Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (7/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $23.82  
ELP-2   Win (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
ELP-3   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
ELP-4   Win (9/3/6/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $21.70  
ELP-5   Win (14/7/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $11.20  
ELP-6   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.30  
ELP-7   Win (6/11/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $3.66 $3.66  
ELP-8   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $6.52 $6.52 2.52
ELP-9   Win (8/3/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $94.50  
ELP-10   Win (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.14 $6.14  
ELP-11   Win (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.16 $4.16  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. RIP 1 3 1nk 2nk   11 1¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 10.00 10.91  
10  CAT'S CAVE 8 6 43 41¾   31½ 2¼ (melton chri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 21% 3.80 5.55 P
5  WHATTA WORLD 3 2 32½ 31½   42 34 (evans ii)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 12.30 2.71 S
2  BOOTSY'S MERLOT 2 5 67½ 67¾   54½ 44¼ (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 10% 9.10 9.33  
7  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS 5 1 2nk 1nk   21 56 (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 38% 1.70 0.88  
9  LITTLE MUSIC 7 4 55 55¾   67 68¾ (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 12.00 66.20  
8  ESPERE 6 7 811 812¼   812 712½ (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 21.49  
6  TAPWRIT WARRIOR 4 8 79 78¾   710½ 818¼ (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 50.75  
SCR  OUR KEEPSAKE               (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  STRANGE JOY               (bright der)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
 
ELP-2   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :441 1:09     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ABSINTHE 6 4 2½ 2nk   1½ 12¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 22% 3.60 2.35 W
3  PUMPKIN SCONE 3 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 22¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 36% 1.80 1.52 P
4  MO BLOOMS 4 7 43 44   45 37 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 26.65  
1  FANCY 1 8 85 55½   56½ 47½ (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 22% 3.60 3.47  
8  THEROANRUNNER 8 3 64¾ 77¼   68½ 58½ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 13.01  
7  HAPPY AM I 7 2 33 32½   33½ 69½ (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00 17.58  
2  PETTICOAT 2 6 53¼ 65¾   79 711¾ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 8.96  
5  SUGAR BOO 5 5 74¾ 810¼   819 841½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 124 12.00 5% 19.00 30.06  
 
ELP-3   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD American Derby Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:114 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WADSWORTH 2 4 42½ 32 42 31 11 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 31% 2.20 1.25 W
1  MO STASH 1 1 11 11 1nk 11 21 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 37% 1.70 1.60 P
3  DESERT DUKE 3 5 54 54½ 54 52¾ 33 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00 16.28  
6  SHARAR 6 6 66 66 65 65¼ 43½ (pletcher to)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 9.11  
5  HIDDEN PATH 5 3 32½ 42½ 3½ 21 54 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 7% 13.30 6.74  
4  GIGANTE 4 2 21 21 2nk 41¼ 67¾ (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 9.07  
 
ELP-4   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:224 :454 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EDIFIED 2 7 21 31½   12 13½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00 9.85  
9  LIBERAL ARTS 8 6 31 1½   22 23½ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 51% 1.00 7.03 P
6  DJANGO 5 8 64¾ 45   44 35 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 22.09 S
1  FEEL THE MAGIC 1 3 85¾ 911   79½ 48¾ (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 6.70  
7  UNO MAS BOURBON 6 9 96¼ 77   55½ 510½ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 28.80  
4  LEAD FOOT 4 1 43 55   67½ 611 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00 46.36  
3  TOP OF THE STREET 3 2 53¼ 89   910½ 713¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 24% 3.20 4.45  
8  SEIZE THE GREY 7 5 74¾ 66   810 817¼ (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.87  
10  NORMANDY HERO 9 4 11 2½   33½ 919¼ (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 1.41  
SCR  MENTHA               (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
 
ELP-5   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:111 1:351   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SINFILTRE 2 1 42½ 41½ 73¾ 32 11½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00 4.60  
10  NOT SO CLOSE 7 3 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 21½ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 19.00 10.66 P
4  FANCY MARTINI 3 2 53 52 2nk 2nk 31½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 6% 16.00 1.81 S
8  LADY ARSINOE 5 10 1011 1010½ 106¼ 54 41¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00 18.25  
9  UNDER ONE SKY 6 7 64 63½ 31 42½ 52¼ (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 18.00 10.25  
14  ONE TIME MO 10 9 87 86½ 83¾ 75 62¾ (pessin l)LANERIE J 121 5.00 49% 1.00 3.71  
7  FLATTER ME SILLY 4 6 99 99 95¾ 85½ 73¼ (pessin neil )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 13% 6.90 7.19  
11  SHE'S GONE 8 8 74½ 74 41¼ 64½ 87¼ (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00 11.38  
1  MUSIC AMORE 1 4 31½ 31½ 52¼ 96½ 911¼ (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 49.89  
12  TOO PRETTY 9 5 21 2½ 62¾ 1016½ 1037½ (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00 58.52  
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING               (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
SCR  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE)               (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
SCR  MANUCA (BRZ)               (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 3.50    
SCR  REAGAN'S DECISION               (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  SKRATCH KAT               (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50    
 
ELP-6   07/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kelly's Landing Purse ($225K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:082     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BANGO 1 4 11 2nk   1nk 1½ (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 1.15  
5  MARSALIS 4 2 21 1nk   2nk 2½ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 22% 3.50 3.15 P
3  MILES AHEAD 2 5 32½ 32½   42¼ 3¾ (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 20% 4.10 7.30 S
7  TEJANO TWIST 6 1 55 43   32 4¾ (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 26% 2.80 3.47  
4  HAPPY JACK 3 3 66½ 67¼   65¼ 52¼ (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 5.00 6.82  
6  SURVEILLANCE 5 6 44½ 53¼   52¾ 66¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 26.57  
SCR  FORTIN HILL               (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:22 :433 1:074     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HOIST THE GOLD 4 6 2nk 2nk   12 11¾ (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.00 52% 0.90 0.83 W
10  GULFSTREAM WAY 8 1 41½ 44½   44½ 21¾ (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 12.00 5.97  
9  AWESOME AARON 7 3 1nk 1nk   22 33¾ (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 20.00 18.90  
5  BROKEN RIB 3 9 88½ 610½   68½ 44¼ (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00 18.25  
7  TRAFALGAR 5 8 77½ 811¼   79 54¼ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00 12.29  
8  VIOLENT CITY 6 4 31 32   34 64½ (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 114 30.00 5% 19.00 48.57  
11  BRON AND BROW 9 2 55 57½   55½ 75 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 23% 3.30 3.34  
1  CALL ME MIDNIGHT 1 7 67 710¾   810½ 810¾ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 30.00 17.98  
4  MR. BIG NEWS 2 5 99 914¼   915 917¼ (calhoun b)LANERIE J 121 10.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
SCR  READY TO POUNCE               (pessin neil )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00    
SCR  TEXAS RED HOT               (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 30.00    
SCR  THE QUEENS JULES               (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Fleur Purse ($400K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:111 1:361   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PAULINE'S PEARL 2 3 32 32½ 32½ 31½ 1¾ (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 19% 4.30 2.26 W
1  BELLAMORE 1 1 11 11 1nk 1nk 2¾ (callaghan simon)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 3.96 DQ↓3
6  A MO REAY 3 2 21 21 2nk 2nk 31 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.60 54% 0.90 0.42 P
SCR  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE               (stall alber)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  MUSIC STREET               (beckman w)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
SCR  MOON SWAG               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  SOUL OF AN ANGEL               (james gerald)REYES R 119 30.00    
SCR  HEARTYCONSTITUTION               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Wise Dan Purse ($400K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:114 1:35   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  STITCHED 9 7 43½ 43 32 21 1¼ (foley greg)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 20.00 46.25  
4  GET SMOKIN 4 3 11½ 11½ 1½ 11 2¼ (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 4.08  
8  SET PIECE (GB) 8 10 1011½ 109 96¼ 74¾ 31¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 0.80 64% 0.60 1.07 S
10  HOZIER 10 8 89½ 87 74¾ 44 41¾ (brisset rod)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00 23.77  
3  CAMP HOPE 3 4 77½ 75½ 85¼ 86¼ 52 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 7% 14.20 5.06  
1  HARLAN ESTATE 1 2 910 99 108¼ 97¼ 62½ (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 18.00 9.39  
6  KITTANSETT 6 6 21½ 21½ 2½ 32½ 73¼ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.39  
5  PLAY ACTION PASS 5 5 55½ 54½ 53½ 54 84¾ (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 7.98  
2  TUT'S REVENGE 2 1 33 32½ 42 64¼ 97½ (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00 30.51  
7  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) 7 9 67½ 65 63¾ 107¼ 107½ (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 20.00 65.17  
 
ELP-10   07/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Stephen Foster Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:104 1:351   1:48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WEST WILL POWER 6 2 2½ 21½ 2nk 12½ 1½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 35% 1.90 2.07 W
4  RATTLE N ROLL 4 8 77½ 65½ 63¼ 53½ 2½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00 6.90  
8  HAPPY AMERICAN 8 5 810½ 811 88¼ 74¼ 32 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 124 20.00 48.94  
7  LAST SAMURAI 7 6 53½ 54½ 52¾ 64 43¼ (lukas way)TORRES A 124 6.00 11% 7.90 13.27  
5  SMILE HAPPY 5 7 43½ 44 41¾ 22½ 54¾ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 124 3.00 30% 2.40 3.16  
2  STILLETO BOY 2 1 31 33½ 31½ 33 64¾ (moger jr)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00 7.35  
3  SPEED BIAS 3 3 1½ 11½ 1nk 43 76¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.58  
1  PROXY 1 4 66 77½ 76¾ 86¾ 86½ (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 3.05  
 
ELP-11   07/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD Tepin Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:113 1:232   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  XIGERA 4 4 21 21 2nk 2½ 1½ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 2.00 30% 2.40 1.08 W
3  HEAVENLY SUNDAY 2 2 11 11 1nk 1½ 2½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 22% 3.50 1.93 P
2  SAFEEN 1 1 42 31½ 31½ 31½ 31 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 9% 10.80 7.72 S
6  METAPHYSICAL 5 7 53 52 52¼ 42½ 41¾ (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 17.90  
4  WONDERFULL LADY (FR) 3 3 64 62½ 73¾ 53½ 53½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 17% 4.70 11.35  
7  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE 6 6 75½ 73½ 62¼ 64 64 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00 12.30  
8  SANTA FE GOLD 7 5 32 42 41¾ 76 76½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 29.13  
9  KLASSY BRIDGETTE 8 8 86 85 85¼ 86½ 86½ (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00 27.02  
SCR  SANDRA D               (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.