Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $19.20 $15.20 380%
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-5 $21.10 $19.10 955%
BTP-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  4 $8.80 $4.80 120%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00  4-2 $7.00 $3.00 75%
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00  4-2-3 $9.70 $7.70 385%
    DD (5/2)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  2-4 $48.30 $44.30 1108%
BTP-3   EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-6-5 $4.75 $1.75 58%
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/4)-(3/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00  2-4-3/4 $38.70 $32.70 545%
BTP-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.40 $4.40 73%
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-6 $23.50 $17.50 292%
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/5/6)-(6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  4-3-1 $16.30 $7.30 81%
    PK4 (5/2)-(2/4)-(3/5/6)-(6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  2-4-3/4-1 $182.90 $164.90 916%
BTP-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.80 $1.80 30%
BTP-7   WIN (8/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $15.20 $7.20 90%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:151 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOULSTONE 2 2 21 2nk 1 1nk 1 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00 11% 8.30 8.60 W
BACK UP GHOST 3 4 37 35 2 2nk 2 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 3.50 61% 0.60 1.70 P
JOEZINE 4 3 4 47 48 4 317¼ (macias adolfo)CRUZ JUAN 125 10.00 7.60  
SAINT SISTA 1 1 11 1nk 36 3 421½ (toye lin)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50 0.50  
SCR  KITTEN CALLS               (reed r)FELIX E 125 3.00    
SCR  RED JAG               (lobo h)MCKEE J 119 2.00    
 
BTP-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD TO MUSIC CITY 4 5 3½ 32   1nk 1hd (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 125 3.00 12% 7.30 3.40 W
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MISS HILL ROAD by THE DEPUTY (IRE))
MR. BALI 2 4 4 2½   2nk 2hd (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 1.60 66% 0.50 0.40 P
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
FACTUM'S STAR 3 2 1nk 1½   3 3 (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 5.50 S
  (by FACTUM out of APHRODISIAC by ARCH)
PAYMASTER GENERAL 5 1 2nk 45   4 415¼ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 4.00 19.40  
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
SQUEAKY CLEAN 1 3 52 5   58 515¾ (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.50 8.20  
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
 
BTP-3   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:224 :464       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENSE SHINES 3 3 3 3   1½ 13 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 52% 0.90 0.50 W
KING T'CHALLA 5 1 1nk 1   2½ 23 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 12% 7.40 9.20 P
KOBE BEACH 4 4 4 410½   45 3 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 4.00 15% 5.60 2.20 S
REVERE NOTE 2 2 2nk 2   33 4 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 117 6.00 7.30  
ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE 1 5 5 516½   513 529½ (hernandez)CORREA L 118 8.00 13.20  
SCR  GOLDEN SURVIVOR               (wong jonathan)REYES R 123 1.80    
 
BTP-4   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL BOHEMIO 1 6 54 54   4 1¼ (esquivel )CORREA L 123 4.00 17% 4.90 4.20 W
SOUTH SEA 5 3 2nk 1   1 2¼ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.50 40% 1.50 2.30 P
MASAI MAN 2 4 42 4   2 3½ (cash l)HEARD TYLER 121 2.00 3.40  
D'MONEY HONEY 3 2 3 32   3 4 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 4.60  
CUT GLASS 4 1 1nk 2   55 5 (howard d)MCKEE J 121 8.00 13% 6.40 2.40  
BOLD ADVENTURE 6 5 610 6   610½ 613¾ (peterson anne)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 25.20  
SCR  FRISCO LINE               (locker timot)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 6.00    
 
BTP-5   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:132 1:263   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPPY HOUR 4 6 6 5 21 1 1 (adams l)REYES R 125 3.00 32% 2.10 2.90 W
LUCKYINKENTUCKY 6 4 32 31 4 3 2 (brafford c)MCKEE J 125 8.00 6.20  
FULCO 1 1 21 21 3 2 3 (esquivel )CORREA L 125 4.50 1.50  
THIS ILL DEFEND 5 3 42 4 5 58 414 (estvanko ric)MARCANO Y 120 8.00 10% 8.90 9.30  
KING'S MISCHIEF 3 2 11 11 11 46 514½ (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 2.00 28% 2.50 3.40  
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX 2 5 53 6 69 610 619¼ (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 125 4.00 7.60  
SCR  ARTEMUS EAGLE               (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 125 4.00    
 
BTP-6   05/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :47       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLENDER BETSY 6 1 2 22   1 1¼ (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 125 5.00 9.20  
MIDNIGHT FAVORITE 3 4 54 56   2 2¼ (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 2.50 8% 11.70 1.90 P
DOGWOODS BECCA 1 7 77 6   6 3 (scott anthony)CANUTO THIAGO 125 12.00 17.70  
STORY CHANNEL 5 2 6 711½   7 4 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 8.00 14.90  
MARLAND 2 5 33 3   5 5 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 10.00 17.10  
TWELVE SHARP 7 6 43 4   3 6 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 114 4.00 19% 4.40 6.00  
HER TIME IS NOW 4 3 1 12   4 7 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 119 3.50 53% 0.90 1.10  
SCR  YOU'RE A DANDY               (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 119 20.00    
 
BTP-7   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:144 1:28   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATHER PATRICK 6 6 7 7 6 32 1½ (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 5.00 9% 9.90 6.60 W
GIVE GOD PRAISE 7 5 5 66 4 2nk 2½ (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 12.00 8.50  
MONKEY ZONE 4 2 21 22 1 1nk 3½ (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 8.00 23.90  
DOWN TO BIZZNESS 1 8 9 9 7 67 4 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 123 10.00 4.00  
LEMONADEATTHELATCH 8 7 6 5 3 4 57 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50 47% 1.10 1.80  
MAKBULE 5 3 43 4 5 5 69 (rider m)NAVAS YOEL 118 3.50 6% 14.50 5.20  
TOP HAT BLITZ 9 9 8 8 9 7 711 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 4.50 16% 5.30 5.90  
THISPOINTINTIME 2 1 32 33 8 8 813 (morelos mate)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00 31.30  
READY TO SHAKE 3 4 11 12 2 912½ 923¾ (adams l)REYES R 123 12.00 15.90  
 
BTP-8   05/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
See original race card.
1:382         1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JURA 6 1 1½ 11 1 11 12 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00 10.80  
BRILLIANT JOURNEY 2 2 2½ 21 2 21 22 (smith larry)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 4.00 P
AMENDED 8 7 6 4 46 3 3 (reed r)FELIX E 121 12.00 11.20 S
10  FUTURE VICTORY 9 8 8 5 3 4 44 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 5.00 10% 8.60 4.90  
HEMP HEMP HURRAY 1 6 77 8 7 6 54 (cline c)MCKEE J 121 4.00 1.80  
HONKY TONK HERO 3 5 5 75 9 7 6 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 20.00 15.00  
ALL ABOUT CROGE 5 4 4 64 67 5 7 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 115 30.00 25.90  
SAN MARCO CITY 4 9 99 9 8 8 8 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 115 10.00 15.10  
GOLDEN TEXT 7 3 32 3 57 917½ 929 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 121 3.00 58% 0.70 4.50  
SCR  GRACEFUL KITTEN               (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00    
SCR  RUNAWAY HARRY               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.