Handicappers' Racing Form
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Thistledown
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TDN-1   Win (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-2   Win (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-3   Win (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-4   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-5   Win (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TDN-6   Win (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TDN-7   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TDN-8   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TDN-1   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARSA Apr26 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Aug13 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  DANCING GRACE Apr26 Sep06 Jul20 Jun27 Jun06 (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
3  CAN I GO TOO Apr27 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 Mar02 (murillo rodrig)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00    
4  SASSY POWER Apr26 Apr13 Feb07 Dec07 Nov19 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EASTER PRIDE Apr26 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
6  LADY ABRIL Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 Nov28 (yoder d)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 10% 8.80    
7  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Apr26 Mar29 Jun27 Mar18 Feb28 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
8  PENNIESANDDIMES Apr27 Apr03 Mar21 Nov12 Oct26 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-2   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MARY JEAN Apr24 Mar27 Mar09     (urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
2  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Apr24 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 119 4.50 ★    
3  SALUTE THE KID Nov30 Nov12       (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
4  WAY OF THE WORLD Apr24 Oct29 Aug31     (gorham m)TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 ★    
5  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Apr24 Mar16 Mar09 Feb14   (romero jose)BRICENO M 114 15.00    
6  TITEBLUEJEANS Apr24 Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  SHESANOTHERSONG Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 Jul05 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
8  BEAUTIFULLBLACKSKY         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 15.00 5% 18.90    
9  CABARET FLEUR Aug02 Jul12 Jun30 Jun10 Apr25 (overholt g)DIAZ R 123 12.00    
 
TDN-3   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATILANO Apr25 Apr10 Aug23     (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00 9% 9.70    
2  ALWAYS SPRING Nov09 Oct18 Oct03     (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00    
3  QUARANTINO Jul14         (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 10.00    
4  TWELVE MINUS ONE Apr25 Apr10       (dacosta jaso)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00    
5  O ROMEO Apr23 Apr08 Mar09     (feliciano r)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 ★    
6  LEOLA Apr30 Apr07 Feb26 Feb12 Jan08 (puhl kim)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
7  PERMAFROST Apr30 Apr08 Feb25 Jan15 Nov13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
8  AURA OF GOLD Apr25 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 (madr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00 10% 9.10    
 
TDN-4   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN LAP Apr26 Aug18 Aug09 Jul11 May22 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
2  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jan02 Nov29 Nov07 Oct03 Jan19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  ROMANTIC COWBOY Dec03 Oct31 Sep22 Aug02 Jul06 (mcdonald)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 8% 10.90    
4  OWN THE TOWN Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep29 Sep14 (shanyfelt valeri)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Apr26 Apr15 Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
6  LUCKY STREAK Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 Aug02 Jun20 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
7  CORNER OFFICE Apr15 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 Jun25 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISTEN LINDA LOU         (poole m)BIRT BRAXON 119 20.00 12% 7.20    
2  HONEYBEE STINGS Apr24 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26   (bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 30.00    
3  EMERALD EYES Apr24         (salcedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  CANELA FINA Apr24 Feb06 Dec27 Dec13   (dubie kat)PILARES P 119 6.00 ★    
5  MOST ADORABLE         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
6  MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov30 Nov12 Oct31 Oct13 Sep29 (rettele richard)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
7  VILLAGE CAT Apr25         (jackson r)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
8  BOLD NICKY Apr24 Mar27 Mar16 Mar09 Nov21 (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
9  MY TWO JAKES Apr24 Apr06 Mar16 Oct10 Sep14 (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
10  HALO EFFECT Dec13 Nov30 Sep29 Sep12   (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
 
TDN-6   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWTIME BOY Apr25 Apr13       (zielinski richar)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★    
1A  MAN'S CHOICE Apr25 Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 (zielinski richar)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
2  TIER ONE Apr25 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Jan19 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 ★    
3  SYNERGISTIC Apr25         (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00 ★    
SCR  FIERCELY BRAVE Aug01         (sweeting craig)AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
5  GOOD MUSIC Apr25 Mar09 Nov01 Oct12 Sep26 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
6  FAST CLIP Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14   (jackson james)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
7  HARSH TRUTH Mar09 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 (skerrett )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
8  JOSH'N Apr25 Apr13       (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
9  ELECTION INTEGRITY Aug03 Jul12 Jun29     (cline c)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
10  RAY'S EMPIRE Apr25 Apr13 Mar01 Jan19 Jan04 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
11  KNOCK WOOD         (tumblin andr)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 30.00 26% 2.80    
 
TDN-7   05/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY LU WHO Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 117 6.00    
2  SALLY STRONG Apr05 Aug13 Jul15 Jun08 May12 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 4.50 18% 4.60    
3  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Apr25 Sep27 Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 (jackson r)HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
4  POWER BANKER Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 Jan18 Dec30 (cline c)ROSARIO L 121 12.00    
5  GOODNESS SAKES Apr27 Oct10 Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
6  R THREE ANGELS Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 Jan18 Nov21 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  BOSSY LADY Apr27 Nov16 Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 (radosevich jeff)GONZALEZ A 121 12.00    
 
TDN-8   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSIDE GIRL Mar18 Feb23 Jan05 Nov12   (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
2  SISTER CODE Apr25 Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 (vazquez )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
3  COROMANDEL Apr30 Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 Jan08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  BULLS N BERRY Apr13         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 12.00 10% 9.40    
5  FLASH OF CHEROKEE Apr14 Mar16 Feb19     (puhl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 11% 7.80    
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN Apr25 Apr13 Mar29 Mar21 Mar08 (gonzalez donacia)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00    
7  URBAN COWGIRL Apr27 Mar30 Mar09     (cline rob)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 12% 7.70    
8  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 Feb27 Feb09 (faulkn)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.