Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $27.80  
SAR-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $8.80  
SAR-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $3.00 $3.00  
SAR-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
SAR-5   Win (7/11/14/13/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 15 1 0 $6.10  
SAR-6   Win (13/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 13 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 4.20
SAR-7   Win (5/9/11/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
SAR-8   Win (6/7/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $24.40 $24.40 14.40
SAR-9   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $13.00  
SAR-10   Win (1/9/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLY THE GREEK 1 3 31½ 31½   31 1hd (joseph a)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 12.90  
9  FOXHOLE 6 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2hd (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 30% 2.40 0.70 P
8  ANCHISES 5 4 42 41½   41½ 3½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 7% 12.70 13.80 S
7  SAME OLD FEARS 4 1 1½ 1½   1nk 41¼ (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 2.50 30% 2.40 3.95  
3  COWBOY CODE 2 6 613 611   67½ 53¼ (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 8.60  
4  EVERY FOUR YEARS 3 5 53 52   55 63½ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 4.90  
SCR  REVEREND MOON               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
SCR  SAM'S TREASURE               (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 2.00    
SCR  SHARDS               (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
SCR  WEEKEND CONCERTO               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
 
SAR-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HEADLAND 5 3 2½ 1nk   12½ 14½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.50 3.40  
5  TOP GUN GIRL 4 1 1½ 2nk   22½ 24½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 14% 6.00 3.10 P
3  ROSEBUG 2 4 53 31½   33 36¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.80 28% 2.60 2.25 S
4  EDIE MEENY MINY MO 3 2 31 41¾   44 49 (hemingway mich)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 11.60  
1  BRAGANZA 1 5 42½ 53¼   57 522 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.00 26% 2.80 1.90  
SCR  HEY MAMALUKE               (farro patrici)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 15.00    
 
SAR-3   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 4 4 1½ 11½ 13½ 16 17½ (david a)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00 38% 1.60 0.50 W
4  EMPIRE RIDE 3 2 31½ 32 23½ 26 27½ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 4.00  
2  CUMBERLAND BLUES 2 5 55 55 45 38½ 311¾ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00 7.00  
1  LIFE AND LIGHT 1 1 42½ 43 55½ 515½ 421 (pringle edmund)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
6  BODOCK 5 3 2½ 21½ 34 415 522¾ (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 35% 1.90 5.60  
SCR  CLASSIC MARK               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 1.80    
SCR  PORTOS               (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Curlin Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:111 1:354   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SCOTLAND 4 1 11 1nk 1nk 11 13¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 29% 2.40 2.45 W
5  IL MIRACOLO 5 2 21 2nk 2nk 21 23¼ (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00 15.50  
3  BLAZING SEVENS 3 4 52½ 31 31 33 36¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.80 46% 1.20 0.70 S
2  LOST ARK 2 5 42 41¼ 53¾ 46½ 410¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5% 19.00 3.95  
1  PERFORM 1 3 31½ 51¼ 43½ 511½ 520¾ (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 16.00  
 
SAR-5   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:223 :464 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  TIE BREAKER 11 6 42½ 41½   11 14¾ (duggan p)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 2.05  
11  VAUNTED 7 7 52½ 52   41½ 24¾ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 19% 4.20 7.10 P
14  UNDER THE KNIFE 10 2 31 2nk   21 37 (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 8.00 19% 4.30 29.50 S
7  SINALOA 4 3 75¼ 73½   63½ 48¾ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 32% 2.10 3.40  
2  WOODSIDE WARRIOR 1 8 65 63   52½ 510¼ (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 119 30.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
4  THE GOLDEN ONE 2 10 1110¼ 115¾   95¾ 610¾ (chichakly )SANTANA JR 119 20.00 45.50  
5  IMPULSIVE SPENDING 3 4 97¾ 94¼   74 710¾ (arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00 22.90  
12  ALPHA SONNY 8 9 85¾ 83¾   84¼ 811 (ferraro w)BROWN DALTON 124 6.00 19.30 DH
9  STEERAGE 5 1 1½ 1nk   31 811 (thompson marc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 6.10 DH
13  SIN NOMBRE 9 11 108¼ 105¼   116¾ 1014 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 7% 13.20 7.30  
10  IT'S NOT MY FAULT 6 5 2½ 3½   106¼ 1128¾ (brown r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 25.75  
SCR  ACADEMY CHOICE               (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
SCR  BANKINGONACHANCE               (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
SCR  TYRANNOSAURUS REX               (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 12.00    
SCR  WAR PRINCE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-6   07/21/2023 7260ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:134 1:382   2:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  COSTA TERRA 8 64½ 63½ 53 21½ 2nk 12½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 123 2.50 27% 2.70 5.10 W
4  ROYAL SPIRIT 2 21 21½ 2½ 11½ 1nk 22½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 11% 8.30 14.30 P
8  O CAPTAIN 4 42 32 31½ 31½ 35 314 (delgado gust)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 13% 6.60 0.80 S
3  C FALLS 1 11 11½ 1½ 42½ 46 418 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 10.10  
9  CATCH THAT PARTY 5 74¾ 74½ 74¾ 58½ 59 520¼ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 25% 3.10 5.30  
7  GOOD MEDICINE 3 32 42½ 63¼ 69½ 710¾ 621½ (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 12.10  
10  HILLIARD 6 87¼ 89½ 86¼ 710 610½ 724 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 30.25  
1A  BABY BILLY 7 53 53 43 814 8100 8100 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 15.30  
SCR  CLEVER THOUGHT               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS               (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE)               (antonacci philip)ORTIZ L 125 5.00    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE               (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
SCR  MO Z               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT               (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
 
SAR-7   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:103     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ABADIN 5 5 1nk 1½   12½ 11¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 43% 1.30 2.70 W
6  TREATY OBLIGATION 6 3 62¼ 62½   33 21¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 6% 16.60 6.00 P
9  COALVILLE 8 4 72¼ 52   22½ 34¼ (brown c)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 19% 4.30 4.80 S
4  LUCENCY 4 6 51¾ 72½   75¾ 45½ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 15.70  
10  SILO RIDGE 9 2 2nk 2½   55 57¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 13.00  
2  BIG NIGHT OUT 2 7 41½ 41½   43 67¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 8.30  
11  CREATE TROUBLE 10 1 31 31   65¼ 79½ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12% 7.60 2.60  
1  BREES 1 10 1011¼ 1013   1012¼ 811½ (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00 34.50  
8  GAME KEEPER 7 8 910¼ 97½   910¾ 911¾ (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
3  MOTIVO 3 9 83¾ 84   89¾ 1012 (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00 23.40  
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT               (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:122 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BRIGHT FUTURE 6 4 21 21½ 21 11½ 14¾ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 47% 1.10 11.20 W
2  SPEED BIAS 2 5 11 11½ 11 21½ 24¾ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 14% 6.00 2.35 P
7  ARTORIUS 7 3 42 42 32 31½ 35¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 16% 5.30 1.55 S
3  THE REDS 3 6 32 32 42 44 49¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
1  CURBSTONE 1 9 53 73½ 86½ 55½ 512¼ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 6.80  
5  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 5 8 73¼ 63 55 68½ 619¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 23.00  
9  MAJOR BLUE 9 2 83¾ 83¾ 76 811 722 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 50.00 37.50  
4  KUCHAR 4 7 96¼ 94¼ 97 710½ 822¼ (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
8  MONTAUK POINT 8 1 63¼ 52½ 65½ 914 939 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00 25.25  
 
SAR-9   07/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 YIELDING Lake George Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:142 1:261   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SURGE CAPACITY 1 2 42½ 32½ 41½ 1nk 1¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5.50  
3  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) 2 1 32½ 42½ 31½ 31 2¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 26% 2.90 3.75 P
10  SECRET MONEY 8 4 11½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 31 (walsh brendan )CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 9.20  
5  REVALITA (FR) 4 5 74½ 74½ 63½ 55 43½ (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 38% 1.70 2.40  
4  LIGURIA 3 3 64 64 52½ 44½ 54½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 16% 5.40 2.10  
8  TRYINMYHEARTOUT 6 8 86½ 86 74 66½ 69¼ (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 120 30.00 29.50  
9  PRINCESS BETTINA 7 6 21½ 2½ 2½ 76¾ 79½ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 15.90  
6  LIL MISS MOONLIGHT 5 7 53 53 86½ 812¾ 818 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00 34.25  
SCR  QUEEN PICASSO (GB)               (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
SCR  UTILIZATION RATE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:123 1:253   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON CHASE 1 5 75 54 31 1½ 12¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 55% 0.80 0.80 W
3  MISSION HILL 2 4 32½ 31½ 41 2½ 22¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00 6.80  
12  LT. MITCHELL 8 2 11 11 1½ 32½ 38¾ (rice linda)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 5.00 S
10  UTAMARO 7 3 43 64 66½ 68 411¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00 10.30  
5  BORDER PATROL 4 1 21 21 53 56½ 513¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 39.75  
8  TONY O 5 7 85½ 86½ 88 78½ 614¾ (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 11.10  
9  ALL GOOD HERE 6 8 54 42 2½ 45½ 720¼ (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 20% 4.10 6.30  
4  TIP OF THE BOOT 3 6 64 74½ 77 89 821¼ (coffey mar)DAVIS A 118 30.00 5% 19.00 62.00  
SCR  BASTION               (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00    
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE               (albright geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  PASCHAL MOON               (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
SCR  SCREW LOOSE               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE               (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  STOW ON THE WOLD               (donk david)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.