Handicappers' Race Results

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Thistledown
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TDN-1   Win (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TDN-2   Win (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
TDN-3   Win (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
TDN-4   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TDN-5   Win (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $4.40  
TDN-6   Win (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $10.00  
TDN-7   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
TDN-8   Win (3/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $20.20  

Simulator Race results

 
TDN-1   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:001     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LARSA 1 4 11 11   14 1 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 46% 1.20 0.70 W
LADY ABRIL 6 3 5 5   24 2 (yoder d)TORREALBA JG 119 6.00 10% 8.80 7.70 P
DANCING GRACE 2 6 4 4   34 3 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 18.20  
CAN I GO TOO 3 8 8 8   6 4 (murillo rodrig)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00 4.90  
EASTER PRIDE 5 7 7 6   45 5 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 10.00 13.30  
SASSY POWER 4 5 21 21   56 69 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00 19.10  
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 7 1 64 7   8 710½ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 15.00 29.60  
PENNIESANDDIMES 8 2 31 31   78 813¼ (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 17% 4.80 5.40  
 
TDN-2   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALUTE THE KID 3 3 32 3   2nk 1¾ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 42% 1.40 1.30 W
MERE BAG OF SHELLS 2 2 2½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 3.50 P
TITEBLUEJEANS 6 5 5 55   32 3 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 30% 2.30 3.30 S
CABARET FLEUR 8 1 43 4   5 4 (overholt g)DIAZ R 123 12.00 24.90  
MISS MARY JEAN 1 4 1½ 2½   44 510½ (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00 10.10  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 5 8 86 711½   6 615¾ (romero jose)BRICENO M 114 15.00 47.00  
WAY OF THE WORLD 4 6 7 6   7 721¾ (gorham m)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 5.80  
BEAUTIFULLBLACKSKY 7 7 6 811½   815¾ 833½ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 15.00 5% 18.90 16.40  
SCR  SHESANOTHERSONG               (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
 
TDN-3   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERMAFROST 7 2 2 1nk   16 18 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50 52% 0.90 0.90 W
AURA OF GOLD 8 1 1 2nk   26 28 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00 10% 9.10 3.20 P
QUARANTINO 3 8 4 43   3 3 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 10.00 8.10  
LEOLA 6 4 6 6   6 410¼ (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00 12.70  
ATILANO 1 6 7 5   58 510¾ (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00 9% 9.70 8.50  
O ROMEO 5 5 3 3   4 612¼ (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 7.20  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 4 3 54 7   711 715¼ (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00 25.80  
ALWAYS SPRING 2 7 8 813½   821 834¼ (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00 56.60  
 
TDN-4   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPIRE'S FIRE 2 4 3 4   3½ 1 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20 0.30 W
GUN LAP 1 6 4 1nk   2nk 2 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00 17.90  
LUCKY STREAK 5 2 1nk 2nk   1nk 32 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50 5.60  
OWN THE TOWN 4 5 6 6   4 4 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00 31.80  
ROMANTIC COWBOY 3 3 2nk 3.2   5 56 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 8% 10.90 6.90  
CORNER OFFICE 6 1 5 5   6 6 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 24% 3.20 6.20  
SCR  DECEITFUL ANTHONY               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
 
TDN-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VILLAGE CAT 7 4 1 1   15 1 (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 1.20  
BOLD NICKY 8 1 2 2   25 2 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00 42.50  
MANDOLIN BREEZE 6 5 3 3   37 3 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 15% 5.90 3.90 S
MOST ADORABLE 5 8 8 7   613¼ 411¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 24% 3.20 7.60  
EMERALD EYES 3 9 9 8   513 511½ (salcedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 25% 3.00 6.90  
CANELA FINA 4 6 6 49   413 613½ (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 6.00 4.40  
HONEYBEE STINGS 2 7 42 59   815¼ 717¾ (bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 30.00 49.70  
MY TWO JAKES 9 3 7 6   714¾ 818 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 15.00 34.30  
10  HALO EFFECT 10 2 54 911¾   917¾ 919½ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00 22.90  
LISTEN LINDA LOU 1 10 1013¾ 1019¾   1029¾ 1040¾ (poole m)BIRT BRAXON 119 20.00 12% 7.20 20.40  
 
TDN-6   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:222 :463 :594     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  MAN'S CHOICE 10 2 8 5   2 1½ (zielinski richar)DIAZ I 119 4.50 4.00  
10  RAY'S EMPIRE 9 5 3 2nk   1 2½ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 46% 1.20 3.00 P
11  KNOCK WOOD 11 3 6 42   43 3 (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 30.00 26% 2.80 40.90 S
TIER ONE 1 10 10 9   7 4 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 3.30  
HARSH TRUTH 5 11 1112¾ 10   106 5 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00 47.20  
GOOD MUSIC 3 8 7 8   55 6 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00 4.30  
FAST CLIP 4 4 12 1nk   3 7 (jackson james)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00 8.20  
JOSH'N 6 6 4 7   8 8 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 12.50  
SYNERGISTIC 2 7 5 6   6 9 (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00 9.50  
ELECTION INTEGRITY 8 9 9 11   1110 10 (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 12.00 26.20  
SHOWTIME BOY 7 1 22 3   96 1110 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 119 4.50 4.00  
SCR  FIERCELY BRAVE               (sweeting craig)AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
 
TDN-7   05/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:241 :491 1:134 1:39   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLELIGHT HOURS 3 5 44 4 42 1½ 1 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 31% 2.30 2.30 W
SALLY STRONG 2 1 2 32 2 2½ 2 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 4.50 18% 4.60 2.80 P
R THREE ANGELS 6 4 1 11 1 3½ 3 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 2.00 28% 2.60 1.70 S
WINDY LU WHO 1 3 5 53 5 4 4 (anderson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 117 6.00 7.30  
POWER BANKER 4 2 3 21 32 56 5 (cline c)ROSARIO L 121 12.00 26.30  
GOODNESS SAKES 5 6 66 6 65 612 635 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00 5.70  
SCR  BOSSY LADY               (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 121 12.00    
 
TDN-8   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 7 1 53 53   31 1 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.50 9.10  
URBAN COWGIRL 6 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2 (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 12% 7.70 3.30 P
COROMANDEL 3 4 1½ 1½   1nk 3 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80 5.00 S
FLASH OF CHEROKEE 4 6 32 3   4 4 (puhl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 11% 7.80 4.40  
INSIDE GIRL 1 7 711½ 7   7 55 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00 1.70  
SISTER CODE 2 5 6 64   6 6 (vazquez )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 5.30  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 3 43 4   5 7 (gonzalez donacia)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00 39.00  
SCR  BULLS N BERRY               (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 12.00 10% 9.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.