Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - June 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-7 $11.30 $5.30 88%
MTH-7   TRI (3/8/6/2/9)-(3/8/6/2/9)-(3/8/6/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-3-2 $38.05 $8.05 27%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   06/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:114 1:351   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURGE CAPACITY 1 3 1nk 3.2 1½ 1 1 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 17% 4.80 2.80 W
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of STRONG INCENTIVE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
RUGELACH 3 6 5 5 41 2 2 (motion gra)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.80 35% 1.90 0.80 P
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PROUD AND CHARMING by PROUD CITIZEN)
HIGH STICK 6 5 6 6 6 3 3 (mcgaughey cl)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 24% 3.20 4.20 S
  (by NYQUIST out of MONEY MY HONEY by RED BULLET)
WHERE'S EMMA 4 8 8 86 74 58 49 (mcgaughey)VARGAS A 118 8.00 11.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DREAM AWHILE by WAR FRONT)
TICKLE MY FANCY 7 2 4¼ 2nk 2½ 45 510¼ (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 123 8.00 38.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of BAY FINN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
LENDHERCREDIT 5 1 3.2 4 52 610 613¾ (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 5% 19.00 31.60  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LENATAREESE by BROAD BRUSH)
RAINBOW OLLY 8 7 7 7 8 712 716¾ (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 6.00 14.20  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
CAPTURE THIS 2 4 2nk 1nk 31 813 818 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00 77.30  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of DANGEROUS DAWN by FOREST DANGER)
 
MTH-2   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :454 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KNOWING GLANCE 1 1 22 2½   12 1 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.60 2.10  
BEAUTY QUIST 3 2 33 3   32 2 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 46% 1.20 1.10 P
THE SWEATY FOX 6 3 12 1½   22 3 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.50 S
SAVE THE FLAG 4 6 611 6   510 4 (foglia anthon)IORIO MELISSA 110 12.00 14.20  
ET'S MOON MAIDEN 2 5 4 4   47 5 (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00 7.20  
ASTONISHING ANABEL 5 4 56 5   610¼ 615 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 116 5.00 22% 3.60 7.40  
 
MTH-3   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
See original race card.
:223 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROW SHAPE 1 5 12 13   14 1 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.80 53% 0.90 1.30 W
MOVING IN STEREO 4 6 57 47   34 2 (diaz jorg)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50 8.90  
KASHAN 2 3 22 23   24 3 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 18% 4.40 1.30 S
WICKED JANE 6 1 6 6   510¼ 413½ (crowell susa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 8.00 16.80  
SCARF 5 2 33 37   410 519 (noble james )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00 5% 17.50 5.00  
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY 3 4 4 5   612¼ 624¾ (simmon)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 31.10  
SCR  KENAI COOL               (crowell susan )COTTO L 124 6.00    
 
MTH-4   06/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:121 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROL AGAIN DANCER 3 2 2 22 2nk 1nk 1 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 117 3.50 18% 4.50 2.80 W
SAILOR'S RETURN 5 5 4 4 1nk 2nk 2 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 46% 1.20 1.70 P
AGARRAMESIPUEDES 2 4 55 56 5 38 3 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00 2.10  
AWESOMEBROTHERBILL 4 3 3 32 34 4 417½ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00 16.50  
TRUSTING BOND 1 1 1 12 4 511¼ 529¼ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 6.00 11% 8.20 3.80  
SCR  ANTHRACITE               (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00    
SCR  PINE VALLEY               (mosco robert)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
 
MTH-5   06/10/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:222 :45 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALISTICO 7 1 11 1½   1½ 13 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.40 27% 2.80 1.00 W
VETERANS BEACH 1 7 31 3   2½ 23 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 18% 4.60 3.60 P
TETRAGRAMMATON 3 2 5 4   4 34 (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 4.00 26% 2.90 2.60 S
SHANGHAI WARRIOR 4 3 21 2½   32 4 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00 20.90  
GENGHIS 2 4 6 64   5 5 (crowell susa)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00 30.70  
STRONG BREEZE 6 5 7 76   6 6 (abrams jack)OLVER MADISON 111 15.00 28.70  
BEE BY THE SEA 5 6 4 5   79 711½ (navarro m)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 9% 9.80 8.00  
SCR  UNLEVERAGED               (martin f)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
 
MTH-6   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
See original race card.
:223 :454 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DART 4 3 52 3   1nk 1 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.70 W
OUTLAW COUNTRY 5 2 2½ 1½   2nk 2 (baker charlton)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.00 1.80  
Z'S SO GOOD 3 4 3½ 4   3 3 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 117 3.50 4.70  
MY EAGLE SOARS 6 1 41 5   4 414½ (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 117 4.50 4.50  
SMOOTH RICO 2 5 1½ 2½   55 517½ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 19% 4.20 8.00  
TIEMPO PERFECTO 1 6 6 6   613 631¼ (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 15.00 5% 19.00 36.20  
SCR  LYFE IS SIMPLE               (king clarenc)BAILEY O 117 20.00    
 
MTH-7   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:22 :46 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELLO POP 8 1 1½ 12   1 14 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00 24% 3.20 2.10 W
  (by FREUD out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
GROUCH 3 4 4 43   3 24 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 119 3.50 47% 1.10 2.60 P
  (by HEY CHUB out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
ALPHA COMPANY 2 6 3 6   2 3 (huston k)FERRER C 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.70 S
  (by ALPHA out of CRAFTY COED by CRAFTY FRIEND)
MAX'S GLORY 5 10 8 7   6 4 (spina charles)LUZZI J 119 4.00 3.00  
  (by TONALIST out of ACT OF GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
JERSEY PERFECTION 7 9 64 33   5 58 (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 124 8.00 19.40  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of P J HOOKER by HOOK AND LADDER)
UNCAPTURED DEPUTY 1 7 5 54   4 6 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 7.20  
  (by UNCAPTURED out of LEONIA LADY by TOUCH GOLD)
RANUNCULUS 9 2 2½ 22   7 714 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 43.20  
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
SLEW OF TALENT 4 5 10 8   8 814 (berrios manuel)TORRES JOMAR 124 10.00 52.40  
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of FORTUNATE SLEW by FORT WAYNE)
10  NEW JERSEY HEIST 10 3 7 9   911¾ 919 (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 20.00 81.30  
  (by BANK HEIST out of SCREAMING PHANTASM by GHOSTZAPPER)
MICRO BREWSKY 6 8 9 10   1015¾ 1029¾ (ryan s)BATISTA A 119 8.00 8% 11.70 11.70  
  (by MICROMANAGE out of RED HEADED LILL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MTH-8   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
See original race card.
:213 :442 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWERFULLY BUILT 6 1 3½ 2½   1 1 (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 13% 6.60 2.10 W
SWOT ANALYSIS 5 3 2nk 1½   2 2 (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 51% 1.00 2.60 P
CHOCOLATE SHAKE 3 5 6 5   54 34 (gaudet la)VARGAS A 120 8.00 8.80  
PRISONER 1 6 4 4   3 4 (baker charlton)FERRER C 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.00  
10  SENATE CHAMBER 7 2 5 6   44 5 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 8.20  
SAINT SELBY 2 4 1nk 32   610 621½ (atras )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 15.80  
MAGICAL WARRIOR 4 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 13% 6.60 3.60  
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM               (jacobson david)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
SCR  PERFECT DAY               (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
SCR  WILD MULE               (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 119 12.00    
 
MTH-9   06/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lady's Secret Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:124 1:371   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOTGUN HOTTIE 6 3 2nk 11 1½ 12 1 (devaux cheri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50 1.50  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RE ENTRY by MALIBU MOON)
SIGNAL FROM NOISE 1 1 1nk 21 31 4 2 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 32% 2.10 2.30 P
  (by ARROGATE out of HOLIDAY SOIREE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MISS NEW YORK 5 2 6 4 41 3 3 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 10.00 19.90  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUNA VEGA by MALIBU MOON)
LEADER OF THE BAND 3 5 5 31 2½ 22 4 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 2.00 42% 1.40 1.60  
  (by BANDBOX out of CATSUIT by SIR CAT)
DON'T GET KHOZY 2 4 31 6 6 610½ 518½ (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 5% 19.00 26.40  
  (by KHOZAN out of GET NOTICED by GRAEME HALL)
NINETYPERCENTBRYNN 4 6 4 5 5 5 619 (reid e)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 25.90  
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
SCR  CHAMPAGNE TOAST               (vera migu)VARGAS A 118 30.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of LA GATITA by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  GERRYMANDER               (brown c)TBA 118 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
 
MTH-10   06/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:22 :454 1:092 1:34   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGMAX (IRE) 1 5 4 43 3 1½ 1 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 5% 19.00 2.80 W
IRWIN (IRE) 8 8 813 79 65 43 2 (antonacci)VARGAS A 120 8.00 13.00  
AFFABLE MONARCH 7 9 1014 911 9 5 3 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00 26.10 S
GOOD MEDICINE 9 6 69 6 55 33 4 (pletcher a)FERRER C 120 6.00 16.50  
DOS PASSOS 2 7 914 1011¼ 1010¾ 86 5 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 115 3.50 20% 4.10 3.00  
10  BASSO 10 1 1½ 11 1½ 2½ 68 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
BREAKWATER 4 10 711 89 8 64 7 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 6.40  
QUALITY G 5 3 3 32 2½ 75 810½ (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 120 2.50 52% 0.90 3.00  
LEO MONTE 3 4 2½ 21 44 99 916 (huston k)LUZZI J 120 20.00 27.70  
KINGDOM ON PAWS 6 2 54 54 76 1013 1020¼ (mc joh)BATISTA A 120 30.00 76.10  
SCR  FOREVER SOUPER               (trombetta mich)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00    
SCR  MALEX (GB)               (delgad)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
MTH-11   06/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:14 1:383   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY TIMES 1 1 21 3 2½ 11 1¼ (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 1.40  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAID UP SUBSCRIBER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
LIFE ON THE NILE 4 6 31 2nk 1½ 21 2¼ (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 123 2.50 31% 2.30 4.00 P
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIFE IS SWEET by STORM CAT)
RUSH CENTER 2 4 6 4 4 36 36 (mosco robert)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 33% 2.00 7.10 S
  (by MCCRAKEN out of SILENT STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
DISAPPEARANCE 6 7 7 7 6 46 4 (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00 4.00  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
THAT SUN OF A GUN 7 5 5 6 7 715 523¾ (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 118 15.00 38.20  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUZEE SUNRISE by CHESTER HOUSE)
ISLAND SPIRIT 5 3 11 1nk 3 511 623¾ (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
GABAGOOL 3 2 42 5 5 613 729¼ (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 15% 5.80 3.70  
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of KENTUCKY WHISPER by SOUTHERN HALO)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.