Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - May 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/4)-(3/5/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/5/6)-(6/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(6/1/5)-(4/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/8/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-5   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(4/8/3)-(8/9/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/8/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/3)-(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3)-(8/9/6/5)-(8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (8/9/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/6/5)-(8/9/6/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/6/5)-(8/9/6/5/1)-(8/9/6/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/6/5)-(8/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BTP-8   WIN (8/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/10)-(8/10/2/1/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/10)-(8/10/2/1/9)-(8/10/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT SISTA May11 May04 Oct20 Sep05 Jul08 (toye lin)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50    
2  SOULSTONE Apr29 Apr05 Mar08 Feb22 Feb06 (salcedo ram)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  RED JAG Apr23 Mar09 Feb08 Nov30   (lobo h)MCKEE J 119 2.00    
SCR  KITTEN CALLS Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 Nov27 (reed r)FELIX E 125 3.00    
5  BACK UP GHOST         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 3.50 61% 0.60    
6  JOEZINE Oct24 Sep24 Sep19 Aug12 Apr21 (macias adolfo)CRUZ JUAN 125 10.00    
 
BTP-2   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23.7K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SQUEAKY CLEAN Dec12 Nov10 Oct07 Sep29 Sep13 (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 4.50    
  (by BOLD WARRIOR out of ESTHERS BALL by PARTY MANNERS)
2  MR. BALI May05 Feb21       (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 119 1.60 66% 0.50    
  (by BAL A BALI out of PRETTY GRITTY by MERCER MILL)
3  FACTUM'S STAR Aug25         (kerr n)CANUTO THIAGO 119 5.00 ★    
  (by FACTUM out of APHRODISIAC by ARCH)
4  ROAD TO MUSIC CITY Jul26 Jul07       (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 125 3.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MISS HILL ROAD by THE DEPUTY (IRE))
5  PAYMASTER GENERAL Apr25 Mar09 Feb21 Jan04   (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 4.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
 
BTP-3   05/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE Sep27 Sep09 Aug24 Aug10 Jul20 (hernandez)CORREA L 118 8.00    
2  REVERE NOTE Apr29 Mar02 Jan14 Oct09 Sep08 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 117 6.00    
3  SENSE SHINES May04 Apr18 Mar30 Mar04 Feb16 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Apr29 Mar15 Feb18 Jan19 Dec31 (wong jonathan)REYES R 123 1.80    
5  KOBE BEACH Apr29 Mar30 Feb22 Feb03 Jan11 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 4.00 15% 5.60    
6  KING T'CHALLA May05 Nov07 Oct26 Oct19 Sep12 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 12% 7.40    
 
BTP-4   05/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL BOHEMIO Apr27 Mar13 Feb03 Jan04 Nov21 (esquivel )CORREA L 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
2  MASAI MAN May04 Apr16 Feb18 Feb07 Jan27 (cash l)HEARD TYLER 121 2.00    
SCR  FRISCO LINE Apr27 Mar30 Feb03 Jan18 Dec16 (locker timot)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 6.00    
4  D'MONEY HONEY Apr27 Mar22 Mar01 Feb07 Jan23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50    
5  CUT GLASS Apr27 Mar31 Feb02 Jan18 Jan04 (howard d)MCKEE J 121 8.00 13% 6.40    
6  SOUTH SEA Mar24 Mar03 Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 4.50 40% 1.50    
7  BOLD ADVENTURE Feb09 Jan18 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 (peterson anne)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00    
 
BTP-5   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX May04 Apr10 Mar22 Feb21 Feb02 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 125 4.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS EAGLE Apr13 Mar23 Feb10 Jan03 Dec05 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 125 4.00    
2  FULCO May08 Mar18 Feb09 Jan11 Nov28 (esquivel )CORREA L 125 4.50    
3  KING'S MISCHIEF Apr29 Mar27 Nov18 Oct13 Sep25 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 125 2.00 28% 2.50    
4  CAPPY HOUR May04 Mar24 Mar10 Feb09 Jan11 (adams l)REYES R 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  THIS ILL DEFEND Mar23 Mar16 Jan18 Jan07 Dec19 (estvanko ric)MARCANO Y 120 8.00 10% 8.90    
6  LUCKYINKENTUCKY May04 Mar09 Feb22 Dec01 Sep14 (brafford c)MCKEE J 125 8.00    
 
BTP-6   05/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOGWOODS BECCA Apr27 Mar23 Jan13 Dec22 Nov17 (scott anthony)CANUTO THIAGO 125 12.00    
2  MARLAND Mar23 Feb03       (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 125 10.00    
3  MIDNIGHT FAVORITE Apr23 Mar15 Feb09     (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 2.50 8% 11.70    
4  HER TIME IS NOW Apr29 Jan25 Jan11     (baez sergio)OUZTS W 119 3.50 53% 0.90    
5  STORY CHANNEL Mar18 Feb02 Jan18 Dec11 Nov16 (alvarez nery)CRUZ JUAN 119 8.00    
6  SLENDER BETSY May05 Mar04 Feb11 Feb03 Dec30 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 125 5.00 ★    
SCR  YOU'RE A DANDY May11 Apr27 Apr06 Jan01 Dec07 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 119 20.00    
8  TWELVE SHARP May11 Apr05 Mar15 Feb08 Jan05 (lopez carlos)MARCANO Y 114 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
BTP-7   05/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOWN TO BIZZNESS Feb11 Jan19 Jan06 Dec07 Nov03 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 123 10.00 ★    
2  THISPOINTINTIME Feb22 Feb11 Feb03 Jan11 Dec19 (morelos mate)TAPARA BRANDON 123 20.00    
3  READY TO SHAKE Apr29 Dec02 Sep01 Jul24 Jul09 (adams l)REYES R 123 12.00    
4  MONKEY ZONE Apr29 Apr20 Mar15 Mar04 Sep09 (curtsi)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 118 8.00    
5  MAKBULE Mar24         (rider m)NAVAS YOEL 118 3.50 6% 14.50    
6  FATHER PATRICK Apr29 Apr13 Apr05 Feb24 Feb11 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 118 5.00 9% 9.90    
7  GIVE GOD PRAISE Apr28 Mar17 Aug27     (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 12.00    
8  LEMONADEATTHELATCH May11 Apr26 Mar17 Jan25 May21 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50 47% 1.10    
9  TOP HAT BLITZ Apr29 Mar04 Jan23 Dec22 Feb18 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
BTP-8   05/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEMP HEMP HURRAY Apr01 Mar14 Feb09 Jan18 Dec01 (cline c)MCKEE J 121 4.00 ★    
2  BRILLIANT JOURNEY Nov07 Sep29 Sep16 Sep02 Jul15 (smith larry)ACHARD ALEX 121 6.00 ★    
3  HONKY TONK HERO Feb04 Jan11 Dec22 Nov28 Oct27 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 20.00    
4  SAN MARCO CITY Apr13 Mar23 Mar11 Feb02 Jan07 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 115 10.00    
5  ALL ABOUT CROGE May07 Apr23 Mar26 Feb22 Feb08 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 115 30.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL KITTEN May15 Apr01 Mar11 Feb23 Feb09 (short thomas)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 15.00    
7  JURA Apr21 Mar30 Aug01 Jun11 Apr28 (meah m)CANUTO THIAGO 121 8.00    
8  GOLDEN TEXT Feb23 Jan19 Dec30 Sep20 Sep07 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 121 3.00 58% 0.70    
9  AMENDED Mar31 Mar10 Dec27 Nov14 Aug16 (reed r)FELIX E 121 12.00 ★    
10  FUTURE VICTORY Apr01 Mar17 Feb09 Jan21 Dec28 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 121 5.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  RUNAWAY HARRY May11 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 Feb09 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.