Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(4/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(4/2/8/7)-(3/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (4/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7)-(4/2/8/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/7)-(3/5/4)-(5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(5/9)-(8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-4   WIN (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/9)-(5/9/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/9)-(5/9/1/4)-(5/9/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9)-(8/3)-(8/7/9/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-5   WIN (8/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/3)-(8/3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3)-(8/3/2/4)-(8/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3)-(8/7/9/4)-(4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TDN-6   WIN (8/7/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/9/4)-(8/7/9/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/9/4)-(8/7/9/4/3)-(8/7/9/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (8/7/9/4)-(4/2)-(4/7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/8/1)-(4/2/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (4/2)-(4/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6/11/8)-(4/7/6/11/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUJARA Apr26 Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 12.00    
2  APPEALING SENORITA Apr10 Mar23 Mar06 Feb23 Feb07 (gonzalez d)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
3  CAT'S RHYTHM Apr26 Mar06 Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  CUE THE BAND Apr24 Dec27 Nov17 Oct29 Sep26 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50    
5  JETTIN PEGASUS Dec01 Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep21 (suarez javier)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00    
6  CARMEN OHIO Jan16 Jan05 Nov23 Oct29 Oct03 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 19% 4.20    
7  STAR MABEE Dec21 Dec05 Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-2   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMONISH Apr06 Mar15 Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
2  CHORIST Apr06 Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan05 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
3  MY GIRL MELLY Apr07 Mar19 Mar05 Feb04 Jan11 (canegata j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 10.00    
4  TIME FOR CUPID Apr10 Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 Feb06 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 1.80 33% 2.00    
5  DREAM TO WIN Apr26 Mar28 Jan18 Jul12 Jun13 (brown glenroy)TORREALBA JG 114 12.00    
6  YEARS AGO Apr10 Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
7  GRAY ROYALITY Apr06 Mar14 Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  UNCAPTURED FAITH Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Feb20 Jan24 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 5.00 11% 8.00    
 
TDN-3   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TOTALLY OBSESSED Apr11 Dec20 Nov28 Oct29 Sep20 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
SCR  CALI DREAM Apr11 Nov28 Oct29 Oct06 Aug13 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
2  TWERK Oct06 Sep21 Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.00    
3  PANAMANIAC Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug13 Aug01 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 42% 1.40    
4  A SMILE A DAY Apr11 Dec30 Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 (ho)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 2.50 9% 10.00    
5  FRONT CIRCLE Oct05 Sep13 Aug29 Aug01 Jul20 (bookman dona)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 25% 3.00    
6  SUSHI Q Apr26 Mar16 Feb28 Feb06 Jan17 (morales sau)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00    
 
TDN-4   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IPPOLITO'S WONDER Feb14 Jan12 Dec30 Dec14 Aug02 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 ★    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of WHY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
1A  WHY KENNY WHY Apr24 Mar06 Feb14 Jan12   (casalinova tina)DIAZ R 119 6.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
2  SOL OF VAQUERO Apr24 Apr12 Feb08 Jul28   (campbell antho)DIAZ I 123 5.00    
  (by VAQUERO out of SHE'S SO HAPPY by YOUR ABC'S)
3  MY HOMBRE Apr24 Mar13 Jun29 Jun14   (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
4  DANES HEART Apr12 Mar29 Mar13 Feb16 Jan09 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 123 12.00 ★    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of HOPEFUL HEART by LOST SOLDIER)
5  BRONZE KETTLE Apr12 Mar02 Feb14     (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 119 3.00 47% 1.10    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
6  VEGAS PLAYER Apr12         (poole m)BIRT BRAXON 119 30.00    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of WITH GRATITUDE by ECTON PARK)
SCR  NOSEY POWER Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Feb23 Feb08 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 123 3.50 ★    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
8  STRIKING AGAIN Apr24 Aug10 Jul28 Jun29   (urieta johann)BRACHO A 123 15.00    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of STRIKING JEWEL by SAVIN EYES)
9  HURRYCANE DON         (bookman dona)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 30.00 32% 2.10    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of WILD ISLAND STORM by WILD HORSES)
10  ATILANO'S THUNDER Apr24 Apr12 Dec07 Nov09 Oct05 (brown t)RIVERA R 123 20.00    
  (by MAGNIFICENT MAX (GB) out of TIZ OUR DREAM by TIZNOW)
11  TRANSPIRED Apr24 Apr12 Mar29 Jan26 Dec29 (tumblin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 10.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of BACK FOR DINNER by PUT IT BACK)
 
TDN-5   05/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY GIULIANA Apr25 Mar23 Mar07 Feb22 Jan23 (skerrett jeffr)TORREALBA JG 110 20.00    
2  TWILIGHT VISION Apr25 Oct05 Sep13 Aug24 Aug10 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 119 5.00 ★    
3  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 Dec07 Nov21 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 117 3.00 35% 1.90    
4  ALSANAH Apr11 Mar23 Mar07 Feb01 Jan19 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 ★    
5  MITESSE Mar26 Mar02 Feb09 Jan04 Nov13 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 12.00    
6  KISS ME ON OCONEE Mar23 Dec29 Nov15 Oct24 Sep17 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 115 2.50    
7  MS. THE LAW Apr18 Mar18 Feb15 Jan18 Jan05 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 115 8.00    
8  DANZING CHICK Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 Feb27 Feb09 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-6   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  NIGHT TIME RULER Apr11 Mar21 Mar06 Feb23 Feb07 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 116 6.00    
SCR  ROYAL DRAGOON Apr15 Apr03 Mar09 Feb21 Jan30 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 114 6.00    
2  DISCLOSURE Apr15 Mar22 Mar13 Oct14 Sep19 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 15.00    
3  SURF AND TURF Apr16 Oct10 Sep08 Aug23 Aug02 (londono od)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 ★    
4  THRU THE VINE May02 Apr15 Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.00 9% 10.40    
5  RAISON KARTER Apr15 Apr03 Mar14 Jan30 Jan18 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 121 4.50    
6  CREDIT RIVER Apr15 Mar22 Feb08 Jan05 Dec13 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
7  OBIWAN Apr16 Mar31 Mar04 Feb12 Jan27 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
8  FIRST CITIZEN May02 Apr11 Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
9  COMPLY (NZ) Apr11 Mar13 Jan28 Dec22 Oct14 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 5.00 11% 8.20    
 
TDN-7   05/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANTRUM Apr15 Oct29 Sep19 Aug29 Jun25 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 8.00 ★    
2  DARK VADER Jan10 Dec22 Sep05 Aug13 Jul24 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 23% 3.40    
3  MO DONT NO Apr04 Jan10 Dec12 Nov21 Oct29 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
4  I WANNA WIN Oct29 Sep27 Sep07 Aug13 Jul18 (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  TO WIN Apr12 Apr04 Mar02 Feb07 Jan11 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 8.00    
6  IT'S YOUR CALL Apr04 Mar20 Feb28 Jan23 Jan09 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 119 15.00    
7  WICKED WARRIOR Apr16 Mar29 Dec17 Nov19 Aug13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00    
8  UPTOWN Mar21 Feb23 Jan10 Nov15 Oct27 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 4.50 ★    
 
TDN-8   05/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWCHI Dec20 Nov08 Sep26 Sep14 Aug15 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 12.00    
SCR  GAIL'S DANCER Apr26 Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 12.00    
3  BISCAYNE BAY Apr26 Apr12 Mar27 Mar08 Feb16 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
4  MIDNIGHT IN OHIO Apr24 Jul05       (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 3.50 48% 1.10    
5  HIGHLY EXPLOSIVE Mar08 Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 Dec05 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 30.00    
6  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Apr27 Mar30 Mar15 Mar02 Jan31 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 119 6.00 6% 14.70    
7  DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Dec03 Oct06 Jul28 Jul05   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 115 4.00 21% 3.80    
8  SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS Apr27 Mar23 Jan31 Jan03 Nov15 (skerrett jeffr)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00 ★    
SCR  GOODNESS SAKES Apr27 Oct10 Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
10  CROSSED UP Apr13 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 123 20.00    
11  DIAMONDS N DEW Apr27 Apr15 Mar30 Mar02 Apr12 (meyers shan)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.