Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - July 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4)-(2/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4)-(5/4/3/2)-(4/3/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2)-(4/3/5/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/2)-(4/3/5/7)-(1/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (4/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7)-(4/3/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/7)-(1/8/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/7)-(1/8/7)-(7/2/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (1/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/7)-(1/8/7)-(1/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/8/7)-(7/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/8/7)-(7/2/8/6)-(8/9/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/2/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6)-(7/2/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/8/6)-(8/9/2/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (7/2/8/6)-(8/9/2/5)-(4/1/8/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/9/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/2/5)-(8/9/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/9/2/5)-(8/9/2/5)-(8/9/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/9/2/5)-(4/1/8/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2/5)-(4/1/8/3)-(7/4/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
PID-7   WIN (4/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3)-(4/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/3)-(7/4/2/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6)-(7/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLOVANNA Jun27 Jan28 Dec11 Dec04 Nov17 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 12.00    
2  NORTHERN ALLIANCE Jun18 Jun04 Apr02 Oct23 Oct02 (rodriguez hugo)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  DYNA'S HOLIDAY Jun27 May23 Apr12 Mar16 Feb27 (pappada mi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 6.00    
4  THISAINTJUMPSTREET Jun20 May31 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 (pappada micha)WALKER M 122 8.00 18% 4.50    
5  FAST FASHION Jul04 Jun07 May17 Jul07 Jun23 (morrell)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 122 10.00    
SCR  KITTEN BY THE SEA Jul09 Jun25 May30 Oct10 Sep28 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50    
7  REDHOT KATIE Jun27 Jun20 May22 Mar17 Feb23 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 18% 4.40    
 
PID-2   07/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEMSON TIGER Jun27 Jun12 May24 Apr02 Mar05 (gonzalez ald)AYALA J 122 2.00    
2  K. K. ICHIKAWA Jun27 May15 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 (lecesse micha)MORALES PABLO 122 8.00 13% 6.70    
3  JAMA DILLON Jun27 Jun12 Jun05 May17 Mar25 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
4  BATTLE CREEK Jun27 Jun12 May24 Apr22 Mar17 (potts g)ALLEN D 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
5  GOODTIME ARTIE Jun27 Jun12 May17 Oct18 Oct05 (kintz matth)ROJAS MARTINA 115 4.00 23% 3.40    
6  GOLDEN OAK Jun19 May31 May08 Feb16 Jan23 (schneider kim)RIQUELME J 124 10.00    
7  BIJEMINI SLEW Jun28 May17 Aug24 Aug15 Aug03 (tasso ma)GALLARDO A 122 8.00    
 
PID-3   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL GOOD VYBZ Jun19 May30 May16 May02 Mar19 (williams omani)STANLEY O 124 3.00    
2  BETHPAGE Jun26 Jun07 May22 May07 Oct07 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 124 6.00    
3  SOME KIND OF CRAZY Jun07 May22       (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 118 4.00 25% 2.90    
4  MAGIC LIFE Jun19 May30 Jun08     (rice ada)MARTINEZ A 118 1.80 38% 1.70    
5  VALIANT VICTORIA         (fennessy john)WALES GARY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  BEAST BUNNY Jun19 Mar17 Feb26 Jan25 Dec22 (pappada micha)WALKER M 118 10.00    
7  LEMON CURRY         (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  OH EYE SEE Jun19 May15 Apr25 Mar30 Jan24 (maddox a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 12.00    
 
PID-4   07/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JARETH Jun20 Jun05 May24 Oct13 Oct06 (barron r)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  LONTANI Jun20 Jun05 May15 Jan05 Dec14 (valdez )DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00 6% 14.90    
3  BIG CHICKEN MAN Jun20 May24 Oct25 Oct13 Sep27 (russell randall)RIQUELME J 124 12.00    
4  HEATHER'S GOLD Jun20 May15 Nov20 Nov05 Sep26 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 124 5.00    
5  WORBOTHOR Jun27 Jun20 May22 Oct25 Oct11 (radosevich s)AYALA J 124 8.00    
6  KIKKERLAND Jun20 Jun06 May22 May07 Mar30 (brooks gerald)MORALES PABLO 124 12.00    
7  SAMURAI LEGACY Jun27 Jun20 Jun07 May15 Oct06 (markgraf davi)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 3.00 8% 11.30    
8  AMERICAN UNION Jun05 May15 Jan18 Dec28 Dec15 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 124 3.00 25% 3.10    
 
PID-5   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARZ Jun19 Jun06 May20 Mar19 Feb09 (amaya joan)MORALES PABLO 116 5.00    
2  GENERAL WINSTON Jun07 May15 Sep07 Aug25 Jul28 (kintz matthew)SPIETH S 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  BEACH HOLIDAY Jul04 Jun14 Jun05 Dec31 Dec09 (cheeks k)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
SCR  RED HURRICANE Jun14 Mar10 Feb11 Dec28 Dec03 (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
5  SUPER GREMLIN May31 Apr29 Mar29 Feb26 Feb01 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 10.00    
6  FIGHT Jun21 May07 Apr21 Apr02 Jan05 (cheeks jos)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  HAMMER LANE Mar26 Dec22 Sep26 Sep19 Aug23 (cooper thomas)ALLEN D 122 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  GOLDEN SODA Jun05 Apr07 Feb18 Jan22 Dec24 (dickey keith)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
 
PID-6   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISASTER RECOVERY Jun27         (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 20.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of PRINCESS NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  IMPOSTER SYNDROME Jun03 May05 Apr08 Mar23 Mar11 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by WAR FRONT out of BETSY ROSS by GALILEO (ARG))
3  CACTUS KEVIN Jun27 Oct12 Sep27     (walsh ry)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of CACTUS KRIS by CACTUS RIDGE)
4  STEERAGE Jun27 May15 May02 Apr24 Mar18 (thompson)MARTINEZ A 124 12.00    
  (by ASTERN out of TWEET STREET by QUALITY ROAD)
5  I STRONG Jun27 Jun06 May17 Sep12 Aug13 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
6  TRUCKIN TOMMY Jun27         (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 5.00    
  (by GONE ASTRAY out of CRAZYNCROOKED by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  BUNDABURG         (bourke john)STANLEY O 118 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of SHE'S GONNA FLOAT by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
8  RAINBOW'S PRIDE Jun27 Apr12 Mar31 Mar11 Jan04 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CIRCULAR RAINBOW by CIRCULAR QUAY)
9  I DON'T SEE COLORS Jun14         (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 4.50 24% 3.20    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of ANOTHER ALEYNA by OUT OF PLACE)
 
PID-7   07/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY CHARMER Jun14 May30 Mar25 Feb24 Nov30 (kintz s )GALLARDO A 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  HE'S A GOOD DANCER Jun14 Jun07 May30 May17 Mar31 (rice kevin)AYALA J 116 4.00    
3  YADI Jun27 Oct25 Oct11 Sep27 Sep21 (carr-rozantz )ROJAS MARTINA 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  PAYNTED WARRIOR Jun21 Jun07 Jan23 Nov29 Oct25 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 116 2.50 34% 2.00    
5  CHOCOLATE PHILLING Jun15 Jun07 May24 May15 Apr26 (maddox a)WALKER M 122 15.00    
6  HOUSEBUILDER Jun05 Mar15 Feb15 Dec30 Oct08 (bayeh ed)MARTINEZ A 116 4.50    
SCR  KEYSTONE HANK Jun05 May23 Oct20 Oct12 Sep27 (morrell r)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
8  TAPSOLUTION Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr15 Feb19 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 10.00 8% 10.90    
 
PID-8   07/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EMERALD CITADELLE Jun26 Jun07 May29 Sep26 Sep08 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 15.00    
2  BELLE BREZING Jul02 Jun21 May30 Oct05 Sep29 (blankenship do)JURADO EDDIE 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
3  ODD GAL Jun26 Jun13 May29 May16 Sep29 (depasquale ki)ROJAS MARTINA 115 12.00    
4  KATESALUCKYGIRL Jun13 May23 Jul24 May05 Mar15 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 5.00 16% 5.10    
5  WATERLOO SUNSET Jun07 May17 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
6  DON'T MAKE ME BEG May31 May16 May02 Apr08 Sep22 (brooks g)GALLARDO A 122 6.00 5% 18.00    
7  HOT BODE Feb15 Jan25 Dec29 Dec01 Nov12 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 39% 1.50    
8  DOWN TO EARTH Jun13 May16 Sep29 Aug31 Aug08 (ruberto loui)AYALA J 122 10.00    
9  TIZ SUSAN ANN Jun27 May22 Apr15 Mar23 Feb25 (maldonado )MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.