Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (7/10/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (3/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (9/3/4/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (14/7/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (7/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (6/11/4/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
ELP-9   Win (8/3/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-10   Win (6/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-11   Win (5/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 2 F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRS. RIP         (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 10.00    
2  BOOTSY'S MERLOT Jun17 Apr26 Apr12     (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 4.50 10% 9.10    
SCR  STRANGE JOY Jun17         (bright der)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
SCR  OUR KEEPSAKE         (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
5  WHATTA WORLD Jun15 Apr26       (evans ii)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 12.30    
6  TAPWRIT WARRIOR         (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
7  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Jun17 May19 Apr19     (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.50 38% 1.70    
8  ESPERE         (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
9  LITTLE MUSIC Jun12 May19 Apr26     (holsapple hutch)HEARD TYLER 119 12.00    
10  CAT'S CAVE Jun10         (melton chri)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 21% 3.80    
 
ELP-2   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY May18 Mar16 Jan29     (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  PETTICOAT         (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00    
3  PUMPKIN SCONE May28         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  MO BLOOMS         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
5  SUGAR BOO Mar16 Feb03       (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABSINTHE May28         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 22% 3.60    
7  HAPPY AM I May28 May02       (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 8.00    
8  THEROANRUNNER Nov26 Oct16       (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
 
ELP-3   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 GOOD American Derby Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO STASH May06 Apr07 Mar11 Nov04 Oct09 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  WADSWORTH May17 Mar25 Feb11 Dec31 Oct19 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.80 31% 2.20    
3  DESERT DUKE Jun03 May06 Apr15 Feb25 Feb03 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 8.00    
4  GIGANTE May17 Nov26 Oct09 Sep06 Aug10 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00    
5  HIDDEN PATH Jun01 May04 Mar31     (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 7% 13.30    
6  SHARAR Jun03         (pletcher to)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00    
 
ELP-4   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEEL THE MAGIC         (mccarthy w)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
2  EDIFIED         (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
3  TOP OF THE STREET Jun01 May18       (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  LEAD FOOT         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MENTHA         (mott riley)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
6  DJANGO         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  UNO MAS BOURBON         (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SEIZE THE GREY         (lukas wayne)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
9  LIBERAL ARTS May25         (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 51% 1.00    
10  NORMANDY HERO         (brisset rodolphe)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
 
ELP-5   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSIC AMORE May27 May14 May02 Mar02 Dec31 (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00    
2  SINFILTRE May27 Apr16 Mar03 Jan14 Dec15 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 6.00    
SCR  HAVE A GOOD DAY (IRE) Mar02 Oct16 Sep13 Aug11   (delgado gustavo)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
4  FANCY MARTINI May18 Mar02 Jan21 Nov25 Oct20 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 125 4.00 6% 16.00    
SCR  REAGAN'S DECISION Oct20 Aug27 Jul09 May06 Apr10 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 20.00    
SCR  MANUCA (BRZ) May18         (lobo paulo )TORRES A 121 3.50    
7  FLATTER ME SILLY Apr26 Mar10 Jan13 Dec16 Nov20 (pessin neil )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 13% 6.90    
8  LADY ARSINOE May27 Apr26 Apr01 Feb25 Sep14 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 10.00    
9  UNDER ONE SKY May27 May18 Apr12 Mar31 Mar02 (cano mu)CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 18.00    
10  NOT SO CLOSE May05 Mar11 Feb12 Jul29   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  SHE'S GONE May18 Apr22 Feb04 Nov25 Oct15 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 8.00    
12  TOO PRETTY May04 Mar17 Mar04 Feb03 Dec30 (peitz c)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 20.00    
SCR  FOREVER DREAMING May18 Apr07 Feb12 Jan07 Sep04 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 15.00    
14  ONE TIME MO May18 Apr12 Dec22 Nov06 Oct01 (pessin neil )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 5.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  SKRATCH KAT Jun03 Nov25 Oct21 Sep24 Aug20 (bauer a)GARCIA MARTIN 121 2.50    
 
ELP-6   07/01/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Kelly's Landing Purse ($225K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORTIN HILL May06 Apr08 Nov05 Sep14 Jul17 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
2  BANGO Jun03 May04 Jan21 Dec26 Nov13 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00    
3  MILES AHEAD May04 Mar18 Jan28 Dec26 Sep17 (mcgee paul)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.50 20% 4.10    
4  HAPPY JACK May14 Aug27 Jul24 Jun19 May21 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 120 5.00    
5  MARSALIS Nov23 Nov04 Sep22 Mar26 Feb19 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  SURVEILLANCE May26 May04 Apr15 Feb18 Jan21 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
7  TEJANO TWIST Jun03 May06 Apr15 Mar18 Jan28 (hartman chr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
 
ELP-7   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME MIDNIGHT Jun04 Nov26 Oct23 Sep10 Aug07 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 30.00    
SCR  TEXAS RED HOT May14 Apr16 Apr02 Mar12 Feb05 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 30.00    
SCR  THE QUEENS JULES Mar10 Feb09 Dec18 Nov12 Oct15 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 121 20.00    
4  MR. BIG NEWS         (calhoun b)LANERIE J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  BROKEN RIB May25 Feb12 Jan16 Dec10 Nov23 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
6  HOIST THE GOLD Jun10 May06 Apr08 Feb18 Dec26 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 1.00 52% 0.90    
7  TRAFALGAR May25 Apr22 Apr02 Feb11 Jun12 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  VIOLENT CITY Mar30 Feb25 Jul08 Jun12 May15 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  AWESOME AARON May12 Apr08 Mar18 Jan01 Dec16 (green troy)BEJARANO R 121 20.00    
10  GULFSTREAM WAY May26 May06 Apr23 Mar30 Feb04 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 12.00    
11  BRON AND BROW May14 Mar25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec15 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  READY TO POUNCE Jun04 May04 Mar18 Jan27 Nov24 (pessin neil )GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Fleur Purse ($400K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLAMORE May29 Apr29 Mar25 Nov24 Oct08 (callaghan simon)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00    
SCR  MOON SWAG Jun03 Mar11 Jan28 Dec26 Nov24 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE May27 Apr21 Jan16 Nov25   (stall alber)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  SOUL OF AN ANGEL Jun24 Jun03 May05 Apr07 Mar17 (james gerald)REYES R 119 30.00    
5  PAULINE'S PEARL May05 Mar11 Jan28 Jul02 Jun04 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 19% 4.30    
6  A MO REAY May05 Mar11 Feb04 Dec31 Sep18 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.60 54% 0.90    
SCR  HEARTYCONSTITUTION Jun02 May05 Mar15 Jul02 Jun03 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00    
SCR  MUSIC STREET May27 May05 Nov20 Oct23 Sep25 (beckman w)LEPAROUX R 119 30.00    
 
ELP-9   07/01/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Wise Dan Purse ($400K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLAN ESTATE Jun03 May11 Feb18 Jan28 Nov06 (beckman whitw)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5% 18.00    
2  TUT'S REVENGE May06 Apr15 Feb11 Jan27 Jan06 (stuart shea)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAMP HOPE Jun01 May04 Apr07 Mar25 Feb18 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 7% 14.20    
4  GET SMOKIN Jun03 May04 Apr02 Sep17 Aug13 (casse mark)SANTANA JR 118 5.00    
5  PLAY ACTION PASS Jun01 Nov27 Oct29 Sep14 Jul30 (medina rober)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
6  KITTANSETT Jun04 Apr20 Nov13 Sep28 Aug07 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  COWBOY JUSTICE (GB) May05 Apr13       (murphy conor)GRAHAM J 118 20.00    
8  SET PIECE (GB) Jun03 May04 Nov26 Oct08 Sep10 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 0.80 64% 0.60    
9  STITCHED Jun01 May04 Apr08 Sep10 Jun22 (foley greg)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 20.00    
10  HOZIER Jun01 Apr07 Dec17 Nov13 Oct03 (brisset rod)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
 
ELP-10   07/01/2023 5940ft DIRT RC14 FAST Stephen Foster Purse ($1000K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROXY Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Nov25 Jul02 (stidham michael)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00    
2  STILLETO BOY Apr22 Mar04 Jan28 Dec26 Sep03 (moger jr)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00    
3  SPEED BIAS May19 Apr22 Mar16 Jan07 Dec16 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RATTLE N ROLL Jun03 May19 Apr22 Mar25 Nov04 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
5  SMILE HAPPY May05 Apr01 Mar16 May07 Apr09 (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
6  WEST WILL POWER May05 Mar25 Feb18 Nov25 Oct29 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 35% 1.90    
7  LAST SAMURAI May05 Apr22 Mar18 Feb18 Jan28 (lukas way)TORRES A 124 6.00 11% 7.90    
8  HAPPY AMERICAN Jun03 Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 124 20.00    
 
ELP-11   07/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 GOOD Tepin Purse ($225K) 3 F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SANDRA D Jun13 Apr23 Mar25 Mar01   (margolis stephen )COHEN DAVID 118 20.00    
2  SAFEEN May17 Apr14 Nov20 Oct27 Sep13 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 9% 10.80    
3  HEAVENLY SUNDAY May05 Apr08 Feb04 Oct28 Sep27 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
4  WONDERFULL LADY (FR) May29 Apr14       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 17% 4.70    
5  XIGERA Jun02 Nov04 Oct07 Aug28 Aug07 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 118 2.00 30% 2.40    
6  METAPHYSICAL Jun02 May05 Apr01 Feb04 Jan12 (hiles a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
7  GIRL NAMED CHARLIE Jun03 May05 Mar11 Jan16 Oct30 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 6.00    
8  SANTA FE GOLD May29 Apr22 Mar25 Jan27 Oct07 (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
9  KLASSY BRIDGETTE Apr22 Mar25 Feb11 Jan13 Dec11 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.