The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $16.40 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-3 2 0 $136.60 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-3-4 3 0 $232.80 $0.00 -8.00
PID-2   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
    Exacta (3/4/7)-(3/4/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-1 2 0 $28.60 $0.00 -18.00
    Trifecta (3/4/7)-(3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 18 $2.00 $36.00 3-1-5 3 0 $82.00 $0.00 -36.00
    Daily Double (3/4)-(3/4/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-3 2 0 $53.60 $0.00 -12.00
PID-3   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 5.00
    Exacta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-6 2 0 $62.00 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-6-3 3 0 $285.80 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/7)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 3-1 2 1 $129.20 $129.20 111.20
    Pick Three (3/4)-(3/4/7)-(1/2/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 1-3-1 3 0 $479.40 $0.00 -36.00
PID-4   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5 2 1 $33.40 $33.40 21.40
    Trifecta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-5-2 3 1 $71.00 $71.00 59.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-4 2 1 $60.80 $60.80 42.80
    Pick Three (3/4/7)-(1/2/4)-(2/4/5) 27 $2.00 $54.00 3-1-4 3 1 $306.40 $306.40 252.40
PID-5   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $17.60 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-4 2 0 $108.80 $0.00 -8.00
    Trifecta (3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1-4-6 3 0 $367.80 $0.00 -8.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-1 2 0 $194.80 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4)-(2/4/5)-(3/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00 1-4-1 3 0 $409.60 $0.00 -36.00
PID-6   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 6.80
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-3 2 1 $57.60 $57.60 39.60
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/4/5)-(2/3/4/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00 2-3-4 3 1 $244.60 $244.60 208.60
    Daily Double (3/4)-(2/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $137.00 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5)-(3/4)-(2/3/5) 18 $2.00 $36.00 4-1-2 3 0 $1180.60 $0.00 -36.00
PID-7   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $23.80 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $119.80 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2-6 3 0 $204.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(2/6/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 2-1 2 0 $294.20 $0.00 -18.00
    Pick Three (3/4)-(2/3/5)-(2/6/7) 18 $2.00 $36.00 1-2-1 3 0 $1785.00 $0.00 -36.00
PID-8   Win (1/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $22.60 $22.60 14.60
    Exacta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 6-4 2 0 $343.00 $0.00 -24.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6)-(1/2/5/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 6-4-1 3 0 $1155.00 $0.00 -48.00
    Daily Double (2/6/7)-(1/2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 1-6 2 0 $188.20 $0.00 -24.00
    Pick Three (2/3/5)-(2/6/7)-(1/2/5/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 2-1-6 3 0 $921.60 $0.00 -72.00

Simulator Race results

 
PID-1   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:232 :473 :592     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A GOOD DANCER 1 4 42 4   1nk 1(rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50 7.20  
ITALIAN SYMPHONY 3 3 5 54   43 2(judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 10% 8.90 9.50 P
CITY OF CLOUDS 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 33 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 62% 0.60 0.40 S
I STRONG 5 2 2nk 2nk   31 45 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 4.50 5.90  
GRAFT 2 5 3 31   54 510 (nagle sara)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 5.10  
 
PID-2   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
:224 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 3 4 2½ 2   2½ 1¾ (rojas e)FLORES E 122 2.00 27% 2.70 4.10 W
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 1 7 7 6   53 2¾ (tebbutt john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 2.50  
SO MOXIE 5 2 5 5   43¾ (skawinski caro)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 3.70 S
LAWN DART 4 3 1½ 1   1½ 43 (morrell r)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 29% 2.50 3.20  
WATERLOO SUNSET 7 1 4 4   35(schneider )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 17% 5.00 5.00  
BLU SKY SUNRISE 2 6 32 3   6610¾ (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 4.50 12.10  
FAST FASHION 6 5 6 76   7715 (morrell justin)AYALA J 122 10.00 25.80  
 
PID-3   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
:251 :502 1:16 1:29   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN MELLY 1 5 4 5 4 1nk 1(connelly t)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 10% 9.40 4.50 W
DELTA WISHES 6 1 23 33 5 2nk 2(hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 6.30  
EMPTY ENVELOPE 3 6 5 4 3 43 3(rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 4.00 4.40  
SWIGERT 4 4 33 22 1nk 3½ 4(caramori eduar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30  
GARBET 2 3 6 67 6 6512½ (vitali mar)MARTINEZ A 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.80  
YOU DO YOU 5 2 13 12 2nk 5612½ (caramori eduardo)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 12.40  
 
PID-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
:26 :504 1:153 1:28   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVISIAN SPIRIT 3 1 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 1nk (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 3.70 W
MERINO WOOL 4 3 32 31 2nk 2nk 2nk (rojas e)FLORES E 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.70 P
MIDNIGHT PIRATE 2 5 42 42 3 32 32 (wismer s)WALKER M 122 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00 S
BEAUTIFUL STAR 5 4 53 53 42 44 49 (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 6.00 9.20  
FOLK HERO 1 2 1 1½ 5 56 513¼ (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 112 3.50 3.80  
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF               (valdez moi)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
:232 :464 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADITUDE 1 1 1 11   11(rogers ronald )AYALA J 122 10.00 7.80  
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 4 6 6 6   55 2(rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 116 2.00 13% 6.50 4.20 P
WILLIE WANDO 6 4 4 3   23(pappada c)STANLEY O 116 4.00 6.90  
TURNS 5 5 54 5   45 4(boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 20.20  
LEGEND OF CHARLIE 3 3 2 21   33 56 (girten tim)SPIETH S 116 1.80 58% 0.70 0.40  
PURE SPRING 2 2 3 4   66 611 (boyer jr)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 34.70  
 
PID-6   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:24 :474 1:13 1:254   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J BERESFORD TIPTON 2 7 7 7 7 61nk (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.00 23% 3.40 5.40 W
HEIRLOOM KITTEN 3 4 5 4 42 3.2 2nk (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 7% 13.20 3.00 P
GRADED ON A CURVE 4 6 4 57 31 4¼ 3½ (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 10.20 S
JEN'S SONG 6 5 6 6 53 541 (depasquale kimberl)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 23.00  
SAINT GOAR 5 2 2nk 3½ 1nk 2nk 5(pappada michael )HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 44% 1.30 2.40  
ALABAMA SLAMMER 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 66 (russell ra)GALLARDO A 122 4.50 3.40  
DRIFTWOOD 7 3 3.2 2nk 6 7717 (kordenbrock mat)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 5.30  
 
PID-7   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
:231 :46 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITED SOL 1 4 31 2nk   11 1½ (depasquale kimb)WALKER M 122 6.00 10.90  
DIAMOND DUST 2 3 11 1nk   21 2½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 5% 19.00 4.10 P
SAMURAI PRINCE 4 1 21 3½   31 3(morey will)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 61% 0.60 0.80 S
ROBBY'S RANSOM 3 6 42 4   42 4(stites w)SPIETH S 122 10.00 22.00  
THE SINNER IS YOU 5 2 5 5   55(rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 12% 7.60 2.80  
VALENTINE BUG 6 5 6 6   66(connelly t)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 10.90  
SCR  LIFE MISSION               (hayes leland)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR               (hoffman mark)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
 
PID-8   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
:223 :453 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 6 4 1 1   14 1(zook w)AYALA J 122 3.50 10% 9.50 10.30 W
SCIENCE TO WIN 4 5 44 4   35 2(kocijan bo)GALLARDO A 122 10.00 16.90  
SUMMER PALACE 1 7 8 7   45 3(hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 S
GOODTIME ARTIE 2 8 66 6   54(kintz matthew)ALLEN D 122 3.00 17% 5.00 7.20  
LEGIO 8 1 77 8   65(skawinski caro)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 25.00  
FACTORINO 3 3 2 2   24 610½ (depasquale kimb)WALKER M 122 15.00 22.60  
JAMA DILLON 7 6 5 5   78 714 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 4.50  
PERFECT PICTURE 5 2 32 34   89 816½ (reed r)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 8% 11.50 4.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.