Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/6/4/2)-(1/6/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/4)-(1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(1/6)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/6/2)-(1/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(4/5/3)-(5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-3   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/1)-(2/3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/4/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(2/4/5)-(5/7/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-6   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5/6)-(2/4/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/3/6)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
TDN-8   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIG Sep01 Aug16 Jul25 Jun03 May03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 69% 0.50    
2  FIRSTHAND JUSTICE May06 Dec03 Nov07 Sep22 Aug31 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 123 4.50 ★    
3  CRAZYCANTBERIGHTED Apr26 Sep15 Sep01 Aug02 Jun16 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 5.00    
4  EL MARRO Apr26 Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 Jan26 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  OL' L B Jan26 Jan09 Dec08 Nov21 Nov09 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
6  GOLDEN MONEY May08 Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec12 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 2.50 ★    
7  TIZ A RUSH Sep20 Sep07 Jul25 Jun30 Jun01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 12.00    
 
TDN-2   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAITOR AMONGST US Sep29 Aug30 Aug17 Jul13 Jun25 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 1.40 61% 0.60    
2  MA MOO POWER Nov22 Nov10 Oct31 Oct10 Sep29 (hernandez ri)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 10.00 ★    
3  PRECIOUS JULES May08 Dec03 Nov12 Oct31 Oct12 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  NOTHINLASTSFOREVER Nov12 Oct14 Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00    
5  JUST CHESTER May08 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (bird danny)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00    
6  CHISELED JUSTICE May08 Apr13 Mar08 Dec14 Nov22 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 1.80 13% 6.70    
 
TDN-3   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRYCE'S ANGEL Sep06 Aug02 Jul05 Jun08 May24 (rettele r)BRICENO M 114 12.00    
2  HEY SACH May09 Apr11 Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 15.00    
3  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY May09 Apr11 Mar16 Feb21 Jan16 (dubie k)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 3.00 12% 7.50    
4  ICON May09 Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 Feb07 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 1.80 38% 1.60    
5  NICHOLAS JAMES May03 Apr11 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
6  STRIKE A BEAT May01 Mar27 Mar08 Feb07 Jan19 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.50    
 
TDN-4   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKE ONE         (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 114 15.00 28% 2.50    
2  AFLEET O ME Sep27 Sep20 Aug22 Jul21 Jul14 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 3.50    
3  BILLY BEACOUP Aug23 Aug08 Jul20 Jul04 Jun14 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
4  HAPPY TAKEOVER Apr27 Mar29 Feb27 Jan26 Jun14 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
5  WILDCAT EXPRESS May08 Oct13 Sep13 Aug25 Jul21 (wolochuk david)RIVERA R 119 1.80 48% 1.10    
6  OXBOW'S RIDE May08 Mar21 Mar01 Feb16 Feb09 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 2.00 ★    
 
TDN-5   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING RICHIE Oct13 Sep29 Aug10 Jul21 Jun11 (skerrett jeffr)TORREALBA JG 118 12.00 15% 5.50    
2  MR. TRIPLEDOUBLE Nov22 Nov02 Oct06 Sep20 Sep12 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  JOHNNY U May03 Nov22 Oct24 Sep20 Aug22 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 1.60 24% 3.20    
4  REINSURE May01 Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 4.00    
5  TUFF ATTACK Mar24 Feb19 Jan20 Nov06 Oct22 (canegata james)FELICIANO R 123 5.00    
6  BULLION Feb27 Jan02 Dec12 Nov23 Nov09 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
 
TDN-6   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAY BEAU May03 Apr07 Mar15 Feb25 Feb10 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 8.00    
2  UNESCORTED May06 Apr05 Mar23 Feb07 Jan23 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 110 4.50 57% 0.80    
3  PLAYFUL SUMMER May03 Apr05 Mar09 Feb20 Jan05 (flores christi)DIAZ I 119 15.00    
4  UNDERCOVER LADY May03 Apr24 Mar13 Feb22 Dec30 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00 13% 6.60    
5  RIPLEY EFFECT May05 Apr15 Mar19 Mar04 Feb17 (mckana)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 1.80 8% 11.40    
6  INDY LITES May02 Oct10 Sep20 Aug06 Jul20 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 ★    
7  CONDUTTORE May03 Mar22 Mar09 Feb20 Aug06 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DIVA POWER Apr27 Mar08 Feb16 Jan16 Dec30 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00    
SCR  CALI DREAM Apr11 Nov28 Oct29 Oct06 Aug13 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00    
2  AUJARA May10 Apr26 Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
3  BOOGIE BOOGEE Apr26 Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 121 3.50 18% 4.40    
4  CHLOES ANGEL Apr27 Mar06 Feb23 Jan05 Dec21 (romero osca)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 15.00    
5  DANCIN' ROSIE Apr27 Apr11 Feb23 Dec30 Dec01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  RAINBOW SHIP Apr26 Apr10 Mar08 Feb16 Jan16 (mahan j)PILARES P 119 10.00 8% 12.20    
7  BOX STEP Feb14 Jan28 Dec30 Dec20 Dec05 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 5.00 25% 3.10    
8  JETTIN PEGASUS May10 Dec01 Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 (suarez javier)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00    
 
TDN-8   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UPTOWN GUY Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Jan28 Dec28 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 119 6.00    
2  TWICE AS SMART Apr27 Mar30 Feb22 Feb07 Jan12 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 2.50 20% 4.00    
3  GET ALONG May07 Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 (buhrow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
SCR  FLEET RUN Mar15 Feb18 Jan25 Jan12   (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 12.00    
5  SMUDGE THE CAT Apr27 Apr03 Jan02 Dec06 Nov23 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 121 1.60 46% 1.20    
6  THE WILD FLYER Apr27 Apr04 Mar06 Jan28 Jan02 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.