Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - June 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (3/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5)-(3/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/1)-(7/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (8/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6)-(8/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-7   WIN (3/8/6/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/8/6/2/9)-(3/8/6/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/8/6/2/9)-(3/8/6/2/9)-(3/8/6/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-8   WIN (8/6/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2)-(8/6/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-10   WIN (5/2/1/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/7/10)-(5/2/1/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/7/10)-(5/2/1/7/10)-(5/2/1/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-11   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   06/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SURGE CAPACITY         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 17% 4.80    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of STRONG INCENTIVE by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
2  CAPTURE THIS         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of DANGEROUS DAWN by FOREST DANGER)
3  RUGELACH May12 Apr15 Mar18     (motion gra)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 1.80 35% 1.90    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of PROUD AND CHARMING by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  WHERE'S EMMA         (mcgaughey)VARGAS A 118 8.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of DREAM AWHILE by WAR FRONT)
5  LENDHERCREDIT May13 Apr16 Mar24 Jan29   (d'ange)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of LENATAREESE by BROAD BRUSH)
6  HIGH STICK May14 Aug18 Jul06     (mcgaughey cl)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by NYQUIST out of MONEY MY HONEY by RED BULLET)
7  TICKLE MY FANCY May07 Apr09 Feb03     (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 123 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BAY FINN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
8  RAINBOW OLLY         (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of WINTER MEMORIES by EL PRADO (IRE))
 
MTH-2   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($29K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KNOWING GLANCE Apr16 Mar10 Jul31 Jun24 Apr22 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.60    
2  ET'S MOON MAIDEN May15 Apr10 Mar27 Feb15 Feb06 (chacon gusta)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00    
3  BEAUTY QUIST May20 Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 Jan25 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  SAVE THE FLAG May29 Mar15 Feb23 Dec15 Dec01 (foglia anthon)IORIO MELISSA 110 12.00    
5  ASTONISHING ANABEL Feb10 Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 Oct16 (delgad)ROJAS EDUARDO 116 5.00 22% 3.60    
6  THE SWEATY FOX May29 Apr21 Mar11 Feb24 Feb05 (breen j)RENDON JAIRO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-3   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROW SHAPE May13 Nov06 Oct15 Sep11 Aug07 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.80 53% 0.90    
2  KASHAN Apr01 Jan20 Nov29 Sep17 Aug06 (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 18% 4.40    
3  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY May27 May20 Apr27 Mar31 Mar22 (simmon)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
4  MOVING IN STEREO May01 Apr24 Apr04 Mar22 Feb08 (diaz jorg)RODRIGUEZ A 124 4.50    
5  SCARF May16 May01 Apr11 Mar22 Feb28 (noble james )LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 4.00 5% 17.50    
SCR  KENAI COOL May29 May08 Apr26 Apr12 Mar13 (crowell susan )COTTO L 124 6.00    
7  WICKED JANE May27 Jan16 Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 (crowell susa)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 8.00    
 
MTH-4   06/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUSTING BOND May21 Oct09 Sep02 Aug14 Jun19 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  PINE VALLEY May30 Apr18 Mar28 Mar04 Dec05 (mosco robert)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.50    
3  AGARRAMESIPUEDES Mar30 Mar10 Feb25 Jan20 Dec18 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
4  ROL AGAIN DANCER Apr27 Mar19 Feb09 Dec04 Oct31 (giangiuli)VARGAS A 117 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL May20 Mar15 Sep22 Aug22 Jul23 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 12.00    
SCR  ANTHRACITE May27 Apr29 Mar19 Mar05 Feb10 (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00    
7  SAILOR'S RETURN May28 May21 Apr20 Mar22 Feb20 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
MTH-5   06/10/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VETERANS BEACH Jan29 Jan11 Nov30 Oct22 Oct13 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
2  GENGHIS May21 May06 Apr12 Mar29 Mar08 (crowell susa)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 8.00    
3  TETRAGRAMMATON Jun04 Apr02 Feb17 Dec11 Nov25 (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  UNLEVERAGED May12 Apr14 Mar26 Feb25 Feb11 (martin f)LUZZI J 120 12.00    
5  SHANGHAI WARRIOR May21 Apr23 Apr08 Mar25 Mar10 (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 20.00    
6  BEE BY THE SEA Mar12 Feb10 Jan13 Nov27 Oct30 (navarro m)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
7  STRONG BREEZE May10 Apr24 Apr04 Feb27 Feb07 (abrams jack)OLVER MADISON 111 15.00    
8  BALISTICO Jan20 Nov26 Oct07 Sep23 Aug21 (delgado jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 1.40 27% 2.80    
 
MTH-6   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIEMPO PERFECTO May29 May14 Apr19 Apr11 Mar13 (hogan will)MITCHELL RICHARD 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LYFE IS SIMPLE May28 May21 May03 Apr11 Jan23 (king clarenc)BAILEY O 117 20.00    
3  SMOOTH RICO Mar05 Feb12 Jan18 Dec22 Nov27 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 19% 4.20    
4  Z'S SO GOOD May14 May06 Mar01 Jan11 Dec13 (salinas jose)BEATO INOEL 117 3.50    
5  DART May27 May05 Apr15 Mar25 Mar03 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  OUTLAW COUNTRY May14 Apr23 Mar19 Feb09 Jan14 (baker charlton)CAMACHO SAMY 117 2.00    
7  MY EAGLE SOARS May29 Mar29 Mar12 Feb22 Jan14 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 117 4.50    
 
MTH-7   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED DEPUTY May21         (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of LEONIA LADY by TOUCH GOLD)
2  ALPHA COMPANY         (huston k)FERRER C 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALPHA out of CRAFTY COED by CRAFTY FRIEND)
3  GROUCH May21         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 119 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by HEY CHUB out of KARMAGEDDON by WILDCAT HEIR)
4  SLEW OF TALENT May21 Sep17 Aug12 Jul31   (berrios manuel)TORRES JOMAR 124 10.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of FORTUNATE SLEW by FORT WAYNE)
5  MAX'S GLORY May21 Oct22       (spina charles)LUZZI J 119 4.00    
  (by TONALIST out of ACT OF GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
6  MICRO BREWSKY         (ryan s)BATISTA A 119 8.00 8% 11.70    
  (by MICROMANAGE out of RED HEADED LILL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  JERSEY PERFECTION May21 Sep17 Aug28 Aug12 Jul31 (nunn douglas)RENDON JAIRO 124 8.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of P J HOOKER by HOOK AND LADDER)
8  HELLO POP May21 Jul31 Jul10 Jul01 Jun19 (huston rory )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by FREUD out of FORBIDDEN ISLE by BELONG TO ME)
9  RANUNCULUS Sep05 Aug13       (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
10  NEW JERSEY HEIST May21 Sep05       (margotta antho)MOYA F 119 20.00    
  (by BANK HEIST out of SCREAMING PHANTASM by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
MTH-8   06/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($62.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECT DAY May10 Apr11 Feb19 Jan18   (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 120 15.00    
2  PRISONER May13 Mar19 Feb26 Jan26 Jan01 (baker charlton)FERRER C 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  SAINT SELBY May20 Apr28 Sep30 Aug12 Jul01 (atras )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
4  CHOCOLATE SHAKE Dec11 Nov21 Nov05 Sep17   (gaudet la)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
SCR  MY HARBORS DREAM Apr21 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 Jan15 (jacobson david)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
6  MAGICAL WARRIOR May29 Apr26 Mar26 Feb17 Jan07 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 13% 6.60    
SCR  WILD MULE May14 Mar23 Feb19 Jan20 Dec09 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 119 12.00    
8  SWOT ANALYSIS Apr28 Mar05 Feb02 Jan07 Dec11 (casse mark)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
9  POWERFULLY BUILT Apr27 Mar26 Mar12 Sep28 Sep05 (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00 13% 6.60    
10  SENATE CHAMBER Nov22 Oct12 Sep03 Aug07 Jul09 (hollendor)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
 
MTH-9   06/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lady's Secret Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIGNAL FROM NOISE Mar10 Jan11 Nov17 Sep23   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
  (by ARROGATE out of HOLIDAY SOIREE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  GERRYMANDER May06 Apr07 Sep24 Aug20 Jun25 (brown c)NO RIDER 118 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of RUBY LIPS by RUBIANO)
3  DON'T GET KHOZY May14 Feb18 Jan14 Dec10 Oct16 (dobles elizabe)RENDON JAIRO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of GET NOTICED by GRAEME HALL)
4  LEADER OF THE BAND May14 Nov24 Sep24 Aug19 Jul23 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 2.00 42% 1.40    
  (by BANDBOX out of CATSUIT by SIR CAT)
5  NINETYPERCENTBRYNN Apr24 Apr11 Feb18 Jan09 Oct26 (reid e)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
SCR  CHAMPAGNE TOAST Dec30 Nov12 Sep30 Aug19 Jul20 (vera migu)VARGAS A 118 30.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of LA GATITA by TALE OF THE CAT)
7  MISS NEW YORK May19 Mar25 Feb18 Dec16 Nov26 (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 115 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of LUNA VEGA by MALIBU MOON)
8  SHOTGUN HOTTIE May14 Apr21 Mar12 Aug23 Jul31 (devaux cheri)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 3.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RE ENTRY by MALIBU MOON)
 
MTH-10   06/10/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGMAX (IRE)         (delgado jorg)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  DOS PASSOS Feb18         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 115 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  LEO MONTE May14 Nov20 Oct21 Sep11 Aug20 (huston k)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
4  BREAKWATER May04 Mar25 Sep25 Aug30 Jul19 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
5  QUALITY G Jun26 May29 May05 Apr02 Feb12 (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
6  KINGDOM ON PAWS Oct30 Oct06 Sep10 Aug27 Aug05 (mc joh)BATISTA A 120 30.00    
7  AFFABLE MONARCH May18 Nov27 Nov08 Sep29 Sep03 (duarte jo)RODRIGUEZ A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  IRWIN (IRE) Oct08 Aug28 Jul30 Jun03 May06 (antonacci)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
9  GOOD MEDICINE Oct21 Sep02 Jul24 Jun18 May20 (pletcher a)FERRER C 120 6.00    
10  BASSO May14 Dec17 Oct15 Sep11 Aug24 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FOREVER SOUPER May14 Jul16 Jun10 Apr09 Mar06 (trombetta mich)RENDON JAIRO 120 8.00    
SCR  MALEX (GB) Jan28 Jan01       (delgad)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
MTH-11   06/10/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARMY TIMES Mar26         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAID UP SUBSCRIBER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
2  RUSH CENTER May21 Apr21 Mar02 Feb05   (mosco robert)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.00 33% 2.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of SILENT STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  GABAGOOL         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 15% 5.80    
  (by RANSOM THE MOON out of KENTUCKY WHISPER by SOUTHERN HALO)
4  LIFE ON THE NILE May21 Mar23 Mar02 Feb20 Jan13 (hollendorfer jer)JUAREZ NIK 123 2.50 31% 2.30    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of LIFE IS SWEET by STORM CAT)
5  ISLAND SPIRIT May21 Oct22 Aug13 Jul22   (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of VODKA HIGH by MOUNT MCKINLEY)
6  DISAPPEARANCE May06         (falcone robert)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of SISTER IN ARMS by COLONEL JOHN)
7  THAT SUN OF A GUN May14 Oct29 Sep18     (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 118 15.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SUZEE SUNRISE by CHESTER HOUSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.