Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - April 19, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-8   Win (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-3   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKFAST BALL Mar26 Mar01 Feb14 Jan28 Dec22 (whitehouse wi)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 2.50 8% 11.40    
FOREST ACCLAMATION Apr04 Mar05 Feb13 Jan16 Dec04 (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 118 8.00    
LEMON DROP LADY Mar26 Feb14 Dec13 Nov01 Oct18 (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
PANCAKES AND BEER Apr08 Feb15 Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
JEWEL AZUL Mar26 Mar11 Feb14 Sep04 Aug17 (woolley benni)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCATALICIOUS Mar19 Feb13 Jan07 Dec14 Nov29 (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 118 4.00    
 
TUP-4   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRST PROMISE Apr08 Mar11 Feb07 Jan25 Dec14 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 3.00 10% 8.60    
QUEENS RANSOM Mar25 Mar14 Feb25 Feb11 Jan26 (johnston kimb)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
BETTY'S BAR Apr10 Mar13 Feb27 Feb15 Jan30 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.00 15% 5.70    
EARLYNTHEMORN Apr03 Mar26 Mar12 Feb21 Feb14 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00    
WARREN'S MEMORABLE Mar25 Mar14 Mar05 Feb25 Feb13 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  REALREALGOOD Mar14 Feb01 Jan04 Sep12 Aug29 (perkins frances)ZUNINO L 122 12.00    
 
TUP-5   04/19/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GYPSY WIFE Mar26 Mar08 Feb20 Jan18 Dec26 (eikleberry ke)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
METAROSE Mar29 Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Jan14 (hernandez mig)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 4.00    
SCR  LOOKIN SO LUCKY Mar29 Mar08 Feb22 Feb11 Jan28 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50    
DIPLOMATICA Apr01 Mar14 Feb21 Feb01 Jan14 (martinez esteban)VERGARA P 122 4.00 28% 2.50    
YES PLEASE Apr01 Feb22 Jan19 Jan09 Dec15 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 8.00    
INDY'S STAR Mar29 Mar14 Feb08 Jan04 Dec19 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 2.50 15% 5.80    
 
TUP-6   04/19/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FLATTER ME ZEN Mar27         (axmaker w)VERGARA P 124 5.00    
COURAGE OF BELLOCQ Mar27         (howey quinn)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00    
KIRA FEVER Mar11         (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
SAVONA (IRE) Mar11         (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 124 3.50    
LIL TOWN SIS Aug01 Jul02 Jun04     (ferguson curt)ZUNINO L 124 4.50 7% 13.60    
NINE CROWNS Sep01 Aug14 Jul09 Jun01 Apr15 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
MAKARA Mar27 Nov13       (barraza rafael )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
TUP-7   04/19/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN HALO Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Feb04 Jan23 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 45% 1.20    
BLUE LUNA WHO Mar29 Feb28 Feb05 Jan24 Dec05 (silva n)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
SCR  WILD ARCH Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb16 Feb07 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
PAISLEY'S VISION Mar26 Feb15 Jan07 Dec26 Nov30 (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 116 6.00    
BOISTEROUSLY IRISH Mar28 Mar14 Feb20 Jan26 Jan07 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00    
LOTSA LACE Mar28 Feb20 Jan17 Dec20 Nov23 (cuccia susan)ENRIQUEZ D 122 5.00    
GOLD COAST GIRL Apr04 Feb28 Jan07 Sep10 Aug27 (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   04/19/2023 4950ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SENT BY ANGELS Mar25         (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 8.00    
GEEJAYTEE Mar25 Mar05 Jan25     (rarick wade)LARA EZEQUIEL 121 3.50    
SCR  STAR SO FAR Apr10         (morgan dan)VERGARA P 121 5.00 15% 5.60    
HERSABIGGIRL Mar27 Mar12 Feb13 Aug20   (chambers mike)CORBETT W 121 8.00 7% 12.60    
GARBET Mar14         (vitali j)VALDES ALEXIS 121 10.00    
DONNA'S MISCHIEF Dec20         (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 121 12.00    
LUNAR UNIT Mar25 Feb21       (vitali marcus)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
SKEDADDLE'S LEGACY Mar25 Mar14       (mart)DA FAUSTO 121 12.00    
FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Mar27 Mar12 Feb03 Jan13 Dec02 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.