Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - June 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(3/6/7/8)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8)-(3/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/8)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/8)-(1/2/3)-(1/5/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(1/5/3/2)-(2/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/2)-(2/1/4)-(4/8/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(4/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(4/8/7/6)-(3/7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/8/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6)-(4/8/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/6)-(3/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/6)-(3/7/1/5)-(3/2/8/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (3/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5)-(3/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/1/5)-(3/2/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4)-(3/2/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHAALEB'S MAGIC Jun01 May18 Apr22 Nov27 Nov12 (witthauer john)LEZCANO ABEL 124 2.50 31% 2.20    
ARCH FLYER May28 May07 Apr22 Apr09 Mar23 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
MI CRESCENDO May28 Apr29 Mar24 Mar10 Feb03 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
RANK AND FILE Jun04 May28 May18 Apr16 Apr06 (hughes w)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 6.00    
TAP N TWINE May28 May07 Apr16 Mar09 Dec31 (ryan a)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
APOLLO U ANYWHERE Jun01 May18 Apr16 Mar26 Mar05 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
HAW-2   06/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN ALLIANCE Jun04 Apr02 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 8.00    
NO NANNETTE NO Jun04 May04 Apr16 Dec01 Nov04 (rodriguez e)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00    
COMMAND POINT Jun04 May18 Mar08 Feb01 Jan07 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50 23% 3.30    
ZANDREA'S Jun04 Apr09 Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 (rodriguez ed)GILES EMMANUEL 117 8.00    
JERSEY GOLD May30 May14 Apr19 Mar18 Mar02 (nesbitt amy)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
PRANCIPANTS Jun04 May18 Apr27 Apr02 Mar23 (witthauer jo)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
SAFE TRAVELS Jun01 Feb03 Jan14 Dec31 Oct28 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
KITTEN ROCKS Jun07 May18 Apr27 Apr09 Apr02 (cook brian)LEZCANO ABEL 122 12.00 10% 9.50    
 
HAW-3   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYOMAN May31 May09 Mar23 Feb22 Jan18 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Jun04 May04 Apr16 Mar26 Dec11 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 1.80 11% 8.00    
D'ARCHER May11 Apr06 Mar05 Feb02 Jan11 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 4.00 10% 8.80    
Z U SOON Jun04 May09 Apr23 Mar16 Mar05 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 6.00    
IDEA MAN May28 May11 Apr19 Sep13 Aug22 (reid r)COLON H 124 5.00    
CHRISTMAS PRESENT May31 May21 May11 Apr27 Apr09 (cook brian)MOJICA O 122 10.00    
 
HAW-4   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOVIET STANDARD May28 May14 Apr27 Apr13 Mar23 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 2.00 54% 0.80    
ROUGH JUSTICE Jun25         (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSOFSIXTYSEVEN May14 Dec30 Dec18 Nov27 Nov13 (young ter)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 18.40    
I'M YOUR CAPTAIN May28 May11 Apr16 Feb20 Feb02 (robertson h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 3.50    
AMBASSADOR MIKE Jun07 May19 Apr21 Mar31 Feb09 (clay pat)GILES EMMANUEL 117 5.00 10% 8.80    
UNCLE DICK May31 May04 Apr02 Mar16 Feb16 (gonzalez lil)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
CAPTAIN CARNEGIE May31 May14 Apr23 Mar23 Mar12 (ryan chris )ORTEGA O 122 10.00    
 
HAW-5   06/18/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUILTING PARTY May31 May07 Apr20 Dec31 Dec09 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
SUMMER DAY May31 Dec02 Nov04 Sep24 Aug24 (mitchell anthony)MOJICA O 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
SCR  MISS KITTY PIE Jun06 May16 Nov27 Oct30 Oct09 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 122 20.00    
COWGIRL FRANKIE May31 May21 May04 Apr18 Mar16 (rednour john)GILES EMMANUEL 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHE'S A BIG STAR May28 Mar16 Dec31 Dec04 Nov04 (tracy tanne)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
SCR  MOM'S TOWN Dec03 Nov12 Oct03 Sep05 Aug23 (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 117 6.00    
ROMANTIC ATTACK May31 Nov25 Oct23 Oct02 Jul12 (childers vanc)HERNANDEZ K 122 10.00    
CAT ROYALE May31 May11 Apr20 Dec30 Dec03 (boyce michele)FELIX E 117 4.50    
 
HAW-6   06/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET MAN ATTACK May25 May04 Apr13 Mar23 Dec30 (childers vance)COLON H 124 10.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ICE PELLET by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
STROLLNTOTHEMARKET May26         (clay pat)FELIX E 119 12.00    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
SILVER CHILLER May28 May07 Apr16 Mar26   (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 114 8.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of KEL'S SILVER CHARM by SILVER CHARM)
MINING CAMP May21 May11 Apr23 Apr13 Mar19 (slager leonar)HERNANDEZ K 124 6.00 36% 1.80    
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
MARE'S GUNNER May28         (divito p)LOPEZ A 119 5.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of MARVELEX by EXPLICIT)
WICKED WOW         (young r)MOJICA O 119 4.50 7% 12.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of HOLY WOW by PUT IT BACK)
MANTA REY May05 Apr15 Apr01 Mar12 Feb18 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 3.00 12% 7.20    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SHOCKING BEHAVIOR by EL PRADO (IRE))
BLACK RAVEN Jun11         (perez manny)TAVARES JAVIER 119 4.00 18% 4.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
 
HAW-7   06/18/2023 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($37.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY RIVER May06 Apr25 Mar30 Mar12 Nov30 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOMEONE SAID SO Nov15 Oct02 Jul17 Jul08 Jun19 (rosin w)MOJICA O 122 8.00    
LADY RADLER May13 Apr22 Dec03 Oct28 Sep07 (campbell michael)FELIX E 117 1.60 65% 0.50    
BERAVINA May23 Dec09 Nov11 Oct23 Sep17 (vanden br)COLON H 122 4.50    
JUST A WONDER May20 Apr25 Apr09 Mar23 Oct16 (manley stev)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LIPLINER Apr30 Mar23 Dec10 Oct08 Jun24 (childers van)GILES EMMANUEL 117 12.00    
PRINCESS STELLA (IRE) Jun08 May31 May07 Apr09 Mar05 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.50 6% 15.70    
 
HAW-8   06/18/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED May28 May04 Apr16 Mar23 Feb24 (mason ingrid)FELIX E 117 4.50    
DANCE SOME MO Jun04 Mar05 May30 May07 Mar19 (rosin coty )SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 25% 3.00    
GROVELAND Mar11 Feb11 Jan13 Dec24 Dec03 (harty eoin)MOJICA O 117 1.80 54% 0.90    
BLAME SHIFTER May18 May04 Mar19     (vanden b)HERNANDEZ K 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
STAR NATION May28 Apr13 Mar05 Jan28 Dec30 (spagnola ida)GILES EMMANUEL 112 15.00    
SLAVA UKRAINI Jun04 May28 Apr30 Apr18 Dec30 (zawitz joel)TAVARES JAVIER 117 12.00    
PATH TO SUCCESS May31 May04 Apr13 Mar18 Mar01 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
MCMONEY May28 Apr21 Mar15 Feb09 Jan12 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.