Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - June 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $16.00  
TDN-2   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
TDN-3   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $29.00  
TDN-4   Win (4/2/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.40 $7.40  
TDN-5   Win (5/7/2/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $8.60 $8.60  
TDN-6   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-7   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 9.00
TDN-8   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:231 :472 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT A WILD BRAT 1 4 11 11   1nk 11 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00 7.00  
BOOGIE BOOGEE 6 1 21 21   2nk 21 (calderon ivan)RIVERA R 119 3.00 29% 2.50 1.20 P
GAIL'S DANCER 4 2 4 57   4 33 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 12% 7.20 5.50 S
DOUBLE EDGED 3 6 3 3   33 4 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 38% 1.60 1.50  
SARAH JANE 2 3 5 4   55 5 (bates l)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 18.50  
VICTOR STORY 5 5 610 611   6 6 (bayley r)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 19.70  
SCR  CRISTALINDA               (johnson l)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
 
TDN-2   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:14     1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAY'S EMPIRE 4 1 11 12 13 12 1 (bernardini ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.50 15% 5.70 2.60 W
MR. BALI 1 5 33 3 33 22 2 (evans mi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 62% 0.60 1.20 P
HARSH TRUTH 3 6 611½ 69 5 58 3 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00 23.40  
KNOCK WOOD 6 2 5 44 4 4 4 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00 2.80  
EL SORDO 2 4 21 22 23 36 512 (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
ELECTION INTEGRITY 5 3 43 5 611½ 612½ 620¼ (cline c)RIVERA R 119 3.50 6.70  
 
TDN-3   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:121     1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT TRAPPE 1 2 1 11 1 1 1 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00 13.50  
SPECIAL BEACH 4 1 33 3 47 36 2 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 8% 11.90 26.90 P
PROSPECTIVE FORUM 3 3 2 21 2 2 3 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 6.10  
TIZ INDEPENDENCE 2 5 54 6 5 57 4 (skerrett jeffr)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00 5% 19.00 21.90  
RED HOT LASS 5 6 6 4 36 47 5 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 65% 0.50 0.10  
DUNVEGAN DOLL 6 4 44 5 6 610 610¼ (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 9.30  
 
TDN-4   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:011     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAY OF THE WORLD 4 8 8 5   3½ 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.70 W
GOLD APPEAL 2 6 33 33   2nk 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 23% 3.30 6.20 P
WICKED REESE 5 5 23 22   4¾ 3 (radcliff donald)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 13% 6.60 2.60 S
MY TWO JAKES 6 4 44 43   5 4 (gonzalez d)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00 53.40  
SHESANOTHERSONG 7 1 13 12   1nk 5 (patt)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.00  
SEE YA SISTA 9 3 6 8   6 610¼ (tumblin andrew)VELEZ J 123 5.00 7.90  
OH EYE SEE 8 2 56 7   7 711 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 12.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
LISTEN LINDA LOU 3 7 9 912¼   9 814 (poole m)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 20.00 35.20  
HONEYBEE STINGS 1 9 77 67   8 914¾ (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00 15.00  
 
TDN-5   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RATATAT 7 5 1nk 2nk   21 1½ (rone)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 28% 2.50 3.30 W
MANDOLIN BREEZE 5 4 2nk 1nk   11 2½ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 42% 1.40 1.50 P
CANELA FINA 3 7 5 5   35 3 (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 6.00 13.30  
BROKEN JEWEL 1 8 7 6   47 412¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 6.40  
10  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ 10 6 8 7   5 513¼ (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
POLLY PRISSY PANTS 8 2 4¼ 4   6 613¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 7.30  
GO RAY 2 9 9 9   812½ 713½ (pattah shahab)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
VAMONOS PIACENTE 9 3 6 8   914½ 816½ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 30.00 67.90  
11  BOLD NICKY 11 1 3.2 31   711 917½ (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.50 11.20  
THE KID'S PRAYER 4 11 10 1011¾   1016½ 1017¾ (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00 29.40  
Z B READY 6 10 1110¼ 1115¼   1130½ 1143¾ (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 30.00 5% 19.00 55.30  
 
TDN-6   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARINA'S WAY 3 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (dubie kat)PILARES P 123 2.50 11% 8.10 1.60 W
IMA SURE BET 5 6 5 5   4 2 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 4.50 2.10  
KRISTIN 1 3 1½ 1nk   2½ 3 (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.50 14.20  
SAUNTER 2 5 4 3   3 4 (sweeting craig)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 51% 1.00 2.80  
CAJUN HEIR 6 1 3 4   5 5 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 14% 6.30 6.50  
DRILLS ECHO 4 4 64 6   6 614¼ (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00 12.60  
SCR  RAG TOWN               (trevino ste)BRICENO M 114 20.00    
 
TDN-7   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:123     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMMY'S SMILE 3 5 4 4 42 22 1½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7% 13.40 6.50 W
MR LOOOCH 2 2 2 21 1nk 12 2½ (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 13% 6.90 3.00 P
DARK VADER 4 3 3 32 31 3 3 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 57% 0.80 0.70 S
GONE IN A FLASH 6 4 5 65 66 69 410 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 7.50  
DERBY INCLUDED 5 6 6 55 5 58 510 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 19.60  
MUTINY 1 1 1 11 2nk 4 611 (skerrett jeffr)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00 9.40  
 
TDN-8   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:133     1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNECT ME 5 6 66 54 32 21 1¼ (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 42% 1.40 1.70 W
LEOLA 1 2 1½ 1½ 1 11 2¼ (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 1.90  
POT COMMITTED 2 3 4 44 4 3 3 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 4.00 15% 5.70 5.00 S
TWELVE MINUS ONE 6 5 2½ 2½ 2 44 4 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00 9.10  
C C'S CLEAR CREEK 4 4 3½ 33 5 57 5 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00 4.80  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 3 1 55 6 6 67 69 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 12% 7.70 12.00  
SCR  O ROMEO               (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.