Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TDN-2   Win (4/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
TDN-3   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
TDN-4   Win (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 10 1 0 $126.80  
TDN-5   Win (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $5.80  
TDN-6   Win (8/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
TDN-7   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 1.00
TDN-8   Win (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $2.40 $2.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAT'S RHYTHM 3 3 34 2   1nk 1½ (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 26% 2.80 0.60 W
AUJARA 1 5 13 1   2nk 2½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00 3.90  
JETTIN PEGASUS 4 4 6 57   5 3 (suarez javier)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 15.50  
APPEALING SENORITA 2 6 45 4   35 4 (gonzalez don)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00 7.80  
STAR MABEE 6 1 23 3   4 5 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 26% 2.90 3.90  
CARMEN OHIO 5 2 55 6   6 613¼ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 19% 4.20 19.90  
SCR  CUE THE BAND               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:141     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY ROYALITY 7 2 42 5 5 1½ 13 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00 1.90 W
CHORIST 2 6 6 41 41 4 23 (vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 23% 3.40 4.60 P
ADMONISH 1 7 7 7 7 5 35 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 25.90  
MY GIRL MELLY 3 5 5 3½ 2nk 2½ 4 (canegata jam)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00 16.20  
TIME FOR CUPID 4 1 3 6 6 65 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 1.80 33% 2.00 7.90  
YEARS AGO 6 4 1½ 1½ 1nk 3½ 6 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 2.00  
DREAM TO WIN 5 8 811 8 810¼ 8 713¾ (brown glenroy)TORREALBA JG 114 12.00    
UNCAPTURED FAITH 8 3 2½ 2½ 3½ 7 815 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 11% 8.00 4.90  
 
TDN-3   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANAMANIAC 2 1 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 42% 1.40 3.40 W
A SMILE A DAY 3 2 1nk 2nk   2½ 2 (hobs)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 9% 10.00 2.20 P
1A  TOTALLY OBSESSED 6 4 4 4   4 3 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 5.10  
TWERK 1 5 5 5   3 4 (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00 3.50  
FRONT CIRCLE 4 6 6 6   69 513 (bookman donald)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 25% 3.00 3.40  
SUSHI Q 5 3 31 32   57 614¼ (morales saul )SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 11.60  
SCR  CALI DREAM               (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:23 :48 1:013     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ATILANO'S THUNDER 10 11 11 5   1½ 1 (brown t)RIVERA R 123 20.00 62.40  
DANES HEART 3 6 54 7   41 2 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 23.30 P
SOL OF VAQUERO 1 7 8 6   3½ 3 (campbell anthony)DIAZ I 123 5.00 16.20  
BRONZE KETTLE 5 9 9 8   7 4 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 3.00 47% 1.10 0.80  
IPPOLITO'S WONDER 4 4 4 4   6 54 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 2.30  
VEGAS PLAYER 7 8 77 9   8 6 (poole m)BIRT BRAXON 119 30.00 58.30  
HURRYCANE DON 9 10 10 10   9 7 (bookman donald)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 30.00 32% 2.10 10.40  
STRIKING AGAIN 8 2 3 1nk   2½ 89 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 123 15.00 40.60  
11  TRANSPIRED 11 1 11 2nk   5 911½ (tumblin a)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00 28.10  
MY HOMBRE 2 5 21 3   104 1012¼ (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 7.70  
1A  WHY KENNY WHY 6 3 66 11   118 1115¼ (casalinova tina)DIAZ R 119 6.00 2.30  
SCR  NOSEY POWER               (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50    
 
TDN-5   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITESSE 5 3 11 1½   14 17 (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 12.00 1.90  
MS. THE LAW 7 1 31 2½   24 27 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 115 8.00 6.10  
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 3 6 21 3   3 3 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 117 3.00 35% 1.90 4.00 S
TWILIGHT VISION 2 5 4 4   4 4 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 10.20  
ALSANAH 4 7 7 711   713 59 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 6.10  
DANZING CHICK 8 2 53 5   59 610¾ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 42% 1.40 8.40  
LADY GIULIANA 1 4 6 66   69 711¼ (skerrett jeffrey)TORREALBA JG 110 20.00 23.50  
KISS ME ON OCONEE 6 8 811½ 816   821 826¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50 5.00  
 
TDN-6   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:121     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CITIZEN 7 3 2nk 2½ 1½ 1nk 1 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 118 3.00 33% 2.00 3.40 W
THRU THE VINE 3 1 5 4 41 2nk 2 (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.00 9% 10.40 3.30 P
OBIWAN 6 7 6 6 5 3 3 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 23% 3.40 4.30 S
COMPLY (NZ) 9 2 4 53 64 5 4 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 11% 8.20 8.50  
DISCLOSURE 1 9 915 912½ 99 8 5 (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00 25.20  
RAISON KARTER 4 4 31 3 2½ 4 6 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 121 4.50 3.50  
1A  NIGHT TIME RULER 8 5 1nk 1½ 31 6 7 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 116 6.00 9.20  
SURF AND TURF 2 8 89 8 8 7 811½ (londono odin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 12.20  
CREDIT RIVER 5 6 7 7 7 9 914½ (castro a)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 23.10  
SCR  ROYAL DRAGOON               (urieta joha)BRICENO M 114 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:123     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I WANNA WIN 4 8 87 7 4 1½ 1 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 46% 1.20 1.50 W
TANTRUM 1 7 76 8 86 8 2 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 8.50 P
DARK VADER 2 6 5 4 1nk 2½ 3 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 23% 3.40 5.80 S
TO WIN 5 2 43 5 6 42 4 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 8.00 3.50  
MO DONT NO 3 1 64 6 5 52 5 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 22.00  
IT'S YOUR CALL 6 3 2½ 31 72 6 6 (urieta johanna)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 15.00 35.00  
UPTOWN 8 5 32 21 2nk 3 77 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 10.60  
WICKED WARRIOR 7 4 1½ 11 31 7 8 (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 3.90  
 
TDN-8   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:22 :451 :574     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT IN OHIO 3 4 12 1   14 11 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.50 48% 1.10 0.20 W
11  DIAMONDS N DEW 9 2 4 35   24 21 (meyers shane)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 24.60 P
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS 6 3 35 4   4 35 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.00 21% 3.80 10.90 S
10  CROSSED UP 8 5 7 5   511½ 4 (zielinski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 20.00 26.30  
SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS 7 1 22 2   3 5 (skerrett jeffrey)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 8.80  
RUNLIKEJACKIEO 5 8 8 812¼   714 69 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 119 6.00 6% 14.70 14.80  
BISCAYNE BAY 2 9 910¼ 711¼   613 7 (zielinski ri)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 37.30  
HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE 4 6 57 6   814½ 814¾ (patterso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 30.00 29.30  
COWCHI 1 7 67 913¼   918½ 917¾ (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00 60.40  
SCR  GAIL'S DANCER               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
SCR  GOODNESS SAKES               (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.