Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Monday - May 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(1/2)-(5/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5/8)-(1/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/1/4)-(6/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(6/7/5)-(8/2/5/6/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/5)-(6/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5)-(8/2/5/6/9)-(4/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
TDN-5   WIN (8/2/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/6/9)-(8/2/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/6/9)-(8/2/5/6/9)-(8/2/5/6/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (8/2/5/6/9)-(4/2)-(5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/2)-(1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
TDN-7   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/4/1)-(5/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6/2/8) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/6/2/8)-(1/6/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KHOPILOT Apr15 Mar06 Feb16 Nov08 Oct27 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 121 2.00 43% 1.30    
2  BAD LITTLE BEAST Apr27 Feb21 Feb08 Jan17 Jan07 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00    
3  FLYING GUILLOTINE Dec07 Nov10 Nov03 Oct22 Oct11 (bailey ri)BRICENO M 114 12.00    
4  VALHALLA AIR BASE Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 Feb07 Jan23 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 6.00    
5  JOYFUL CANDY Apr27 Apr04 Mar16 Jan22 Jan08 (brinsfield br)GONZALEZ ALEX 119 10.00 7% 13.50    
SCR  ON HIS TOES Apr27 Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 Aug31 (londono j)CULP BRIANNE 119 5.00    
7  K P SILVER BULLET Apr27 Sep26 Sep13 Aug15 Jul20 (jackson jame)MEJIAS RICARDO 119 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
TDN-2   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR LOVES IT Apr25 Oct05       (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
2  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Apr25 Apr10 Mar30 Mar08 Oct05 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by DOMINUS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  STORMINATOR         (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
4  OH EYE SEE Apr25 Mar30 Jan24 Jan10 Dec19 (maddox rachael)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
5  MAP TO MY HEART Apr21 Feb20 Jan29     (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 ★    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ODE TO SAMI by LION HEART)
6  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Apr25 Apr10 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 (rivera ne)BRICENO M 118 10.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
7  WICKED REESE Apr12 Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 12.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
8  JUPITER ECLIPSE Apr25 Aug13 Aug01 Jul05 Jun13 (treharn)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 8.00 ★    
  (by PADDY O'PRADO out of FASTEEL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
 
TDN-3   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYED ON TOP May03 Apr04 Mar20 Feb15 Jan31 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 123 2.50 27% 2.80    
2  ROCK ON KITTEN May03 Jan31 Jan18 Dec27 Nov08 (johnso)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.00    
3  PLATINUM MAC May01 Mar20 Feb02 Dec17 Oct07 (schuster rob)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
4  KHALFANI Apr15 Mar28 Mar02 Feb15 Jan31 (pattah d)RIVERA R 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
5  PAT DADDY Apr15 Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 Jan26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  CALL WEST May03 Apr15 Mar27 Mar15 Mar02 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 6.00    
SCR  YO BERBS May01 Apr03 Mar15 Feb09 Jan24 (brown t)CULP BRIANNE 119 12.00    
 
TDN-4   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($41.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUKE OF DARKNESS Apr15 Feb20 Dec12 Nov21 Oct25 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 121 8.00    
2  LIBERATE         (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 12.00    
SCR  CHIEF RANDEL Apr30 Apr15 Apr04 Mar20 Mar13 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00    
4  HIP HIP HOORAY Apr04 Mar13 Jan30 Jan11 Dec29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
5  ALTISSIMO Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 Sep06 Aug13 (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
6  MORESTRIDE May02 Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 Jul26 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  DOUGIE D ORO Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 Aug13 Jul26 (sparks s)FELICIANO R 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
 
TDN-5   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEER CREEK ROAD Apr27 Mar27 Feb20 Jan11 Dec21 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 119 12.00    
2  REANIMATE Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan16 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
3  PLATE IT UP May08 Apr11 Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 (gonz)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 20.00    
4  STONE COLD CAT Apr27 Mar27 Mar09 Feb09 Jan26 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
5  ROLLIN ON TEQUILA Mar23 Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Dec06 (brown t)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.50 14% 6.30    
6  JUDGE HEAD Apr27 Apr13 Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 9% 9.80    
7  MUSTANG WILLIE Dec12 Nov22 Oct29 Oct12 Sep26 (urieta johanna)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
8  CLASSIC MO Mar23 Feb21 Jan26 Jan10 Dec03 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 32% 2.10    
9  SPIN DOCTOR Apr26 Nov19 Nov12 Oct12 Sep27 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 8% 11.50    
 
TDN-6   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINUS O'S ME Apr25 Nov15 Oct29 Oct13   (urieta johanna)TORREALBA JG 114 5.00 ★    
  (by DOMINUS out of NEIGH O ME by HALF OURS)
2  PENNY'S TREASURE         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by TU BRUTUS out of WHYUGOTTABESOMEAN by POLLARD'S VISION)
SCR  STEALTH MODE Apr25 Jul08 Jun22 May27   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 44% 1.30    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of SOUTHERN SILENCE by DIXIE UNION)
4  MY PINK BUNNY TALE Apr25 Mar30 Mar08 Jan16   (cline c)YARANGA Y 119 2.50 17% 4.70    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
5  LADYBUGGIN Apr12 Mar16 Mar08 Feb20 Sep20 (gorham m)DIAZ R 119 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of ODE TO SAMI by LION HEART)
6  HERE COMES DOLLY Dec30 Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct10 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 12.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of STARSHIP SPIRIT by GRAND SLAM)
7  SEE YA SISTA Mar16 Feb15       (tumblin andrew)VELEZ J 123 15.00    
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  AUGMENTING ASSETS Apr12 Mar30 Jan24 Dec08 Nov23 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWINKEY by DIALED IN)
 
TDN-7   05/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGINA Dec13 Nov06 Oct17 Sep12 Aug14 (kocijan m)CORREA L 119 3.50 ★    
2  BLUSHING BETTY Apr24 Feb08 Dec19 Dec08 Nov03 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 119 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  MAGICGIRL Mar19 Mar01 Feb10 Jan20 Jan13 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00    
4  SPECIAL BEACH Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Jan09 Dec28 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 119 8.00 ★    
5  RENO TOUCH Apr24 Feb28 Jan04 Dec19 Nov19 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  INCESSANT Mar14 Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 Nov15 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
7  MAMBO DANCER (CHI) Mar29 Feb03 Jan11 Dec28 Sep19 (canegata j)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 5.00    
 
TDN-8   05/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND STRIKE Sep07 Aug06 Jul11 Jun07   (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 123 2.50 75% 0.30    
2  LIONISTIC Dec07 Nov21 Oct12 Sep23 Aug26 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 3.00 ★    
3  VACATION SECRET Nov15 Oct24 Oct08 Aug30 Aug14 (kocijan marcus)DIAZ I 123 6.00    
4  PASSIONFORTREASURE Apr27 Apr07 Nov09 Oct26 Sep20 (meyers shane)GONZALEZ A 123 4.00    
5  SCATERRA Nov03 Oct13 Sep20     (syed riaz)MEJIAS RICARDO 123 20.00    
6  PURITY Apr27 Mar27 Nov21 Sep07 Aug16 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 123 8.00 ★    
SCR  SHE'S PURE SILVER Apr27 Aug26 Aug06 Jul20 Jun25 (bailey ric)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 12.00    
8  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Apr27 Feb28 Jan31 Nov21 Sep07 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.