Handicappers' Racing Form

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Presque Isle Downs
Wednesday - May 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PID-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PID-2   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-3   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-4   Win (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-5   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PID-6   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-7   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PID-8   Win (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PID-1   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S A GOOD DANCER Mar31 Oct22 Oct02 Sep25 Aug28 (rice kevin)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 118 2.50    
GRAFT Apr23         (nagle sara)GALLARDO A 118 4.00    
ITALIAN SYMPHONY         (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 118 4.00 10% 8.90    
CITY OF CLOUDS Apr21         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 1.60 62% 0.60    
I STRONG Sep12 Aug13 Aug02 Jul22 Jul14 (rice kevin)AYALA J 118 4.50    
 
PID-2   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEWY CHEWY GOOD Apr10 Mar15 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 (tebbutt john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 5.00    
BLU SKY SUNRISE Jan12 Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 Oct15 (antus lawrence)RIQUELME J 122 4.50    
CHARLOTTE THE BRIT Oct18 Oct05 Sep22 Sep06 Aug09 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
LAWN DART Oct13 Sep22 Sep16 Sep06 Aug16 (morrell r)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
SO MOXIE Mar22 Feb25 Oct24 Oct03 Sep21 (skawinski caro)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
FAST FASHION Jul07 Jun23 Jun16 Jun01 May25 (morrell justin)AYALA J 122 10.00    
WATERLOO SUNSET Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 Sep08 Aug30 (schneider )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
 
PID-3   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMIN MELLY         (connelly t)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 10% 9.40    
GARBET Apr19 Mar14       (vitali mar)MARTINEZ A 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
EMPTY ENVELOPE Apr22 Nov16 Oct23 Oct05 Sep16 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 4.00    
SWIGERT Mar23 Feb11 Dec22 Dec01 Aug31 (caramori eduar)ALENCAR WALBER 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
YOU DO YOU Dec05         (caramori eduardo)MARTINEZ W 124 6.00    
DELTA WISHES Jan24         (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 118 5.00    
 
PID-4   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOLK HERO Feb23 Jan27 Jan11 Dec13 Nov29 (rojas e)ROJAS MARTINA 112 3.50    
MIDNIGHT PIRATE Feb15 Jan07 Dec14 Nov26 Oct18 (wismer s)WALKER M 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  TIZ PROMISING RVF Nov08 Nov02 Oct20 Oct12 Sep28 (valdez moi)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
NEVISIAN SPIRIT Dec22 Dec14 Nov25 Oct12 Sep22 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 5.00 23% 3.40    
MERINO WOOL Oct18 Sep29 Sep13 Sep06 Aug16 (rojas e)FLORES E 122 1.60 27% 2.70    
BEAUTIFUL STAR Mar22 Feb23 Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 (brooks gerald )AYALA J 122 6.00    
 
PID-5   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADITUDE Nov06 Oct20 Oct13 Sep20 Sep08 (rogers ronald )AYALA J 122 10.00    
PURE SPRING Oct20 Sep27 Sep06 Aug15 Aug02 (boyer jr)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
LEGEND OF CHARLIE Oct25 Oct04 Sep20 Aug22 Jul19 (girten tim)SPIETH S 116 1.80 58% 0.70    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Apr21 Dec10 Nov13 Oct25 Oct04 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 116 2.00 13% 6.50    
TURNS Apr26 Mar31 Mar16 Feb22 Feb06 (boyer jr)FOX CHRIS 122 6.00    
WILLIE WANDO Oct25 Sep27 Sep07 Aug23 Aug09 (pappada c)STANLEY O 116 4.00    
 
PID-6   05/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALABAMA SLAMMER Oct04 Sep13 Aug23 Aug03 Jun12 (russell ra)GALLARDO A 122 4.50    
J BERESFORD TIPTON Mar25 Feb25 Jan21 Dec14 Oct23 (potts g)SPIETH S 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
HEIRLOOM KITTEN Apr19 Mar11 Jan18 Jan06 Dec03 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 7% 13.20    
GRADED ON A CURVE Mar11 Jan20 Jan04 Nov11 Sep03 (judd cassa)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
SAINT GOAR Apr15 Mar13 Jan28 Jan03 Dec20 (pappada michael )HOUGHTON D 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
JEN'S SONG Oct25 Oct05 Sep08 Aug23 Aug02 (depasquale kimberl)MARTINEZ W 122 8.00    
DRIFTWOOD Mar31 Mar04 Jan07 Dec01 Oct04 (kordenbrock mat)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 6.00    
 
PID-7   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITED SOL Sep26 Sep07 Aug22 Jul28 Jul13 (depasquale kimb)WALKER M 122 6.00    
DIAMOND DUST Oct29 Oct10 Sep19 Aug31 Jul19 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE CONNECTOR Oct07 Aug23 Jul05 Jun19 May22 (hoffman mark)ALLEN D 122 10.00    
ROBBY'S RANSOM Oct25 Oct11 Sep29 Sep06 Aug24 (stites w)SPIETH S 122 10.00    
SCR  LIFE MISSION Oct26 Sep29 Sep19 Aug16 Jul20 (hayes leland)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
SAMURAI PRINCE Apr19 Mar18 Feb24 Jul01 May29 (morey will)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 61% 0.60    
THE SINNER IS YOU Oct16 Sep19 Aug31 Jul21 Jul05 (rojas e)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00 12% 7.60    
VALENTINE BUG Oct04 Sep19 Sep08 Jul27 Jul06 (connelly t)MARTINEZ A 122 8.00    
 
PID-8   05/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER PALACE Apr02 Mar17 Nov30 Oct19 Oct03 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
GOODTIME ARTIE Oct18 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 Aug24 (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
FACTORINO Sep07 Aug28 Jul24 Jun17   (depasquale kimb)WALKER M 122 15.00    
SCIENCE TO WIN Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (kocijan bo)GALLARDO A 122 10.00    
PERFECT PICTURE May09 Apr27 Apr04 Feb22 Feb07 (reed r)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 4.50 8% 11.50    
JUSTINSPEIGHTOFIT Feb22 Feb07 Jan30 Jan12 Jan02 (zook w)AYALA J 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
JAMA DILLON Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 (rice kevin)MARTINEZ A 122 10.00    
LEGIO Feb12 Oct11 Sep19 Aug30 Aug16 (skawinski caro)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.