Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Saturday - July 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/5/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (5/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (11/2/7/4/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-4   Win (6/1/3/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-5   Win (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-6   Win (6/9/8/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-7   Win (4/8/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (4/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (14/1/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (12/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-12   Win (7/3/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORRUPTION         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
2  SHAMROCK SHAKE         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CARSON'S RUN         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 5.00    
4  YAQUI VALLEY Jul03 Jun04       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 6% 14.60    
5  FRONTLINE WARRIOR         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 29% 2.50    
6  MODICA         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
7  MOONLIGHT         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  TRADE IMBALANCE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80    
 
SAR-2   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY HARBORS DREAM Jun25 Apr21 Apr08 Mar12 Feb11 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00    
1A  SAFFA'S DAY Jul07 Jun17 Jun09 May19 Mar31 (jacobson david)GEROUX FLORENT 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIGH OAK Jun09 May06 Mar30 Mar04 Mar05 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
3  JOEY FRESHWATER Jul16 Jul01 May20 May12 Apr08 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
4  BOLD JOURNEY Jun09 May13 Apr08 Feb10 Jan07 (mott i)CASTELLANO J 126 2.50    
5  OSBOURNE Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 Oct08 Aug06 (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
6  SCOCCIATORE Jun09 May20 Apr30 Mar30 Feb10 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLOKI'S FLIGHT Jun25 May28 May13 Mar30 Jan07 (romans dal)SANTANA JR 124 3.50 8% 11.60    
 
SAR-3   07/29/2023 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($35K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KBCYA LATER Oct09 Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 Jun22 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
2  LUNA WARRIOR Jul09 Jun15 Mar30 Feb19 Dec02 (d'angelo jose )CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
3  HATCH (GB) Jun23 May21 May05 Jan26 Dec29 (martin carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
4  STARRYSTARRYKNIGHT May28 May21 Sep03 Aug10 Jul14 (hemingway miche)VELAZQUEZ R 122 12.00 9% 10.10    
5  BASIS RISK Jun23 May14 Apr30 Apr15 Feb25 (coffey mariali)BRIDGMOHAN X 122 30.00    
6  CARPE'S DREAM Jul08 Jun09 Oct16 Sep17 Aug13 (diprima gregory)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00    
7  DEVILS ONLY FRIEND May20 May06 Apr08     (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 16% 5.10    
8  ISOCLINE Jul07 Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar11 (barkley ja)SANTANA JR 120 10.00    
9  VOLKERT Jun23 May26 Mar10 Feb05 Jun14 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
10  EXCESS DEMAND Jul19 Jun23 May13 Mar28   (chichakly a)LEPAROUX R 120 20.00    
11  WAR TERMINATOR Jul20 Jun23 Jun09 Jan22 Dec30 (contessa c)ORTIZ JR 122 4.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jul07 Jun23 Jun11 May20 Apr29 (goberdhan chandra)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
13  EL CONEJITO Jun16 Jun04 Aug31 Jul31   (stephens john)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MODERN MIDAS Jul01 May14 Apr16 Mar19 Feb12 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
SCR  MORNING CUP Jul01 May04 Apr21 Feb21 Jan15 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.00    
 
SAR-4   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUPER SLEWS CASH Oct29 Sep11 Aug17     (trombetta micha)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
1A  SOUPER TROPICAL Jul08 Jun10 May19 Dec18 Dec04 (trombetta micha)VELAZQUEZ R 119 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  BEST COAST Jun11         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
3  MOONEY MOONEY May26 Apr28       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 16% 5.40    
4  KEEP IT SEXY Jun03 May13 Oct22 Sep23   (walder r)TORRES A 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  RATIFIED Jun27 Apr21 Mar26 Mar05 Jan29 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00    
6  PARTY AT GRANTS May02 Mar16       (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  TAKE TIME TO DREAM         (falcone rober)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
8  DRAMATIC EFFECT         (henry neville)BROWN DALTON 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRACEFUL Jun02 May26 Apr28 Mar17 Jan13 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 119 20.00    
10  CHEROKEE COTTAGE         (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
11  CORNER KICK Jun15 May16 Feb26 Dec15 Nov16 (amoss thomas)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
 
SAR-5   07/29/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BORN DAPPER Dec10 Oct01 Aug13 Jul24 Jul02 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 30.00    
SCR  TIZZY IN THE SKY Nov25 Oct28 Sep23 Aug25 Jul01 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50    
SCR  BUSTIN BAY Jul13 Jun01 May04 Apr02 Mar03 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 10.00    
4  ONTHEONESANDTWOS Jun18 May28 May06     (casse w)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
5  YOU LOOK COLD May12 Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Oct26 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.50    
6  STERLING SILVER Jun25 May29 Apr22 Mar11 Nov05 (albertrani tho)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00    
7  GOOD SAM Jun15 Nov06 Oct02     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 33% 2.10    
 
SAR-6   07/29/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREAM ON CARA Jul03 Jun18 Jun01 Apr23 Apr06 (friedman mitchell)RIDER TBA 118 1.60    
SCR  FOXY CARA Jul15 Jun25 May21 Apr29 Apr06 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 1.60    
2  SHINE MY TIARA Jul03         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 15.00 5% 17.30    
3  THE SPLENDID ONE Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 Feb24 Jan19 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
4  SAIL WITH THE WIND         (gyarmati leah)FRANCO MANUEL 118 20.00    
5  BENEVOLENTLY Aug04 Jul04       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00    
6  STARTS NOW Jun17 Apr15 Nov18 Oct28   (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
7  LADY LAOBAN Jun03 Apr08       (abreu r)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
8  BOMB SQUAD Jun17 Jun01 Apr15 Nov04   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 9% 9.50    
9  SPLASHY Jul03 May21 Apr06 Nov19   (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
10  SHE'S A NATURAL Jul03 Jun01 May05 Apr08 Feb10 (sciacca gar)LEPAROUX R 124 20.00    
11  AUTUMN May27 Apr08       (mcgaughey cl)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 8.00    
12  NORTH END LADY Jun17 May21       (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
13  OVERACTING         (brown c)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
SCR  ROAGNA         (bond james)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
 
SAR-7   07/29/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE EMPIRE         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 20.00    
2  SEIZE THE GREY Jul01         (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOULTON         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DORNOCH         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00 29% 2.40    
5  PRIVATE DESIRE         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
6  DRUM ROLL PLEASE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
7  DEVIL'S PLAYGROUND Jul09         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 23% 3.30    
8  LAMBO Jun22         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 23% 3.30    
9  GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
SCR  ACT OF MUTINY         (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
11  SKIP THE LINE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  HURRICANE NELSON         (delgado gustavo)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Alfred Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN IT Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr22 Mar11 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 10.00    
2  SYNTHESIS Jul01 Jun10 May18 Apr29 Feb05 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 119 20.00    
3  AWESOME AARON Jul01 May12 Apr08 Mar18 Jan01 (green troy)DAVIS DYLAN 116 30.00    
4  ELITE POWER Jun10 Nov05 Oct08 Sep03 Jun30 (mott i)ORTIZ JR 126 0.80 31% 2.20    
5  GUNITE Jun03 Jan28 Nov05 Oct22 Sep24 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 1.60 28% 2.50    
6  DEAN DELIVERS Jul01 May20 Apr01 Mar04 Jan28 (yates michael)JARAMILLO E 120 8.00 20% 4.10    
7  LITTLE VIC Jul01 Apr08 Mar04 Jan28 Dec30 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-9   07/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TOUGH STREET May18 Mar25 Mar03 Jan22 Dec30 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Jun16 Apr30 Apr21 Mar26 Feb24 (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 2.00    
SCR  YOU GOTTA HAVE FUN (IRE) Jun25 May13       (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  BOLIVIE (IRE) May12 Mar25       (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
SCR  NO SHOW SAMMY JO (GB) Jun24 May12       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  EXPAND THE MAP (IRE) Jun11 May07 Apr08 Jan14 Nov20 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50    
6  DIAMOND HANDS Jul01 Jun03 Apr13 Feb26 Sep30 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  MISS KRISTY May18 Mar26 Feb17 Jan05 Nov13 (rodriguez gustav)ROSARIO JOEL 118 30.00    
SCR  CANDLE Jul01 Jun16 Apr08 Feb12 Nov04 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
9  NEW GINYA Jun25 Apr27 Apr08 Nov06 Oct08 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  GET YOUR KICKS May13 Apr01 Feb12     (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  SPUNGIE Dec17 Oct30 Sep25 Aug14   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 4.50 7% 14.40    
SCR  FINE WHINING Jul05 Jun10 May16     (coletti edward)TORRES A 113 30.00    
13  MARIAH'S APPEAL Jan21         (bauer philip )ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 3.50    
14  ABSINTHE Jul01 May28       (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 36% 1.80    
15  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Jul20 Jun01 May04 Apr13 Jan22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
 
SAR-10   07/29/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Jim Dandy Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISARM Jun11 May06 Apr15 Mar25 Feb19 (asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 6% 14.90    
2  FORTE Jun10 Apr01 Mar04 Nov04 Oct08 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 1.40 53% 0.90    
3  HIT SHOW Jun10 May06 Apr08 Feb11 Dec17 (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
4  SAUDI CROWN Jul01 May21 Apr16     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50    
5  ANGEL OF EMPIRE Jun10 May06 Apr01 Feb18 Jan01 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
 
SAR-11   07/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS DANCER Jul12 May29 May09 Nov02 Oct03 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  SUMMER AT THE SPA Jul11 Jun12 May31 May14 Apr01 (lake a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  SNOWY EVENING Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 May27 Apr08 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IN GOOD TROUBLE Jul13 Jun20 Jun09 May10 Apr25 (dunham g)DAVIS DYLAN 120 30.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA Jul04 Jun05 Sep30 Jul28   (donk david)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
6  SARATOGA CHROME Jul15 Nov06 Oct08 Aug11 Jul16 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
7  KERRY Jun24 Mar29 Aug21 Jul24 Jun05 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
SCR  BUSY MORNING Sep23 Aug18 Jun25 May12   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  ACT OF CONGRESS Jun22 May27 Jun11 May14 Apr14 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
10  SIKUM Jul08 Jun27 May14 Apr22 Feb23 (camejo m)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  BUNTY WINDERMERE Jun03 Dec31 Dec09 Nov18 Oct09 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00    
12  SANDY'S GARDEN Jun21 May23 Jul04 Mar27 Feb19 (tebbutt jo)DAVIS A 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
13  I'M NERVOUS NOW Jul08 Jun10 May20 Apr19 Mar24 (dini mike)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  LIBERTY FLAME Jul09 Jun04 May11 Apr23 Apr02 (begg ja)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 6.00    
 
SAR-12   07/29/2023 7260ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($136.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHAMPTON DOCK Jun29 Jun08 Dec03 Oct04 Sep10 (wilkes r)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LASERJET Jun23         (shirer a)LEZCANO JOSE 118 15.00    
3  TAWARET Jul02 Apr28 Mar19     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 31% 2.20    
4  MACHIAVELLIQUE Jun24 Jun03 Mar26 Mar04 Jan07 (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
5  CALLIE'S GRIT Jun24 May20 Apr19 Sep03 Jul31 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LIBRETTO (IRE) Jul02 Jun03 May07 Mar04 Nov20 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
7  SHE'S MO BUBBLY Jun03 Apr08 Feb24 Jan21   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  BEL ROSSO Apr19 Sep03 Aug14     (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 118 30.00    
9  FIZZY Jun24         (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 8% 12.00    
SCR  SRI LANKA Jun29 May29 Jan29 Dec11   (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
SCR  LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE)         (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  HEAVENLY APPOINTED Jul15 May24       (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
13  DUKE GIRLS Jun30 May13       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.