Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Hawthorne
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.80 $3.80 63%
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-2 $20.10 $14.10 235%
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-2-1 $21.30 $18.30 610%
HAW-2   TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-6-8 $24.50 $12.50 104%
HAW-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.80 $2.80 47%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-2-3 $10.45 $7.45 248%
    DD (3/6/7/8)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $14.50 $2.50 21%
HAW-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $10.20 $4.20 70%
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $10.70 $4.70 78%
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/5/3/2)-(2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-1-1 $34.50 $16.50 92%
    PK4 (3/6/7/8)-(1/2/3)-(1/5/3/2)-(2/1/4) 144 $0.50 $72.00  3-1-1-1 $121.05 $49.05 68%
    PK5 (6/1/2)-(3/6/7/8)-(1/2/3)-(1/5/3/2)-(2/1/4) 432 $0.50 $216  6-3-1-1-1 $222.00 $6.00 3%
Simulator Race results
 
HAW-1   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:224 :462 :591     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  APOLLO U ANYWHERE 6 1 12 11   12½ 12 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.00 39% 1.60 3.90 W
2  ARCH FLYER 2 2 22 21   22½ 22 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00 5% 19.00 10.40 P
1  GHAALEB'S MAGIC 1 4 32½ 32½   35 33 (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20 0.90 S
4  RANK AND FILE 4 3 53½ 44   49 49¼ (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00 21.00  
3  MI CRESCENDO 3 6 43½ 67   610½ 510½ (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 2.80 DH
5  TAP N TWINE 5 5 64½ 54   510 510½ (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 30.10 DH
 
HAW-2   06/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:211 :463 1:124 1:243   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COMMAND POINT 3 1 48½ 46 2½ 14 14¾ (block chris)COLON H 122 2.50 23% 3.30 1.00 W
6  PRANCIPANTS 6 5 36½ 35 42 24 24¾ (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.50 21% 3.70 4.40 P
8  KITTEN ROCKS 8 8 814 810¾ 73¼ 35½ 34¾ (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 10% 9.50 27.10 S
1  NORTHERN ALLIANCE 1 3 610½ 69 52 45½ 47 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 8.00 20.40  
5  JERSEY GOLD 5 4 59 59 62¼ 58 510 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00 36.20  
2  NO NANNETTE NO 2 6 713 710½ 84¼ 69 610½ (rodriguez e)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 9.20  
4  ZANDREA'S 4 2 23 21½ 31 79¼ 716 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00 22.30  
7  SAFE TRAVELS 7 7 13 11½ 1½ 810¼ 826¼ (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 16% 5.10 3.70  
 
HAW-3   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NYOMAN 1 6 21 21½   21 1¾ (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 2.50 52% 0.90 3.40 W
2  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER 2 5 44½ 53½   42½ 2¾ (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 11% 8.00 4.00 P
3  D'ARCHER 3 1 11 11½   11 3¾ (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 10% 8.80 1.50 S
4  Z U SOON 4 2 33 32½   32 41½ (winebaugh ch)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 14.50  
6  CHRISTMAS PRESENT 6 4 54½ 64   64 52½ (cook brian)CASTANON L 122 10.00 20.70  
5  IDEA MAN 5 3 64¾ 43½   54 63¾ (reid r)COLON H 124 5.00 3.70  
 
HAW-4   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
See original race card.
:224 1:114         1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOVIET STANDARD 1 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¾ (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 2.00 54% 0.80 1.70 W
4  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN 4 7 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¾ (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50 1.90  
6  UNCLE DICK 6 5 78½ 67½   34 33¾ (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50 5.60  
7  CAPTAIN CARNEGIE 7 4 42½ 44   54¾ 44 (ryan chris )ORTEGA O 122 10.00 32.90  
3  CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN 3 6 54 55½   66¾ 56 (young ter)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 18.40 26.90  
2  ROUGH JUSTICE 2 2 32½ 33   44½ 67¾ (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 12.00 5% 19.00 48.40  
5  AMBASSADOR MIKE 5 3 65 7100   7100 7100 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 10% 8.80 4.10  
 
HAW-5   06/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:121 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUILTING PARTY 1 1 57½ 58½ 45½ 32 11 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 21% 3.80 4.10 W
2  SUMMER DAY 2 2 35½ 47 55½ 52¼ 21 (mitchell ant)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 51% 1.00 1.40 P
8  CAT ROYALE 6 5 22 21½ 2½ 42 31 (boyce michele)FELIX E 117 4.50 7.10  
4  COWGIRL FRANKIE 3 6 69 68½ 66 64¼ 42¼ (rednour john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00 2.40  
7  ROMANTIC ATTACK 5 4 46½ 35 32 21 53 (childers vanc)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00 30.60  
5  SHE'S A BIG STAR 4 3 12 11½ 1½ 11 64¼ (tracy tanne)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00 9.70  
SCR  MISS KITTY PIE               (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
SCR  MOM'S TOWN               (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 6.00    
 
HAW-6   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :462 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MANTA REY 7 5 63½ 2½   11½ 11 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.00 12% 7.20 0.40 W
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHOCKING BEHAVIOR by EL PRADO (IRE))
8  BLACK RAVEN 8 7 74 63½   44½ 21 (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 119 4.00 18% 4.50 7.90 P
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
2  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET 2 1 11 1½   21½ 32½ (clay pat)FELIX E 119 12.00 45.60  
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
4  MINING CAMP 4 3 31½ 31   33 44 (slager leonar)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 36% 1.80 11.70  
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
6  WICKED WOW 6 8 88 86½   68 511½ (young r)LEZCANO ABEL 119 4.50 7% 12.40 12.50  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HOLY WOW by PUT IT BACK)
1  ROCKET MAN ATTACK 1 4 43 52½   57 613¾ (childers vance)COLON H 124 10.00 65.80  
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ICE PELLET by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
3  SILVER CHILLER 3 2 21 41½   79 715 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 114 8.00 11.40  
  (by PROTONICO out of KEL'S SILVER CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
5  MARE'S GUNNER 5 6 53½ 73½   811 817½ (divito p)LOPEZ A 119 5.00 20.90  
  (by FIRING LINE out of MARVELEX by EXPLICIT)
 
HAW-7   06/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
See original race card.
:22 :443       :57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY RADLER 2 1 11 11½   13 1½ (campbell michael)FELIX E 117 1.60 65% 0.50 0.90 W
6  LIPLINER 5 3 46 46   33 2½ (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00 13.50  
5  JUST A WONDER 4 6 69 68½   46½ 31¼ (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
7  PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) 6 2 21 21½   23 42½ (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.50 6% 15.70 3.00  
1  ICY RIVER 1 4 32½ 33½   57 55½ (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
4  BERAVINA 3 5 57 57½   69 67 (vanden br)COLON H 122 4.50 12.20  
SCR  SOMEONE SAID SO               (rosin w)LEZCANO ABEL 122 8.00    
 
HAW-8   06/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:112 1:363   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GROVELAND 2 2 35 34 32½ 21½ 11½ (harty eoin)CASTANON L 117 1.80 54% 0.90 0.30 W
2  DANCE SOME MO 1 1 11½ 12 11 11½ 21½ (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 25% 3.00 4.50 P
5  STAR NATION 4 5 711½ 711 711½ 79 38 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 112 15.00 57.60  
7  PATH TO SUCCESS 6 7 610½ 68½ 56 57½ 48 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00 20.20  
8  MCMONEY 7 6 45½ 44½ 43 34½ 58¼ (winebaugh cher)COLON H 117 6.00 5% 19.00 10.40  
4  BLAME SHIFTER 3 4 58½ 58½ 69½ 67½ 69½ (vanden b)HERNANDEZ K 117 6.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
6  SLAVA UKRAINI 5 3 21½ 22 21 45½ 713½ (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 117 12.00 57.80  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED               (mason ingrid)FELIX E 117 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.