Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $13.00  
SAR-2   Win (5/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $12.40 $12.40 4.40
SAR-3   Win (11/2/7/4/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $53.00  
SAR-4   Win (6/1/3/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 0 $11.80  
SAR-5   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $6.40  
SAR-6   Win (6/9/8/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 13 1 0 $18.00  
SAR-7   Win (4/8/7/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $34.80 $34.80 24.80
SAR-8   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
SAR-9   Win (14/1/6/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $12.20 $12.20 2.20
SAR-10   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
SAR-11   Win (12/8/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $28.00 $28.00 18.00
SAR-12   Win (7/3/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.10 $5.10  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:241 :501 1:143 1:382   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARSON'S RUN 3 4 65 55 5 2nk 1¼ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00 5.50  
MOONLIGHT 7 7 44 43 42 1nk 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 43% 1.30 2.80 P
FRONTLINE WARRIOR 5 5 33 3 3 3½ 3 (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 29% 2.50 5.90 S
MODICA 6 6 1 11 1 4¾ 4 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 3.50  
SHAMROCK SHAKE 2 3 7 710 714 610¼ 514¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.20  
YAQUI VALLEY 4 1 2 21 2 5 616½ (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 14.60 7.60  
CORRUPTION 1 2 54 6 613½ 717¼ 731½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 3.80  
SCR  TRADE IMBALANCE               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80    
 
SAR-2   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOCCIATORE 7 4 31 3   2nk 1 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20 W
HIGH OAK 1 6 85 89   7 2 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 19.90  
1A  SAFFA'S DAY 6 2 1½ 11   1nk 3 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10 S
OSBOURNE 4 3 74 6   6 4 (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 59% 0.70 3.90  
MY HARBORS DREAM 5 5 42 42   4 53 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 14.10  
FLOKI'S FLIGHT 8 7 2½ 21   3 6 (romans dal)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 8% 11.60 4.90  
BOLD JOURNEY 3 8 6 77   8 7 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50 2.50  
JOEY FRESHWATER 2 1 52 5   5 810¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 2.80  
 
SAR-3   07/29/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:214 :443 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VOLKERT 9 2 42 5   2nk 1nk (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 25.50  
LUNA WARRIOR 2 9 7 4   1nk 2nk (d'angelo jose )CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.00 P
STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT 4 6 9 9   5 3 (hemingway michel)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 9% 10.10 8.50 S
11  WAR TERMINATOR 11 1 6 7   7 42 (contessa c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 28% 2.50 4.50  
DEVILS ONLY FRIEND 7 5 2½ 2nk   3½ 5 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.10 8.10  
HATCH (GB) 3 7 8 8   8 6 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 17.00  
ISOCLINE 8 12 1211¼ 1110½   10 7 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 120 10.00 38.00  
CARPE'S DREAM 6 4 52 6   6 8 (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 6.20  
13  EL CONEJITO 12 8 31 3½   9 9 (stephens john)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
KBCYA LATER 1 3 1½ 1nk   4¾ 10 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 6.80  
BASIS RISK 5 11 10 10   11 119 (coffey mariali)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 30.00 74.25  
10  EXCESS DEMAND 10 10 11 1212   1215½ 1220¾ (chichakly a)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00 56.00  
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER               (goberdhan chandra)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
SCR  MODERN MIDAS               (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.00    
 
SAR-4   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  CORNER KICK 11 5 31 2nk   13 19 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 4.90  
PARTY AT GRANTS 6 10 1010½ 1012½   712 29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 33% 2.00 4.60 P
BEST COAST 1 7 1½ 1nk   23 3 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 3.15  
1A  SOUPER TROPICAL 9 6 5 5   4 411¾ (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50 27% 2.70 4.20  
10  CHEROKEE COTTAGE 10 8 8 67   610½ 513¾ (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 14.70  
RATIFIED 5 1 2½ 3   3 615¾ (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 19.10  
KEEP IT SEXY 3 2 75 78   812½ 718 (walder r)TORRES A 114 12.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
SOUPER SLEWS CASH 4 3 42 45   510 818¾ (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 4.20  
GRACEFUL 8 9 97 910   913 919½ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00 32.50  
MOONEY MOONEY 2 4 6 8   1013½ 1020¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 16% 5.40 5.50  
DRAMATIC EFFECT 7 11 1112½ 1116½   1116 1122¾ (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 124 30.00 5% 19.00 51.00  
SCR  TAKE TIME TO DREAM               (falcone rober)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STERLING SILVER 3 4 4 43   2½ 11 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 2.20  
GOOD SAM 4 1 3 22   1½ 21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 33% 2.10 1.50 P
YOU LOOK COLD 2 2 21 32   4 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50 4.30  
ONTHEONESANDTWOS 1 3 11 12   3 4 (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 33% 2.10 2.35  
SCR  BORN DAPPER               (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 10.00    
SCR  TIZZY IN THE SKY               (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
 
SAR-6   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:24 :483 1:134 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  OVERACTING 12 1 12 18 16 1 11 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00 8.00  
STARTS NOW 5 4 33 39 26 2 21 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 37% 1.70 2.40 P
LADY LAOBAN 6 2 22 28 36 34 3 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 16.30  
11  AUTUMN 10 6 55 612½ 59 55 4 (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00 4.40  
THE SPLENDID ONE 2 5 65 511 48 4 5 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 118 10.00 22.40  
12  NORTH END LADY 11 8 8 714 711¾ 6 65 (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 14.30  
SAIL WITH THE WIND 3 11 11 1218½ 914¾ 79 7 (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00 26.00  
BOMB SQUAD 7 9 108 916 812¾ 9 87 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 9% 9.50 5.30  
10  SHE'S A NATURAL 9 10 1210 1016½ 1015¼ 1013 911¼ (sciacca gar)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00 28.25  
SPLASHY 8 3 44 410½ 6 89 1012 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 27% 2.70 6.20  
SHINE MY TIARA 1 7 9 1117 1120¼ 1120 1120¼ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 5% 17.30 18.40  
BENEVOLENTLY 4 12 7 814½ 1222¾ 1235 1246½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00 46.25  
SCR  DREAM ON CARA               (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 118 1.60    
SCR  FOXY CARA               (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 1.60    
SCR  ROAGNA               (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
SAR-7   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEIZE THE GREY 2 5 1½ 1nk   1 1 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00 16.40 W
DORNOCH 4 7 3½ 4   2 2 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 29% 2.40 2.60 P
GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE 9 1 8 8   53 32 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00 8.70  
PRIVATE DESIRE 5 6 41 31   4 4 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 9.80  
LAMBO 8 4 2½ 2nk   3 53 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.30 2.30  
DRUM ROLL PLEASE 6 8 65 6   6 65 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 11.50  
HOULTON 3 9 1010 9   7 713¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 29.00  
DIVINE EMPIRE 1 10 9 10   810½ 817¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00 40.50  
11  SKIP THE LINE 10 2 7 7   912 918½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5.60  
DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND 7 3 5 5   1013 1023¾ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 23% 3.30 12.60  
SCR  ACT OF MUTINY               (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  HURRICANE NELSON               (delgado gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Alfred Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELITE POWER 4 2 6 43   2 1nk (mott i)ORTIZ JR 126 0.80 31% 2.20 1.10 W
GUNITE 5 5 21 1½   1 2nk (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 28% 2.50 1.20 P
DEAN DELIVERS 6 1 11 2½   32 3 (yates michael)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00 20% 4.10 9.50 S
GUN IT 1 3 52 66   56 411¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 10.00 12.60  
SYNTHESIS 2 7 7 5   67 511½ (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00 43.50  
AWESOME AARON 3 4 4 32   4 611¾ (green troy)DAVIS DYLAN 116 30.00 46.00  
LITTLE VIC 7 6 3 7   714 730¾ (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
 
SAR-9   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:134 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TOUGH STREET 6 5 5 5 3 21 1¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00 20% 4.10 5.10 W
13  MARIAH'S APPEAL 3 2 11 11 11 11 2¾ (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50 4.20  
15  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 5 1 33 4 53 44 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00 5.40  
14  ABSINTHE 4 3 21 21 21 31 45 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 36% 1.80 1.60  
NEW GINYA 2 6 6 67 6 5 5 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 5% 18.40 6.50  
DIAMOND HANDS 1 4 43 32 42 6 6 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 8% 11.20 4.90  
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  SPUNGIE               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 4.50 7% 14.40    
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 2.00    
SCR  MISS KRISTY               (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00    
SCR  GET YOUR KICKS               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  FINE WHINING               (coletti edward)TORRES A 113 30.00    
SCR  EXPAND THE MAP (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50    
SCR  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE)               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  CANDLE               (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
 
SAR-10   07/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Jim Dandy Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:122 1:37   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTE 2 1 3 31 3 2½ 1hd (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 53% 0.90 0.75 W
SAUDI CROWN 4 2 1 11 11 1½ 2hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 3.50  
ANGEL OF EMPIRE 5 3 2 21 21 3½ 3½ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 17% 5.00 5.70 S
DISARM 1 4 5 53 53 42 4 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 6% 14.90 4.70  
HIT SHOW 3 5 43 42 4 5 5 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 10.60  
 
SAR-11   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS DANCER 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 1½ (dixon k)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 5% 19.00 13.00 W
12  SANDY'S GARDEN 7 5 4 4   2nk 2½ (tebbutt jo)DAVIS A 124 2.00 60% 0.70 1.45 P
10  SIKUM 5 2 6 610½   5 3 (camejo m)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70 S
13  I'M NERVOUS NOW 8 6 5 5   6 43 (dini mike)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 3.10  
SARATOGA CHROME 3 8 811½ 716   7 5 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 14.00  
KERRY 4 7 3 3   4 6 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 3.65  
11  BUNTY WINDERMERE 6 3 2½ 2½   3 78 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 15.30  
SUMMER AT THE SPA 2 4 7 818   817¼ 818½ (lake a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 23.90  
SCR  ACT OF CONGRESS               (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
SCR  BUSY MORNING               (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA               (donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
SCR  IN GOOD TROUBLE               (dunham g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME               (begg ja)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 6.00    
SCR  SNOWY EVENING               (donk david)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-12   07/29/2023 7260ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
See original race card.
:242 :494 1:15 1:401   2:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLIE'S GRIT 4 1½ 11 11 1 1 1¼ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 1.55 W
SHE'S MO BUBBLY 5 2½ 21 21 2 2 2¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60 3.30 P
TAWARET 2 8 74 6 55 4 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 31% 2.20 5.30 S
SOUTHAMPTON DOCK 1 31 4 32 34 3 44 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
FIZZY 7 73 8 8 8 7 5 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 8% 12.00 7.70  
MACHIAVELLIQUE 3 52 53 5 6 67 611½ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00 26.00  
13  DUKE GIRLS 8 4 32 42 44 56 715 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 7.20  
BEL ROSSO 6 6 64 7 7 8 818¾ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 30.00 21.50  
SCR  HEAVENLY APPOINTED               (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
SCR  LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE)               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  LASERJET               (shirer a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
SCR  SRI LANKA               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.