Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Friday - July 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (7/11/14/13/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (13/9/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (5/9/11/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (6/7/2/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-9   Win (5/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (1/9/12/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BILLY THE GREEK         (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  SHARDS Jun10         (danner kelsey)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.50    
3  COWBOY CODE Jun15         (lukas wayne)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00    
4  EVERY FOUR YEARS Jun04         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  WEEKEND CONCERTO         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  REVEREND MOON         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00    
7  SAME OLD FEARS         (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 2.50 30% 2.40    
8  ANCHISES         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 7% 12.70    
9  FOXHOLE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  SAM'S TREASURE May11         (ward a)ORTIZ L 116 2.00    
 
SAR-2   07/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAGANZA Jun03 Apr27 Feb23 Jan01 Nov16 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 126 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  HEY MAMALUKE Jun26 May28 May08 Mar18 Feb15 (farro patrici)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 15.00    
3  ROSEBUG Jun16 May12 Jan27 Mar19 Jan23 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 1.80 28% 2.60    
4  EDIE MEENY MINY MO May20 Dec31 Oct30 Aug16 Jul02 (hemingway mich)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
5  TOP GUN GIRL Jun16 Apr15 Nov20 Sep14 Aug08 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 14% 6.00    
6  HEADLAND Jun23 May29 Apr21 Mar02 Jan14 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
 
SAR-3   07/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE AND LIGHT Jul03 Jun22 May27 May07 Apr15 (pringle edmund)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jul03 Jun22 Jun04 May13 Apr29 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 125 12.00    
SCR  PORTOS Jul13 Jun10 Apr01 Mar11 Jan28 (chichakly ami)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50    
4  EMPIRE RIDE Jun24 May21 Mar11 Feb09 Dec30 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
5  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE Jun18 May27 May04 Mar26 Jan22 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 125 3.00 38% 1.60    
6  BODOCK Jun24 May19 Apr18 Mar18 Feb25 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 35% 1.90    
SCR  CLASSIC MARK Jul04 May20 Apr13 Mar11 Jul01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 1.80    
 
SAR-4   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Curlin Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFORM May20 Apr15 Mar11 Jan28 Nov13 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
2  LOST ARK Jun09 Nov04 Oct08 Aug27 Jul03 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
3  BLAZING SEVENS May20 Apr08 Mar04 Nov04 Oct01 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 0.80 46% 1.20    
4  SCOTLAND Jun03 Apr23 Mar04     (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  IL MIRACOLO Jun10 May11 Apr01 Mar04 Feb04 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 
SAR-5   07/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BANKINGONACHANCE Jun11         (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00    
2  WOODSIDE WARRIOR Jul01 Jun09 Apr27 Mar04   (friedman mitc)MARTINEZ R 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RIPE FOR MISCHIEF Jun11 Apr07 Dec15 Nov18 Sep25 (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
4  THE GOLDEN ONE Jul01 Jun11 May14 Apr23 Nov06 (chichakly )SANTANA JR 119 20.00    
5  IMPULSIVE SPENDING Jun18 May19 Apr16 Apr07 Mar11 (arenas marcelo)CARMOUCHE K 119 20.00    
SCR  ACADEMY CHOICE Jun18 May13 Apr23     (begg bentle)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00    
7  SINALOA Jul08         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  WAR PRINCE Jun03 May13 Apr23 Sep16   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
9  STEERAGE Jul12 Jun27 May15 May02 Apr24 (thompson marc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
10  IT'S NOT MY FAULT Jul08         (brown r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00    
11  VAUNTED Jun18 May19       (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 19% 4.20    
12  ALPHA SONNY Jul07 Jun18       (ferraro w)BROWN DALTON 124 6.00    
13  SIN NOMBRE         (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 119 4.50 7% 13.20    
14  UNDER THE KNIFE Jun28         (englehart s)RIDER TBA 119 8.00 19% 4.30    
15  TIE BREAKER Jun18 May19 Apr23 Apr07 Mar17 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
SCR  TYRANNOSAURUS REX Jun19 May23 May02 Apr24 Feb26 (sells rachel)GOMEZ O 124 12.00    
 
SAR-6   07/21/2023 7260ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BABY BILLY Jun25 May14 Apr15 Mar25 Feb18 (sisterson jack)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  MO Z Jun24         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00    
SCR  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Jun17 May27 Nov19 Oct22 Sep24 (schettino dominick )SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
3  C FALLS Mar02 Feb04 Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 6.00    
4  ROYAL SPIRIT Jun24 May11 Apr16 Mar17 Dec11 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  TIZ A GIANT May19 Dec01 Oct28 Sep02 Aug10 (trombetta mic)MCCARTHY TREVOR 125 20.00    
SCR  IRWIN (IRE) Jun10 Oct08 Aug28 Jul30 Jun03 (antonacci philip)ORTIZ L 125 5.00    
7  GOOD MEDICINE Jun10 Oct21 Sep02 Jul24 Jun18 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00    
8  O CAPTAIN Jun29 May11 Apr01 Mar04 May07 (delgado gust)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 13% 6.60    
9  CATCH THAT PARTY Jun23 May28 Nov11 Oct13 Sep04 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 25% 3.10    
10  HILLIARD Jun22 Mar30 Feb22 Nov20 Nov05 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00    
SCR  CLEVER THOUGHT Jun02 Apr15 Mar18 Feb16   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00    
SCR  LORD FLINTSHIRE Jun10 May14 Sep04 Jul23 Jun24 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 123 12.00    
13  COSTA TERRA Jul01 May13 Apr01 Mar03 Mar27 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50 27% 2.70    
 
SAR-7   07/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREES         (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
2  BIG NIGHT OUT Jun22         (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
3  MOTIVO May25 Apr30       (dutrow e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 12.00    
4  LUCENCY         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
5  ABADIN Jun11 May06       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  TREATY OBLIGATION Jun22 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.50 6% 16.60    
SCR  UNCLECHARLIESGIFT Oct21         (zito nicho)SANTANA JR 119 30.00    
8  GAME KEEPER Jun02 May02 Mar11 Feb25   (lukas wayne)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  COALVILLE Jun22         (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
10  SILO RIDGE         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
11  CREATE TROUBLE Jun11 Oct30 Sep17     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
 
SAR-8   07/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURBSTONE May28 Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Dec09 (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
2  SPEED BIAS Jul01 May19 Apr22 Mar16 Jan07 (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  THE REDS Apr28 Mar11 Jan28 Nov13 Sep24 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  KUCHAR May19 Apr06 Jul02 May22 Apr23 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER May21 Apr07 Nov19 Oct22 Sep23 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
6  BRIGHT FUTURE Jun10 May06 Apr01 Jun11 Mar19 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 47% 1.10    
7  ARTORIUS Jun17 Oct22 Aug27 Jul29 Jun10 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
8  MONTAUK POINT May18 Mar31 Feb10 Jan20 Nov13 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 124 15.00    
9  MAJOR BLUE Jul08 Jun11 May29 May06 Apr08 (lukas wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 50.00    
 
SAR-9   07/21/2023 5280ft TURF RC12 YIELDING Lake George Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 5:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEEN PICASSO (GB) May27 Mar05       (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
2  SURGE CAPACITY Jun10         (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
3  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Jun24 Oct28 Sep11     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
4  LIGURIA Jun24 May05 Dec03 Oct22 Sep11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 16% 5.40    
5  REVALITA (FR) Jun11 May05 Mar04     (brown c)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 38% 1.70    
6  LIL MISS MOONLIGHT Jun21 May24 Apr07 Mar11 Feb11 (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UTILIZATION RATE (FR) May27 Apr08 Mar05     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
8  TRYINMYHEARTOUT Jun22 Jun03 May13 Apr08 Mar04 (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 120 30.00    
9  PRINCESS BETTINA Jun02 Mar18 Feb12 Jan08 Nov12 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
10  SECRET MONEY Jun25 May20 Apr23 Apr02   (walsh brendan )CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
 
SAR-10   07/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON CHASE May11 Apr01 Jan28 Jan06 Dec08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  BASTION Jul04         (albertrani thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00    
3  MISSION HILL Jun25         (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
4  TIP OF THE BOOT Jul07         (coffey mar)DAVIS A 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  BORDER PATROL Jun23         (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  PASCHAL MOON         (camejo m)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST Apr27         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
8  TONY O Jun23 Jun01 May06 Apr14 Nov11 (donk david)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
9  ALL GOOD HERE Jun23 Apr14 Mar15     (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
10  UTAMARO May29         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  STOW ON THE WOLD Jun23 Jun01 May06 Oct16 Aug26 (donk david)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00    
12  LT. MITCHELL Jun01 May06 Oct09 Sep05   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE Jun01 Nov11       (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  CHULLIGAN Jun23 Oct07 Aug26     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
SCR  IMPAZIBLE PRINCE Jul03 Nov05 Oct06 Sep15 Aug11 (albright geor)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  SCREW LOOSE Jul08 Jun01 Apr21     (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.