Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Thistledown
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TDN-1   WIN (1/8/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4)-(1/8/6/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/8/6/4)-(3/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6/4)-(3/6/8)-(7/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-2   WIN (3/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8)-(3/6/8/2/4)-(3/6/8/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8)-(7/8/1)-(2/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TDN-3   WIN (7/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/1)-(7/8/1/5)-(7/8/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1)-(2/7/3)-(3/5/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TDN-4   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/3)-(2/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(3/5/6/1)-(10/11) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1/4)-(3/5/6/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6/1)-(10/11)-(3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
TDN-6   WIN (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/11)-(10/11/3/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (10/11)-(10/11/3/1/2)-(10/11/3/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (10/11)-(3/6/2)-(3/7/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/5)-(3/7/5)-(3/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TDN-1   05/11/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARSA Apr26 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Aug13 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
2  DANCING GRACE Apr26 Sep06 Jul20 Jun27 Jun06 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00    
3  CAN I GO TOO Apr27 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 Mar02 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00    
4  SASSY POWER Apr26 Apr13 Feb07 Dec07 Nov19 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  EASTER PRIDE Apr26 Apr15 Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 119 10.00    
6  LADY ABRIL Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 Nov28 (yoder susan )BERRIOS HECTOR 119 6.00 10% 8.80    
7  CEE CEE'S GOT THIS Apr26 Mar29 Jun27 Mar18 Feb28 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 119 15.00    
8  PENNIESANDDIMES Apr27 Apr03 Mar21 Nov12 Oct26 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
 
TDN-2   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MARY JEAN Apr24 Mar27 Mar09     (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 8.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
2  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Apr24 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Aug15 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 119 4.50 ★    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of MORANT BAY by BADGE OF SILVER)
3  SALUTE THE KID Nov30 Nov12       (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 42% 1.40    
  (by KISS THE KID out of PRAYER SALUTE by MEADOW PRAYER)
4  WAY OF THE WORLD Apr24 Oct29 Aug31     (gorham robert )TORREALBA JG 114 3.00 ★    
  (by UNKNOWN out of GREELEY'S WORLD by MR. GREELEY)
5  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Apr24 Mar16 Mar09 Feb14   (romero jo)BRICENO M 114 15.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  TITEBLUEJEANS Apr24 Apr06 Mar27 Mar09 Feb15 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 2.50 30% 2.30    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of RANSOM BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  SHESANOTHERSONG Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 Jul28 Jul05 (bird danny)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 119 20.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of POP OF COLOR by OLD FASHIONED)
8  BEAUTIFULLBLACKSKY         (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 119 15.00 5% 18.90    
  (by GRITTANI out of PISTOLANNIE by NOON PROSPECT)
9  CABARET FLEUR Aug02 Jul12 Jun30 Jun10 Apr25 (overholt g)DIAZ R 123 12.00    
  (by MIXMASTER out of SHINE A SPOTLIGHT by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
 
TDN-3   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATILANO Apr25 Apr10 Aug23     (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 113 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
2  ALWAYS SPRING Nov09 Oct18 Oct03     (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 118 15.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of UNUSUAL SPRING by UNUSUAL HEAT)
3  QUARANTINO Jul14         (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 118 10.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of UNBRIDLED TRUTH by UNBRIDLED)
4  TWELVE MINUS ONE Apr25 Apr10       (dacosta ja)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 118 4.00    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
5  O ROMEO Apr23 Apr08 Mar09     (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 118 8.00 ★    
  (by GARY D out of ROMANTIC JULIET by PUT IT BACK)
6  LEOLA Apr30 Apr07 Feb26 Feb12 Jan08 (puhl ki)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 5.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GLADIOLA by SHACKLEFORD)
7  PERMAFROST Apr30 Apr08 Feb25 Jan15 Nov13 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 118 2.50 52% 0.90    
  (by FROSTED out of REJOICING by FORESTRY)
8  AURA OF GOLD Apr25 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Jan11 (ma)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.00 10% 9.10    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWEET HALORY by HOLD ME BACK)
 
TDN-4   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN LAP Apr26 Aug18 Aug09 Jul11 May22 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 5.00    
2  EMPIRE'S FIRE Jan02 Nov29 Nov07 Oct03 Jan19 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  ROMANTIC COWBOY Dec03 Oct31 Sep22 Aug02 Jul06 (mcdona)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 6.00 8% 10.90    
4  OWN THE TOWN Dec03 Oct31 Oct14 Sep29 Sep14 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 12.00    
SCR  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Apr26 Apr15 Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 119 6.00    
6  LUCKY STREAK Apr26 Apr13 Mar28 Aug02 Jun20 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
7  CORNER OFFICE Apr15 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 Jun25 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
 
TDN-5   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LISTEN LINDA LOU         (poole m)BIRT BRAXON 119 20.00 12% 7.20    
  (by WESTERN PRIDE out of HOT FRENCH FRIES by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  HONEYBEE STINGS Apr24 Mar16 Feb15 Jan26   (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 123 30.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of LAVENDER PATCH by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  EMERALD EYES Apr24         (salced)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of CAPE VERDE by CAPE BLANCO)
4  CANELA FINA Apr24 Feb06 Dec27 Dec13   (dubie k)PILARES P 119 6.00 ★    
  (by CORFU out of BEAUTIFUL LATINA by SPRING AT LAST)
5  MOST ADORABLE         (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 6.00 24% 3.20    
  (by KENNEDY out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
6  MANDOLIN BREEZE Nov30 Nov12 Oct31 Oct13 Sep29 (rettele richar)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00 15% 5.90    
  (by LITTLE LUTE out of SASSY SHORE BREEZE by SHORE BREEZE)
7  VILLAGE CAT Apr25         (jackson james )GONZALEZ A 119 3.50    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HITCH VILLAGE by OLD TRIESTE)
8  BOLD NICKY Apr24 Mar27 Mar16 Mar09 Nov21 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
9  MY TWO JAKES Apr24 Apr06 Mar16 Oct10 Sep14 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 15.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
10  HALO EFFECT Dec13 Nov30 Sep29 Sep12   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 10.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of LILLARD HALL by TIZNOW)
 
TDN-6   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOWTIME BOY Apr25 Apr13       (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 119 4.50 ★    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
1A  MAN'S CHOICE Apr25 Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 (zielinski rich)DIAZ I 119 4.50    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
2  TIER ONE Apr25 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Jan19 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 119 3.50 ★    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
3  SYNERGISTIC Apr25         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 6.00 ★    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of LIMPOPO by LION HEART)
SCR  FIERCELY BRAVE Aug01         (sweeting craig)AVILES YAN 123 15.00    
  (by AIKENITE out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
5  GOOD MUSIC Apr25 Mar09 Nov01 Oct12 Sep26 (rone mike)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 6.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of MY MANCITA by MR. GREELEY)
6  FAST CLIP Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 Jul14   (jackson jam)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 119 8.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of YOU NEVER LEARN by KEYED ENTRY)
7  HARSH TRUTH Mar09 Feb21 Jan19 Jan04 Dec19 (skerret)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 15.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
8  JOSH'N Apr25 Apr13       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of LACEY'S RACEY by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
9  ELECTION INTEGRITY Aug03 Jul12 Jun29     (cline robert)ROSARIO L 119 12.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of TOO COOL by SHAKESPEARE)
10  RAY'S EMPIRE Apr25 Apr13 Mar01 Jan19 Jan04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of CARGO JET by DISCREET CAT)
11  KNOCK WOOD         (tumblin an)HALLEDEEN ROBERT 123 30.00 26% 2.80    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of CHUBBS LAST CALL by DIXIELAND HEAT)
 
TDN-7   05/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINDY LU WHO Apr05 Mar14 Feb06 Jan18 Dec28 (anderson susa)BRACHO A 117 6.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
2  SALLY STRONG Apr05 Aug13 Jul15 Jun08 May12 (rone mike)RIVERA R 117 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of TANTAMOUNT by LEMON DROP KID)
3  CANDLELIGHT HOURS Apr25 Sep27 Aug13 Jul19 Jun30 (jackson james )HOUGHTON D 119 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by DOMINUS out of NAVA by EVEN THE SCORE)
4  POWER BANKER Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 Jan18 Dec30 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 121 12.00    
  (by POWER BROKER out of BOFFO by BANKER'S GOLD)
5  GOODNESS SAKES Apr27 Oct10 Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 8.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
6  R THREE ANGELS Apr11 Mar15 Feb14 Jan18 Nov21 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 121 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  BOSSY LADY Apr27 Nov16 Sep23 Aug25 Aug12 (radosevich jef)GONZALEZ A 121 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of BECKER COUNTY MISS by LANGFUHR)
 
TDN-8   05/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSIDE GIRL Mar18 Feb23 Jan05 Nov12   (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 119 10.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CIOMARA by BROKEN VOW)
2  SISTER CODE Apr25 Mar16 Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 (vazque)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 4.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
3  COROMANDEL Apr30 Apr14 Mar09 Feb24 Jan08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by TEKTON out of WOOD ROSE by TIZNOW)
SCR  BULLS N BERRY Apr13         (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 12.00 10% 9.40    
  (by BULLSBAY out of JELLYBERRY by WITH APPROVAL)
5  FLASH OF CHEROKEE Apr14 Mar16 Feb19     (pu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 3.00 11% 7.80    
  (by FLASHBACK out of LACA by CHEROKEE RUN)
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN Apr25 Apr13 Mar29 Mar21 Mar08 (gonzalez donac)TORREALBA JG 114 10.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  URBAN COWGIRL Apr27 Mar30 Mar09     (cline r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 5.00 12% 7.70    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of J J'S CLASSIC by SKY CLASSIC)
8  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Apr25 Apr06 Mar21 Feb27 Feb09 (faul)SALAZAR VICTOR 119 4.50    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.