Handicappers' Racing Form

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Thistledown
Monday - June 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-2   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (4/2/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-5   Win (5/7/2/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TDN-6   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-7   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TDN-1   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRISTALINDA Jun13 May23 May09 Apr04 Oct11 (johnson l)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
NOT A WILD BRAT May22 May03 Apr12 Mar27 Feb08 (radosevich jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00    
SARAH JANE May20 Apr12 Mar16 Feb16 Jan16 (bates l)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
DOUBLE EDGED May03 Mar30 Dec21 Nov23 Oct25 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
GAIL'S DANCER May29 Apr26 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
VICTOR STORY May17 May01 Dec30 Dec13 Apr28 (bayley r)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
BOOGIE BOOGEE May20 Apr26 Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 (calderon ivan)RIVERA R 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-2   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BALI Jun01 May18 May05 Feb21   (evans mi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
EL SORDO         (romero jose )HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
HARSH TRUTH May29 May11 Mar09 Feb21 Jan19 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
RAY'S EMPIRE May29 May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar01 (bernardini ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
ELECTION INTEGRITY Jun01 May11 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
KNOCK WOOD May29 May11       (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
 
TDN-3   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT TRAPPE May31 May09 Mar25 Feb12 Jan15 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE May31 Sep27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun22 (skerrett jeffr)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
PROSPECTIVE FORUM May30 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 Jul06 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
SPECIAL BEACH May31 May15 Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 8% 11.90    
RED HOT LASS May31 May09 Mar02 Feb08 Jan10 (skerrett jeffre)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 65% 0.50    
DUNVEGAN DOLL May09 Apr26 Mar15 Feb20 Sep08 (fadlovich)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYBEE STINGS Jun05 May11 Apr24 Mar16 Feb15 (patton luke)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00    
GOLD APPEAL Jun01 Sep01 Aug01 Jul07 Jun22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
LISTEN LINDA LOU Jun05 May11       (poole m)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 20.00    
WAY OF THE WORLD May31 May11 Apr24 Oct29 Aug31 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
WICKED REESE May15 Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 (radcliff donald)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 13% 6.60    
MY TWO JAKES Jun10 May31 May11 Apr24 Apr06 (gonzalez d)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
SHESANOTHERSONG May31 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 (patt)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
OH EYE SEE May15 Apr25 Mar30 Jan24 Jan10 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEE YA SISTA Jun05 May15 Mar16 Feb15   (tumblin andrew)VELEZ J 123 5.00    
 
TDN-5   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN JEWEL Feb06 Jan10 Dec29     (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
GO RAY Jun05         (pattah shahab)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANELA FINA Jun01 May11 Apr24 Feb06 Dec27 (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 6.00    
THE KID'S PRAYER May31         (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00    
MANDOLIN BREEZE May31 May11 Nov30 Nov12 Oct31 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
Z B READY         (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
RATATAT May31 Sep21       (rone)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
POLLY PRISSY PANTS May31 Sep29       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
VAMONOS PIACENTE Feb20 Sep29 Aug31 Aug15   (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 30.00    
10  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ May31         (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  BOLD NICKY May31 May11 Apr24 Mar27 Mar16 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.50    
 
TDN-6   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTIN Jun10 May30 Oct25     (rettele rich)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.50    
SAUNTER May30 May02 Apr05     (sweeting craig)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
CARINA'S WAY Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 Aug16 Jan22 (dubie kat)PILARES P 123 2.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  RAG TOWN May02 Mar15 Nov11 Oct11   (trevino ste)BRICENO M 114 20.00    
DRILLS ECHO Dec23 May07 Jan08     (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
IMA SURE BET Jun07 May25 Mar01 Feb20 Jan31 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
CAJUN HEIR May30 Apr25 Apr06     (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
TDN-7   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY May31 May09 Apr26 Mar20 Jan30 (skerrett jeffr)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
MR LOOOCH Jun01 Oct03 Aug30 Jul28 Jul05 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 13% 6.90    
SAMMY'S SMILE Jun01 Nov12 Oct29 Sep15 Sep01 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7% 13.40    
DARK VADER Jun02 May10 Jan10 Dec22 Sep05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 57% 0.80    
DERBY INCLUDED Jun01 Apr13 Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Jun01 Apr13 Jan28 Jan11 Dec29 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEOLA May29 May11 Apr30 Apr07 Feb26 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
POT COMMITTED Dec21 Nov25 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
INSACIABLE PRINCE Jun06 May23 May06 Feb16 Feb01 (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 12% 7.70    
C C'S CLEAR CREEK May25 May16 May06 Apr05 Mar21 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
CONNECT ME May25 May15 Apr26 Apr05 Mar23 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
TWELVE MINUS ONE May25 May11 Apr25 Apr10   (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
SCR  O ROMEO May29 May11 Apr23 Apr08 Mar09 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.