Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.20 $4.20 70%
PID-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    DD (4/3/7)-(4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-1 $129.20 $111.20 618%
PID-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $33.40 $21.40 178%
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5-2 $71.00 $59.00 492%
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-4 $60.80 $42.80 238%
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(4/2/1)-(5/4/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00  3-1-4 $306.40 $252.40 467%
PID-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $12.80 $6.80 113%
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-3 $57.60 $39.60 220%
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00  2-3-4 $244.60 $208.60 579%
PID-8   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $22.60 $14.60 183%

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A GOOD DANCER   (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50 7.20  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LITTLE IRISHDANCER by PADDY O'PRADO)
ITALIAN SYMPHONY   (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 10% 8.90 9.50 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POWER OF SNUNNER by POWER BY FAR)
CITY OF CLOUDS   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 62% 0.60 0.40 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CLOUDY VOW by BROKEN VOW)
I STRONG   (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 4.50 5.90  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
GRAFT   (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 5.10  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of QUEEN DEL VALLE by BARYSHNIKOV (AUS))
 
PID-2   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT   (rojas e)FLORES E 122 2.00 27% 2.70 4.10 W
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD   (tebbutt john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 2.50  
SO MOXIE   (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 3.70 S
LAWN DART   (morrell r)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 29% 2.50 3.20  
WATERLOO SUNSET   (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 17% 5.00 5.00  
BLU SKY SUNRISE   (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 4.50 12.10  
FAST FASHION   (morrell just)AYALA J 122 10.00 25.80  
 
PID-3   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN MELLY   (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 10% 9.40 4.50 W
DELTA WISHES   (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 6.30  
EMPTY ENVELOPE   (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 4.00 4.40  
SWIGERT   (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30  
GARBET   (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.80  
YOU DO YOU   (caramori eduardo)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 12.40  
 
PID-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVISIAN SPIRIT   (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 3.70 W
MERINO WOOL   (rojas e)FLORES E 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.70 P
MIDNIGHT PIRATE   (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00 S
BEAUTIFUL STAR   (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00 9.20  
FOLK HERO   (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 112 3.50 3.80  
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF   (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADITUDE   (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 10.00 7.80  
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES   (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 116 2.00 13% 6.50 4.20 P
WILLIE WANDO   (pappada michael)STANLEY O 116 4.00 6.90  
TURNS   (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 20.20  
LEGEND OF CHARLIE   (girten tim)SPIETH S 116 1.80 58% 0.70 0.40  
PURE SPRING   (boyer david )ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 34.70  
 
PID-6   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J BERESFORD TIPTON   (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.00 23% 3.40 5.40 W
HEIRLOOM KITTEN   (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 7% 13.20 3.00 P
GRADED ON A CURVE   (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 10.20 S
JEN'S SONG   (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 23.00  
SAINT GOAR   (pappada michae)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 44% 1.30 2.40  
ALABAMA SLAMMER   (russell )GALLARDO A 122 4.50 3.40  
DRIFTWOOD   (kordenbrock m)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 5.30  
 
PID-7   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITED SOL   (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00 10.90  
DIAMOND DUST   (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 5% 19.00 4.10 P
SAMURAI PRINCE   (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 61% 0.60 0.80 S
ROBBY'S RANSOM   (stites w)SPIETH S 122 10.00 22.00  
THE SINNER IS YOU   (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 12% 7.60 2.80  
VALENTINE BUG   (connelly)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 10.90  
SCR  LIFE MISSION   (hayes leland)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR   (hoffman mark)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
 
PID-8   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT   (zook w)AYALA J 122 3.50 10% 9.50 10.30 W
SCIENCE TO WIN   (kocijan )GALLARDO A 122 10.00 16.90  
SUMMER PALACE   (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 S
GOODTIME ARTIE   (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 3.00 17% 5.00 7.20  
LEGIO   (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 25.00  
FACTORINO   (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 15.00 22.60  
JAMA DILLON   (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 4.50  
PERFECT PICTURE   (reed larry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 8% 11.50 4.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.