Handicappers' Race Results
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Thistledown
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (5/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $7.60  
TDN-2   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
TDN-3   Win (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $4.40  
TDN-4   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $2.80  
TDN-5   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
TDN-6   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $10.80  
TDN-7   Win (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.20  
TDN-8   Win (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
Simulator Race results
 
TDN-1   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:252 :503 1:154     1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 8 2 52½ 4¾ 31 2nk 11¼ (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00 26% 2.90 1.20 DQ↓4
6  AWESOME D J 6 5 86½ 86½ 75¾ 52 21¼ (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 121 5.00 2.80  
4  OPEN OUT 4 6 2½ 2nk 41¼ 41½ 32½ (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00 28.70  
2  PERCENTAGE 2 3 42 3.2 1nk 1nk 43¾ (erdel jo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 11.50  
1  SAY HEY KID 1 7 74 62¼ 52¼ 62¼ 54 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 121 12.00 6% 15.10 17.00  
7  KLAATU 7 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 31 64¾ (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50 5.10  
3  ROSAS WAY 3 8 63 72½ 64¼ 72¾ 76¼ (calderon ivan)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.30  
5  ADANO 5 4 32 5¾ 85¾ 84¾ 812½ (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 4.50 37% 1.70 6.30  
SCR  FUEGO CALIENTE               (urieta joha)BRICENO M 118 3.00    
 
TDN-2   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  APPRAISAL 6 3 32 32   41½ 1hd (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.00 42% 1.40 1.00 W
3  GOLD HERITAGE 3 6 56 42¼   31½ 2hd (fadlovich meg)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 10% 8.80 2.10 P
1  AWESOME ENOUGH 1 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 3½ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 23% 3.30 3.60 S
5  MASTER 5 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 41¼ (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00 12.80  
2  GRAND DEAL 2 5 68 69¼   67½ 52½ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 6.00 17.00 DH
4  EL SICARIO 4 4 43 54¼   53 52½ (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.50 12.50 DH
 
TDN-3   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :464 :591     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRACTICAL MAN 4 2 3.2 2nk   12 13½ (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00 1.20  
7  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 6 3 52¼ 52¾   33½ 23½ (dubie kathy)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00 3.20  
1  THE EQUINEST 1 4 2nk 3.2   22 38¼ (bailey rica)BRICENO M 114 8.00 11% 8.20 3.40 S
6  UNCAPTURED LYON 5 6 4¾ 4¾   44 48¾ (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 19% 4.40 5.10  
2  DRINKSONTHEBEACH 2 5 63¾ 64¼   66 514½ (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 4.00 23% 3.30 7.30  
3  FARMHAND 3 1 1nk 1nk   55 614½ (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 7% 13.30 32.00  
SCR  ARCHARCH CAT               (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 5.00    
 
TDN-4   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEANUTS PERFECTION 2 1 2nk 2nk   12 15 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.80 ★ 0.40  
3  RULING EMPIRE 3 3 46¼ 57   46½ 25 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 4.00 13.40  
4  ADHHAR 4 4 36 35   36½ 35½ (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 2.50 55% 0.80 2.90 S
1  LORD OF LEGENDS 1 2 1nk 1nk   22 47¼ (buhrow d)DIAZ I 123 3.50 18% 4.70 4.40  
6  DERBYS MONEYMAKER 5 5 56¾ 45½   58 57½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00 35.40  
SCR  MAXIMIZER               (bailey ricardo)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00    
 
TDN-5   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:23 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD 2 4 21 32   31 1nk (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 20% 4.10 1.10 W
6  MISSION GIRL 6 1 11 2½   2nk 2nk (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 40% 1.50 2.00 P
7  ANGEL WINGS 7 2 31 1½   1nk 3¼ (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 10.00 18.20  
5  MOBIL CHIC 5 6 53 42   45 43¾ (zielinski)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 16% 5.20 4.20  
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES 1 5 64 55½   58 56 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 ★ 8.80  
3  OUT FOR FUN 3 3 42½ 67½   610 69¾ (gorham m)TORREALBA JG 114 12.00 47.80  
4  BOSSY LADY 4 7 75½ 78½   710½ 715¼ (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 15.90  
 
TDN-6   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:003     1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS JENSEN 1 4 22 22½   21 11 (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 3.00 4.40  
7  REBEL POWER 6 1 12 12½   11 21 (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00 3.10  
6  VICTOR STORY 5 2 66 67   33 33½ (bayley r)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 11% 7.80 2.70 S
4  RONNI'S DAY 3 5 33 34   45½ 46¾ (bailey rica)BRICENO M 118 3.50 37% 1.70 7.60  
5  J J'S FANCY 4 6 54½ 55½   57½ 57¾ (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 2.50 25% 3.00 1.60  
2  PSYCHOANALYST 2 3 43 45½   612½ 621¼ (brown t)RIVERA R 123 12.00 22.20  
SCR  HERE COMES JIGS               (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
 
TDN-7   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN SPICE 1 6 1nk 1½   12 12¼ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00 ★ 1.60  
9  MORE THAN GOOD 8 4 41 42½   42¼ 22¼ (sker)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 50% 1.00 2.10 P
7  FAHRENHEIT 6 1 64 55½   63¾ 33 (trevino stephen )DIAZ I 123 10.00 10.30  
6  LAST DROP OF WINE 5 2 3½ 31   32 43½ (johnson l)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50 11.60  
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO 3 7 87 76   53¼ 53½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 30.50  
4  MON CAMO 4 3 2nk 2½   22 66¾ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 22% 3.50 3.70  
8  O CIGANO 7 5 52 65½   77¾ 710¼ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 41.10  
2  ICONIC 2 8 76½ 89½   88¾ 812¼ (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 10.00 6% 16.10 9.90  
SCR  FIRST HOMESTEAD               (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
 
TDN-8   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:253 :50 1:144     1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CARILLO 5 4 31 3½ 1½ 12 16½ (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 19% 4.20 1.40 W
4  TONKAWA SPRINGS 3 1 1½ 2nk 2½ 22 26½ (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 36% 1.80 1.30 P
6  TIMESATAPPIN 4 5 55½ 512 512½ 511½ 310¾ (loudin-smith l)KEISER CHELSEY 117 5.00 24% 3.20 4.80 S
2  LAST COOKIE 2 2 2½ 1nk 3½ 36 410¾ (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 115 12.00 11.90  
1  BOURBON TALKING 1 3 41½ 43 42½ 48½ 514¾ (fletcher)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00 6.70  
SCR  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR               (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
SCR  HITSVILLE               (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 117 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.