Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
TDN-2   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $30.20  
TDN-3   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-4   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TDN-5   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $26.20  
TDN-6   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20  
TDN-7   Win (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $4.60  
TDN-8   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIG 1 3 12 13   1 15 (gorham m)RIVERA R 123 1.80 69% 0.50 0.40 W
FIRSTHAND JUSTICE 2 6 3 23   2 25 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 11.90 P
TIZ A RUSH 7 1 711½ 710½   48 3 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00 29.80  
GOLDEN MONEY 6 4 5 6   58 4 (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 7.80  
EL MARRO 4 5 22 33   36 5 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00 20.00  
OL' L B 5 2 4 5   7 613½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00 3.60  
CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED 3 7 6 45   6 714 (shanyfelt vale)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00 19.60  
 
TDN-2   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRECIOUS JULES 3 5 515¾ 510¾   44 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 14.10  
TRAITOR AMONGST US 1 4 1nk 1½   1 2 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.40 61% 0.60 1.10 P
JUST CHESTER 4 1 3.2 2½   2 3 (bird danny)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 3.30  
CHISELED JUSTICE 5 3 4¾ 3½   3 4 (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.80 13% 6.70 1.70  
MA MOO POWER 2 2 2nk 4¾   54 514¼ (hernandez rica)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 8.20  
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER               (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00    
 
TDN-3   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :472 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICON 4 6 5 32   11 1 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 1.80 38% 1.60 0.70 W
NICHOLAS JAMES 5 3 2½ 1nk   21 2 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 29% 2.40 2.40 P
TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 3 5 4 4   35 36 (dubie kat)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 12% 7.50 4.80 S
STRIKE A BEAT 6 1 6 6   45 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.50 9.80  
BRYCE'S ANGEL 1 4 3 5   57 516½ (rettele ric)BRICENO M 114 12.00 14.50  
HEY SACH 2 2 1½ 2nk   6 620¾ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00 27.70  
 
TDN-4   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT EXPRESS 5 2 1nk 14   15 1 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 1.80 48% 1.10 0.10 W
OXBOW'S RIDE 6 1 34 36   39 2 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.00 9.40 P
STRIKE ONE 1 4 2nk 24   25 310½ (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 28% 2.50 14.70 S
HAPPY TAKEOVER 4 3 510 412   413 414 (campbell anthony)DIAZ I 119 8.00 27.10  
AFLEET O ME 2 6 611 613   513 516 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50 10.50  
BILLY BEACOUP 3 5 48 512½   616 623½ (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 12.60  
 
TDN-5   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:232 :472 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUFF ATTACK 5 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 1¼ (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 12.10  
JOHNNY U 3 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 2¼ (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 24% 3.20 1.70 P
REINSURE 4 5 3 31   33 3 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00 10.50  
KING RICHIE 1 6 4 4   4 4 (skerrett jeffrey)TORREALBA JG 118 12.00 15% 5.50 6.40  
MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE 2 4 5 5   5 57 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 2.00 24% 3.10 2.30  
BULLION 6 1 64 6   6 6 (castillo jabdiel)DIAZ I 123 10.00 2.80  
 
TDN-6   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:143     1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIPLEY EFFECT 5 7 7 4 2 24 1¾ (mckanas )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 8% 11.40 1.60 W
UNESCORTED 2 5 3 32 4 46 2¾ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 110 4.50 57% 0.80 2.20 P
UNDERCOVER LADY 4 1 1 12 1 14 31 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00 13% 6.60 4.80 S
PLAYFUL SUMMER 3 4 2 22 3 36 4 (flores christian)DIAZ I 119 15.00 15.30  
MAY BEAU 1 6 6 6 6 59 54 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00 8.70  
CONDUTTORE 7 3 43 5 5 611½ 610 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00 9.60  
INDY LITES 6 2 54 7 7 716½ 716 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 9.10  
 
TDN-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUJARA 1 8 4 1nk   1 1 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 1.30  
1A  DIVA POWER 7 2 12 2nk   2 2 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00 12.10  
BOX STEP 6 5 6 4   59 3 (yoder lo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 25% 3.10 4.00 S
CHLOES ANGEL 3 7 7 5   37 49 (romero oscar)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00 16.80  
RAINBOW SHIP 5 3 32 34   49 510¾ (mahan jos)PILARES P 119 10.00 8% 12.20 10.10  
BOOGIE BOOGEE 2 4 5 6   610 611 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.50 18% 4.40 6.80  
JETTIN PEGASUS 8 6 8 8   713½ 711 (suarez javier)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 11.60  
DANCIN' ROSIE 4 1 22 7   815½ 816¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 25% 3.00 5.00  
SCR  CALI DREAM               (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00    
 
TDN-8   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWICE AS SMART 1 3 13 1   12 1 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 20% 4.00 0.90 W
SMUDGE THE CAT 3 1 23 2   22 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.60 46% 1.20 1.30 P
THE WILD FLYER 4 2 37 3   38 3 (bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 3.00 4.30  
GET ALONG 2 4 412 416½   419 420½ (buhrow j)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 8.10  
SCR  FLEET RUN               (brown joh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
SCR  UPTOWN GUY               (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.