Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (5/9/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3)-(5/9/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/1/3)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/9/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TDN-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(4/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3)-(2/6/1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/3)-(4/1)-(6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(6/2/5)-(4/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-5   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/5/6)-(9/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(9/4/2)-(4/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-7   WIN (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/1)-(9/4/2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (9/4/2)-(4/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAY HEY KID Apr13 Mar22 Feb21 Feb01 Nov19 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 121 12.00 6% 15.10    
2  PERCENTAGE Mar14 Feb09 Jan27 Jan07 Dec21 (erdel )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
3  ROSAS WAY May06 Apr03 Mar16 Feb22 Feb01 (calderon iv)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  OPEN OUT May06 Mar16 Dec29 Dec05 Nov02 (londono j)HOUGHTON D 119 15.00    
5  ADANO Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 121 4.50 37% 1.70    
6  AWESOME D J Mar27 Mar04 Feb18 Jan11 Dec29 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 121 5.00    
7  KLAATU Apr03 Mar14 Feb21 Jan18 Jan03 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 3.50    
SCR  FUEGO CALIENTE May06 Apr13 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 118 3.00    
9  BLAME IT ON EDDIE May09 Apr04 Mar14 Mar02 Feb21 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
TDN-2   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME ENOUGH Apr16 Mar26 Mar11 Feb15 Jan29 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 121 2.50 23% 3.30    
2  GRAND DEAL Apr27 Apr11 Mar28 Mar21 Feb28 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
3  GOLD HERITAGE Apr27 Mar29 Mar08 Feb08 Dec22 (fadlovich m)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.50 10% 8.80    
4  EL SICARIO Mar30 Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan23 (sondej amy)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.50    
5  MASTER Mar21 Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Dec05 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 10.00    
6  APPRAISAL Apr08 Feb26 Dec21 Dec08 Nov21 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 119 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
TDN-3   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE EQUINEST May08 Mar20 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 (bailey ri)BRICENO M 114 8.00 11% 8.20    
2  DRINKSONTHEBEACH Aug09 Jul25 Jul06 Jun22 May12 (londono j)TORREALBA JG 114 4.00 23% 3.30    
3  FARMHAND Jan30 Nov14 Oct27 Oct11 Aug08 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 15.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  ARCHARCH CAT Apr04 Nov27 Nov14 Oct26 Oct16 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 110 5.00    
5  PRACTICAL MAN Apr15 Feb20 Jan22 Jan01 Oct27 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 2.00    
6  UNCAPTURED LYON Mar15 Nov23 Oct20 Sep18 Aug21 (rini anthony)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 19% 4.40    
7  MY TWO AUNT JOANS May06 Apr15 Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 (dubie kathy)GONZALEZ A 123 3.00    
 
TDN-4   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD OF LEGENDS Apr24 Apr11 Mar20 Feb04 Jan15 (buhrow d)DIAZ I 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
2  PEANUTS PERFECTION Apr24 Jun28 May30 Mar02 Jan12 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 1.80 ★    
3  RULING EMPIRE Mar14 Jan16 Dec14 Nov29 Oct24 (erwin andrew)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
4  ADHHAR Aug16 Jun30 Feb15 Jan26 Jan14 (guciardo robert)VELEZ J 123 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  MAXIMIZER Sep12 Aug31 Aug16 Aug04 Jul27 (bailey ricar)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 8.00    
6  DERBYS MONEYMAKER Apr24 Dec12 Nov29 Nov16 Nov08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 10.00    
 
TDN-5   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES Apr27 Apr12 Mar23 Feb28 Feb06 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 5.00 ★    
2  WORTHERWEIGHTNGOLD Oct31 Oct05 Aug26 Jul25 Jun06 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  OUT FOR FUN Oct10 Sep23 Aug30 Jul01 Jun02 (gorham robert )TORREALBA JG 114 12.00    
4  BOSSY LADY Apr27 Nov16 Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
5  MOBIL CHIC Apr15 Mar30 Mar15 Mar02 Feb15 (zielins)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  MISSION GIRL Dec20 Nov21 Oct31 Oct05 Aug29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.00 40% 1.50    
7  ANGEL WINGS Feb15 Jan17 Dec15 Nov16 Oct31 (flores israel)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CONGRATS JENSEN Apr13 Apr04 Mar16 Dec05 Nov01 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 123 3.00    
2  PSYCHOANALYST Oct12 Jun28 May24 May07 Apr16 (brown t)RIVERA R 123 12.00    
SCR  HERE COMES JIGS May09 Sep06 Aug15 Jul21 Jul07 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 8.00    
4  RONNI'S DAY May24 May03 Mar18     (bailey ri)BRICENO M 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
5  J J'S FANCY May03 Nov10 Nov01 Oct10 Sep26 (mora)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
6  VICTOR STORY May01 Dec30 Dec13 Apr28 Mar14 (bayley)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.50 11% 7.80    
7  REBEL POWER May03 Sep26 Sep01 Aug15 Jul12 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
 
TDN-7   05/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN SPICE May02 Mar13 Feb23 Jul14 Jun11 (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 8.00 ★    
2  ICONIC Oct22 Sep12 Aug04 Jul07 May31 (johnson l)TORREALBA JG 118 10.00 6% 16.10    
3  STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Feb20 Feb08 Dec19 Dec05 Nov10 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
4  MON CAMO Apr25 Sep21 Sep01 Aug01 Jul04 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 123 5.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  FIRST HOMESTEAD May03 May04 Apr25 Mar24 Feb21 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 3.50    
6  LAST DROP OF WINE May03 Nov08 Sep29 Aug16 Jul14 (johnson gary)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.50    
7  FAHRENHEIT Mar23 Feb28 Feb07 Jan10 Dec12 (trevino stephe)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
8  O CIGANO May03 Apr11 Mar20 Mar02 Jan18 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
9  MORE THAN GOOD Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 Aug23 Aug06 (sk)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 2.50 50% 1.00    
 
TDN-8   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TALKING Apr04 Jul25 May29 May10 Apr02 (fletch)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 10.00    
2  LAST COOKIE Jan23 Dec30 Oct19 Aug12   (urieta johanna)FELICIANO R 115 12.00    
SCR  HITSVILLE Mar21 Feb14 Jan11 Sep21   (waltz brian)AVILES YAN 117 2.50    
4  TONKAWA SPRINGS Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 Mar06 Feb09 (vecchio caryn)TORREALBA JG 114 8.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Apr26 Apr08 Mar12 Feb25 Jan08 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00    
6  TIMESATAPPIN Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar01   (loudin-smith)KEISER CHELSEY 117 5.00 24% 3.20    
7  CARILLO Jun22 May27 Apr15 Feb19 Feb03 (shanyfelt va)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.