The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Wednesday - June 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-5 2 1 $5.60 $5.60 -6.40
    Trifecta (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-5-1 3 0 $5.90 -6.00
PEN-2   Win (2/3/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
    Exacta (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-1 2 0 $43.80 -24.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8)-(2/3/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 3-1-2 3 0 $113.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (2/5/6)-(2/3/6/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-3 2 1 $11.00 $11.00 -13.00
PEN-3   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.80 -6.00
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-2 2 0 $33.40 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2-4 3 0 $43.20 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6/8)-(1/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 3-6 2 0 $19.80 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/5/6)-(2/3/6/8)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 4/6-3-6 3 0 $7.30 -18.00
PEN-4   Win (1/9/12) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/9/12)-(1/9/12) 6 $2.00 $12.00 9-1 2 1 $8.40 $8.40 -3.60
    Trifecta (1/9/12)-(1/9/12)-(1/9/12) 6 $1.00 $6.00 9-1-6 3 0 $13.90 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5)-(1/9/12) 9 $2.00 $18.00 6-9 2 0 $15.20 -18.00
    Pick Three (2/3/6/8)-(1/2/5)-(1/9/12) 36 $0.50 $18.00 3-6-9 3 0 $8.75 -18.00
PEN-5   Win (1/2/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -5.40
    Exacta (1/2/3/6/7)-(1/2/3/6/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 1-6 2 1 $35.80 $35.80 -4.20
    Trifecta (1/2/3/6/7)-(1/2/3/6/7)-(1/2/3/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 1-6-3 3 1 $48.30 $48.30 -11.70
    Daily Double (1/9/12)-(1/2/3/6/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 9-1 2 1 $6.40 $6.40 -23.60
    Pick Three (1/2/5)-(1/9/12)-(1/2/3/6/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 6-9/11-1 3 0 $9.00 -22.50
PEN-6   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $33.80 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $508.80 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-1-5 3 0 $402.70 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/6/7)-(3/4/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 1-2 2 0 $110.40 -30.00
    Pick Three (1/9/12)-(1/2/3/6/7)-(3/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 9-1-2 3 0 $139.95 -22.50
PEN-7   Win (5/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $13.00 -6.00
    Exacta (5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $45.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/7/8)-(5/7/8)-(5/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 1-2-8 3 0 $94.10 -6.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(5/7/8) 2-1 2 0 $657.00 0.00
    Daily Double (3/4/5)-(5/7/8) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-3/4 2 0 $53.80 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/6/7)-(3/4/5)-(5/7/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 1-2-1 3 0 $447.90 -22.50

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   06/14/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
:23 :472 1:13 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUENCA 5 3 11 12 14 110 116 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 29% 2.50 0.60 W
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL 4 4 3 22 24 210 216 (machado antonio)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 33% 2.00 2.20 P
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 1 1 4 4 47 420 318¾ (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 7.80  
SERENE WARRIOR 2 2 21 33 36 313 430½ (jacklin s)LLOYD W 120 10.00 15% 5.50 22.90  
LADY FOX 3 5 511½ 516½ 517 538 553¼ (morgan carl)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 7.30  
SCR  BARISTA VIXEN               (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 122 0.80    
 
PEN-2   06/14/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
:231 :463       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OX DOC 3 1 11 1   13 1(hetrick kris)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 4.00 37% 1.70 2.00 W
BOX OF JOE 5 5 4 4   23 2(cooper stacey)ROJAS MARTINA 113 10.00 19.60 DQ↓4
MIZZEN MAN 1 4 5 6   33 35 (solis jacinto)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00 11.30  
BRIT'S CANDYMAN 2 3 3 33   54(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 32% 2.10 1.60 S
SPOOKY ONE 4 2 21 2   45(mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00 22.30  
SUNSHINE JACK 7 6 6 54   66(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
TAP EM 6 7 711½ 76   77(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 8% 11.90 4.40  
SCR  BRADITUDE               (rogers w)CONNER TYLER 124 6.00    
 
PEN-3   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSES FROM HEAVEN 6 1 1½ 11   11 1(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.00 1.90  
STARSHIP REINA 2 4 2½ 32   21 2(salinas jose)AGUILAR M 122 3.50 9% 10.20 6.90 P
PRINCESS KAIRA 4 6 5 21   31 3(graci kimberl)INIRIO J 122 6.00 12.40  
FIVE DAYS IN MAY 1 5 65 5   543 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 24% 3.10 1.10  
JACK'S LILLY 5 3 43 65   65(farrior anthony)CONNER TYLER 122 4.50 38% 1.60 4.90  
HAY BUCK 3 2 3 44   43 6(rathman elisha)ROJAS MARTINA 115 8.00 22.90  
SCR  SHOYYOOKH               (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
 
PEN-4   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:28
:244 :484 1:271     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S WALDO 4 1 1 1 12 12 1(sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 36% 1.80 0.60 W
FACTOTUM 1 2 2 2 22 32(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 21% 3.70 2.80 P
DEVOTED KITTEN 2 5 5 55 4 22 3(moreno-barban)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 9.40  
12  SHANGHAI CANDY 6 3 4 4 3 44 4(rathman elish)INIRIO J 120 6.00 16% 5.10 5.60  
UNCLE YUDI 3 6 67 610 67 69 5(salinas jose)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 19.90  
10  HOLD THE IRISH 5 4 3 3 53 58 611¼ (martinez joseph)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00 20.80  
SCR  BAVARIA               (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 20.00    
SCR  FLAT OUT FLASHY               (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 5.00    
SCR  LEAVE 'EM LOADED               (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
SCR  MINE TO HOLD               (synnefias panagi)LUZZI J 120 10.00    
SCR  MY FRIEND FRANK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50    
SCR  SAMARONTI               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00    
 
PEN-5   06/14/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
:221 :46 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN TREASURE 1 8 6 68   311 (crook-demas)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.00 18% 4.50 1.30 W
I DON'T SEE COLORS 6 10 7 57   421 (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 12.00 12% 7.40 7.80 P
WARRIOR'S PAYOFF 3 5 3 2   1nk 3(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00 18% 4.50 3.20 S
IF WE GET LUCKY 8 3 1nk 1   2nk 410 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 3.00 4.00  
10  BOB'S OUR UNCLE 10 1 4 44   5511¾ (shea lydee)CORA D 124 15.00 34.60  
NORTHERN VIRGINIA 7 9 89 812   8617 (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 10.00 11% 8.30 21.70  
BARN SWALLOW 5 6 5 79   7717¼ (harigeorgiou ko)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00 57.30  
UPTOWNJACOB BROWN 4 4 910 913½   9817½ (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00 35.10  
SYLVIA I AM 9 2 1010½ 1015   1011¾ 920½ (shea lydee)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 27.50  
ONE TRUTH 2 7 2nk 32   61022½ (dimitriou harry )CONNER TYLER 121 6.00 13% 6.60 11.50  
 
PEN-6   06/14/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
:232 :471 1:131 1:27   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER REIGN 2 5 511½ 5 5 31¾ (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 15.90  
BROBRO CORMAN 1 2 15 14 14 14 2¾ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 119 10.00 14.60  
DYNAMITE DUKE 5 4 36 24 24 24 32 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 1.20 46% 1.20 0.30 S
BUCK WILD 6 1 25 4 3 46 4(jacavone j)ROJAS MARTINA 112 1.80 4.40  
BUFF AND SHINE 4 3 4 34 4 56 511½ (graci kimberl)INIRIO J 122 6.00 11% 7.70 9.10  
RIVERBOAT BANDIT 3 6 618½ 617½ 619½ 615 614¾ (cifarelli frank)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 10.00 12% 7.10 16.60  
 
PEN-7   06/14/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
:243 :482 1:143 1:423   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T QUESTION ME 1 3 56 44 4 41(jacavone j)CHIAPPE R 121 8.00 5.50  
OVER THE BORDER 2 5 46 3 3½ 1nk 2(allen f)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 6.00 3.90  
MISCHIEF WARRIOR 6 2 24 22 2nk 2nk 3(kulp brandon )INIRIO J 121 8.00 10% 9.20 2.80 S
WHISKIED UP 3 1 14 12 1nk 3.2 4(graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.50 36% 1.80 2.60  
MARY'S LITTLE MAN 4 6 614 611 513½ 511¾ 516 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 124 12.00 17.50  
MIDNIGHT STRIKES 5 4 35 55 614½ 614¾ 621¼ (salinas jose)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 2.50 30% 2.30 2.80  
SCR  HE'S FANCY FREE               (albright r)CORA D 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIR STEELE               (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.