Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-2   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.20 $4.20 70%
PID-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    DD (4/3/7)-(4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-1 $129.20 $111.20 618%
PID-4   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $9.40 $3.40 57%
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5 $33.40 $21.40 178%
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  4-5-2 $71.00 $59.00 492%
    DD (4/2/1)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-4 $60.80 $42.80 238%
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(4/2/1)-(5/4/2) 27 $2.00 $54.00  3-1-4 $306.40 $252.40 467%
PID-6   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $12.80 $6.80 113%
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-3 $57.60 $39.60 220%
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3/4)-(5/2/3/4) 18 $2.00 $36.00  2-3-4 $244.60 $208.60 579%
PID-8   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $22.60 $14.60 183%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:232 :473 :592     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S A GOOD DANCER 1 4 42 41½   1nk 12¼ (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50 ★ 7.20  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LITTLE IRISHDANCER by PADDY O'PRADO)
3  ITALIAN SYMPHONY 3 3 54½ 54   43 22¼ (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 10% 8.90 9.50 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POWER OF SNUNNER by POWER BY FAR)
4  CITY OF CLOUDS 4 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 33 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 62% 0.60 0.40 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CLOUDY VOW by BROKEN VOW)
5  I STRONG 5 2 2nk 2nk   31 45 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 4.50 5.90  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of RUSH TO WAR by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
2  GRAFT 2 5 31½ 31   54 510 (nagle sa)GALLARDO A 118 4.00 5.10  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of QUEEN DEL VALLE by BARYSHNIKOV (AUS))
 
PID-2   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHARLOTTE THE BRIT 3 4 2½ 21½   2½ 1¾ (rojas e)FLORES E 122 2.00 27% 2.70 4.10 W
1  CHEWY CHEWY GOOD 1 7 74½ 65½   53 2¾ (tebbutt john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00 2.50  
5  SO MOXIE 5 2 53½ 54½   42½ 3¾ (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00 ★ 3.70 S
4  LAWN DART 4 3 1½ 11½   1½ 43 (morrell r)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 29% 2.50 3.20  
7  WATERLOO SUNSET 7 1 42½ 43½   31½ 53¼ (schneide)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 17% 5.00 5.00  
2  BLU SKY SUNRISE 2 6 32 33½   63½ 610¾ (antus lawrence)STANLEY O 122 4.50 12.10  
6  FAST FASHION 6 5 64½ 76   77½ 715 (morrell just)AYALA J 122 10.00 25.80  
 
PID-3   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:251 :502 1:16 1:29   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STORMIN MELLY 1 5 44½ 54½ 41¾ 1nk 13¾ (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 10% 9.40 4.50 W
6  DELTA WISHES 6 1 23 33 51¾ 2nk 23¾ (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00 6.30  
3  EMPTY ENVELOPE 3 6 54¾ 43½ 31½ 43 35½ (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 4.00 4.40  
4  SWIGERT 4 4 33 22 1nk 3½ 46¼ (caramori edu)ALENCAR WALBER 124 2.50 45% 1.20 1.30  
2  GARBET 2 3 67¾ 67 65¾ 68½ 512½ (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 118 2.50 21% 3.70 3.80  
5  YOU DO YOU 5 2 13 12 2nk 55½ 612½ (caramori eduardo)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00 12.40  
 
PID-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:153 1:28   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NEVISIAN SPIRIT 3 1 21½ 2½ 1nk 1nk 1nk (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 23% 3.40 3.70 W
5  MERINO WOOL 4 3 32 31 2nk 2nk 2nk (rojas e)FLORES E 122 1.60 27% 2.70 1.70 P
2  MIDNIGHT PIRATE 2 5 42 42 31½ 32 32 (wismer glenn )WALKER M 122 3.00 17% 5.00 2.00 S
6  BEAUTIFUL STAR 5 4 53 53 42 44 49 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 6.00 9.20  
1  FOLK HERO 1 2 11½ 1½ 52¼ 56 513¼ (rojas e)MARTINEZ W 112 3.50 3.80  
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF               (valdez m)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
 
PID-5   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:232 :464 :583     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRADITUDE 1 1 11½ 11   12½ 12½ (rogers ronal)AYALA J 122 10.00 7.80  
4  BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 4 6 66½ 64½   55 22½ (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 116 2.00 13% 6.50 4.20 P
6  WILLIE WANDO 6 4 42½ 31½   22½ 33¾ (pappada michael)STANLEY O 116 4.00 6.90  
5  TURNS 5 5 54 52½   45 44¾ (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00 20.20  
3  LEGEND OF CHARLIE 3 3 21½ 21   33 56 (girten tim)SPIETH S 116 1.80 58% 0.70 0.40  
2  PURE SPRING 2 2 31½ 41½   66 611 (boyer david )ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 ★ 34.70  
 
PID-6   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:13 1:254   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  J BERESFORD TIPTON 2 7 77¾ 78¾ 73¼ 61½ 1nk (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.00 23% 3.40 5.40 W
3  HEIRLOOM KITTEN 3 4 55¾ 46½ 42 3.2 2nk (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 7% 13.20 3.00 P
4  GRADED ON A CURVE 4 6 45¼ 57 31 4¼ 3½ (judd cas)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 ★ 10.20 S
6  JEN'S SONG 6 5 66¾ 68½ 53 51¼ 41 (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00 23.00  
5  SAINT GOAR 5 2 2nk 3½ 1nk 2nk 55¼ (pappada michae)HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 44% 1.30 2.40  
1  ALABAMA SLAMMER 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 66 (russell )GALLARDO A 122 4.50 3.40  
7  DRIFTWOOD 7 3 3.2 2nk 63¼ 78½ 717 (kordenbrock m)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00 5.30  
 
PID-7   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:231 :46 :572     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRITED SOL 1 4 31 2nk   11 1½ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 6.00 10.90  
2  DIAMOND DUST 2 3 11 1nk   21 2½ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 5% 19.00 4.10 P
6  SAMURAI PRINCE 4 1 21 3½   31 31¼ (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 61% 0.60 0.80 S
4  ROBBY'S RANSOM 3 6 42 41½   42 42¾ (stites w)SPIETH S 122 10.00 22.00  
7  THE SINNER IS YOU 5 2 52¼ 51¾   52¼ 52¾ (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 12% 7.60 2.80  
8  VALENTINE BUG 6 5 63¾ 63¾   66¼ 66¼ (connelly)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00 10.90  
SCR  LIFE MISSION               (hayes leland)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR               (hoffman mark)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
 
PID-8   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:223 :453 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT 6 4 11½ 12½   14 16½ (zook w)AYALA J 122 3.50 10% 9.50 10.30 W
4  SCIENCE TO WIN 4 5 44 44½   35 26½ (kocijan )GALLARDO A 122 10.00 16.90  
1  SUMMER PALACE 1 7 87½ 76½   45 36½ (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.00 S
2  GOODTIME ARTIE 2 8 66 65½   56½ 47½ (kintz matthe)ALLEN D 122 3.00 17% 5.00 7.20  
8  LEGIO 8 1 77 86¾   67½ 58¼ (skawinski ca)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 25.00  
3  FACTORINO 3 3 21½ 22½   24 610½ (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 15.00 22.60  
7  JAMA DILLON 7 6 55½ 55½   78 714 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00 4.50  
5  PERFECT PICTURE 5 2 32 34   89 816½ (reed larry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 8% 11.50 4.00  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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