Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.00 $1.00 17%
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-3 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-3-5 $5.10 $2.10 70%
TUP-5   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-4 $10.70 $4.70 78%
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-6 $9.35 $6.35 212%
    DD (5/3/1)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-1 $12.30 $3.30 37%
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1-1/3/6-1 $33.20 $19.70 146%
TUP-6   DD (4/1/6)-(3/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-3 $13.30 $4.30 48%
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(4/1/6)-(3/7/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  1/3/6-1-3 $23.30 $9.80 73%
TUP-8   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/2/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-2 $16.80 $4.80 40%
    SFT (7/3/4)-(7/3/4/2/9)-(7/3/4/2/9)-(7/3/4/2/9) 72 $0.10 $7.20  4-2-7-9 $12.85 $5.65 78%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:47 1:13 1:27   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKFAST BALL 1 3 25½ 28 2nk 12 1¼ (whitehouse )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.50 8% 11.40 2.50 W
3  LEMON DROP LADY 3 6 59 411½ 31½ 22 2¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 3.00 14% 6.20 1.20 P
5  JEWEL AZUL 5 1 37½ 311 41¾ 32½ 31¾ (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 51% 1.00 2.20 S
4  PANCAKES AND BEER 4 5 69½ 613 53¼ 44½ 45¾ (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 124 5.00 17.90  
2  FOREST ACCLAMATION 2 2 15½ 18 1nk 58 512¼ (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 118 8.00 14.00  
6  SCATALICIOUS 6 4 48 513 67¼ 611 612¾ (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 4.00 8.80  
 
TUP-4   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:222 :451       1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BETTY'S BAR 2 1 2½ 1nk   1nk 1hd (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 15% 5.70 0.60 W
5  WARREN'S MEMORABLE 4 3 43½ 32½   32 2hd (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 52% 0.90 1.90 P
2  QUEENS RANSOM 1 4 1½ 2nk   2nk 3nk (johnston ki)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00 3.30  
4  EARLYNTHEMORN 3 2 32 45   45 43½ (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 9.80  
SCR  FIRST PROMISE               (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  REALREALGOOD               (perkins frances)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
 
TUP-5   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:242 :464 1:111 1:243   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GYPSY WIFE 1 5 58¼ 58 35 32½ 11 (eikleberry )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 15% 5.70 3.00 W
4  DIPLOMATICA 3 1 1nk 2nk 2nk 12 21 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 4.00 28% 2.50 1.00 P
6  INDY'S STAR 5 2 2nk 1nk 1nk 22 38¾ (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 15% 5.80 2.10 S
5  YES PLEASE 4 4 46¼ 36 48½ 49½ 420½ (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00 20.80  
2  METAROSE 2 3 36 47½ 514½ 515½ 521¼ (hernandez m)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00 5.20  
SCR  LOOKIN SO LUCKY               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-6   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:222 :45 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KIRA FEVER 2 6 3.2 1nk   1½ 12 (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 36% 1.80 2.00 W
5  LIL TOWN SIS 4 3 61½ 51¾   31½ 22 (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 7% 13.60 1.10 P
4  SAVONA (IRE) 3 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 32¼ (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50 4.90  
6  NINE CROWNS 5 4 4¼ 4¼   52½ 46½ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 ★ 14.00  
7  MAKARA 6 2 51¼ 63¼   63½ 58¼ (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10 4.40  
2  COURAGE OF BELLOCQ 1 5 2nk 3.2   42½ 68½ (howey quinn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 23.90  
SCR  FLATTER ME ZEN               (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   04/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:223 :444       1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOLD COAST GIRL 6 2 42 41¼   21 11½ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00 4.30  
6  LOTSA LACE 5 1 2nk 3.2   11 21½ (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00 2.00  
2  BLUE LUNA WHO 2 5 53 61¾   54 33¼ (silva lillian)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 ★ 8.30 S
1  GOLDEN HALO 1 6 63¼ 51¼   44 43¾ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 45% 1.20 1.70  
5  BOISTEROUSLY IRISH 4 4 31½ 2nk   31½ 54¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 ★ 3.20  
4  PAISLEY'S VISION 3 3 1nk 1nk   65½ 611¼ (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 116 6.00 20.70  
SCR  WILD ARCH               (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
TUP-8   04/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:25 :494       1:332   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HERSABIGGIRL 3 1 11 1nk   13½ 12¾ (chambers mike)CORBETT W 121 8.00 7% 12.60 4.30 W
2  GEEJAYTEE 2 2 31½ 51¾   23½ 22¾ (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50 ★ 2.10 P
7  LUNAR UNIT 6 3 21 2nk   33½ 33¼ (vitali marc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 48% 1.10 1.00 S
9  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY 8 7 64 31½   55 46¼ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 6.00 ★ 14.80  
1  SENT BY ANGELS 1 4 53 41¾   44 58 (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00 8.20  
5  GARBET 4 5 75 75¼   69 68½ (vitali marcus)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00 15.50  
8  SKEDADDLE'S LEGACY 7 6 42 63¼   717 725¾ (ma)DA FAUSTO 121 12.00 45.10  
6  DONNA'S MISCHIEF 5 8 819 819¼   826 836 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00 34.50  
SCR  STAR SO FAR               (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.