Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $7.60  
TDN-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 4.40
TDN-3   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TDN-4   Win (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
TDN-5   Win (8/2/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $11.40  
TDN-6   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TDN-7   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
TDN-8   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 8 1 0 $11.40  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:144     1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALHALLA AIR BASE 4 1 1 1 12 13 12 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00 2.80  
KHOPILOT 1 2 3 3 22 23 22 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 121 2.00 43% 1.30 1.90 P
K P SILVER BULLET 6 3 4 43 5 4 3 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 21% 3.80 2.80 S
JOYFUL CANDY 5 4 2 2 32 34 4 (brinsfield bro)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 10.00 7% 13.50 12.00  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 2 5 56 5 4 5 5 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 2.90  
FLYING GUILLOTINE 3 6 67 6 610¾ 615½ 623¼ (bailey rica)BRICENO M 114 12.00 34.90  
SCR  ON HIS TOES               (londono j)CULP BRIANNE 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 2 1 4 510   3 1¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 3.50 32% 2.10 3.20 W
SUGAR LOVES IT 1 4 1½ 12   1 2¼ (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00 42% 1.40 5.50 P
MAP TO MY HEART 4 2 2½ 22   2 3 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 0.30 S
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 5 7 7 711½   611½ 412½ (rivera nest)BRICENO M 118 10.00 29.90  
OH EYE SEE 3 5 54 610½   511½ 515¼ (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00 81.80  
WICKED REESE 6 3 3 39   411 617¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00 48.80  
JUPITER ECLIPSE 7 6 6 410   713 720½ (treharne )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 22.90  
SCR  STORMINATOR               (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00    
 
TDN-3   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT DADDY 5 1 21 2nk   1 11 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00 27% 2.70 1.50 W
CALL WEST 6 6 6 6   44 21 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 6.00 10.60  
ROCK ON KITTEN 2 4 31 3   33 3 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00 3.90  
KHALFANI 4 3 5 42   54 4 (pattah d)RIVERA R 119 8.00 18% 4.50 8.70  
PLATINUM MAC 3 2 11 1nk   2 5 (schuster robin)ROSARIO L 119 12.00 13.20  
KEYED ON TOP 1 5 4 5   65 6 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 27% 2.80 1.70  
SCR  YO BERBS               (brown t)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUGIE D ORO 6 1 3 2nk   1 1 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 29% 2.50 1.20 W
MORESTRIDE 5 6 5 3   33 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 31% 2.20 1.10 P
HIP HIP HOORAY 3 5 43 4   4 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 6.50  
LIBERATE 2 3 1 1nk   2 4 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00 27.70  
DUKE OF DARKNESS 1 2 2 5   5 5 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00 19.20  
ALTISSIMO 4 4 6 6   611 612½ (zielinski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 19% 4.20 12.10  
SCR  CHIEF RANDEL               (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
 
TDN-5   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STONE COLD CAT 4 7 6 6   4 1 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00 4.70  
JUDGE HEAD 6 3 3 31   3½ 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.80 3.70 P
CLASSIC MO 8 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 32 (skerrett jeffr)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 32% 2.10 0.80 S
SPIN DOCTOR 9 4 43 4   2½ 42 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 8% 11.50 16.10  
DEER CREEK ROAD 1 9 9 8   76 5 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00 27.30  
REANIMATE 2 5 5 5   6 6 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 17% 5.00 14.80  
MUSTANG WILLIE 7 8 7 7   89 710 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 119 5.00 13.70  
ROLLIN ON TEQUILA 5 1 2nk 2nk   52 812½ (brown t)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50 14% 6.30 13.40  
PLATE IT UP 3 6 8 912¾   913 914¾ (gonzal)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00 67.90  
 
TDN-6   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:00     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY PINK BUNNY TALE 3 3 11 12   1nk 1½ (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 2.50 17% 4.70 1.50 W
HERE COMES DOLLY 5 5 5 22   2nk 2½ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00 3.50  
DOMINUS O'S ME 1 4 43 53   3 312 (urieta johanna)TORREALBA JG 114 5.00 3.60 S
LADYBUGGIN 4 1 21 4   410½ 418½ (gorham m)DIAZ R 119 6.00 19.10  
AUGMENTING ASSETS 7 2 78 714   719 520¾ (rome)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00 45.70  
PENNY'S TREASURE 2 7 3 32   511 622½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.60 2.40  
SEE YA SISTA 6 6 67 611   617 722¾ (tumblin andrew)VELEZ J 123 15.00 44.50  
SCR  STEALTH MODE               (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
 
TDN-7   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RENO TOUCH 5 2 3 3   1nk 11 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.10 W
INCESSANT 6 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 21 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 23.80  
MAMBO DANCER (CHI) 7 1 2nk 2nk   31 3 (canegata jam)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00 8.30  
MAGICGIRL 3 7 65 67   6 4 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 16.60  
SPECIAL BEACH 4 6 42 42   54 55 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 17.20  
CHARGINA 1 5 7 710   7 6 (kocijan mar)CORREA L 119 3.50 7.90  
BLUSHING BETTY 2 4 53 5   42 7 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 119 3.00 37% 1.70 1.50  
 
TDN-8   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:221 :46 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PULPIT'S PURRFECT 7 3 4 31   33 1¾ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 4.70  
COMMAND STRIKE 1 5 1nk 1nk   1 2¾ (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 75% 0.30 0.60 P
PASSIONFORTREASURE 4 7 7 6   4 3 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00 4.90  
LIONISTIC 2 4 2nk 2nk   2 4 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 7.30  
PURITY 6 2 3 4   56 5 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00 7.60  
SCATERRA 5 1 5 53   612 618¾ (syed riaz)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 20.00 82.70  
VACATION SECRET 3 6 6 77   715 719¼ (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 123 6.00 41.70  
SCR  SHE'S PURE SILVER               (bailey ricar)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.