
4  WHAT A COUNTRY 3 6 85½ 86 77 67½ 612½ (shirer matt)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.01  
5  ZOOMER 4 7 107 108¼ 99½ 810½ 713½ (brennan terry)BEJARANO R 118 4.50 5% 17.80 6.69  
8  COOL RAGS 6 8 95½ 96¼ 88 912½ 817 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 8.00 10.30  
9  PIPES AND DRUMS 7 4 31 31½ 52½ 79½ 918¼ (stall albe)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 8.38  
12  SHADRACK 10 10 72½ 75 1013½ 1027½ 1071½ (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 5% 19.00 10.44  
SCR  JEDREK               (lauer michael)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
SCR  MOBSTER GUN               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 12.00    
 
ELP-3   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Debutante Purse ($225K) 2 F PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:223 :453 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRIGHTWORK 2 1 1½ 1nk   11½ 1½ (ortiz alexande)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 2.28  
3  V V'S DREAM 1 4 32 2nk   21½ 2½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.40 42% 1.40 0.33 P
6  EASY RED 4 3 43½ 42   44½ 35¼ (o'neill dou)TORRES A 120 10.00 33% 2.00 9.74 S
5  CITY GHOST 3 2 2½ 3½   34 48¾ (johnson b)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 14.44  
SCR  GEORGE'S HONEY               (casse mark)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
SCR  HIBERNACLE               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50    
 
ELP-4   07/02/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:113 1:234   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NAUTILUS (BRZ) 2 2 32 41½ 2nk 1nk 1hd (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 20.00 18% 4.50 4.48 W
9  UNINVITED GUEST 5 3 21 21 52 31½ 2hd (mcgee paul)LANERIE J 121 20.00 3.85  
2  BULLSEYE BUN 1 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 3½ (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 15.00 12.43  
8  BURNING BRIGHT 4 5 42 31 3½ 42½ 45¼ (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 121 3.50 58% 0.70 0.47  
7  COMMON BOND 3 4 52½ 52½ 41½ 54½ 510¼ (mott riley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00 5% 19.00 13.10  
SCR  KENTUCKY GHOST               (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
SCR  MAHAAMEL (IRE)               (londono ge)SANTANA JR 121 8.00    
SCR  POINT ME BY               (kenneally eddie)GARCIA MARTIN 121 6.00    
SCR  STOLEN BASE               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
SCR  TOMMY BEE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 12.00    
SCR  HENLEY'S JOY               (casse mark)TORRES A 121 10.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY               (gonzalez )DE CRUZ 125 10.00    
SCR  WHISPER NOT (GB)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
SCR  BAKWENA               (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
SCR  ALEJANDRO               (asmussen st)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00    
SCR  EASY TIME               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00    
 
ELP-5   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bashford Manor Purse ($225K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :451 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THE WINE STEWARD 5 4 42 31   1½ 12¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.00 13% 7.00 2.22 W
1  WILSON Q 1 5 32 41½   41½ 22¾ (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.00 35% 1.90 1.35 P
4  CALL ME ANDY 4 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 36 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 31% 2.30 6.07 S
3  GO OTTO GO 3 2 1½ 1nk   31 49½ (asmussen steve)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 4.91  
7  MAGICAL MARK 6 6 54 53½   54½ 514½ (broberg kar)TORRES A 120 5.00 6.46  
2  UNIFIED POINT 2 1 66½ 69½   610½ 622 (ortiz al)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 29.04  
SCR  LOU'S LEGACY               (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 20.00    
 
ELP-6   07/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :45 1:091     1:22   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BILLY JACK 2 4 1½ 1½   13 12 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00 4.64  
3  CARCANO 3 8 54 74   43½ 22 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 27% 2.70 4.11 P
8  PASS LINE 8 2 32 42   33 34¼ (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 15.43 S
10  MR MCGREGOR 10 1 42½ 31½   23 46¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 2.00 35% 1.90 1.77  
7  ARRO SMASH 7 10 99 910   68½ 59½ (bauer a)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 7.23  
1  MO FIGHT 1 11 1113 1010¼   910¾ 613½ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 119 8.00 7.96  
9  GOOD NEWS ROCKET 9 5 86½ 86   79 714 (mott riley)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 20.00 38.76  
6  ATTACHE 6 3 2½ 2½   56½ 814 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 5% 19.00 34.39  
11  FOREVER COOL 11 6 75½ 53½   89¼ 914¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 124 10.00 15% 5.70 13.96  
4  FIRST PLAYER 4 7 64½ 64   1011¼ 1015¾ (howard j)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 76.53  
5  HONOR GOLD 5 9 1011 1110¾   1113¾ 1116¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00 18.13  
 
ELP-7   07/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 YIELDING Anchorage Overnight Purse ($175K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:14 1:254   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FAST AS FLIGHT 1 2 21 21 2nk 1½ 12¼ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50 27% 2.70 3.68 W
6  WHITE FROST 3 5 53 53½ 52¼ 31½ 22¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 1.60 50% 1.00 0.29 P
8  LADY HIDEAWAY 5 3 11 11 1nk 2½ 33 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 5% 19.00 30.80 S
7  NAPA CANDY 4 4 42 42½ 42¼ 43½ 44 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 25.48  
5  CONTEMPORARY ART 2 1 32 32 32 54½ 514 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 6.00 5.30  
SCR  KATE'S KINGDOM               (walden william)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
SCR  PRINCESS THEOREM               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
SCR  SWEET DANI GIRL               (vaccarezza )TORRES A 120 3.00    
 
ELP-8   07/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Maxfield Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:091     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RYVIT 1 4 11 1½   12½ 13 (asmussen st)TORRES A 120 6.00 9% 9.80 2.40 W
6  MULLIKIN 3 3 32 31½   33 23 (brisset rodo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 20% 4.10 3.38 P
11  SQUIRE CREEK 7 2 21 2½   22½ 34¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.50 37% 1.70 3.20 S
5  DAMON'S MOUND 2 5 42½ 41½   45 44¾ (lovell michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 8.00 8.43  
8  FROSTED DEPARTURE 5 1 54½ 54½   55½ 55¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 9.63  
10  TUMBARUMBA 6 6 66 65   613½ 616½ (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 14% 6.40 3.43  
7  GUNFLASH 4 7 79 78   715 718½ (broberg karl)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 35.91  
SCR  DETERMINEDLY               (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  NAVY MAN               (mccarthy mich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
SCR  NEW YORK THUNDER               (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
SCR  TOP RECRUIT               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 120 20.00    
 
ELP-9   07/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Hanshin Purse ($275K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102 1:23   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZOZOS 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 12½ 13 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 1.80 43% 1.30 0.81 W
5  WAR CAMPAIGN 4 3 55 64½ 53 22½ 23 (sims a)LANERIE J 118 6.00 21.29  
3  WARRIOR JOHNY 3 5 45 42½ 42 45 36 (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 5.37  
9  SANTIN 7 6 67 54½ 73¾ 56 46¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 26% 2.90 5.62  
6  SEIZE THE NIGHT 5 7 78 76 63¼ 67 58½ (lukas way)TORRES A 118 8.00 7.21  
2  STRAVA 2 2 2½ 2½ 2nk 34½ 611 (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.97  
7  COLLABORATE 6 4 31½ 31 31 77 718¾ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 20.48  
SCR  TARTUFO               (vaccarezza carlo)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
SCR  THREE TECHNIQUE               (cook b)BEJARANO R 118 4.50    
 
ELP-10   07/02/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:103     1:23   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BRAMITO 1 6 43½ 43   2nk 12¼ (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 9% 9.60 2.90 W
11  WILD THINKER 7 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 22¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 50% 1.00 1.66 P
6  EIRIK RIDGE 4 7 78 67½   43¼ 35½ (stall m)LANERIE J 119 4.00 16% 5.30 3.47 S
5  SMOKE WAGON 3 4 33 32   33 46¾ (engler jeff)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 15.00 10.84  
8  CHIRON 5 3 54½ 53½   54¾ 57 (bush s)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 17.22  
4  EARL OF DASSEL 2 8 813 814½   711¼ 613 (pessin l)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 27.92  
12  CURLIN'S GESTURE 8 2 2nk 2nk   66¾ 719¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5.68  
9  PILOTE COMETE 6 5 67½ 713   826¼ 854¼ (colebrook ben)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 28.91  
SCR  CUSP               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
SCR  KOOPS               (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00    
SCR  ROUNDBALL ROCK               (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  TOWN BARBER               (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.