Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Monday - June 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(1/4/2)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(4/2/5/7/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(4/2/5/7/8)-(5/7/2/10/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/2/5/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/7/8)-(4/2/5/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/7/8)-(4/2/5/7/8)-(4/2/5/7/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/7/8)-(5/7/2/10/6)-(2/7/3) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TDN-5   WIN (5/7/2/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/10/6)-(5/7/2/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/10/6)-(5/7/2/10/6)-(5/7/2/10/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/10/6)-(2/7/3)-(4/2/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(4/2/3)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(5/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22.4K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CRISTALINDA Jun13 May23 May09 Apr04 Oct11 (johnson gary)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
NOT A WILD BRAT May22 May03 Apr12 Mar27 Feb08 (radosevich j)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 4.00    
SARAH JANE May20 Apr12 Mar16 Feb16 Jan16 (bates l)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
DOUBLE EDGED May03 Mar30 Dec21 Nov23 Oct25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
GAIL'S DANCER May29 Apr26 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 (johnson l)DIAZ I 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
VICTOR STORY May17 May01 Dec30 Dec13 Apr28 (bayley)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00    
BOOGIE BOOGEE May20 Apr26 Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 (calderon ivan)RIVERA R 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-2   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. BALI Jun01 May18 May05 Feb21   (evans )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 62% 0.60    
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
EL SORDO         (romero jos)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
HARSH TRUTH May29 May11 Mar09 Feb21 Jan19 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 6.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
RAY'S EMPIRE May29 May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar01 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 2.50 15% 5.70    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
ELECTION INTEGRITY Jun01 May11 Aug03 Jul12 Jun29 (cline c)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of TOO COOL by SHAKESPEARE)
KNOCK WOOD May29 May11       (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 5.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
 
TDN-3   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT TRAPPE May31 May09 Mar25 Feb12 Jan15 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 4.00    
TIZ INDEPENDENCE May31 Sep27 Aug25 Jul26 Jun22 (skerrett jef)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
PROSPECTIVE FORUM May30 Oct11 Sep08 Aug16 Jul06 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
SPECIAL BEACH May31 May15 Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 8% 11.90    
RED HOT LASS May31 May09 Mar02 Feb08 Jan10 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.60 65% 0.50    
DUNVEGAN DOLL May09 Apr26 Mar15 Feb20 Sep08 (fadlovi)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00    
 
TDN-4   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYBEE STINGS Jun05 May11 Apr24 Mar16 Feb15 (patton luk)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00    
GOLD APPEAL Jun01 Sep01 Aug01 Jul07 Jun22 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
LISTEN LINDA LOU Jun05 May11       (poole m)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 20.00    
WAY OF THE WORLD May31 May11 Apr24 Oct29 Aug31 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
WICKED REESE May15 Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 (radcliff dona)TOLEDO S 119 3.00 13% 6.60    
MY TWO JAKES Jun10 May31 May11 Apr24 Apr06 (gonzalez)FERNANDEZ R 119 15.00    
SHESANOTHERSONG May31 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 (pa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
OH EYE SEE May15 Apr25 Mar30 Jan24 Jan10 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SEE YA SISTA Jun05 May15 Mar16 Feb15   (tumblin andrew)VELEZ J 123 5.00    
 
TDN-5   06/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROKEN JEWEL Feb06 Jan10 Dec29     (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00    
  (by PROFESSOR FATE out of MISS POSSE by POSSE)
GO RAY Jun05         (pattah shah)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of SHOW ME THE ROSES by STORM CAT)
CANELA FINA Jun01 May11 Apr24 Feb06 Dec27 (dubie k)PILARES P 119 6.00    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
THE KID'S PRAYER May31         (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 119 20.00    
  (by KISS THE KID out of SUSIE'S PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
MANDOLIN BREEZE May31 May11 Nov30 Nov12 Oct31 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by LITTLE LUTE out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
Z B READY         (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of MAMA ZEE by J BE K)
RATATAT May31 Sep21       (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of EBBY by RUNNING STAG)
POLLY PRISSY PANTS May31 Sep29       (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00    
  (by VERTIFORMER out of LADY YELLOW TAIL by ARCH)
VAMONOS PIACENTE Feb20 Sep29 Aug31 Aug15   (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 30.00    
  (by MOBIL out of PYRITE ADIOS by ADIOS CHARLIE)
10  HAPPYBDAYMRPREZ May31         (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
11  BOLD NICKY May31 May11 Apr24 Mar27 Mar16 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 4.50    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
 
TDN-6   06/19/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KRISTIN Jun10 May30 Oct25     (rettele ri)HERNANDEZ ALVARO 123 3.50    
SAUNTER May30 May02 Apr05     (sweeting craig)HOUGHTON D 119 3.00 51% 1.00    
CARINA'S WAY Oct19 Oct04 Sep14 Aug16 Jan22 (dubie k)PILARES P 123 2.50 11% 8.10    
SCR  RAG TOWN May02 Mar15 Nov11 Oct11   (trevino s)BRICENO M 114 20.00    
DRILLS ECHO Dec23 May07 Jan08     (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
IMA SURE BET Jun07 May25 Mar01 Feb20 Jan31 (morales m)AVILES YAN 123 4.50    
CAJUN HEIR May30 Apr25 Apr06     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 14% 6.30    
 
TDN-7   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTINY May31 May09 Apr26 Mar20 Jan30 (skerrett jef)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 8.00    
MR LOOOCH Jun01 Oct03 Aug30 Jul28 Jul05 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 13% 6.90    
SAMMY'S SMILE Jun01 Nov12 Oct29 Sep15 Sep01 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 6.00 7% 13.40    
DARK VADER Jun02 May10 Jan10 Dec22 Sep05 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 1.80 57% 0.80    
DERBY INCLUDED Jun01 Apr13 Mar21 Mar06 Jan31 (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00    
GONE IN A FLASH Jun01 Apr13 Jan28 Jan11 Dec29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   06/19/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEOLA May29 May11 Apr30 Apr07 Feb26 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GLADIOLA by SHACKLEFORD)
POT COMMITTED Dec21 Nov25 Nov05 Oct21 Sep30 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 4.00 15% 5.70    
  (by BAYERN out of MIDNIGHT EMBRACE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
INSACIABLE PRINCE Jun06 May23 May06 Feb16 Feb01 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 15.00 12% 7.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SUSTAIN by VINDICATION)
C C'S CLEAR CREEK May25 May16 May06 Apr05 Mar21 (flores israel)BARBARAN ERIK 123 6.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
CONNECT ME May25 May15 Apr26 Apr05 Mar23 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by CONNECT out of LET'SLEAVEITATTHAT by BODEMEISTER)
TWELVE MINUS ONE May25 May11 Apr25 Apr10   (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 6.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  O ROMEO May29 May11 Apr23 Apr08 Mar09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 3.50    
  (by GARY D out of ROMANTIC JULIET by PUT IT BACK)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.