Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TUP-4   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  
TUP-5   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 2.00
TUP-6   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
TUP-7   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $10.60  
TUP-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 4.60

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:47 1:13 1:27   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKFAST BALL 1 3 2 28 2nk 12 1¼ (whitehouse wi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.50 8% 11.40 2.50 W
LEMON DROP LADY 3 6 59 411½ 3 22 2¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 3.00 14% 6.20 1.20 P
JEWEL AZUL 5 1 3 311 4 3 3 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 51% 1.00 2.20 S
PANCAKES AND BEER 4 5 6 613 5 4 4 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 5.00 17.90  
FOREST ACCLAMATION 2 2 1 18 1nk 58 512¼ (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 118 8.00 14.00  
SCATALICIOUS 6 4 48 513 6 611 612¾ (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 4.00 8.80  
 
TUP-4   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:222 :451       1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTY'S BAR 2 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1hd (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 15% 5.70 0.60 W
WARREN'S MEMORABLE 4 3 4 3   32 2hd (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 52% 0.90 1.90 P
QUEENS RANSOM 1 4 1½ 2nk   2nk 3nk (johnston kimb)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 3.30  
EARLYNTHEMORN 3 2 32 45   45 4 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 9.80  
SCR  FIRST PROMISE               (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  REALREALGOOD               (perkins frances)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
 
TUP-5   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:242 :464 1:111 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY WIFE 1 5 5 58 35 3 11 (eikleberry ke)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 15% 5.70 3.00 W
DIPLOMATICA 3 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 12 21 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 4.00 28% 2.50 1.00 P
INDY'S STAR 5 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 22 3 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 15% 5.80 2.10 S
YES PLEASE 4 4 4 36 4 4 420½ (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 20.80  
METAROSE 2 3 36 4 514½ 515½ 521¼ (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 5.20  
SCR  LOOKIN SO LUCKY               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-6   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:222 :45 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KIRA FEVER 2 6 3.2 1nk   1½ 12 (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 36% 1.80 2.00 W
LIL TOWN SIS 4 3 6 5   3 22 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 7% 13.60 1.10 P
SAVONA (IRE) 3 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 3 (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 4.90  
NINE CROWNS 5 4 4¼ 4¼   5 4 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 14.00  
MAKARA 6 2 5 6   6 5 (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10 4.40  
COURAGE OF BELLOCQ 1 5 2nk 3.2   4 6 (howey quinn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 23.90  
SCR  FLATTER ME ZEN               (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   04/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:223 :444       1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD COAST GIRL 6 2 42 4   21 1 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 4.30  
LOTSA LACE 5 1 2nk 3.2   11 2 (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 2.00  
BLUE LUNA WHO 2 5 53 6   54 3 (silva n)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 8.30 S
GOLDEN HALO 1 6 6 5   44 4 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 45% 1.20 1.70  
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 4 4 3 2nk   3 5 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 3.20  
PAISLEY'S VISION 3 3 1nk 1nk   6 611¼ (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 116 6.00 20.70  
SCR  WILD ARCH               (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TUP-8   04/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:25 :494       1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERSABIGGIRL 3 1 11 1nk   1 1 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 121 8.00 7% 12.60 4.30 W
GEEJAYTEE 2 2 3 5   2 2 (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50 2.10 P
LUNAR UNIT 6 3 21 2nk   3 3 (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 48% 1.10 1.00 S
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 8 7 64 3   55 4 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 6.00 14.80  
SENT BY ANGELS 1 4 53 4   44 58 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00 8.20  
GARBET 4 5 75 7   69 6 (vitali j)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00 15.50  
SKEDADDLE'S LEGACY 7 6 42 6   717 725¾ (mart)DA FAUSTO 121 12.00 45.10  
DONNA'S MISCHIEF 5 8 819 819¼   826 836 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 34.50  
SCR  STAR SO FAR               (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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