Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7 $20.80 $8.80 73%
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-7-2 $52.80 $40.80 340%
PID-2   DD (2/7/4)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-4 $25.40 $1.40 6%
PID-3   EXA (4/3/7/5)-(4/3/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $99.20 $75.20 313%
PID-4   WIN (1/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    EXA (1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-1 $27.60 $3.60 15%
    TRI (1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00  7-1-8 $57.80 $9.80 20%
    PK3 (5/4/3/2)-(4/3/7/5)-(1/8/7/2) 64 $2.00 $128  4-4-7 $134.80 $6.80 5%
PID-6   PK3 (1/8/7/2)-(7/2/8/6)-(8/9/2/5) 64 $2.00 $128  7-2/4-8 $144.60 $16.60 13%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:152 1:413   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISAINTJUMPSTREET 4 5 4 4 42 31 11 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00 18% 4.50 2.30 W
REDHOT KATIE 6 6 32 31 2½ 1nk 21 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 18% 4.40 1.30 P
NORTHERN ALLIANCE 2 3 65 6 3 4 3 (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 35% 1.80 2.90 S
FAST FASHION 5 2 11 11 1½ 2nk 4 (morrell)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00 12.00  
GLOVANNA 1 1 5 5 63 6 5 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00 10.60  
DYNA'S HOLIDAY 3 4 21 21 52 5 6 (pappada mi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00 14.90  
SCR  KITTEN BY THE SEA               (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50    
 
PID-2   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:251 :503 1:152 1:402   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE CREEK 4 7 6 42 3 32 1nk (potts g)ALLEN D 122 3.00 16% 5.20 2.40 W
CLEMSON TIGER 1 1 3 32 2½ 1½ 2nk (gonzalez ald)AYALA J 122 2.00 0.80  
BIJEMINI SLEW 7 4 43 53 4 43 3 (tasso ma)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 13.70  
GOODTIME ARTIE 5 3 54 76 7 5 43 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 23% 3.40 5.40  
JAMA DILLON 3 6 1 11 1½ 2½ 56 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 13% 6.60 24.60  
K. K. ICHIKAWA 2 2 76 6 6 67 69 (lecesse micha)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 13% 6.70 17.50  
GOLDEN OAK 6 5 2 21 5 7 714 (schneider )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 16.30  
 
PID-3   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:222 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGIC LIFE 4 4 32 31   1½ 1 (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 118 1.80 38% 1.70 0.80 W
VALIANT VICTORIA 5 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 2 (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 12.00 5% 19.00 41.90 P
REAL GOOD VYBZ 1 7 7 7   4 3 (williams omani)STANLEY O 124 3.00 3.70  
BEAST BUNNY 6 1 1nk 1nk   3 4 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 10.00 7.50  
LEMON CURRY 7 8 54 4   5 510½ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.70  
BETHPAGE 2 6 8 6   6 616¼ (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00 6.40  
SOME KIND OF CRAZY 3 5 6 5   76 716¾ (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 118 4.00 25% 2.90 9.90  
OH EYE SEE 8 2 4 85   87 818¼ (maddox a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00 64.90  
 
PID-4   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMURAI LEGACY 6 1 12 1   1 1hd (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.00 8% 11.30 4.40 W
JARETH 1 6 45 33   2 2hd (barron r)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.60 P
AMERICAN UNION 7 5 6 6   43 3nk (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 3.00 25% 3.10 2.10 S
WORBOTHOR 4 7 78 7   7 4 (radosevich s)AYALA J 124 8.00 15.50  
KIKKERLAND 5 4 56 55   5 54 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 124 12.00 15.70  
HEATHER'S GOLD 3 2 3 43   65 65 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00 4.40  
BIG CHICKEN MAN 2 3 22 2   32 7 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 12.00 39.80  
SCR  LONTANI               (valdez )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
PID-5   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:22 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENERAL WINSTON 2 3 5 4   1nk 1 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 2.50 21% 3.80 1.50 W
SUPER GREMLIN 4 2 42 5   3.2 2 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 10.00 11.00  
BEACH HOLIDAY 3 7 6 6   5 3 (cheeks k)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 11.80  
LARZ 1 6 76 7   6 43 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00 7.60  
GOLDEN SODA 7 1 3 31   2nk 5 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 17% 4.90 8.20  
FIGHT 5 5 2nk 2nk   4¾ 6 (cheeks jos)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
HAMMER LANE 6 4 1nk 1nk   7 713½ (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 3.00 40% 1.50 2.10  
SCR  RED HURRICANE               (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
 
PID-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:222 :452 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINBOW'S PRIDE 7 3 3.2 3   21 1½ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 35% 1.90 3.10 W
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CIRCULAR RAINBOW by CIRCULAR QUAY)
STEERAGE 4 4 1nk 1nk   11 2½ (thompson)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00 15.70  
  (by ASTERN out of TWEET STREET by QUALITY ROAD)
I STRONG 5 1 6 6   5 3 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.80 S
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
IMPOSTER SYNDROME 2 6 7 7   4 4 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50 19% 4.40 8.60  
  (by WAR FRONT out of BETSY ROSS by GALILEO (ARG))
I DON'T SEE COLORS 8 5 2nk 2nk   31 5 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 4.50 24% 3.20 3.50  
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ANOTHER ALEYNA by OUT OF PLACE)
CACTUS KEVIN 3 7 5 5   7 6 (walsh ry)GALLARDO A 118 6.00 2.00  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CACTUS KRIS by CACTUS RIDGE)
TRUCKIN TOMMY 6 2 4 4   6 7 (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 5.00 17.10  
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of CRAZYNCROOKED by EXCHANGE RATE)
DISASTER RECOVERY 1 8 8 8   8 813¼ (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00 49.10  
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRINCESS NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  BUNDABURG               (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SHE'S GONNA FLOAT by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
 
PID-7   07/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:112     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTED WARRIOR 4 3 11 11   1 1 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 116 2.50 34% 2.00 1.20 W
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 2 5 7 5   5 2 (rice kevin)AYALA J 116 4.00 5.10  
HOUSEBUILDER 6 4 4 3   2 3 (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 116 4.50 5.50  
CHOCOLATE PHILLING 5 2 32 4   6 4 (maddox a)WALKER M 122 15.00 37.20  
TAPSOLUTION 7 1 21 21   32 5 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00 8% 10.90 8.40  
GREY CHARMER 1 7 6 74   4 6 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 124 3.50 32% 2.10 2.80  
YADI 3 6 5 64   7 7 (carr-rozantz cat)RIQUELME J 115 6.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
SCR  KEYSTONE HANK               (morrell r)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT BODE 6 7 7 4   21 1 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 39% 1.50 1.90 W
WATERLOO SUNSET 4 4 11 11   11 2 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 15.20  
BELLE BREZING 1 5 5 53   4 3 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50 11% 8.20 10.20 S
ODD GAL 2 6 8 7   3 47 (depasquale ki)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00 10.00  
DOWN TO EARTH 7 1 4 6   6 58 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 10.00 17.70  
DON'T MAKE ME BEG 5 8 21 3   7 6 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 5% 18.00 5.30  
KATESALUCKYGIRL 3 3 31 21   5 710 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 5.00 16% 5.10 3.30  
TIZ SUSAN ANN 8 2 6 86   8 819½ (maldonado )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 4.40  
SCR  EMERALD CITADELLE               (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.