Handicappers' Race Results

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Fonner Park
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $43.80  
FON-2   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 9.00
FON-3   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $23.00  
FON-4   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
FON-5   Win (5/1/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
FON-6   Win (1/2/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $5.80  

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   03/31/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:231 :354       :48   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAQ'S MY DADDY 3 2 4     4¾ 1 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 15.00 20.90  
BUG ZAPPER 6 1 2nk     1nk 2 (womochil jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 3.00 8.30  
JACKIE MOON 5 5 1nk     2nk 3 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 33% 2.00 0.70 S
FIFTY TWO PICKUP 4 4 3.2     3.2 4 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 24% 3.20 2.05  
HALO'S LADDIE 1 3 5     5 5 (stankey jannae)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 10.00 8.20  
REAL CRAFTY PIE 2 6 6     6 611¼ (dolphus junior)RAMOS B 125 8.00 14% 6.10 16.30  
 
FON-2   03/31/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:224 :352       :471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G KATE 1 3 11     13 1 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 33% 2.00 5.50 W
NEW YEARS LOVE 2 5 55     3 2 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 8.00  
SEGOVIANA 5 4 44     5 3 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 1.80 39% 1.60 3.50 S
FASHION FACT 4 2 34     4 4 (condon schuyler)RAMOS B 125 3.00 2.25  
BIGJIM'S SILVERGAL 6 1 21     23 5 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 2.15  
MILLI STARR 3 6 66     6 68 (radford raymond)FACKLER CHRIS 125 8.00 7.80  
 
FON-3   03/31/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:224 :35       :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELTICS WILDCAT 1 3 4     44 1¼ (donlin d)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 10.50  
READY TO GET LOUD 6 5 3     2 2¼ (martinez ke)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.80 2.60  
RACHIE RACH 2 1 1½     1 3¼ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 19% 4.40 2.80 S
LOTS OF GOLD 5 2 2½     33 4 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 53% 0.90 1.35  
RABBIT TWENTY TWO 3 4 6     69 5 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 8.00 6.25  
I CINC EYE LUV U 4 6 5     59 6 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 24.55  
 
FON-4   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:014     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMBASSADOR MIKE 1 4 32 31   21 1nk (martinez ke)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.50 41% 1.40 1.20 W
R VOO'S TABOO 4 2 1nk 2nk   11 2nk (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 3.00  
LEVEL 6 5 2nk 1nk   31 3 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 3.20 S
RING TAILED TOOTER 3 3 4 46   45 4 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 10.30  
CORTE 5 1 5 514   512 515¼ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 5.90  
DOMERGOO 2 6 6 619   616 618½ (childs g)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 16.40  
SCR  ROBUST               (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
FON-5   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:013     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUDGE'S BRIBE 5 4 22 12   12 1 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 24% 3.10 1.10 W
LITTLE BITOTHUNDER 6 3 5 22   22 2 (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 4.45  
SING CHARMER SING 1 6 66 44   5 3 (compton jesse)RAMOS B 120 3.00 20% 4.10 3.05 S
B T'S BAD BOY 7 2 12 3   35 4 (hall l)BETHKE A 125 8.00 11% 8.20 11.90  
PAISANO JIM 4 5 4 54   46 511 (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 15% 5.80 4.45  
J TRAIN 2 1 3 66   6 613½ (rivera p)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 26.05  
PETE AND REPETE 3 7 711 710   713½ 720 (condon schuyler)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 28.80  
 
FON-6   03/31/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:154 1:441   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASTY EXAGGERATOR 5 1 2nk 31 3 3½ 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 1.90  
FAKE SOLUTION 3 4 42 2½ 1½ 1nk 2 (condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 2.80  
FALCON HEAVY 2 3 1nk 1½ 2½ 2nk 3 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 21% 3.80 5.20 S
HOLIDAY JOKE 8 5 3 4 44 4 4 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 125 12.00 15% 5.60 18.60  
PODEROSO EQUS 1 8 812 8 712 79 510¼ (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 34% 2.00 3.35  
YHA YHA 4 6 6 5 58 5 611¼ (childs g)RAMOS B 125 12.00 19.00  
TOMBI 7 2 54 6 611 68 713¾ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 8.00 26.45  
RUN FOR MATTY 6 7 76 7 813 819 846¾ (ibanez alberto)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 9.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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